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EUR/USD – Bearish Setup with Potential Drop Toward 1.1285 and 1.EUR/USD is showing signs of exhaustion near the 1.1475 Fibonacci extension level (127.2%), with a completed five-wave impulse pattern likely followed by an ABC correction. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: A clear 5-wave Elliott structure suggests a top might be in. Price is now losing momentum, indicating the start of a corrective move. If selling continues, 1.12850 will be the first key level to watch. A break below that could open the door for a deeper correction toward 1.12286. 📉 Momentum Support: The Detrended Oscillator shows a loss of bullish momentum, aligning with the corrective structure expectation. 🔴 Invalidation: A break back above 1.1475 would invalidate the bearish count and suggest trend continuation. This setup favors short opportunities on breakdown confirmation with targets at the next major supports.
Short
by Mohammad_Mirdehghan
EUR/USD | Smart Money is Watching This Level |Major Drop LoadingPrice entered a major institutional sell zone (blue shaded area) and got rejected hard. Classic sign of smart money distribution. 🔻 Short Bias activated while price trades below 1.14994. --- 🎯 Targets: 📉 TP1: 1.12325 – Previous structural support 📉 TP2: 1.09023 – Strong demand zone (orange area) --- 🧠 Why This Matters: This move looks like a liquidity sweep above the highs, followed by a return to premium for smart money to short. Now price is compressing under resistance – possible redistribution in play. --- 🚨 High-Impact Events Coming: 3 major USD news releases are lined up around June 11. This could be the catalyst to send EUR/USD plummeting toward demand. --- ✅ Trading Plan: 🔍 Watch for a bearish confirmation pattern (e.g. break of structure + lower high) ❌ No buys in the supply zone 🛑 Stop loss: Above 1.1500 (wick trap area) ✅ Sell setup is valid below that level --- 💬 Agree or Disagree? Comment below 👇 with your view: 🔴 Bearish like me? 🟢 Or are you expecting a breakout? 📌 Don’t forget to LIKE ❤️ & FOLLOW for more institutional setups! #EURUSD #SmartMoney #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #LuxAlgo #ForexAnalysis #SwingTrade #BearishBias #LiquiditySweep #ForexSignals
Short
by FrankFx14
EUR/USD - Sweeping the highs, retracement following?The EUR/USD has experienced a steep and aggressive bullish run today, showing strong upward momentum across multiple timeframes. This impulsive move has led to a sweep of the recent highs, taking out key liquidity levels that were resting above previous swing points. In the context of smart money concepts and institutional trading models, such a move typically signifies the activation of buy-side liquidity, where stop-loss orders and breakout entries are triggered above a well-defined high. This behavior is often engineered by larger market participants to fulfill liquidity objectives before potentially reversing or retracing. During this strong bullish leg, the EUR/USD left behind a noticeable imbalance, commonly referred to as a Fair Value Gap (FVG), on the lower timeframes. This imbalance reflects an area where price moved too rapidly, leaving behind unfilled orders and creating a price inefficiency. Specifically, an FVG remains open around the 1.13700 level, a zone that was bypassed during the impulsive rally and now stands as a likely magnet for price in the near term. These imbalances are significant because price tends to revisit them to seek equilibrium and fill in the inefficient areas, especially after a major liquidity grab. The sweep of the highs was a classic liquidity-taking event. When price runs above a prominent high, especially one that's visible on higher timeframes like the 4H or daily, it often signals that buy stops (retail breakout entries or protective stops) have been targeted. Once these stops are taken, there is typically a shift in market behavior. The aggressive buyers have been filled, and institutional players may look to reverse or retrace price toward areas of unfilled orders, such as the aforementioned FVG. The market often transitions from a state of expansion (impulse move) to a state of rebalancing or consolidation, which opens the door for a pullback. Given that the liquidity above the highs has been taken and that the 1.13700 gap remains unmitigated, it becomes increasingly likely that EUR/USD will begin a retracement. This corrective move would serve to rebalance the price, revisit the inefficiency, and potentially test the validity of any newly-formed demand zones. From a technical standpoint, this area is crucial, not only because of the gap itself but also due to its positioning in relation to prior market structure. In summary, today’s bullish extension in EUR/USD accomplished a major liquidity objective by sweeping the highs. However, the move left behind a significant imbalance at 1.13700, suggesting that the pair could be due for a corrective pullback to fill the gap. Traders should monitor lower timeframes for signs of distribution, potential shifts in market structure, or bearish order blocks forming after the sweep. All of these could provide clues that the market is preparing to return to the gap and restore price efficiency. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
16
Today's EUR/USD Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsThe EUR/USD is trading at the upper end of its recent range, having hit an intraday high of around 1.1440 and remaining near that level. The US Dollar strengthened in the early session due to optimism about the easing of Sino-US trade tensions, but later declined as European stocks fluctuated. Technically, the daily chart shows bulls remain in control, with the 20-day SMA rising gently at 1.1330. In the short term, the pair is range-bound around the 20-day SMA, yet to confirm a bullish breakout, while the 100-day and 200-day SMAs support the overall upward trend. EUR/USD buy@1.14200-1.14300 tp:1.14600-1.14900
Long
by EvanField
DeGRAM | EURUSD held the support📊 Technical Analysis ● Euro holds above 1.137 – 1.140, where the channel’s mid-line meets the old wedge roof, printing a fresh higher-low (green arrow). ● Price is compressing inside a pennant capped at 1.142; flag height projects to 1.156 – 1.160 at the rising-channel median once 1.142 gives way. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● After the ECB’s “one-and-pause” cut, sticky EZ core CPI (2.9 % y/y) and softer US payrolls narrowed the 2-yr rate gap, keeping flows tilted toward the euro. ✨ Summary Buy 1.137–1.141; pennant breakout >1.142 targets 1.156 → 1.160. Long bias void on an H4 close below 1.126. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD above the 1.15📊 Technical Analysis ● Hourly close above 1.1500 completed a small ascending triangle; price is now hugging the rising-channel’s upper rail after a chain of higher-lows, pointing toward the 1.1600 objective. ● Triangle top and channel mid-line overlap at 1.1500-1.1520; while candles stay above, risk : reward favours a push to the next fib / upper parallel near 1.1650. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● US core-CPI eased to 0.1 % m/m, driving Treasury yields lower and lifting September Fed-cut odds >70 %, weakening the dollar, while ECB officials talked up a “data-dependent” pause, keeping euro bids firm. ✨ Summary Long bias while price holds 1.1520; targets 1.1600 then 1.1650. Invalidate on an hourly close below 1.1470. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
EURUSD – Still a chance to rebound if support holdsEURUSD has recently pulled back slightly after approaching resistance near the rising trendline. Currently, price is heading back to retest the support zone around 1.13200 – a key confluence area with the EMA89 and previous swing lows. This is a crucial level. If it holds, there’s a strong possibility for a rebound toward the 1.14280 resistance area. On the H4 timeframe, the price structure remains within an ascending channel with no clear signs of trend reversal. The formation of higher lows suggests that buying pressure is still present. Notably, if this week’s CPI, PPI, and NFP data come in weaker than expected, market sentiment may shift further toward the idea of an early Fed rate cut – potentially providing a lift for EURUSD. Additionally, rising geopolitical tensions could increase risk aversion, weakening the USD and further supporting the euro.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !Technical Breakdown: Rising Wedge Pattern ✅ Price was moving inside a rising channel (blue lines). This is often a bearish reversal pattern. Break of Structure 💥 Price broke the lower trendline + support zone — confirming potential downside momentum. Short Entry Zone 🟪 Purple box marks a premium entry zone (Order Block / Supply Zone) — where sellers are likely positioned. Stop Loss: 1.14781 🔺 (Above last high) Target: Key demand zone below (highlighted in grey) 🎯 --- 📦 Order Flow Perspective: Internal structure shows lower highs and lower lows forming. Expecting price to retest lower blue trendline, then drop to fill imbalance and hit demand zone below. --- 🗓️ Upcoming Events: Watch out for USD-related news near June 10 & June 14 — it may increase volatility 📊 --- 🧠 Summary: This is a classic bearish continuation setup. Entry after pullback = higher R:R potential. Patience and proper risk management are key 🔑 ---
by Greenfireforex
EURUSD Interim Short Active, Looking for the LongInterim short active from our analysis posted last night, rejected off the lower end of the supply zone highlighted. Looking for the trade to trade down to a good Demand level to then take this trade up to the higher levels of the supply zone. Targeting the 1.1500 region. This will be all dependent on price action. If price moves to plan and 1.1500 is achieved we then can look for the original short position highlighted in last nights analysis.
Long
by SKA_CAPITAL
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D11 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D11 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅4 hour order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
Can EUR/USD Break Through the Range Constraint?The EUR/USD exchange rate continues to maintain a range-bound consolidation trend, currently trading around 1.1400. The dovish statements from European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are offset by the positive economic signals in the Eurozone, leading to a wait-and-see sentiment in the market. In the short term, the EUR/USD exchange rate is expected to remain in a narrow range consolidation pattern. Technically, the exchange rate needs to break through the recent high to sustain the upward momentum; otherwise, it may return to the broader range of 1.12-1.15. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
by Ashbur