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EURUSD trade ideas

EUR/USD: A High-Probability Short Setup at 1.1829At its core, this trade is driven by a powerful and growing divergence between the US and European economies. While technicals tell us where to trade, fundamentals tell us why we're trading. 1️⃣ The Interest Rate Gap: The U.S. currently offers significantly higher interest rates (4.25% - 4.50%) compared to the Eurozone (2.15%). This makes holding the US Dollar more attractive, creating natural downward pressure on the EUR/USD. 2️⃣ Central Bank Policy: The US Federal Reserve remains hawkish, focused on strength and fighting inflation. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank is dovish, signaling a willingness to keep conditions loose to support a weaker economy. 3️⃣ Labor Market Strength: The US enjoys a robust labor market with unemployment at just 4.1%, while the Eurozone's is significantly higher at 6.3%. This points to a stronger US economy. In simple terms, the US economy is strong, and its central bank is acting like it. The Eurozone economy is weaker, and its central bank is acting accordingly. This fundamental imbalance is the fuel for a potential significant move down in EUR/USD. The Technical Picture: The Wall at 1.1829 As you can see on the 4H chart, the price has run into a major wall of resistance at the 52-week high of 1.1829 . After a long uptrend, the momentum has stalled, and the price is now consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle . This coiling of price action often precedes a strong breakout. Our strategy is not to guess the breakout, but to act on a high-probability retest of resistance. We are looking to enter a short position as the price pulls back towards the upper boundary of this triangle, anticipating a failure at resistance and a subsequent break to the downside. The Actionable Trade Plan This setup offers an excellent risk/reward profile. 📉 Asset: EUR/USD 👉 Entry (Limit Sell): 1.1780 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 1.1850 🎯 Take Profit: 1.1600 📈 Risk/Reward Ratio: ~2.57:1 Trade safe and manage your risk.
Short
by MaxellAguiran
EURUSD – Rounded Top Signals Bearish Reversal The EURUSD pair is showing clear signs of weakness after forming a rounded top pattern near the 1.18100 resistance zone. Price has broken out of a short-term sideways range and may retest the FVG area near 1.17500 before continuing its downward move. If the support at 1.17118 is breached, EURUSD could head toward the 1.16200 level – a key demand zone on the chart. The bearish momentum is being reinforced by recent news: Yesterday: U.S. employment data exceeded expectations, strengthening the USD. Today: The euro is under pressure due to EU recession concerns and political instability in France. Coming up: The FOMC minutes may continue to reflect a hawkish stance, which could further weigh on EURUSD.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD – 5-Wave Wedge Complete, Eyes on the Wall Hello traders! 👋 Hope you're all having a strong and focused week in the markets. Let’s take a moment to walk through this beautifully structured 5-leg wedge formation on EURUSD. 📌 Pattern Breakdown We’ve just seen a clean completion of a 1-2-3-4-5 descending wedge sequence — each leg clearly defined and well-behaved within structure: 🔹 Wave 1 to 5 forms a compression wedge 🔹 Wave 5 completes at the lower boundary 🔹 Price reacts aggressively from 1.1662 low This bounce is now headed back into a key decision zone: 🔸 The WALL between 50%–61.8% fib retracements (1.1699–1.1707) 🔸 Lining up with prior structure + downward trendline pressure 🚧 What Now? We’ve got: A reaction off a completed wedge Price heading into a confluence wall Dynamic resistance (dashed trendline) overhead — watch the red arrows A rejection from this zone could provide the next wave of momentum. On the flip side, a clean break through might lead to trendline breakout continuation. 🧠 Key Concepts ✅ 5-wave compression ✅ Completion + reversal reaction ✅ Fib & structural confluence ✅ Clear invalidation + decision-making level 🗝 Final Thoughts This is what we call measured trading. Let price show you what it wants — structure gives the framework, and reaction gives the trigger. Stay disciplined and always let the pattern prove itself. #TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros
Long
by TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros
EURUSD Energy buildup supported at 1.1590The EURUSD currency pair continues to exhibit a bullish price action bias, supported by a sustained rising trend. Recent intraday movement reflects a sideways consolidation breakout, suggesting potential continuation of the broader uptrend. Key Technical Level: 1.1640 This level marks the prior consolidation range and now acts as pivotal support. A corrective pullback toward 1.1640 followed by a bullish rejection would reinforce the bullish trend, targeting the next resistance levels at: 1.1830 – Near-term resistance 1.1900 – Minor swing high 1.1940 – Longer-term bullish objective On the other hand, a decisive daily close below 1.1640 would invalidate the bullish setup, shifting the outlook to bearish in the short term. This could trigger a deeper retracement toward: 1.1590 – Initial support 1.1530 – Key downside target Conclusion: As long as 1.1640 holds as support, the technical outlook remains bullish, favoring long positions on dips. A confirmed break below this level would signal a shift in sentiment and open the door to a corrective pullback phase. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
After breaking support level, Euro can continue to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. After forming an ascending channel, the price steadily moved higher and reached a local range area near 1.1850 points. However, once it entered this zone, the momentum faded. The market started showing signs of distribution, and we saw multiple attempts to push higher being rejected. This range acted as a cap, preventing further growth. Now, the price has pulled back and is trading near the current support level at 1.1700, which also coincides with the support area. This zone has already been tested several times, and each bounce has been weaker than the previous one. That suggests growing pressure from sellers. Looking at the broader structure, the price exited the previous triangle formation with an upward move, but now that impulse has exhausted. The rising wedge is also broken. Based on the behavior at resistance and the weakness around the current support, I expect a breakdown from the range and further decline toward TP 1 at 1.1500 points. If bearish pressure continues, the price could eventually reach the major buyer zone around 1.1345 - 1.1300 points. Given the weakening momentum, retests of support, and lack of bullish continuation, I remain bearish and anticipate a continuation of the downtrend. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by LegionQ8
2
EURUSD Technical Analysis**Chart Overview:** * **Pair:** EUR/USD * **Timeframe:** 30-minute * **Trend:** Bearish (Confirmed by lower highs, lower lows, and downward-sloping trendline) --- 🔍 **Technical Analysis :** **1. Downtrend Structure** * Price is consistently making **lower highs and lower lows**, confirming a **strong downtrend**. * A clear **descending trendline** is respected multiple times as resistance. **2. EMAs (7, 21, 50)** * All EMAs (blue, purple, black) are sloping downward. * Price is trading **below all EMAs**, signaling continued bearish momentum. * EMA 50 (\~1.1716) acts as a **dynamic resistance** zone. **3. Key Resistance Zones (Marked as R1 & R2)** * **R1 Zone (\~1.1710–1.1720):** Previous support now turned resistance. Could see rejection here. **R2 Zone (\~1.1730+):** Higher resistance, possibly tested if R1 breaks. Also aligns with EMA confluence. **4. Volume Analysis** * Volume shows **spikes on bearish candles**, which suggests **strong selling interest** at lower highs. * No significant bullish volume breakout so far. 📈 **Price Projection Path (Red Arrows)** * The red path illustrates a **bearish price projection**: * Price may pull back into **R1 or R2** * Likely to face **resistance & rejection** from those levels * Expected to make **lower highs and resume downside movement** * Potential drop toward **1.1670, 1.1650, and lower** 🟢 **Bullish Invalidator** * If price **breaks and holds above R2 (\~1.1735+)** with volume, it may indicate a **trend reversal or bullish correction**. --- **Summary:** * **Bias:** Bearish * **Resistance Zones to Watch:** * R1: 1.1710–1.1720 * R2: 1.1730–1.1740 * **Targets on Downside:** * 1.1670 * 1.1650 or lower * **Confirmation Needed:** Bearish rejection candles or failure to break R1/R2
Short
by Harry_Megat
1
EUR/USD Pulls Back from Yearly HighsThe EUR/USD pair has depreciated by nearly 0.5% over the past three trading sessions, favoring the U.S. dollar. At the moment, this appears to be the prevailing short-term trend, marking a new and steady bearish bias that has started to weigh on the euro. The current selling pressure has remained consistent, as the U.S. dollar shows renewed strength. The DXY index, which measures dollar performance, has been rising toward the 98 level, showing a solid recovery that could further intensify downward pressure on EUR/USD. Sustained Uptrend In recent weeks, the euro has shown consistent bullish momentum, maintaining a dominant uptrend on the long-term chart. So far, the recent bearish corrections haven’t been strong enough to break the structure, making it the key technical formation to watch in EUR/USD. However, the dollar’s current recovery appears to be gaining traction, and if that trend continues, it could put the existing uptrend at risk. Technical Indicators MACD: The MACD histogram is oscillating near the neutral zero line, suggesting that momentum from the moving averages remains balanced. If this continues, price action could consolidate into a more defined neutral range in upcoming sessions. ADX: The ADX line remains above the 20 threshold but is starting to slope downward, which, if sustained, may lead to a more neutral price structure in the near term. Key Levels to Watch: 1.18068 – Key resistance: This level marks the yearly high for EUR/USD. A breakout above this point could reinforce the current bullish trend. 1.15299 – Nearby support: A recent neutral zone. A breakdown here could trigger a stronger bearish bias and threaten the prevailing uptrend. 1.13177 – Distant support: Corresponds to a consolidation zone formed in May. If price drops to this level, it may activate a fresh and meaningful bearish trend. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
by FOREXcom
EURUSD sideways consolidation support at 1.1640The EURUSD currency pair continues to exhibit a bullish price action bias, supported by a sustained rising trend. Recent intraday movement reflects a sideways consolidation breakout, suggesting potential continuation of the broader uptrend. Key Technical Level: 1.1640 This level marks the prior consolidation range and now acts as pivotal support. A corrective pullback toward 1.1640 followed by a bullish rejection would reinforce the bullish trend, targeting the next resistance levels at: 1.1830 – Near-term resistance 1.1900 – Minor swing high 1.1940 – Longer-term bullish objective On the other hand, a decisive daily close below 1.1640 would invalidate the bullish setup, shifting the outlook to bearish in the short term. This could trigger a deeper retracement toward: 1.1590 – Initial support 1.1530 – Key downside target Conclusion: As long as 1.1640 holds as support, the technical outlook remains bullish, favoring long positions on dips. A confirmed break below this level would signal a shift in sentiment and open the door to a corrective pullback phase. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation