EURUSD: Weak Market & Bearish Continuation
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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EURUSD trade ideas
EUR/USD Gap Filled, 4H Structure Supports Bullish ContinuationEUR/USD has just filled the previous gap on the 4H chart and is now forming higher lows right below a descending trendline. Price is currently sitting above a key structural support zone.
In my view, if price can break above this trendline with confirmation, there’s a good chance we’ll see a move toward the 1.13732 resistance area. The recovery structure looks solid so far, and MACD is starting to turn bullish.
📌 Key Points of the Setup:
Gap has been filled ✅
Price holding above structure support
Target: 1.13732
Stop loss: below 1.11357
A confirmed breakout could lead to a bullish continuation
This is a personal trade idea, not financial advice. Please manage your own risk.
EUR_USD WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅EUR_USD has retested a
Resistance level of 1.1290
And we are seeing a bearish reaction
With the price going down so we are
Bearish biased now and we will be
Expecting the pair to go further down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD - Bullish opportunity for 23 pip short term trade
On the daily chart we can see that price is hovering around a significant support/resistance zone. This area has been touched twice 8-9 months ago, forming a double top reversal pattern, and continuing downward. Price broke this level about a month ago on high volume and was unable to sustain such high prices, resulting in a recent break below this significant support/resistance zone. Price then re-tested the zone and failed to confidently close above the zone, now lingering below it.
A trendline is placed connecting two recent lows, creating a 47 degree angle, signaling a healthy uptrend. This trendline is broken, in addition with the significant support/resistance zone also being broken, signaling a possible downtrend.
Zooming down into the 1 hour, we can identify a downward channel that price has traded within. The significant break below the channel on high volume signaled an exhaustion move. This could be interpreted as a selling climax and one could expect prices to begin rallying up from this point, for a possible reversal. However, prices returned into the channel and were unable to move above the SMA 200 or outside of the channel, thus the downtrend remains intact. Moreover, this exhaustion move broke the significant support/resistance level that we mentioned earlier, and because prices could not move above the SMA 200, this was a successful break of the level, retest of the level, and now continuation of the break.
From a day trading perspective, there is an opportunity to take a quick short term trade of 20-25 pips in a long position. A fair value gap exists due to the red candle at 10:00 AM on Friday so there is a liklihood that price will fill this gap and then proceed downward. The best moment to capitalize on a trade like this would be at market open around 6:00pm EST when spreads are lowest. The goal being to get into a trade that fills the fair value gap/targets the significant support/resistance zone, and setting a stop loss that grants a 1 to 2 risk to reward ratio. The expectation being that price will continue to rally and not make any downturns while it fills the gap. As always with any trade, there is a risk that it will not work and your stop will hit before the profitable move takes place.
Buying Opportunities on EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD held steady around the 1,1200 level and looks to be gearing up for the next move upward.
Keep an eye out for a higher low followed by a fresh push to the upside.
The first support level to watch is 1,1140 - a potential starting point for the next bullish movement.
The goal is to see the uptrend continue with new highs ahead.
Trade only in the direction of the main trend and always manage your risk carefully!
EURUSD 4H Short📘 Educational Caption for Your Trading Chat
🟥 EURUSD 4H Short Setup – Smart Money Play
I'm shorting EURUSD from 1.12616, after a clear Break of Structure and a return to a premium supply zone.
🔻 Price grabbed liquidity above equal highs and rejected off the descending trendline, giving strong bearish intent.
📉 Entry: 1.12616
🎯 Target: 1.11595
🛡️ Stop Loss: 1.12954
⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3.1
This is a classic Smart Money Sell Model — BOS → Return to Supply → Premium → Liquidity Sweep → Entry.
🚨 Note: Trade setups are for educational purposes only. Always do your own analysis and manage risk wisely.
EURUSD Potential Shorts - Technical Outlook 15 May 2025Since the beginning of May, 2025, the EURUSD pair has been bearish
Technical Analysis:
The pair is approaching a significant resistance/demand zone near 1.12430.
The level at 1.11755 is a LTF support zone that could hold short term.
The daily chart is finding resistance on the 25 EMA and the 1H is trading below the 200 EMA suggesting continued bearish price movement.
Wyckoff Method Perspective:
Distribution Phase: The recent price action suggests a possible re-distribution phase.
Spring Test: We haven't seen this happen yet however signs indicate a potential spring could happen with the evident liquidity pool and supply feed.
Fundamental Factors:
The U.S. dollar has been weakening recently due to:
Trade Tariffs and Tensions: New tariffs on Canadian, Mexican, and Chinese goods have disrupted trade, reducing demand for the dollar.
Inflation Fears: Uncertainty about inflation has eroded confidence in the dollar's value.
Federal Reserve Policy: Expectations of looser monetary policy or slower tightening have pressured the dollar.
De-dollarization Trends: Some countries are reducing reliance on the dollar, favoring other currencies or gold-backed alternatives.
Economic Slowdown Signals: Data suggesting a slowing U.S. economy, partly due to tariff impacts, has weakened investor confidence.
Trade Deficit: A growing U.S. trade deficit, now significantly larger, has further strained the dollar.
These factors have combined to drive a sharp decline, with the dollar hitting its worst month in years.
Conclusion:
I will be looking to short EURUSD until the trend reverses. Possible long term shorts may be on the horizon.
EUR/USD 1H AnalysisWhat we’ve got here on EUR/USD looks like a clean Elliott Wave setup shaping up.
There’s a strong 5-wave move up that likely forms Wave 1, followed by a simple ABC correction — that gives us Wave 2.
Now price is reacting from that C point, and this could be the beginning of Wave 3, which is usually the most powerful part of the trend.
🟩 Entry Zone: 1.114 – 1.12
🎯 TP: 1.14
🛑 SL: 1.109
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
💡 Note: Always manage your risk and confirm with your own analysis before entering any trade.
Keep an eye on it — could be a solid setup if it confirms. Drop your thoughts if you're trading this too 👇
EUR/USD – BEARISH BIAS IN PLAY, IS A FAKEOUT COMING?EUR/USD – BEARISH BIAS IN PLAY, IS A FAKEOUT COMING?
🧠 Market Context:
After a technical rebound earlier this week, EUR/USD is now consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle. Despite buyers attempting a breakout, low volume and price action still below the 200 EMA indicate weak bullish momentum.
The DXY is recovering on expectations the Fed will hold rates higher for longer.
Meanwhile, the Euro lacks fundamental support as the ECB remains cautious with policy moves.
👉 Given the current technical setup, the higher probability scenario (70%) is a bearish breakout, continuing the dominant downtrend.
📊 Trade Scenarios for Today:
✅ High Probability – SITUATION 1 (70%):
Price breaks below the triangle’s base near 1.1185–1.1190 and continues lower toward the 1.1110 demand zone.
⛔ SELL ZONE: 1.1210 – 1.1220 (after minor retest of broken trendline)
🎯 TP: 1.1180 → 1.1150 → 1.1120 → 1.1100
🛑 SL: 1.1245 (above EMA200)
🚨 Lower Probability – SITUATION 2 (30%):
Price breaks out and closes firmly above the triangle and 200 EMA (~1.124x) → short-term bullish reversal.
🔵 BUY ZONE: 1.1250 – 1.1260 (only after confirmed breakout with volume)
🎯 TP: 1.1290 → 1.1325 → 1.1350
🛑 SL: 1.1215
🔍 Key Technical Levels & EMA:
Resistance (200 EMA on H1): ~1.1247
Major Support Zones: 1.1180 – 1.1150 – 1.1110
🎯 Execution Strategy:
Favor short setups unless a clear bullish breakout occurs above 1.1247 with strong volume.
Watch for a breakdown and retest below 1.1180 to confirm bearish continuation.
Avoid premature entries — let price come to your levels.
⚠️ News to Watch:
No major data today, but USD is still sensitive to Fed tone and macro headlines.
Keep an eye on Fed speakers later in the NY session for potential impact on dollar direction.
✅ Final Thoughts:
The triangle pattern is coiling tight, but overall momentum favors sellers.
Expect liquidity sweeps and volatility traps, especially around session transitions.
Stick to your plan, respect your levels, and let the market decide the breakout direction.
EURUSD: Growth Is Coming! Buy!Driven by the lower-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data, the EUR/USD exchange rate oscillated higher and broke through the 1.1200 threshold. During the North American trading session, EUR/USD rose 0.25% and traded near 1.1200, indicating that short-term bullish momentum is gradually strengthening.
The EUR/USD has successfully broken through the psychological resistance level of 1.1200, forming a strong upward breakout pattern. The MACD indicator shows a golden cross formation, with the histogram turning from negative to positive, signaling a shift in momentum to bullish. In the short term, EUR/USD is expected to continue its upward momentum, with the primary target being the previous high of 1.1230. If this level is effectively breached, it could challenge the 1.1250–1.1275 area.
For support levels, 1.1180 serves as a key short-term support, followed by the 1.1150 zone.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
EURUSD Just Landed in the Killzone — Bounce or Breakdown?🔥 EURUSD 15-Min SMC Precision Play — May 14, 2025
Here’s a sweet Smart Money sniper entry on EURUSD, caught right as price tagged a powerful triple confluence zone:
📊 1. Structure & Momentum
Recent bullish momentum created a weak high around 1.12660
Retracement follows with strong bearish pressure
Price lands exactly at a previous OB, Fair Value Gap, and the 61.8% fib retracement
🧱 2. Confluence Breakdown
🔴 Fair Value Gap (FVG): Unfilled imbalance tapped
🟣 Order Block (OB): The last down candle before bullish rally
🟡 61.8% Fibonacci Level: Price kissed the golden pocket
This stacking creates a high-probability reversal zone
🎯 3. Trade Plan
Entry: Around 1.12160
SL: Below 1.12090 (under 70.5% fib)
TP: At 1.12660 targeting previous weak high
RRR ≈ 1:6 — optimal asymmetric reward play
🔄 4. Management & Outlook
Watch for reaction on the 50% level at 1.12300
Break of market structure above 1.12400 = confirmation
Scaling out advised at midline levels with stop-loss trailed manually
🧠 Smart Money knows this is where the liquidity pools live. You're not late — you're patiently positioned where the institutions hunt.
🎯 Drop a “📍” in the comments if you're watching EURUSD
🎥 Follow for more sniper setups like this one — @ChartNinjas88
Why I think EURUSD will sell this week...Technical AnalysisHey Rich Friends,
Happy Monday! I wanted to share my analysis on EURUSD and why I think it will sell. This is only a technical analysis so please check the news and cross-reference your own charts. Here is what I am looking at:
- Momentum has picked up for the sellers after the swing high was hit. This means a downtrend has started and is picking up.
- The market structure was broken on the downside on M15 and H1. There was a retest and previous support became resistance.
- The stoch is facing down, both lines have crossed below 80, slow line (orange) is above the fast line (blue) which is a bearish confirmation for me.
Additional information:
- I will wait for both lines of the stoch to cross below 50 to confirm the down trend.
- I will use previous highs as my SL and previous lows as my TPs.
Good luck if you decide to take this trade, let me know how it goes.
Peace and Profits,
Cha
EURUSD: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.11806 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.12047.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD Technical Analysis.This image is a trading chart for the EUR/USD currency pair on the 1-hour (1h) timeframe, published on TradingView. Here’s a breakdown of the key elements:
1. Current Price: The price is around 1.12121, showing a slight increase of +0.34%.
2. Trading Zones:
The green zone indicates a potential bullish target area, with a possible price target around 1.12874.
The red zone at the bottom shows a stop-loss area, with a critical support level at approximately 1.11641.
3. Chart Analysis:
There is a consolidation area (black rectangle), suggesting a potential breakout.
The projected upward arrow indicates a bullish movement, suggesting that if the price breaks above the consolidation, it might continue to the upside.
4. Trading Plan:
The plan seems to be to buy on a breakout above the consolidation zone with a target at the upper green level.
Stop loss is placed below the lower red zone to manage risk.
Would you like an analysis of potential scenarios or trading strategies based on this chart?
EURUSD Approaches Key Resistance After Strong BounceThe 1.1050–1.11 support zone held EURUSD almost like a textbook example. Still, it is too early to say the retest has failed and that the main direction is now definitively upward. You can check our earlier post here:
In the short term, the bounce and breakout above 1.12 were strong. However, bulls should remain cautious as the main resistance is now within reach. The 1.1275–1.1295 zone is the key short-term resistance, in our view. This area includes a former key horizontal support level, the short-term downtrend line, and it also marks the midpoint of the April 21 to May 13 retreat.
Unless this zone is broken, EURUSD could start to lose momentum. The 1.12 level may now act as a pivot between the 1.1150–1.12 support area and the 1.1275–1.1295 resistance range.
Liquidity Sweeps Explained — Master This Key Price Action ConcepUnderstanding liquidity sweeps is essential for avoiding traps and trading with smart money. A liquidity sweep happens when price briefly breaks a key level, triggers stop losses, attracts breakout traders, and reverses direction.
Institutions use this tactic to hunt orders and create liquidity for big moves. Focus on these sweeps around strong support/resistance zones to improve your precision.
DeGRAM | EURUSD testing the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● Euro rebounded from the channel mid-line and reclaimed the purple corrective trend-line; that switch from resistance to support confirms a bull-flag breakout.
● Fresh upside is opening above 1.1280 (prior swing cap). Clearing it exposes the channel top / horizontal hurdle at 1.1380; measured move of the flag aligns with 1.1550.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● FXStreet notes US April leading-index fell for a 25th month, pulling 2-yr yields off highs, while Yahoo Finance reports German PPI turned positive m/m, limiting ECB-cut bets and lending bid to the euro.
✨ Summary
Buy 1.122-1.128 ; objectives 1.138 → 1.155, invalidate below 1.108.
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First target reachedEURUSD just hit the first target we identified yesterday.
The next resistance levels are 1,1358 and 1,1456.
The goal remains a continuation of the uptrend and a break above the previous high at 1,1573.
At current levels, a pullback or consolidation is possible before the next move up.
Long-term results come from consistency and confidence in your strategy!
EUR/USD – Daily Time Frame AnalysisEUR/USD – Daily Time Frame Analysis
The Euro is gaining strength against the US Dollar, driven by recent positive economic data from the Eurozone and increasing speculation that the European Central Bank may delay further rate cuts. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is under slight pressure due to softer U.S. inflation expectations and a more cautious tone from the Federal Reserve, contributing to short-term bullish momentum in EUR/USD.
On the technical side, EUR/USD on the daily time frame has broken a major resistance level at 1.2200. We observed a previously formed double top and a descending trendline with three touches, confirming the significance of this key level. Following the breakout, accumulation has begun and buyers have stepped in with long positions. Price briefly retraced, triggering stop-losses below the liquidity zone — a typical liquidity grab.
Currently, we are waiting for price to break above a minor key resistance. Our area of interest is at 1.13300. Risk is managed below the liquidity zone at 1.10070, and our target profit is set at the next minor key resistance around 1.23530.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. As always, wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see, not what you feel.
EURUSD/M15
💫 The Euro structure is bearish in the higher time frame, while we have a bullish trend in the intermediate time frame.
👈 According to the marked zones on the chart, if the price returns to the green zone and we see a trigger, we can enter a sell position targeting the lower green zone.
👈 Given the bearish structure of the higher time frame, we anticipate further decline. However, for lower targets, we will wait for the price's reaction to the lower zone, which will confirm the trend change in the intermediate time frame.
⚠️ Please note that if you enter a sell position, your first target should be the lower green zone.
⚠️ Be cautious: If the price touches the lower green zone without returning to the upper zone and then moves back up, the upper zone is invalidated, and no further positions should be taken in that area.
#Eurusd/M15