EURUSD is showing signs of trend reversal with higher lowsEURUSD is showing signs of trend reversal with higher lows, It may continue its bullish trend due to fundamental swift.
EURUSD trade ideas
4H EURUSD IDEAUsing Elliot and Fib
Everything is on the chart
High Hour Time Frame
So be patient the price will reach there
If you are long, exit at neckline at 61.8% Fib then open a Short and target 100%-123%
Goodluck
EurUsd- A nice bullish setup with 1.06 targetLike most major pairs, EUR/USD experienced a challenging final quarter of 2024, with the price dropping approximately 1,000 pips following the double top at 1.12.
The start of 2025 saw a further decline, breaking below the 1.0350 support level and reaching a low of 1.0180.
However, the market quickly reversed after this low.
On Monday, a strong Bullish Engulfing candlestick formed, reclaiming the 1.0350 support level.
Yesterday, this support was confirmed again, leaving a continuation Pin Bar on the daily chart. Adding to this bullish picture, the price also broke above the falling trend line, signaling a well-structured bullish setup.
Currently, the bulls have the upper hand. If the price manages to break above the horizontal resistance at 1.0440, the path should be clear for a rise toward the 1.06 zone.
In conclusion, buying on dips appears to be the ideal strategy, with invalidation of this setup occurring if the price falls below 1.03.
EUR/USD(Bearish Structure Holds as Price Rejects Key Resistance)The EUR/USD remains confined within a descending channel, where price consistently reacts to both its upper resistance and lower support boundaries. Recently, the market showed signs of bullish momentum following a dominant downtrend, rebounding from a key support level near 1.01873. This led to a dominant uptrend, pushing the price towards 1.05226, where it faced strong resistance at the upper boundary of the channel.
This rejection suggests that sellers remain in control at higher levels, likely leading to a retracement towards 1.04385. If selling pressure continues, the price could move lower to 1.03484 and possibly 1.02502. However, a breakout above 1.05226 would indicate a shift in momentum, with the next resistance levels at 1.06026 and 1.06364.
For now, as long as the price remains within the descending channel, the overall bearish bias remains intact, with a preference for short positions unless a clear breakout occurs.
Euro To Fly SoonEUR/USD remains in corrective mode, accelerating its recent breakdown below the 1.0500 support level, though it manages to hold onto daily gains amid a mild recovery in the US Dollar.
ICT/SMC Trade Idea 4h EURUSDICT/SMC Trade Idea 4h EURUSD, confirmations on lowertime frames before entery to buy from FVG/OB
EUR/USD SELL $$$
Today we have important news for Europe and America and this makes trading a little more difficult for today. The Euro has reached its daily resistance area and liquidity has gathered the Asian ceiling. Now we have to wait for the breakdown of the last 15-minute uptrend downwards. In the order block area formed, the factor of the breakdown of the 15-minute area. We wait for the confirmation of 5 or 3 minutes to the 1-hour support areas and the Asian floor and 1-hour liquidity. Save profit on each of these areas. Because there is a possibility of a return to the top.
FOLLOW FOR MORE DAILY ANALYSIS.
EURUSD 22 Jan 2025 W4- Intraday Analysis - ECB Lagarde speechThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 22 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings.
Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook.
US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT)
🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme)
2️⃣
🔹After the Bearish BOS, price pulled back to the Swing EQ (50%) tapping into a Daily and a 4H Supply that caused a Bearish CHoCH and forming a Supply that failed and created a bullish INT Structure.
3️⃣
🔹As price reached the Bearish Swing Extreme, if we are going to continue bearish, this is the area that I prefer to be short from. Also note that after the Bullish iBOS, price pulled back to the INT Structure EQ (50%) but didn't mitigate the 4H demand and just reacted from the previous INT structure range.
🔹With the current PA, there is a high probability that price will take out the Bearish Swing High to fulfil the Daily/Weekly requirement for a pullback. More LTFs development required for a clear direction.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT)
🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme)
2️⃣
🔹INT Structure turned bearish yesterday after failing to break the Bearish Swing Strong High.
🔹Price pulled back after the Bearish iBOS and swept the liquidity above the Strong INT High.
3️⃣
🔹As mentioned in the 4H analysis, with the current PA there is a high probability that the Swing High will be broken but still no confirmation and technical is all pointing for bearish moves.
🔹My technical expectations still bearish till we have a Bullish BOS.
EU - SellInitiating a sell position on EUR/USD after the breakdown of the trendline, confirmed by a 4-hour candlestick pattern.
EURUSD Trade Execution EURUSD Trade Execution
Price was delivering to a discount in Asia coming into London. At midnight Price comes into a FVG and creates equal lows. At 2 price take the key equal lows and in a deep discount, hinting that Price would gravitate to the 50% and NWOG.
ICT Model 2022 occurred at 2.
-Liquidity taken
-In a discount market
-Price was in a FVG
-Price was below the midnight opening-in a discount and expecting a bullish day in London
-FVG for price to run to
-inside the macro time of 2
This is my model all factors lined up
Great trade great execution.
Eurusd currently in asian range currently forming asian range, it'll take out the high, then drive down for New York session
EUR/USD : Approaching Critical Demand Zones! (READ THE CAPTION)By reviewing the #EURUSD chart in the three-day timeframe, we can see that the price has currently reached a very important demand zone, and the probability of a price reversal from this level is high! However, note that I personally have another scenario in mind, which is that after an initial short-term rise in the current area, the price will decline again to the very important demand zone of 1.005 to 1.007 , and then, with a suitable trigger in this area, we can look for an attractive BUY position !
All key levels and important zones have been marked on the chart! If you have any questions, be sure to ask, and I will try to respond as soon as possible!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURUSD: short term stop before the parityEURUSD: short term stop before the parity
The US inflation data was in the market focus during the previous week. It was a missing puzzle for the current period, for the investors' sentiment in terms of the next Feds move. Inflation rate in December was standing at 0,4% for the month, in line with market expectations, same as inflation on a yearly level at 2,9%. The core inflation in December was 0,2% for the month and 3,2% on a yearly basis. As for other macro indicators posted during the previous week, the Producers Price Index in December was standing at 0,2% for the month and 3,3% for the year. Both figures were below market expectations. Retail sales in December were higher by 0,4% compared to the previous month, a bit lower from market estimate of 0,5%. The number of building permits in the US was lower by 0,7% on a monthly basis in December, while housing starts were higher by 15,8% for the month. Industrial production increased in December by 0,9% for the month and 0,5% on a yearly basis.
The full year GDP growth in Germany is -0,2% in line with market expectations. Industrial Production in the Euro Zone was standing at 0,2% in November, bringing total IP at -1,9% on a yearly basis. Inflation rate final for December in Germany is 0,5% for the month and 2,6% for the year. Figures were in line with market expectations. Inflation rate final in the Euro Zone in December was 0,4% for the month.
Supported by lower than expected inflation figures, the US Dollar continued to strengthen during the previous week. The lowest weekly level of the currency pair was 1,018 on one occasion. However, the majority of deals were conducted around the level of 1,028 level, while the highest weekly level reached was at 1,034. The RSI continues to move modestly above the oversold market side, since November last year. The moving average of 50 days continues to strongly diverge from its MA200 counterpart, without an indication of potential slowdown.
In a week ahead, there is no scheduled release of currently significant macro data which could potentially move the market toward one side. However, it should be considered that the market will closely monitor the inauguration of the new US Administration, where some volatility might emerge. In this sense, Monday, January 20th should be closely watched. As per potential eurusd moves, charts are showing potential for a short term support line at 1,20 to be tested in the coming period. This level does not represent a significant one, when looking at the longer chart frame, but only a short term stop before the eurusd parity.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Producers Price Index for December in Germany, ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for January in Germany, HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash for January in Germany, and the Euro Zone;
USD: Existing Home Sales for December, Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for January,
UPDATE ON EUR/USD ANALYSISEUR/USD 4H - Back with an update for you all, as you can see the analysis I sent out on this market yesterday around 11am has played out just as we wanted it to.
I am now sitting on my hands waiting patiently for price to trade us down and into the Demand Zone below deeming us a valid entry. As you all know an entry will come from a penetration and a rejection to the upside.
The trade above is running + 56 pips. (+ 3.5%) 3.5RR
A big well done to anyone who shorted this market yesterday afternoon after the analysis that was sent out, I will be waiting now for price to trade us down and into a valid area of Demand before trading long.
We want to see that penetration, rejection to the upside and for price to deliver us with some relevant breaks to the upside suggesting the end of the correction and the start of the next impulse.
EURUSD Time 30 minutesHello.
Starting today, I will publish the Euro-Dollar trend on this page every 30 minutes
Short on EUR/USD After RejectionHello traders! Welcome to a new EUR/USD analysis on the 1-hour timeframe. As you can see, the price has been respecting this ascending channel, but we are now seeing signs of a potential breakout to the downside. I have marked a strong resistance zone that has rejected the price, and now we are waiting for confirmations to enter a short position.
The entry price for this trade is 1.04136, with a target set around the support zone at 1.03377, while the stop loss is placed just above the resistance at 1.04674. Always remember to manage your risk properly before taking any trade.
If you found this analysis helpful, don't forget to like the idea and follow me on TradingView for more real-time updates! Share your thoughts in the comments, and let's discuss the best strategies together. See you in the next analysis!
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading in the forex market involves significant risk, and you should carefully assess your financial situation and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor if needed. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly!
EUR/USD - Possible Retracement SetupThe EUR/USD is trading in an ascending channel on the 15-min timeframe, with clear higher highs (HH) and higher lows (LL). The recent rejection near 1.0528 suggests a possible move toward channel support at 1.0397.
Trading Plan
Short (Sell):
Entry: Near 1.0528 rejection.
Target: 1.0397 (channel support).
Stop Loss: Above 1.0535.
Long (Buy):
Entry: Around 1.0397 (support).
Target: 1.0528.
Stop Loss: Below 1.0385.
Disclaimer:
This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
EUR/USD - High Probability Trade SetupLooking at this chart price is appearing Bearish but I have other beliefs. As you can see on a Monthly TF you can notice a clear Elliots Wave 1-5 Pattern Followed by this current breakout.
Typically Liquidity will sit higher and will remain untouched after breakout as shows in this graph, I believe we have seen a large swing point being at a Phycological Level and now on smaller time frames we are seeing Bullish movements.
To confirm this Theory on the Daily we have noticed the previous Bullish movment took out Swing High Liquidity and is extremely Oversold. Price will be falling but to where..? We have creating a Change Of Character and unless this changes im now looking for Buy positions. We are creating Higher Highs in the 4H and breaking previous structure points.
On the Chart I have market out key levels being OTE zones, Discount areas and Liquidity all being lower than the current price suggesting this pullback period will inverse this imbalance before pushing us into Higher Highs once again
Will be adjusting our Entry Models as price action moves
Good Luck to all Traders who follow along
EURUSD 4H TIME PRICE FORECAST 🚀 EUR/USD Breaks Resistance on 4H Chart – Bullish Momentum Alert! 🚀
The EUR/USD pair has broken its resistance level, backed by strong bullish momentum. The 4H timeframe with EMA50 indicates a bullish trend confirmation!
📍 Entry Level: 1.04427
🎯 Target 1: 1.06272
🎯 Target 2: 1.06836
Stay sharp and monitor this move closely for potential opportunities!
#ForexTrading #EURUSD #TradingSignals #EMA50 #BullishTrend
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EURUSD,Long,4hentry: current price
take: 1.05860
stop loss: 1.04100
Breakout of the key horizontal level 1.0460 confirmed.
Additionally, a clear breakout of a falling wedge provides a strong bullish signal.
A second confirmation comes from the breakout of a key resistance, reinforcing the bullish bias.
LONG🚀
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Trading Signals for EUR/USD buy above 1.0376 or sell below 1.046The EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.0450, ab0ve the 200 EMA, and above 5/8 Murray with a bullish bias.
On the H4 chart, we can see that the euro has continued its rise since it sharply broke the uptrend channel, but is now showing consolidation. Therefore, EUR/USD is likely to reach 6/8 Murray at 1.0498 in the next few days and could even reach 7/8 Murray at 1.0620.
Below the 21SMA and below 5/8 Murray, the outlook could turn negative for the euro. So, EUR/USD could return below the bearish channel to reach 4/8 Murray at 1.0253. The price could even fall towards the low of 1.0131.
The indicator is showing an overbought signal. Hence, after a technical correction in the next few hours, the euro could resume its bullish cycle. in the meantime, we will look for opportunities to sell below 1.0457 with the target at about 1.0360.
Euro Rises to 1-Month High as ECB Decision NearsEuro Appreciates as ECB Decision Looms
The Euro has climbed to $1.05, its highest level in over a month, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar after President Trump softened his stance on universal tariffs and called for an immediate interest rate cut.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
The pair is showing strong bullish momentum, having broken above the pivot level at 1.0470. Despite this, there is a chance of a short-term retest of the pivot level before the price pushes higher toward 1.0530 and 1.0605.
For a bearish reversal, the price must break and sustain below 1.0437 with a 4-hour candle close. If this occurs, the next downside targets will be 1.0367 and potentially 1.0288.
Trend Outlook
Bullish Trend: Above 1.0469
EURUSD Technically Outlook
EUR/USD Technical Analysis:
- Daily Chart:
- Resistance around 1.0390 is turning into support.
- A close below 1.0392 would bring bears into the market, with targets around 1.0271.
- H4 Chart:
- 1.0394 is a key support level.
- A close below 1.0394 would signal bearish momentum, targeting further downside.
- Alternatively, watching for a bullish push with potential targets around 1.0510.
- Target:
- Aiming for 100 pips, depending on price action at key levels.
