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Euro H4 | Overlap resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.1263 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 1.1395 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 1.1081 which is an overlap support that aligns close the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
EURUSD May 13 Trade ExecutedEURUSD May 13 Trade Executed Premarket Analysis & Narrative logic *Friday Price Asia swings low to sell side. London retraces Thursdays delivery. NY session retraces to sells off. *I suspected for Sundays delivery to take the equal lows and a deeper sell off *Sunday delivery to Asia price retraces the previous range to 50% and consolidates Expected a expansion cycle to occur-time to look for the sell off set up *Admittedly these consolidation ranges burn me, I go in too early or too late, too eager. *Cross reference GBP it did not take its key lows tipping its hand thats where GBP would go *DXY consolidated in the top side of FVG tipping its hand to seek higher prices Asia Prices retraces in the .618 range appears to be breaking down coming into London. 2 macro price swings up-judus swing 2:30 creates a swing low and takes the minor buy side equal highs 2:31 energetic displacement candle-good sign 2:35 creates a FVG and breaks the swing low 2:37 is model 2022 entry but Im not in a Macro so I waited for more info 2:51 enter into a first presented FVG candle 1:56 Price knocked me out at my TP-equal lows First target equal lows also 1 standard deviation I saw the candles at 3:15 and felt it would run to the 2 standard deviation but my balls are not big enough yet when it drops like that. It basically scared me! WOW! great delivery. Great analysis and cross reference of DXY and GBP to support me. What I learned Trust your morning analysis and stay out of the noise-minute charts. The minute candles really mess with me as my emotions get jared and put doubt in my head. Im pressing DEMO buttons! I was cautious and almost did not take this trade, due to selling in a discount logic. Very happy with this trade. Holding for second deviation when I saw the candle formation was a retracement is a take away.
by LeanLena
EUR/USD Short Opportunity – Rising Wedge + Retest + TargetThis technical setup on EUR/USD (1H timeframe) highlights a potential high-probability short opportunity based on a combination of price action, chart patterns, and key structural levels. The pair is showing signs of weakening bullish momentum and preparing for a bearish continuation. 🔎 1. Pattern Analysis: Rising Wedge Formation The primary pattern visible is a Rising Wedge, which is traditionally a bearish reversal formation. It’s defined by: Higher highs and higher lows, but both trendlines are converging, suggesting weakening bullish control. Volume (not shown here) typically decreases within a rising wedge, further confirming a potential breakout. This wedge formed after a previous sharp bullish recovery, acting as a continuation structure that often reverses. In this case, the price formed multiple touches on both wedge boundaries, enhancing the reliability of the pattern. 🧱 2. Key Structural Zones: Minor Resistance Zone (~1.1270–1.1285): Clearly marked on the chart with a blue shaded zone. Price has reacted from this level multiple times, validating it as a supply area. The most recent attempt to break above this level failed, further confirming seller dominance. Consolidation Zone (highlighted in yellow): Prior to the wedge’s formation, price entered a consolidation phase. Consolidation often precedes a breakout or a trend reversal. In this case, it provided a base for the rally that formed the wedge. 🔁 3. Breakout and Retest: Price has broken below the lower support line of the rising wedge. This breakout is a bearish signal and suggests the pair may now be ready for a stronger downside move. The price appears to be retesting the broken wedge support, which is a classic confirmation move before continuation. Retests of broken structures often offer low-risk, high-reward entry opportunities. 🎯 4. Trade Plan and Setup: Entry Zone: Watch for bearish rejection or candle confirmation on the retest of the wedge support turned resistance. Stop Loss (SL): Positioned just above the resistance zone, at 1.12887, protecting the trade against false breakouts or reversals. Take Profit Levels: TP1 – 1.10649: This level is a strong support zone based on previous price action and structural significance. TP2 – 1.09670: The full measured move from the height of the wedge. This also aligns with historical support and psychological round number proximity (1.10). 🧠 5. Confluence Factors: Technical Pattern: Rising wedge = bearish. Support/Resistance: Multiple reactions to both the resistance zone and wedge trendlines confirm market memory. Price Action: Break + retest = ideal entry confirmation. Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable, especially with conservative TP1 and aggressive TP2 levels. Macro Context (optional): If posted during news week – potential USD strength based on rate expectations, NFP, or inflation. ⚠️ 6. Risk Management Tips: Use a position size that aligns with your account risk tolerance (1–2% rule). Wait for confirmation (bearish engulfing candle or rejection wick) before entering. Always be prepared for invalidation. If price closes above the resistance zone, this idea is voided.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSD is in a Downside DirectionHello Traders In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today EURUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D16 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D16 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅4H 50 EMA ✅Intraday 15' order blocks ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD Reversal? Key Levels to Watch NowA reversal candle is forming on the weekly chart. Watch 1.1270 for confirmation of a short-term trend shift in EURUSD. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
by ThinkMarkets
Eur usd bais sell side The EUR/USD pair currently presents a bearish bias, driven by a combination of eurozone economic weakness and relative dollar strength. Key technical indicators suggest downward momentum, with the pair trading below key moving averages and showing lower highs on the daily chart. Macroeconomic factors such as hawkish Fed sentiment, persistent inflation in the U.S., and weaker-than-expected eurozone data support the sell-side outlook. Traders may look for short opportunities on pullbacks toward resistance levels, with close attention to upcoming ECB and Fed statements for confirmation.
Short
by silarock123
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 15, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is holding near 1.12000 in Thursday's Asian session, recovering the day's losses as the euro (EUR) gains momentum ahead of the preliminary Eurozone gross domestic product (GDP) report for Q1 2025 to be released later in the day. The euro is being bolstered by growing confidence in its role as a reserve currency. Analysts at Capital Economics noted that the single currency is now in its strongest position in years and is closing the gap with the US dollar (USD) in global reserves. This shift is partly due to the policies of US President Donald Trump, which are seen as undermining the traditional appeal of the USD as a “safe-haven currency”. Further boosting the euro's reserve status was Germany's move to loosen fiscal restraints to boost defense and government spending, sparking additional demand for the currency. Meanwhile, European Central Bank (ECB) officials continue to emphasize the need for further interest rate cuts amid growing confidence that U.S. tariff measures will not significantly boost inflation in the eurozone. While interest rate cuts usually have a negative impact on the euro, the currency has so far remained resilient. EUR/USD is also finding support from a softer US Dollar as markets remain cautious amid continued, albeit slightly diminished, trade uncertainty. Attention now turns to upcoming US data releases, including retail sales and the Producer Price Index (PPI). Adding to the broader context, speculation is growing that Washington may favor a weaker dollar to boost its trade competitiveness. The Trump administration has argued that an overvalued dollar puts U.S. exporters at a disadvantage against competitors with weaker currencies. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.11900, SL 1.11400, TP 1.12600
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR/USD Stages Rapid Roundtrip1.1200 is the key level to watch for traders, with price action around it likely to provide better guidance than the barrage of conflicting macro takes doing the rounds right now. If the price remains below it, establish shorts with a stop above it for protection, and vice versa if the opposite occurs. Even with Tuesday's snapback, the edge still leans slightly bearish after last week’s break of uptrend support. That move flagged rising downside risks, and little has changed since. RSI (14) and MACD both point to waning bullish momentum, remaining locked in downtrends that could produce firm bearish signals if they persist. The 50-day moving average is an obvious hurdle for bears to overcome on the downside. If it were to be broken, it opens the door for a run towards support at 1.0900 and the 200-day moving average. If the price is able to push back above 1.1200 it would put resistance at 1.1276 and 1.1380 on the menu for longs. With a quieter data calendar on Wednesday, let the price action guide you on how to best proceed. Good luck! DS
by FOREXcom
EUR/USD – 15Min Breakdown | Major Supply Rejection After a strong rally into the 1.12543 supply zone, EUR/USD has been clearly rejected, showing signs of short-term weakness. Let’s break down the levels to watch and how I plan to trade this setup. --- Chart Breakdown: 1. Supply Zone (1.1245 - 1.1255): Heavy selling came in as price tapped this key supply area. This zone has historically acted as a strong resistance and we’re seeing that play out again. Multiple rejections confirm its validity. 2. Immediate Support (1.11836): This level acted as a base before the recent breakout. If price breaks below here, it opens the door for deeper retracements. 3. High Demand Zone (1.11079 - 1.1136): This orange zone represents strong previous buying interest and is also aligned with a high-volume area. Bulls may return here. --- Bearish Plan (Short Idea): If momentum continues bearish: Entry: On a break + retest below 1.11836 TP1: 1.1136 TP2: 1.11079 SL: Above 1.1255 (supply rejection) Bullish Scenario: If price holds above 1.11836 and forms bullish structure, watch for a bounce back toward the supply zone. But for now, momentum favors sellers. --- Key Fundamentals to Watch: USD strength driven by Fed commentary Eurozone economic data Risk sentiment across markets --- Let’s discuss! Do you think EUR/USD will revisit the 1.11000s this week, or are bulls preparing a surprise? Drop your thoughts and setups below! --- #EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #SmartMoney #SupplyAndDemand #ForexTrading #PriceAction #TradingView #EURUSDAnalysis
Short
by FrankFx14
Euro jumps as Eurozone core CPI risesThe euro is sharply higher on Monday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1250, up 0.79% on the day. Eurozone headline inflation was confirmed at 2.2% y/y and 0.6% m/m in April, unchanged from the preliminary estimates. The core rate was also confirmed at 2.7% y/y and 1% m/m. Services inflation rose to 3.9% from 3.5%. The European Central Bank will be pleased that inflation was unchanged in the final April release but remains concerned about services inflation, which remains persistently high. The ECB trimmed its key rate by a quarter point to 2.25% last month and meets next on June 5. The markets have priced in another rate cut, as the ECB looks to take advantage of stable inflation and lower rates in order to boost economic growth. The ECB can be expected to be cautious with its rate path and continue its data-driven approach. There is much uncertainty surrounding President Trump's tariffs, which has made it difficult for the ECB to make inflation and growth projections. What is clear is that eurozone growth has taken a hit from the tariffs and the outlook and the outllook for global growth has been revised downwards. The damage from the tariffs could be mitigated if the US and China can reach an agreement which removes the tariffs betweeen them. The uncertainty surrounding US trade policy has also pushed the Federal Reserve into a wait-and-see stance, despite Trump's loud calls for a rate cut. The Fed held rates at this month's meeting and is widely expected to stay on the sidelines again in June. The Fed is waiting for more clarity on the tariff front, but any surprises from inflation or employment data could have a signifcant impact on rate policy.
by OANDA