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Euro / U.S. Dollar

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EURUSD trade ideas

SMC Precision Short on EURUSD | SMT + Liquidity Grab = Clean Set📉 EURUSD 15M | Smart Money Concept (SMC) Trade Idea 🔍 Market Structure & Bias: - High Timeframe POI (1H): Price tapped into a 1H Supply Zone, indicating potential short setups aligning with HTF bias. - Break of Structure (BOS):Clean BOS to the downside confirms market intent shifting bearish. 🧠 Smart Money Logic : - Liquidity Grab: Price swept liquidity above the equal highs and immediately rejected the 1H supply zone. - Refinement: On the 15M, an entry block (OB) formed right after the SMT - Mitigation: Price mitigated a lower timeframe demand and then gave an impulsive move down confirming intent. - Entry: Entered short at the mitigation of the refined 15M supply zone. - Stop Loss: Above the recent high (liquidity sweep). - Target: TP1:At the internal liquidity low (marked green @ 1.13152). TP2:Final target at external liquidity below swing low @ 1.12637 Trade Details : - 📍 Entry: 1.1372 - 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.1391 - 🎯 Take Profits: TP1: 1.13152 TP2: 1.12637 Thanks for your time..
Short
by Naren_2410
Skeptic | EUR/USD 4H Range Breakout: Key Long & Short TriggersEUR/USD on the 4-hour timeframe is currently trapped in a consolidation box, where a breakout above the ceiling or below the floor could provide excellent trading opportunities. I’m Skeptic , and in this analysis, we’ll dive into EUR/USD across multiple timeframes to identify key long and short triggers. Stick with me until the end for a complete breakdown! 🚀 Daily Timeframe: Uptrend Context 🟢 On the daily chart, EUR/USD remains within an uptrend channel , maintaining a bullish major trend. Recently, after hitting the channel’s upper resistance, the pair corrected toward the midline, a critical support zone within the channel. However, the reaction at the midline lacked strong bullish momentum, leading to a 4-hour range consolidation . This could signal the end of the correction, potentially setting the stage for a continuation of the downmove toward the lower channel boundary. 4-Hour Timeframe: Range Dynamics 🔍 On the 4H chart, EUR/USD is oscillating between 1.13904 (resistance) and 1.13153 (support) . A key observation: after the initial bounce from the 1.13153 support to 1.13904, subsequent tests of this support failed to push back to 1.13904. This indicates waning buyer strength at the 1.13153 support, increasing the likelihood of a breakout below. Additionally, while bullish candles in this range are larger, we’re seeing smaller, frequent green candles, suggesting buyer exhaustion within the box. For traders eyeing a short setup , this weakening support at 1.13153 offers a compelling opportunity. You can take on slightly higher risk by placing a sell-stop order below 1.13153 instead of waiting for a confirmed breakout candle (this is my personal approach). A short trigger would be validated by a break below 1.13153, with RSI entering oversold as a strong confirmation. Short targets: 1.12692, with a potential extension to 1.12006. For a long setup , a breakout above 1.13904 could signal a resumption of bullish momentum, targeting the upper channel boundary on the daily chart. Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering long to avoid false signals. DXY Correlation: Additional Confirmation 📈 Let’s also consider the US Dollar Index (DXY). After a recent rally, DXY has entered a time-based correction, visible as a pullback to a descending yellow trendline. A break below DXY’s support at 99.195 would reinforce our EUR/USD long setup, while a breakout above the trendline and 99.876 would strengthen our EUR/USD short setup. Both scenarios offer sharp price movements with attractive risk-to-reward (R/R) ratios, making these triggers highly actionable. Final Thoughts 🙌 Thanks for joining me in this detailed EUR/USD analysis! I’m Skeptic, and I share daily forex and crypto insights. If you found this useful, please follow for more content! 🔥
by SkepticWise
1
EUR/USD Slides to 1.1350 Amid USD Strength & ECB Dovish Signals📌 Daily Market Summary: EUR/USD Slides to 1.1350 Amid USD Strength & ECB Dovish Signals EUR/USD declined toward 1.1350 on Friday as the US Dollar gained strength, driven by easing tensions in the US–China trade standoff. Reports suggest Beijing may suspend additional tariffs on some US goods. Despite the dip, the euro remains firm against most major currencies except North American ones. ECB members Holzmann and Rehn highlighted ongoing structural weaknesses in the Eurozone and increased risks of inflation undershooting the 2% target. Olli Rehn suggested that the current conditions justify a rate cut as early as June. 📊 Technical Outlook EUR/USD dropped to 1.1350, but the broader trend remains bullish, with the 20-week EMA still pointing higher around 1.0885. 💼 Trading Plan 🟢 BUY ZONE Entry: 1.12725 Stop Loss: 1.12000 Take Profit: 1.13165 🔴 SELL ZONE Entry: 1.14775 Stop Loss: 1.15300 Take Profit: 1.14350 📉 Caution: With political news and central bank guidance shaping sentiment, traders should closely monitor reactions at key levels and stick to their risk management rules.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
EURO - Price can drop to support level and then start to move upHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently, price started to decline inside falling channel, where it reached support line firslty and then bounced up. Price grew to the resistance line of the channel, which coincided with $1.0950 level, and then in a short time fell back to support line. Next, Euro made an upward impulse, thereby exiting from channel, and also soon broke $1.0950 level. After this, price rose a little and then made correction, after which coincided to move up inside pennant. In the pennant pattern, the price broke $1.1320 level and later reached the resistance line, after which corrected. Now, I think that the Euro can exit from pennant, fall to the support level, and then bounce up to $1.1510 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
3
DeGRAM | EURUSD Holding in the Demand Zone📊 Technical Analysis EUR/USD is still capped by $1.16 and has slipped back under its trend-line, keeping bearish divergence alive; sub-1.145 trade leaves $1.134 then $1.12 exposed. 💡 Fundamental Analysis Euro-area confidence and PMI hover near stagnation amid fresh U.S. tariff threats. U.S. payrolls jumped 228 k in Mar, and Fed officials favour steady rates, keeping yields and USD firm. ✨ Summary Eurozone softness versus robust U.S. data widens policy divergence, aligning with the technical rejection at $1.16. A daily close below $1.134 should quicken a slide toward $1.12. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 24 April 2025 - EURUSD reversed from support area - Likely to rise to resistance level 1.1510 EURUSD currency pair recently reversed up from the support area between the key support level 1.1300 (which also reversed the price at the start of April) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from March. The upward reversal from this support area stopped the earlier short-term ABC correction iv from the middle of April. Given the clear multi-month uptrend, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 1.1510, which stopped the earlier impulse wave iii.
Long
by FxProGlobal
Why Should You Care About ER?🚀 Hey Traders! Have You Ever Felt Lost in the Chaos of Market Fluctuations? What if I told you there’s a powerful tool that can help you cut through the noise and give you a statistical edge to predict SUPPORT and RESISTANCE movements with confidence? Let me take 5 minutes of your time to introduce you to something that could transform your trading game: Expected Range Volatility (ER) . What is Expected Range Volatility (ER)? The Expected Range (ER) is a framework that helps traders understand how much an asset is likely to move within a specific timeframe. Based on CME market data and Nobel Prize-winning calculations, price movements within the expected volatility corridor have a 68% probability of staying within those boundaries. 💡 Key Insight: When the price approaching certain levels, there’s a 68% chance the price won’t break through those boundaries. This means you can use ER as a powerful filter to identify more precise entry and exit points for your trades. Why Should You Care About ER? When I first discovered the ER tool, it felt like stumbling upon a gold mine in the trading world. Here’s why: It’s free and available on the CME exchange’s website. It’s underutilized —95% of traders don’t even know it exists. It provides statistical clarity in a world full of uncertainty. I remember the first time I used ER in my analysis—it completely changed the way I approached intraday trading. Now, I never make a trade without checking the ER data. It’s become an essential part of my strategy. How to Use ER in Your Trading 1️⃣ Input the Data: Head over to the CME website, plug in the necessary parameters, and get your ER values. 2️⃣ Set Boundaries: Use the ER range as a guide to set potential support and resistance levels. 3️⃣ Filter Trades: Only take trades that align with the ER framework to improve your precision. A recent example is the Japanese yen futures market. Don't be confused by the fact that we take futures levels, it can easily be plotted on a spot chart for forex market (the dollar/yen). Limitations to Keep in Mind While ER is a powerful tool, it’s not a crystal ball. Here are some limitations: Market Dynamics: Short-term price movements can be unpredictable due to sentiment, news, or economic events. ER provides a statistical estimate, but it doesn’t guarantee outcomes. Assumptions: The formula assumes price movements follow a log-normal distribution , which may not hold true in all market conditions. Your Turn: Are You Using ER in Your Strategy? 💭 Here’s the million-dollar question: Are you leveraging the power of Expected Range Volatility in your trading? If not, why not start today? 💬 Share your thoughts in the comments below: Do you currently use ER or similar statistical tools? Want to Dive Deeper? If you’re ready to take your trading to the next level, don’t miss out on our all-in-one resource designed to help you master tools like ER and other valuable sources to gain market edge! 🔥 Remember: No Valuable Data = No Edge!
Education
by ClashChartsTeam
EUR/USD – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Imminent EUR/USD is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, indicating potential for a strong breakout. Price action has tightened, and a decisive move is expected soon. • Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the triangle resistance could trigger a move toward the key resistance zone at 1.15183. • Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the triangle support may lead to a decline toward the green demand zone between 1.12500–1.13000. Key Levels: • Resistance: 1.15183 • Support: 1.12500–1.13000 (Demand Zone) • Deeper Support: 1.11321 Upcoming economic events (EUR and USD news) may increase volatility — wait for confirmation before entering trades. Watch for volume spikes and strong candlestick patterns to confirm the breakout direction. Trade Idea: • Buy on bullish breakout retest • Sell on bearish breakdown retest Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always manage risk accordingly.
Long
by Profx001
EUR/USD: Potential Downside Mouvement !!Price broke below the rising wedge support and retested the broken structure. Following the rejection, price continues lower, respecting bearish market structure. Focus is on the demand zones below as potential targets. If momentum holds, we can expect further downside toward the next liquidity areas. Not financial advice. #EURUSD #Forex #FX #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #Liquidity #SmartMoney #BearishTrend #ForexTrading #ChartAnalysis #WedgeBreak #SupportResistance #ForexTrader #SwingTrading
Short
by MrWolf10
Trading EURUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 22/04/2025We've executed 4 trades so far this week using the Judas Swing Strategy and in this write up, we're breaking down exactly how each one played out. We didn't get any trading opportunities on Monday but Tuesday gave us textbook setups on both FX:EURUSD and OANDA:AUDUSD , and if you’ve been following this series, you know the Judas Swing Strategy thrives where liquidity lies and manipulation gives way to opportunity. Tuesday’s price action on FX:EURUSD opened with familiar signs: ranging structure and liquidity building on both sides. By 09:05 EST, price made the typical fakeout a sharp move to the downside that swept the lows and trapped breakout sellers. This gave us confirmation to look for the real move, the reversal. Price broke structure to the upside, creating a Fair Value Gap. As expected, price retraced into that imbalance, and we executed the buy. Entry: 1.14677 SL: 1.14559 TP: 1.14913 Take profit was cleanly hit with minimal drawdown. No stress. No second-guessing OANDA:AUDUSD printed a similar setup. The fake move to the downside swept liquidity below an earlier low and shifted structure to the upside. We entered buy once price returned to fill the Fair Value Gap The trade nearly hit TP but reversed just shy of it, eventually stopping us out. Entry: 0.63868 SL: 0.63770 TP: 0.64064 It stung a little, but here's where our data-driven edge comes in. We follow a set-and-forget execution model because our backtesting shows that this approach works more in our favor than not. Situations like this will happen. Sometimes price dances around your TP before flipping. It’s part of trading The next day was a solid one using the Judas Swing strategy, this time across both OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD. Let’s walk through how the setups unfolded on Wednesday and why both trades played out almost identically in terms of narrative and structure. The session kicked off with a consolidation forming, setting up a clean range to be targeted. Liquidity had built up nicely above the highs and lows of the pre-market structure. Classic. As expected, once our session started, price punched higher, sweeping the buy-side liquidity above the early session range. This was our Judas move a strategic fakeout to trigger breakout longs and inject liquidity. But the key here is what came next. Price immediately stalled after the sweep and printed a clean break of structure to the downside. That shift was our clue that the buy-side move was done and the real selloff was likely on deck for OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD. Price pulled back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed during displacement, giving us a clean entry setup: Entry: 0.64130 SL: 0.64360 TP: 0.63669 As soon as we entered, the trade moved with conviction minimal drawdown and a smooth ride into target but the OANDA:NZDUSD couldn't hit TP and the trade is still running
by CleoFinance