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EURUSD trade ideas

EUR/USD: Bearish Pressure Remains as Key Support HoldsEUR/USD continues to trade within a narrow range after a sharp decline from the 1.051 resistance zone. The bearish momentum remains dominant as the US dollar maintains its strength, but buyers are still defending the key support area around 1.038. The euro’s weakness is primarily driven by disappointing economic data from the Eurozone. The PMI manufacturing indexes for Germany and France have continued to decline, signaling that industrial activity has yet to recover significantly. Meanwhile, the USD benefits from safe-haven demand amid rising geopolitical tensions and stable US economic data, which allows the Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain its cautious stance on interest rates. Looking ahead, Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report will be a major catalyst for EUR/USD. If the US labor market remains strong, the USD could strengthen further, putting more pressure on the euro. Conversely, if the data signals a significant slowdown, expectations for an earlier Fed rate cut will rise, potentially supporting a EUR/USD rebound. In the short term, the bearish trend remains intact, with 1.051 acting as a key resistance level that will determine whether EUR/USD can stage a recovery or extend its decline. Traders should closely monitor market reactions to upcoming economic data. What’s your take—will EUR/USD bounce back or continue its downward move?
Long
by Bullback_FX
Euro / U.S. DollarEuro Chart Update Hello dear traders, According to the DXY analysis, I have identified the suitable entry point for the Euro. Friends, please use the 15-minute timeframe for optimal entry, and be sure to pay attention to the reversal zones. You can even take advantage of these zones for minor fluctuations. Important Points: Support (4H): 1.03547 Imbalance: 1.03144 IFC 4H Candle: 1.03060 And finally, our main target is 1.01776. Thank you for your support. A very simple and clear chart has been drawn for your use. Wishing you all success! Fereydoon Bahrami A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex) Risk Disclosure: Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
Short
by fereydoon1199
EURUSD sell zone @1.0400 H1 chart analysisFrom the chart, the EUR/USD pair is showing a bearish pattern with a clear breakdown from a range. Here's a breakdown of possible trading opportunities: Analysis The price formed two peaks labeled TOP 1 and TOP 2, indicating a potential double top pattern. A range breakout has already occurred, signaling further downside movement. Retest (RTST) of the breakout level confirms resistance. Potential Entry Point Sell Entry: Around the 1.0400 - 1.0420 zone (if price pulls back for another retest). Confirmation: Wait for bearish rejection (such as a strong bearish candle or wick rejection). Target 🎯 Levels 1. First Target: 1.0300 (previous support level). 2. Final Target: 1.0200 (next major demand zone). Stop Loss Above 1.0450, beyond the range breakout retest zone. Would you like me to refine this setup with Fibonacci levels or additional confluence indicators?
Short
by Geroge_Fx
EURUSD: Bearish Wave Continues to Dominate!EURUSD continued its downward trajectory on Thursday, losing nearly 0.9% and slipping below the key 1.0400 support level for the first time in nearly two weeks. The decline was driven by strong USD buying pressure across the market. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) reclaimed the 107.00 level, reaching a fresh six-day high, supported by a modest uptick in both U.S. and German bond yields. The dollar’s strength reflects ongoing concerns over U.S. tariffs and fresh doubts about the health of the U.S. economy, following weaker-than-expected economic data in recent days. These factors have weighed heavily on EURUSD. From a technical perspective, the pair has broken below an ascending trendline, confirming a shift in momentum towards the downside. This reinforces the bearish outlook, as no clear bottom formation has been established yet. If EURUSD stages a recovery, it is likely to encounter resistance near the confluence zone of the EMA 34, EMA 89, and the newly formed resistance area, which could trigger renewed selling pressure. For now, the bearish bias remains intact, with further downside potential unless a decisive recovery above the resistance zone materializes.
Short
by Trader_LinaScalping
EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) daily timeframe with a bullish outlook.EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) daily timeframe with a bullish outlook. Chart Analysis: • The price is currently around 1.0467, showing signs of breaking above a key resistance zone (highlighted in red). • A bullish scenario is illustrated, where the price is expected to retest the breakout zone and then continue upward. • Key resistance levels are marked at 1.0680, 1.0791, and 1.0925, which could act as potential targets for a bullish move. • The overall structure suggests a possible trend reversal after a downtrend, with a move towards higher levels. Let me know if you need a deeper breakdown or specific details!
by Artiverma256
EURUSD 3-7 Mar 2025 W10 - Weekly Analysis- EU Rate - US NFP WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 3-7 Mar 2025 W10 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart Analysis Daily Chart Analysis 4H Chart Analysis Economic Events for the Week Market Sentiment The EUR/USD pair faces a slightly bearish bias this week, driven by key economic events, geopolitical risks, and trade uncertainties. Key Events to Watch: 🔹 ECB Interest Rate Decision (March 6) – Markets expect a 25 bps rate cut to 2.50%. A dovish ECB could pressure the euro, while any hints of a pause may provide support. 🔹 U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (March 7) – Forecast at +133K jobs, with unemployment steady at 4.0%. Weak data could weigh on the USD, while stronger payrolls and wage growth may boost it. 🔹 Trump’s Tariffs & Trade War Risks – New U.S. tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China take effect March 4, with potential auto tariffs on Europe looming. These policies favor the dollar by driving risk-off sentiment. 🔹 Geopolitical Tensions – U.S.-Ukraine relations deteriorated after a public Oval Office clash between Trump and Zelenskiy. Further instability could impact investor confidence and increase safe-haven demand for the USD. Trading Strategy: ✅ Bearish Scenario: A dovish ECB, strong U.S. NFP, and escalating trade risks could push EUR/USD down. ✅ Bullish Scenario: If the ECB signals a rate-cut pause and U.S. jobs data disappoint, EUR/USD may test 1.055–1.06 . Overall, the fundamental backdrop leans in favor of the USD, but volatility is expected, especially around the ECB and NFP releases. Traders should stay alert to geopolitical developments and tariff announcements that may shift sentiment. Weekly Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹Internal Bearish (Pullback Phase) 🔹In Swing Discount 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS) 3️⃣ 🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into Monthly Demand and the liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase. 🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicated that the liquidity was enough as per previous weeks analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS. 🔹Price pulled back after the Bullish CHoCH to the Weekly Demand formed and showed reaction after volatile week. 🔹With the previous week Bearish close, weekly is consolidating between 1.05xx and 1.02xx 🔹Still the recent Bullish Fractal and Demand holding but failed to break the high (1.0533) so there is a probability to target the low 1.0285/10 and could extend to continue the Bearish INT Structure with iBOS. Daily Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish tapping the weekly demand zone. 3️⃣ 🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone. 🔹With the mitigation of the Daily supply, price created a Bearish CHoCH signaling the end of the Pullback Phase of the INT structure and the start of the Bearish move targeting the Weak INT Low. 🔹Price failed for the 2nd time to close below the Weak INT Low after mitigating the Daily Demand formed from the failure to close below the Weak INT Low which triggered aggressive Bullish reaction and mitigating the Daily Supply Zone formed from the recent Bearish CHoCH. 🔹After Supply mitigation, price continued Bearish following the Bearish INT Structure continuation phase. 🔹With the Weekly is consolidating the Daily consolidation range showing that we are failing to continue Bullish and with the recent Bearish CHoCH we are back to the Bearish INT Structure continuation and we may target the Weak INT Low (At least 1.0285). 🔹Price could pullback to the recent Daily Supply before continuing down. 🔹Expectation is set to Bearish with cautious of the Liq. built above 1.05333 and the range we are in. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand) 🔹INT Bearish (Adjusted my INT structure to align with the previous Bullish move) 🔹Complex Swing INT Structure 2️⃣ 🔹As the Swing is Bullish, expectations were set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High and create a Bullish BOS after the Deep Pullback to the Swing Demand. 🔹During the Swing Bullish Continuation after the Deep Pullback, INT Structure kept holding Bullish to fulfill the Bullish continuation phase. 🔹With price reaching the Swing Extreme Premium zone and the expectation of breaking the Weak Swing High, price failed 2 times and with the 3rd attempt it created a Bearish iBOS. This indicated that the Swing INT structure is Complex and the Daily/Weekly TFs are still in play. 3️⃣ 🔹After the Bearish iBOS, we expect PB, there is no clear POI for price to initiate PB except the Liq. at 1.03730 which was swept on Friday and 1.03173 before mitigating the last clear 4H Demand. 🔹With the recent Bearish iBOS, the PB could start at anytime. The Liq. swept from 1.0373 could provide that PB otherwise we will continue Bearish till the clear 4H Demand (Which I doubt that it could provide the continuation) but with LTF shifting Bullish, we can follow that. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD Triangle Breakout Setup The price is forming an ascending triangle pattern, with a strong resistance level at the top and a rising trendline acting as support. A potential breakdown from this structure could lead to a bearish move. Key Levels: 📌 Resistance: 1.0580 📌 Support: 1.0440 Expected Scenario: 🔻 A rejection from resistance followed by a break of the trendline could trigger a drop towards 1.0400 and lower. 🔻 Watch for confirmation before entering short positions. Trading Plan: ✅ Wait for a clear breakout below the trendline. ✅ Look for bearish retest before shorting. ✅ Stop-loss: Above recent highs. ✅ Target: 1.0400 & below. 📉 Bearish Bias unless price breaks above resistance.
Short
by HAAADY
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SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: Primary Target - 1.06700 (or) Escape Before the Target Secondary Target - 1.08000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook: EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. ⭐🌟⭐Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis evaluates the economic indicators of the Eurozone and the United States, which directly influence the EUR/USD pair. 🌟Eurozone Economic Indicators: GDP growth is reported at 0.5% for Q4 2024, with recent data suggesting an expected increase to 0.8% for Q1 2025, indicating a potential recovery Euro Area Indicators. Inflation rate is at 3.0% for February 2025, expected to decrease to 2.2% by year-end, reflecting easing price pressures Euro Area Inflation Rate. Interest rates are at 2.5%, with the European Central Bank (ECB) likely to hold steady, given mixed inflation signals Euro Area Interest Rate. Trade balance shows a surplus of €10 billion in January 2025, driven by exports, though not sufficient to offset economic challenges Euro Area Balance of Trade. 🌟United States Economic Indicators: GDP growth is strong at 2.5% for Q4 2024, though recent projections suggest a slowdown to 2.0% for Q1 2025 United States Indicators. Inflation is stable at 2.0% for February 2025, within target ranges, but recent data shows slight upward pressure United States Inflation Rate. Interest rates are at 4.5%, with expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in September 2025, reflecting a dovish shift United States Interest Rate. Trade balance shows a deficit of $50 billion in January 2025, a persistent challenge but manageable with strong economic growth United States Balance of Trade. The narrowing interest rate differential, with potential Fed rate cuts and stable ECB policy, could support EUR strength, though US economic resilience remains a counterforce. ⭐🌟⭐Macroeconomics Macroeconomics encompasses broader economic factors influencing the pair: Global GDP growth is projected at 3.0% for 2025, according to recent forecasts, with mixed regional performances World Economic Outlook. Commodity prices are stable, with oil at $80 per barrel, impacting EUR due to the Eurozone's energy import reliance Commodity Markets Outlook. Stock markets show positive performance, with the S&P 500 up 5% YTD and Euro Stoxx 50 up 3% YTD, supporting risk-sensitive currencies like the EUR Global Stock Market Performance. Bond yields are declining, with the US 10-year yield at 3.5%, down from 4.0% earlier, suggesting lower USD appeal Global Economic Outlook. ⭐🌟⭐Global Market Analysis Global economic conditions play a significant role in currency movements: Geopolitical events, such as potential tensions, could boost USD as a safe-haven currency, though no major events are currently noted. Central bank policies are diverging, with the Fed expected to cut rates and the ECB holding steady, narrowing the interest rate differential Central Bank Policies. Commodity trends, with stable oil prices, have a muted direct impact, though energy costs affect Eurozone inflation. Stock market performance, with global indices up, suggests risk-on sentiment, potentially supporting EUR over USD Market Performance Analysis. ⭐🌟⭐COT Data and Positioning COT data provides insights into large trader positions, with recent reports showing: For euro futures, large speculators are net short, but recent data indicates a reduction in short positions, suggesting emerging bullish sentiment CFTC COT Report. Positioning shows that institutional traders are cautiously optimistic, with some covering shorts as the price approaches support levels. Key Insight: Reducing short positions in euro futures align with potential bullish momentum, supporting an upward move. ⭐🌟⭐Intermarket Analysis Intermarket relationships influence currency valuation: EUR/USD is positively correlated with stock markets; with global indices performing well, the EUR could benefit from risk-on sentiment Intermarket Correlations. Gold, trading at $1900 per ounce, slightly up, suggests a weaker USD, supporting EUR strength Gold Price Trends. Bond yields, with declining US yields, indicate lower USD appeal, potentially boosting EUR/USD Bond Market Insights. Key Insight: Positive correlations with stocks and gold suggest EUR could strengthen, while declining US yields support this trend. ⭐🌟⭐Quantitative Analysis Technical analysis provides insights into price trends: At 1.05000, EUR/USD is approaching key support at 1.0450, with resistance at 1.0600, based on recent charts EUR/USD Technical Analysis. Moving averages show the 50-day MA at 1.0550 and the 200-day MA at 1.0700, with the price below both, indicating a downtrend TradingView Analysis. RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 45, neutral, suggesting potential for a bounce if support holds Technical Indicators Guide. Key Insight: The pair is at a crucial support level, with technicals suggesting a possible upward reversal. ⭐🌟⭐Market Sentimental Analysis Market sentiment reflects trader positioning and expectations: Recent data shows mixed sentiment, with some traders expecting USD strength to continue, while others see potential for EUR recovery due to improving fundamentals Forex Sentiment EURUSD. Bank forecasts predict EUR/USD rising to 1.08 by year-end, citing Eurozone recovery and expected Fed rate cuts Currency Forecasts. Key Insight: Emerging optimism about the euro supports a bullish outlook, though caution remains due to recent USD strength. ⭐🌟⭐Next Trend Move Combining all factors, the next trend move for EUR/USD is likely upward: The pair is at a key support level (1.0450), and if it holds, could bounce back to test resistance at 1.0800. Potential catalysts include better-than-expected Eurozone data and Fed rate cut expectations, supporting EUR strength. Key Insight: The next move favors an upward continuation, with risks of further downside if support breaks. ⭐🌟⭐Overall Summary Outlook The EUR/USD pair, at 1.05000 on March 4, 2025, exhibits a cautiously bullish outlook. Key drivers include improving Eurozone fundamentals, with GDP growth expected to rise to 0.8% in Q1 2025 and declining inflation, narrowing the interest rate differential as the Fed is expected to cut rates by 0.25% in September 2025. Technical indicators suggest the pair is at a crucial support level, with potential for a bounce, supported by reducing short positions in euro futures and positive intermarket correlations with stocks and gold. Risks include persistent USD strength if US data remains robust or global risk-off sentiment boosts the USD. However, the prevailing trend points to a potential EUR appreciation in the near term. ⭐🌟⭐Future Prediction Trend: Bullish Details: The pair is likely to see an upward move, testing resistance at 1.0800 in the near term, driven by Eurozone recovery and expected Fed rate cuts. Risks include stronger-than-expected US data maintaining USD dominance, but current indicators suggest a reversal is imminent. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
Brenker block or Order Block + Inducement = Profits EverywhereHello everyone, happy new week and a happy new month of March to you all !!! First of, fundamentals are heavy on EURUSD this week, like really heavy. Coupled with the fact that this is non-farm payrolls week. (Fundamentals). Secondly, there was a market Structure shift last week which is signaling shorts. This setup overall has a stop loss of less than 35 pips from the breaker block but if you need a tighter Stop loss then you can use the other point of interest which is the order block i marked out. Use proper risk and money management and do not over-leverage your account. Most especially, do your own analysis !
Short
by LaBOSS_FX