EURUSD Don't let yourself be sucked into a fake push up. Remember, for a valid ChoCh it has to hit a major demand/supply zone first, on a higher timeframe. The move up started from 15th April and that's your demand zone. It has to go into that zone first, before it's going to push back up. I think it'll hit that zone, push up a little, before coming back down to take out the daily imbalance at 1.11713 area and THEN it will push back up to new highs.
The Fed and Economic Indicators Are Lagging The Federal Reserve (the Fed) and most mainstream economic indicators (like CPI, PCE, jobs reports, GDP growth) are inherently lagging tools. That means they reflect conditions that have already occurred, not what's unfolding in real-time. By the time inflation is reported, or job numbers are released, those changes happened weeks or months ago.
So when the Fed makes policy decisions (like raising or lowering interest rates), it’s responding to data that might already be outdated — like steering a car by only looking in the rearview mirror.
Markets React Before the Data Shows Anything When news drops — like Trump announcing new tariffs — markets don't wait for the next round of CPI or earnings to show the damage. Instead, they price in expectations immediately. These reactions are mostly emotional, speculative, or algorithmic — not grounded in confirmed data yet.
What we’re seeing now in the markets is less about hard numbers and more about:
Anticipation of inflation or supply chain issues
Fear of retaliatory actions
Shifts in global capital flow
Speculators jumping ahead of potential Fed responses
So What’s Happening Now? If markets are moving hard after tariff news, it's not because indicators have confirmed damage — it's because everyone’s bracing. It's knee-jerk volatility — traders front-running what they think is coming, even if the data hasn’t caught up.
In short: We're trading on vibes, not facts — at least not yet.
EURUSD 5M Supertrend broke from barish, ADX bullish strengthening, weak momentum. looks like a 5M support line, unlike last supertrend, maybe this one will give it a little space juice. this is not financial advice.
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EURUSD Don't let yourself be sucked into a fake push up. Remember, for a valid ChoCh it has to hit a major demand/supply zone first, on a higher timeframe. The move up started from 15th April and that's your demand zone. It has to go into that zone first, before it's going to push back up. I think it'll hit that zone, push up a little, before coming back down to take out the daily imbalance at 1.11713 area and THEN it will push back up to new highs.
