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EUR/USD_TODTOM - SWAP EUR/USD

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EURUSDTDTM trade ideas

Eurusd M_Tf analysis Eurusd - MTF Analysis Test of support : @ 1.16642, a slight breakout occurred, which could be interpreted as a stop-loss hunt. Additionally, there was a trendline breakout. Expectation : A potential pullback to around 1.11873, which is a resistance level that coincides with a double top pattern. This could also serve as a retest of the previously broken trendline. Continuation : After the pullback and retest, the uptrend could potentially resume, with a target of approximately 1.218628.
Short
by Goodnessawe
EURUSD JUNE MONTH DELIVERY & NFP week ideasEURUSD JUNE MONTH DELIVERY *June closes with a expansion/accumulation monthly candle *Price wicked to the Weekly SIBI from sept 2021 *Price expanded to come just below the parent range .79 Premium *Note since May 13 price has been in a buy program with little retrace *Price is delivering to a Premium market taking key equal highs last week June 27 DELIVERY *Thursday into Friday price consolidates *Asia takes minor equal lows *2 London macro expands to the buy side *small retrace *6 macro starts the expansion cycle to send Price to take equal highs *10 silver bullet price reverses Londons delivery taking minor sell side *14:00 macro Price retraces to close rebalancing NY am delivery *Price closes just above the 50 in a premium NFP WEEK IDEAS Deep premium with little retrace last week-over bought *I suspect that we could see a retrace/reversal beginning of NFP week *could we see price come to the current range 50 level 1.16037 *Note the EV is in a discount could price retrace to that target for the week June 30 IDEAS *Parent bias is bull stick to it this week *Sundays delivery Price could retrace to minor equal highs at the .618 *Note Dealers range is already 32 pips-setting up for a potential larger expansion day *watch out for a possible consolidation cycle Monday-typical profile is expansion but we will see with no news *Sundays delivery could consolidation *Watch for reaction at .618 at minor equal highs *see if we swing for higher prices in Asia to London and lower in NY for Mondays suspected delivery-read what the chart prints this is just an idea-its not my gospel
by LeanLena
EUR/USD 4H – Approaching Major Supply Zone | Potential Mid-Term EUR/USD 4H – Approaching Major Supply Zone | Potential Mid-Term Reversal Euro has extended its bullish rally into a historically strong supply/resistance zone around 1.17185 – 1.19774, which aligns with the previous rejection zone from mid-2024. Price is showing signs of slowing down near this upper boundary. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: Strong Supply Zone (1.1718 – 1.1977): A major resistance area that previously triggered sharp sell-offs. This zone is now retested after months of bullish recovery. Momentum Divergence Potential: Price has climbed aggressively, but with signs of exhaustion visible on the lower timeframe candles. Demand Zones Below: First support at 1.15998 Followed by deeper demand areas at 1.14990, 1.12850, and 1.11046 – all marking clean reaction zones. 📊 Trade Setup: Bias: Short (swing position) Sell Entry Zone: 1.17185 – 1.19774 Stop Loss: Above 1.19800 (above key supply zone) Take Profit Targets: TP1: 1.15998 TP2: 1.12850 TP3: 1.11000 🧠 Tactical Note: Watch for bearish confirmation (engulfing candle / structure break) before executing entries. A clean rejection from the supply zone could provide an attractive swing setup with a favorable risk-reward profile.
Short
by raksazatrader
More upside for EUHi traders, Last week EU started with a gap down. After the fill it swept the lows and after that it made the next impulsive wave up. So next week after the finish of the correction down we could see more upside. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the finish of the correction down and a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower time frame. After a small correction down you could trade longs again. If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
1
SMC Mechanical Entry Models✅ SMC Checklist: 1. Market Structure 🔹 Identify HTF Trend (H4 or H1): bullish, bearish, or range 🔹 Confirm Break of Structure (BOS) or Change of Character (CHoCH) on M15–M5 🔹 Look for lower highs/lows (downtrend) or higher highs/lows (uptrend) 2. Liquidity Zones 🔹 Look for equal highs/lows (liquidity pools) 🔹 Asian highs/lows — common targets during London/NY session 🔹 Recent internal range liquidity 🔹 Trendline liquidity — fakeouts often occur here 3. Premium & Discount Zones (PD Arrays) 🔹 Use Fibonacci from recent swing high to low 🔹 Look for entries at Discount (Longs) or Premium (Shorts) pricing 🔹 Ideal entries happen between 0.62–0.79 retracement 4. Supply & Demand Zones 🔹 Find fresh OBs (Order Blocks) that caused a break of structure 🔹 Use last bullish candle before strong drop (for short) or last bearish candle before strong rally (for long) 🔹 Confirm zone isn’t mitigated yet 5. Imbalance / Fair Value Gaps (FVG) 🔹 Identify large imbalanced candles (no wick overlap) 🔹 Ideal entries are inside the FVG aligned with direction 🔹 High probability if FVG is within OB or confluence with structure/liquidity 6. Confluences for Entry 🔹 Entry aligns with liquidity sweep or FVG/OB tap 🔹 Volume spike or rejection wick confirms interest 🔹 RSI divergence or exhaustion = bonus confirmation 🔹 Use M1/M5 for entry trigger after setup is formed on M15–H1 7. Entry Trigger 🔹 CHoCH or BOS on lower timeframe (M1-M5) 🔹 Confirmation with engulfing candle, FVG fill, or break/retest 🔹 SL below/above recent swing or OB boundary 8. TP/Exit Zones 🔹 TP1: After BOS/structure shift + partial 🔹 TP2: Next liquidity level (equal high/low or OB) 🔹 TP3: Opposite OB or major FVG 🔹 Adjust SL to breakeven after reaching TP1 9. Session Timing (Important) 🔹 Asian range → look for liquidity setup 🔹 London Open (3PM–6PM PH))→ manipulative move (liquidity grab) 🔹 NY Open (8PM–11PM PH) → continuation or reversal opportunity 🔹 Avoid high-impact news releases unless breakout 🔹 Use Forex Factory / MyFXBook for news calendar 10. Post-Trade Journaling: 🔹Screenshot HTF → LTF Setup (H4 > M15 > M1) 🔹Don’t skip journaling — it’s your #1 improvement tool.
Education
by jeniceinocentes
EURUSD – Short-Term Top Signal, Sellers Getting ReadyEURUSD has reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 1.17190 and immediately faced selling pressure. This zone previously acted as a strong reversal area, and with a rejection candlestick and a forming FVG, the risk of a downward correction is increasing. Currently, the price is moving sideways just below the high, forming lower highs — suggesting a possible distribution pattern before breaking the bullish structure. If price breaks below the FVG zone near 1.165–1.166, the move could extend toward the technical target at 1.15900 — aligning with the channel bottom and a historical liquidity area. Recent fundamental drivers: U.S. economic data remains strong (Jobless Claims, Core PCE) → supports USD strength The ECB remains cautious and hasn’t committed to further rate hikes → slightly weakens the euro
Short
by Rocky_trade_
Should we wait for a drop?Hello friends... In the currency pair (EUR to USD), the price has experienced good growth. As you can see, this growth has been sharp and there has been no significant correction to continue the trend. Perhaps we can expect the price to start correcting itself from the range specified in the image. But due to the trend change, the price has to correct and continue its upward trend again (the trend is still upward in the upper time frame). So in the coming weeks, you should expect a decline in the lower time frame. . I hope you have used our team's analysis well. You can follow our page to see more analysis.
Short
by Mahdi_norozi
EURUSD Sell, June 27HTF shows reaction from W/D Orderblocks with multiple Daily imbalances below as downside targets. While GBPUSD is also at a valid D OB, EU gives clearer confirmation on LTF. On LTF, price opened London above Asia highs (ideal for short setups) and showed 15m BOS into a 15m POI. We've tapped into a 5m Orderblock inside the 15m zone, followed by a clean 1m BOS. 📍Entry: 5m OB with SL above highs (tight 10 pip risk) 🎯 TP1: 1:3 (75% off) 🎯 Final TP: Below Asia low & Daily imbalance 📉 Risk: 0.25% (reduced it for more consistency) Confident setup — but if price rallies to the upper 5m OB and leaves without us, that’s part of the plan. No chasing.
Short
by sTax11
4
EURUSDShorting EUR/USD means you expect the euro to weaken against the U.S. dollar. In other words, you believe the dollar will gain strength or the euro will lose value — or both. Reasons traders might short EUR/USD: • The U.S. economy is performing better than the eurozone. • Interest rates are rising faster in the U.S. than in Europe. • Political or economic instability in the eurozone. • Investors seeking safety in the dollar during global uncertainty. How it works: You sell the pair (EUR/USD) first, aiming to buy it back later at a lower price — profiting from the drop in the euro’s value versus the dollar.
Short
by HavalMamar
2
EURUSD H4 I Bullish BounceBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.1631, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 1.1745, a swing high resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fib extension. The stop loss is placed at 1.1582, an overlap support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
EUR/USD Biases (Long, Short, and Today’s View)EUR/USD Trading Biases: Navigating Bullish Momentum and Key Resistance Zones This will be a concise market analysis essay (around 600–700 words) suitable for a financial audience, such as forex traders or analysts. Let me begin: EUR/USD Trading Biases: Navigating Bullish Momentum and Key Resistance Zones The EUR/USD pair, one of the most actively traded currency pairs in the forex market, has exhibited strong bullish momentum in recent sessions. As of June 26, 2025, the euro’s ascent against the dollar has brought it to a critical juncture, testing significant technical and psychological resistance levels. Traders are now weighing the potential for continued upside against growing signals of exhaustion and looming fundamental catalysts. Bullish Outlook: A Technically Supported Advance From a technical perspective, the bullish case for EUR/USD remains compelling. The pair is entrenched in a sustained uptrend, marked by successive breakouts above prior resistance levels and validated by daily and weekly closes above 1.1600. The current price action is converging on a crucial supply zone located between 1.1700 and 1.1900—an area historically known for triggering reversals but also pivotal in confirming trend continuation if broken convincingly. Technical indicators further bolster the bullish narrative. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), while approaching overbought territory, is still supportive of higher prices. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) displays a widening bullish histogram, and the Average Directional Index (ADX) confirms trend strength. Near-term resistance lies between 1.1680 and 1.1730, with potential for an extension to 1.1800 should the pair breach this upper band. On the fundamental front, improved German Ifo business sentiment data has injected optimism into the eurozone outlook. Additionally, easing geopolitical tensions and a broader risk-on sentiment in global markets have undercut the dollar's safe-haven appeal. Speculation over potential Federal Reserve rate cuts further dampens dollar strength, creating tailwinds for EUR/USD. Bearish Considerations: Resistance and Reversal Risks Despite the encouraging trend, caution is warranted. The area between 1.1700 and 1.1900 represents a major weekly order block (OB) resistance—territory where several past rallies have lost steam. Oscillators such as the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and RSI are showing signs of overextension, and the market is now vigilant for reversal patterns or signs of exhaustion. Fundamentally, while the recent Ifo data is encouraging, it remains below the key threshold of 100, reflecting lingering skepticism about the eurozone's full recovery. Moreover, upcoming U.S. economic releases, particularly GDP figures and jobless claims, could act as potential catalysts for a dollar rebound. Hawkish commentary from Federal Reserve officials could also tilt sentiment, especially if it dampens expectations of rate cuts. If EUR/USD fails to hold above the 1.1700–1.1730 resistance zone, a corrective move toward 1.1530–1.1500 becomes plausible. Deeper pullbacks could extend toward 1.1470 and 1.1390, especially if risk sentiment reverses or economic data surprises in favor of the dollar. Today’s View: Bullish with a Note of Caution For today, June 26, the prevailing bias remains bullish, yet increasingly cautious. The pair is testing the lower end of the 1.1700 OB zone. A decisive break and hold above this level would likely unleash further upside toward 1.1730 and 1.1800. However, overbought conditions and proximity to a known resistance zone suggest that traders should remain alert to potential rejection. Intraday strategies favor buying on dips above 1.1600–1.1635, with stops placed just below 1.1600 and targets set at 1.1700–1.1730. Conversely, short positions should only be considered if there is a clear rejection from the 1.1700–1.1730 area, with downside targets at 1.1530–1.1500 and stops above 1.1800. Conclusion The EUR/USD is currently at a pivotal inflection point. While the bullish trend is intact and supported by both technical and fundamental factors, the proximity to a major resistance zone introduces a layer of complexity. Traders must remain agile—ready to ride a breakout higher if confirmed, but equally prepared to pivot if the pair falters and signals a reversal. In markets like these, timing and confirmation are everything.
by HUGOF
EURUSD WEEKLY HIGHER TIME FRAME FORECAST Q3 W27 Y25EURUSD WEEKLY HIGHER TIME FRAME FORECAST Q3 W27 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order block identified ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT