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EUR/USD_TODTOM - SWAP EUR/USD

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EURUSD Sell SetupBy: MJTrading: EUR/USD has rallied into a significant resistance zone, approaching the upper boundary of a rising wedge/channel pattern. The price is now hovering around a key confluence zone, where trendline resistance and horizontal supply intersect ( 1.16300 —1.16500 ) There are to possible scenarios: 1) If the price Rejects directly from previous High 🔹 Position 1: Sell Stop @ 1.15915 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.6375 🎯 Take Profit: 1.5454 R/R:1 isk Level: Medium 2) If price tries to reach the boundary of the wedge or make a Fake breakout: 🔹🔹 Position 2: Sell Limit @ 1.16300 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.6930 🎯 Take Profit: 1.5000 R/R:2 Risk Level: Low 📌 This zone offers a high-probability reversal setup 📉 Why it Matters: Price action shows signs of exhaustion after a parabolic move. EMA structure is stretched, hinting at a potential pullback. Lets ZOOM OUT: Daily Chart: ZOOM IN: Stay disciplined, let price come to you, and manage risk. — #EURUSD #ForexSetup #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartPattern #FXTrading #ShortTrade #MJTrading #BearishReversal #PriceAction #SwingTrade #ForexIdeas #Trendlines #BreakoutOrFakeout #RiskReward
Short
by MJElahifx
Euro's Surge on USD Weakness – Is 1.20 the Next Stop?EURUSD: Euro's Surge on USD Weakness – Is 1.20 the Next Stop? Hello TradingView Community! The EURUSD pair is currently commanding significant attention with its strong upward momentum. 🌍 Fundamental Highlights: Euro's Tailwinds & USD's Headwinds The Euro has demonstrated notable strength, recently breaching the 1.17 mark to hit its highest level in over 3.5 years. According to ING, if this momentum holds, the next target could be 1.20, contingent on continued USD weakness. The US Dollar faces considerable pressure following news that President Trump intends to name a successor to Fed Chair Powell soon, sparking concerns about the Fed's independence. Such speculation often leads to expectations of a more 'dovish' monetary policy, weakening the USD. Adding to the Euro's support are the NATO agreement to increase defense spending targets to 5% and President Trump's seemingly "less aggressive" stance towards the EU. In summary: Should USD depreciation persist, not only the Euro but other asset classes might also attract capital inflows, particularly given the ongoing uncertainties surrounding inflation risks and monetary policy. 📊 EURUSD Technical Outlook (H4/M30 Chart): Our technical analysis of the EURUSD chart (image_b73298.png) confirms a clear and robust uptrend, characterized by successive higher highs and higher lows. The EMAs are in a bullish alignment, reinforcing this upward trajectory. Upside Targets (Potential BUY Zones): 1.17807: The initial potential target if the bullish momentum continues. 1.18458: A higher target representing the next potential resistance zone. Key Support Levels (Potential BUY Zones for pullbacks): 1.16070: A strong support level where demand could emerge after a correction. An implied intermediate support around 1.166xx (visually suggested by price action between current levels and 1.16070) could also offer buying opportunities after minor pullbacks. 🎯 EURUSD Trading Plan: BUY Zone 1 (Intermediate Pullback): Entry: 1.16600 - 1.16700 SL: 1.16450 TP: 1.16800 - 1.17000 - 1.17200 - 1.17500 - 1.17807 - 1.18000 - 1.18300 - 1.18458 BUY Zone 2 (Strong Support): Entry: 1.16070 SL: 1.15900 TP: 1.16200 - 1.16400 - 1.16600 - 1.16800 - 1.17000 - 1.17300 - 1.17600 - 1.17807 - 1.18458 SELL Zone (Consider only at upside targets with clear reversal signals): Entry: 1.18458 (This is an upside target, but also a potential resistance for selling if strong reversal signals appear). SL: 1.18600 TP: 1.18300 - 1.18000 - 1.17807 - 1.17500 - 1.17200 - 1.17000 - 1.16800 ⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor: Fed Leadership News: Any official announcements regarding the Fed Chair succession will trigger significant USD volatility. Eurozone Economic Data: Upcoming inflation, GDP, and employment reports. ECB Statements: The European Central Bank's stance on monetary policy. Geopolitical Developments: Major tensions or agreements can influence market sentiment. Trade smart and always manage your risk effectively! Wishing everyone a profitable trading day!
Long
by MMFlowTrading
Overextended Rally into Resistance ZoneEUR/USD has pushed into the upper boundary of the Keltner Channel on the 4H timeframe, indicating a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. Price is showing signs of overextension with Heikin Ashi candles losing strength near a key resistance zone. 📉 Short Position Setup: Entry: 1.17220 (near upper Keltner resistance) SL: 1.17581 (above recent highs and volatility buffer) TP: 1.15220 (targeting mid-channel and previous structure support) 🔻 Bearish Confluence: Price rejecting upper Keltner band Potential for mean reversion after strong rally Weakening bullish momentum in candle structure Confirmation with further bearish price action or divergence signals would strengthen the case for downside continuation.
Short
by VisionaryInsights
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 26, 2025 EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair continues to rise to 1.16800 during Thursday's Asian session. The US dollar (USD) is weakening against the euro (EUR) as investors worry about the future independence of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Final data on US GDP growth for the first quarter will be in focus later on Thursday. US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that he is considering three or four potential candidates to replace Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. According to the Wall Street Journal, Trump may consider former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh, National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. Other candidates include former World Bank President David Malpass and Fed Governor Christopher Waller. This raises questions about a potential weakening of the Fed's independence and a possible decline in its authority, which undermines the dollar and creates favorable conditions for the major currency pair. Across the Atlantic, European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are concerned about the economic outlook due to Trump's tariff policy and geopolitical risks. Earlier this week, ECB policymaker François Villeroy de Galhau said that despite current conditions, further rate cuts are still possible. Statements by ECB policymakers may put pressure on the single currency in the near term. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.16750, SL 1.16300, TP 1.17500
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
1
EUR/USD 30-MIN ANALYSISThis EURUSD setup showcases a clean bullish continuation scenario following a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS) and a sharp rally driven by momentum and liquidity imbalance. After sweeping a key low (XXX), price impulsively broke structure to the upside, confirming a potential shift in market intent. A retracement is now expected to mitigate the Buy-Side Imbalance (BISI) zone. BOS & SSS (Short-Term Structural Shift): Confirmed bullish intent. Imbalance (BISI): Price left behind an unfilled imbalance zone a likely magnet for a pullback. Re-Entry Zone: (BISI) provides a high probability area for long re-entry. Upside Targets: Target 1: 1.15483 – intermediate structural level. Target 2: 1.16158 – premium supply / liquidity target. #EURUSD 30M Technical Analysis Expected Move.
Long
by TradeTacticsreal
EUR/USD Ready to Explode or Collapse? All Eyes on June 26 🔺 Gann Trend Analysis The red upward sloping line is a long-term Gann trendline connecting major swing lows since late May. According to Gann principles, trendlines from major pivots are often tested again before a major reversal. The annotation “a trend should be tested again” aligns with the Gann philosophy: after price rallies away, it often returns to test the base trendline. The cluster of vertical blue time cycle lines (June 26) implies an important Gann time window, potentially a reversal point. 📐 Channel & Price Structure A small ascending wedge/channel is drawn in red, signaling rising but weakening momentum. Price is now approaching key resistance zones marked in yellow and green (1.1640, 1.1650, 1.1660, 1.1683). These resistance zones suggest potential exhaustion, making the upper boundary of the channel a sell zone. 🔻 Bearish Scenario & Projections Blue arrows indicate the expected bearish path after hitting resistance. The reversal target is the Gann trendline retest zone around 1.1500–1.1520. A break below this Gann trendline could trigger deeper drops in alignment with time-based cycles. ⚠️ Conclusion This setup implies: Bearish divergence between price action and time cycles. Resistance clusters = likely reversal point. Retest of the long-term Gann trendline is highly probable.
Short
by AngleHunter
2
EURUSD For A Long BuyThe EURUSD broke out to the previous resistance level of 1.16317 The next resistance level is 1.22147. weaknesses and instability in the US Economy and its involvement in the Iran-Israeli war, which has resulted in uncertainty (geopolitical risk) among investors. A Bullish flag pattern on the Daily Timeframe confirmed the break from the previous support, and fueled by the statement above, the Bullish flag pattern will continue to the resistance level 1.22147. The 1.24162 level could serve as a resistance level if 1.22147 were to turn into support. The highest level, 1.39710, is a level to watch out for, in the long term, if buying continues. Conclusion: Current objective is a Buy to 1.22147.
Long
by AliDapshima_01
1
EUR/USD 3-Year Highs Nears Fibo ResistanceThe Fibonacci retracement drawn from the 2021-2022 move in EUR/USD has continued to produce inflections in the pair. It caught the high in 2023 at the 61.8% retracement of 1.1275. And then last year, it set the low in April that led into a vigorous bounce into the end of Q3. Along the way, the 50% marker of that major move was a sticking point producing multiple inflections on both sides of the pair. And then as EUR/USD came into 2025 sliding lower, it was the 23.6% retracement that came into play to catch the lows at the 1.0200 handle in January. In February, bulls held a higher-low just above that price and by March, prices were ready to jump-higher. More recently it was the 61.8% retracement at 1.1275 that was back in the picture and with EUR/USD breaking out now to fresh three-year-highs, the look goes up to the next level in the Fibonacci sequence at 1.1686, which is the 76.4% retracement from that same major move. Notably, EUR/USD is back into overbought territory on weekly RSI and there's also a rising wedge here, often approached with aim of bearish reversal. All that said, bulls are still making the push but if we do see a USD turn stage around quarter-end or the start of Q3, I think EUR/USD remains one of the more attractive venues to seek that out. Meanwhile, both GBP/USD and USD/CAD remain of attraction for USD-weakness to continue. - js
by FOREXcom