Eurusd M_Tf analysis Eurusd - MTF Analysis
Test of support : @ 1.16642, a slight breakout occurred, which could be interpreted as a stop-loss hunt. Additionally, there was a trendline breakout.
Expectation : A potential pullback to around 1.11873, which is a resistance level that coincides with a double top pattern. This could also serve as a retest of the previously broken trendline.
Continuation : After the pullback and retest, the uptrend could potentially resume, with a target of approximately 1.218628.
EURUSDTDTM trade ideas
should be going up after correction ends.cant be certain when it comes down to correction waves, it might be here 1.1211 it might go little bit more down around 1.1152 or 1.10 but when it ends it will go for higher than 1.17 also correction wave lenght will give us a better idea where the tp should be so i will keep my first buy position and will add when i am certain when next impulse wave started.
EUR/USD 4-Hour Chart (OANDA)4-hour performance of the Euro/US Dollar (EUR/USD) currency pair, sourced from OANDA. The current exchange rate is 1.17152, reflecting a 0.12% increase (+0.00136). The graph shows a recent upward trend, with a highlighted resistance zone around 1.17187, where the price has approached but not consistently broken through. The timeframe spans from late June to early July 2025, with key price levels marked on the right side ranging from 1.14500 to 1.18000 USD.
The Day Ahead Friday, June 27 – Market Focus
A packed session lies ahead with key inflation, growth, and sentiment data releases from major global economies, alongside speeches from central bank officials that could shape rate expectations.
United States:
Markets will closely watch the May PCE inflation report—the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation—alongside personal income and spending figures. A cooler-than-expected core PCE could fuel speculation of rate cuts later this year. Also on tap: Kansas City Fed's June services activity, providing a regional pulse on service-sector momentum.
China:
May industrial profits will offer further clarity on the pace of China's manufacturing rebound, with implications for commodity-linked assets and Asian market sentiment.
Japan:
A comprehensive data dump includes June Tokyo CPI—a key inflation proxy—alongside the May jobless rate, job-to-applicant ratio, and retail sales. These will be crucial for BOJ watchers amid ongoing policy normalization debates.
Europe:
France releases a triple dose of data—June CPI, May PPI, and consumer spending—while Italy publishes June consumer and business sentiment figures, plus May PPI and April industrial sales. At the Eurozone level, June economic confidence will help assess regional momentum amid ECB’s dovish pivot.
Canada:
The spotlight is on April GDP, with the economy's performance key to shaping BOC rate expectations. A weak print could cement the case for further easing.
Central Banks:
Speeches by Fed’s Williams, Hammack, and Cook, along with ECB’s Rehn, may provide clues on future policy paths, especially if they comment on recent inflation data or labor market dynamics.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EUR/USD - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
Key Confluence SUPPORT & DEMAND @ 1.16000 area
Potential correction before bullish continuation
"LONG" Targets:
1] 1.17445
2] 1.18700 - MAJOR LIQ. LEVEL
Keynote:
I will not sell the correction; I will wait for bullish confirmation within key support
area on at least 1HR + 4HR timeframes.
Only after a strong breach of support & demand area (1D candle body),
will I consider looking for any short setups.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
EUR/USD Rally Continues – 1.18000 in SightHi Everyone,
As outlined in our analysis last week, we anticipated a continued move higher toward the 1.16564 and 1.18325 levels, provided price held above 1.14483.
Price respected this level, and EUR/USD extended its rally, reaching our first key target at 1.16564 and pushing above 1.17400 — marking the highest level since February 2022.
A successful bounce from above 1.16680 or slightly lower at 1.15998 would offer near-term support for a potential retest of the 1.17400 zone. A confirmed break above this resistance could pave the way for a move toward 1.18000, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance.
We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
Market next move
🔁 Disruption of the Current Analysis
1. False Breakout Scenario
The chart assumes a bullish move breaking resistance before a bearish reversal.
Disruption: This could be a false breakout, where the price appears to break above resistance but lacks strong volume and momentum. Traders get trapped long, and the price quickly reverses below resistance, invalidating the bullish leg entirely.
2. Stronger Uptrend Continuation
Despite calling for a bearish target, the overall trend appears strong with higher highs and higher lows.
Disruption: Instead of a retracement, EUR/USD could break through the resistance zone convincingly, possibly reaching 1.1750–1.1800, supported by:
Increasing volume
Bullish candles closing above resistance
No signs of bearish divergence on RSI/MACD (if added)
3. Fundamental Factors
The chart ignores macro data.
Disruption: If upcoming EU economic data is stronger than expected, or if US data disappoints, the euro could strengthen further.
Upcoming events with the euro and US flags suggest possible volatility.
4. Volume Contradiction
Recent bullish candles are supported by strong volume, suggesting accumulation.
Disruption: If smart money is accumulating positions, this would support further bullish continuation, not reversal.
EUR/USD RALLY CREATES NEW BUY ZONE!Hey traders so continuing to watch the Euro.
Don't you just love it when a trade plan comes together and everything goes as you expect?
Don't get too excited normally we only get our forecasts right around 50% of the time!
However this one is working out well so far so now where to from here?
The Trend is your Friend until it bends or breaks.
Same plan wait for the pullback or profit taking from this rally when it drops buy again at the trendline. Im not going to say it's always this easy but you don't need indicators to draw a straight line and connect 3 bars.
Trading can be simple or complicated the easier we keep it the better imo.😁
Place stop below trendline or support as US Dollar Continues to weaken this trend should continue to move in our favor.
If Bearish I normally don't recommend counter trend trading because it can be difficult. So unless I see the US Dollar Index Bottom I don't think the trend will have any major changes.
Another thing if you are still long you can enter more positions on this next pullback. That way you can build a larger position in a trending market.
It's like playing the waiting game be patient and eventually she will come to you!
Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Good Luck & Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
Cycle Low Confirmed – Strong Upside Move Starting!Here's what I notice:
- Price has **bounced very strongly** from the cycle low.
- You timed it very nicely — the upswing started just as the cycle predicted a bottom.
- If the cycle timing continues, this move could extend for several candles into the next cycle top.
**Summary of the New Setup:**
✔ Cycle low confirmed with bullish breakout
✔ Strong impulsive move off the bottom
✔ Favourable timing for long setups
✔ Potential for multiple days of upside if cycle rhythm holds
This new chart you uploaded looks like it's using cycle analysis — those green semi-circles suggest you're mapping time-based cycles!
Awesome! 😎 Here's the TradingView post draft for your **Cycle Timing** idea:
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# ⏳ Cycle Low Confirmed – Strong Upside Move Starting!
**Summary:**
Perfect timing off the projected cycle low! Price action has confirmed the cycle theory with a strong bullish breakout. Based on the rhythm of previous cycles, we could see sustained upside momentum into the next cycle peak.
**Setup Details:**
- **Entry:** Current levels (~1.13647) after confirmation of cycle low.
- **Stop-loss:** Below the recent low (~1.09000) to give the trade room to breathe.
- **Target:** Look for strength toward 1.20+ depending on price behavior near mid-cycle.
- **Risk/Reward:** Excellent — trend in favor, supported by cycle timing.
**Technical Factors:**
✅ Cycle Low perfectly aligned with time-based projection
✅ Strong bullish candle closing above recent consolidation
✅ Momentum shift supports continuation higher
✅ Cycle suggests multiple sessions of upside potential
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**⚠️ Disclaimer:** This is *NOT financial advice*. Always do your own research and manage risk properly!
Elliot basic insight Base on the up trend movement, EU actually displaying a basic clear Elliot wave just like the textbook word. With the DAILY Candle closed yesterday, give a reason to enter meanwhile that next movement will be the 5th anticipate, since Elliot is a 12345 waves.
YOU CAN LOOK INTO IT.
EURUSD Soars Beyond 1.17, Eyeing 2021 Highs on DXY DrawdownAs EUR/USD breaks further above the upper boundary of a 17-year descending channel, U.S. dollar dominance over the pair appears to be fading, leaving room for long-term upside potential.
The pair has now reached levels last seen in September 2021 near 1.1750. A decisive close above this level could extend gains toward the 1.20 mark, aligned with the 2021 peaks.
On the downside, a close back below the 1.1570 support may trigger a pullback toward 1.14 and 1.13 before a potential bullish continuation. If that fails, the upper boundary of the former channel could be retested at 1.11 and 1.10.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Shorting Optimism: EUR/USD Rally vs RealityAfter the spike to 1.1640 driven by temporary ceasefire news and USD weakness, I’ve taken a short position on EUR/USD. The market priced in too much optimism too fast, and I see limited upside beyond this zone in the current macro landscape. I’m positioned for a controlled retracement back toward the 1.1460–1.1520 region.
The play? Fade the overextension, follow structure, and manage from strength.
Technicals:
• The pair ran into a strong supply zone near 1.1640, which aligns with a previous liquidity sweep.
• Momentum has slowed visibly on lower timeframes, with candles rejecting highs and wicks printing upper tails.
• Daily and 4H SMAs are overstretched. The 20 SMA on H4 is accelerating upward, but RSI is near overbought and flattening.
• My short entry was taken with a stop above 1.1745 and first target at 1.1540, second at 1.1500.
• A potential retest of the 1.1660 zone could offer additional entries if invalidation remains intact.
Fundamentals:
• ECB vs Fed Divergence: The Fed holds firm on rates amid sticky inflation, while the ECB is under pressure to ease further due to weak growth.
• EU Struggles: PMI data remains in contraction territory; HICP cooling to 1.7% YoY suggests little reason for tightening.
• Political Instability: Germany and France both facing internal political crises — risk premia rising.
• Ceasefire Priced In: EUR rally on Middle East headlines lacks depth — conflict paused, not resolved.
• USD Resilience: Weak recent data aside, the USD remains a safe haven. Fed’s Powell reiterated that cuts aren’t imminent.
⚠️ Bias: Bearish as long as price trades below 1.1640. Watching how the market reacts to Fed testimony and ECB rhetoric this week.
🧠 Reminder: Don’t get emotional after vertical rallies. When everyone gets excited, I look for exhaustion. That’s where trades begin.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
EUR/USD 4-Hour Chart (OANDA)4-hour price movement of the Euro/U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) currency pair from OANDA, covering the period from June 19 to July 11, 2025. The current exchange rate is 1.16787, reflecting a 0.16% increase (+0.00189). The chart highlights a recent upward trend, with a notable price range between 1.15990 and 1.17335, and includes candlestick patterns and a highlighted resistance zone.
Clear enough?we see a long push with displacement on the H1 that leaves behind a confluence between an Order Block and an Imbalance, up above there is an imbalance that also has a cconfluence with the senitive zone represented from the buyside liquidity of the previous range.
I currently want to see price head down there to start searching for an entry.
If anyone has questions feel free to ask.