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EUR/USD_TODTOM - SWAP EUR/USD

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EUR/USD Rally Extends – Eyes on 1.20000 as Momentum BuildsHi Everyone, As outlined in our analysis last week (idea linked below), EUR/USD continued to the upside and reached the 1.15240 level. We expect price action to extend further toward the 1.16564 level, which would reinforce our long-term bullish outlook. A confirmed break above this resistance would likely open the door for a move toward 1.18325, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance. We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
Euro hits 2025 high as ECB signals end to cuts | FX ResearchThe US dollar has extended declines in the aftermath of Wednesday's softer US CPI print. Interestingly enough, the data has failed to inspire much confidence in risk assets—presumably due to distractions around the escalation in geopolitical tension in the Middle East. President Trump's push for unilateral tariffs within two weeks ahead of the July 9th deadline has also added pressure, while Japan's PMIA noted persistent trade tensions with the US. The FX market has also been selling US dollars due to tariff-related risks, with the euro outperforming. The euro has not only extended to a fresh yearly high but has traded up to its highest level against the dollar since October 2021. ECB officials, including Schnabel and Lagarde, signaling that interest rate cuts may soon end, has only added to the euro bid. Despite weak UK data, including a negative 0.3% GDP drop, the pound has also been better bid. Upcoming US producer prices and jobless claims data are now in focus.
by BlackBull_Markets
EUR/USD AccumulationOn the 5-minute timeframe, buying activity initiates, signaling the potential end of the downtrend. The first indication of upward momentum appears following the formation of a range and a subsequent liquidity sweep. Price then retests the prior low with diminished volume but fails to break below it, suggesting that selling pressure is being absorbed by buyers. This behavior reflects accumulation by informed participants positioning for a move higher. As demand begins to outweigh supply, clear signs of strength emerge Entry: 1.15765 Take Profit: 1.16279 Stop Loss: 1.15621
Long
by richard925
EURUSD Trade Signal – BUY NOW Entry Point: 1.14160EURUSD Trade Signal – BUY NOW Entry Point: 1.14160 🎯 1st Target: 1.14500 🎯 Final Target: 1.14900 📈 EURUSD showing bullish potential 🔍 Strong support zone at 1.14000 📊 Clean price action setup on H1/H4 🟢 Buyers stepping in with volume 🧠 Risk Management is Essential 📉 Suggested Stop-Loss: Below 1.13900 ⚖️ Risk 1–2% of total capital per trade 🛡️ Always secure your capital first 🧭 Stick to your trading plan ⏱️ Wait for a solid entry confirmation 📌 Patience pays in forex 📊 Set your TP & SL — then let it run 💬 Monitor news that may affect EUR/USD ✅ Trade with discipline, not emotion 📢 Smart risk, smart rewards
Long
by GoldTradersEdge
EUR/USD remains bullish 💡Message Strategy The EUR/USD exchange rate continued to rise in the European session, gradually approaching the previous high of around 1.1600. The US dollar continued to be under pressure due to the market's rising expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year and the increasing uncertainty surrounding the US foreign trade policy. US President Trump recently said that he would send letters to trading partners in the next one to two weeks to notify them of unilateral new tariff measures, which once again plunged the market into a state of worry. In addition, the US CPI annual rate in May was 2.4%, lower than the expected 2.5%, which strengthened the bet that the Federal Reserve will restart the interest rate cut cycle in September. At the same time, the relatively hawkish signal of "interest rates close to neutral levels" released by ECB President Lagarde, coupled with the market's rethinking of the role of the euro in the context of "de-dollarization", jointly supported the upward structure of the exchange rate. Currently, traders are paying close attention to the US PPI data and initial jobless claims to be released in the evening, which may have a traction on the short-term trend of the US dollar. 📊Technical aspects Judging from the chart, the current price of EUR/USD is near the upper track of the Bollinger Band (1.1548), and the Bollinger Band is in an expanding state. The width of the Bollinger Band has widened, reflecting the increase in volatility, suggesting that there may be a possibility of a large-volume breakthrough in the future. In terms of MACD indicator, the DIFF line continues to rise and forms a golden cross with the DEA line. Although the momentum of the bar chart is not strong, it has not turned negative, indicating that the bullish momentum is moderate; RSI is running around 64, close to the overbought area but no divergence is formed. The market momentum is bullish and the technical side is slightly bullish. Short-term support is at 1.1500 and 1.1440; if it effectively breaks through 1.1600, the upside space may reach 1.17. 💰 Strategy Package Long Position: 1.1450-1.1550
Long
by TheodoreSilas
6
USD Weakness Persists: Can EUR/USD Target 1.18? The EUR/USD exchange rate has continued to strengthen, breaking through the psychological barrier of 1.1600 during the intraday session, marking the first time it has reached this level since November 2021. The pair surged to an intraday high of 1.1630, driven by the confluence of a persistently weakening US dollar and enhanced economic resilience in the Eurozone. Technically, the EUR/USD currently exhibits a robust bullish pattern. If it can sustain above the 1.1600 threshold, it is poised to test the 1.1800 resistance zone. Conversely, a false breakout followed by a retracement below 1.1500 would warrant caution, as it may signal a attenuation of bullish momentum and potential reversal risks. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Short
by Ashbur
EURO - Price will exit from pennant and then make correctionHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago price reached $1.0950 level and then made a correction movement, after which started to grow in a pennant. Price made an upward impulse from support line of pennant and broke $1.0950 level, after which made a retest. Then price continued to move up and reached $1.1300 level, and soon broke it too, and then made a correction movement. After this, price rose to resistance line of pennant and then started to decline and soon broke $1.1300 level again. But later it boucned from support line and backed up, and even now it trades very close to resistance line. In my mind, Euro can rise a little, thereby exiting from pennant and then make a correction to $1.1300 level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by WalterMoon
9
EURUSD broke the Resistance level 1.14960 👀 Possible scenario: The euro rose 0.56% against the dollar on June 11 after President Trump signaled flexibility in trade talks, suggesting a possible delay to the July 8 tariff deadline. This eased market fears of escalating tensions. Meanwhile, growing expectations of a Fed rate cut, driven by soft data and dovish comments, added pressure on the dollar and boosted demand for alternative currencies. Markets now eye the June 12 U.S. PPI report (expected +0.1% core). A surprise uptick could push EUR/USD toward the 1.15780 level. ✅ Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.13640 Resistance level is located at 1.16440
by MaxOnMarkets
The surge in the euro was expected 💡Message Strategy Since the beginning of this trading week, a number of economic data released by the United States have been weak. Following the decline in the manufacturing PMI, the ISM service PMI for May released on Wednesday fell to 49.9, the first contraction in nearly a year. In addition, the ADP employment data was also far below expectations, with only 37,000 new jobs, far below the expected 115,000, which strengthened the market's concerns about the risk of a US recession, thereby dragging down the US dollar. At the same time, risk aversion and uncertainty in the United States have not improved significantly, and trade tensions, debt prospects and weak US bond yields have put pressure on the US dollar. Obviously, in the game between eurozone monetary policy and US economic data, the euro wins. 📊Technical aspects From the daily chart, the exchange rate has maintained a strong oscillation pattern since mid-April, and has generally been running between the middle and upper tracks of the Bollinger Bands. The upper track of the Bollinger Bands is currently at 1.1471, and the lower track is at 1.1118. The Bollinger Bands are slightly open, indicating a rebound in volatility. The MACD indicator shows that the double lines form a golden cross, and the bar chart turns from green to red, suggesting that the downward momentum is weakening; the RSI indicator remains near 57, slightly in the neutral to bullish area, and has not yet reached the overbought level. The overall technical pattern tends to fluctuate upward. If it breaks through the 1.1500 area, it will continue to rise. At present, the main idea is still to do more on the callback, and do not blindly chase the short. Long Position: 1.14450-1.14650
Long
by TheodoreSilas
1