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EUR/USD - Strong Buy (Weekly Outlook)Top Down Analysis starting from the weekly, we are Bearish. Still making Lower lows. Our previous weekly swing high was a Phyc level giving me a strong confluence when we reach this level we will look to sell again. Daily- Price is consolidating again giving me confluence that this Buy side push will be a Manipulation before a Distribution if you follow for AMD trade setups. As for Elliot's wave we are also in a consolidating leg following the A-E patterns in a parallel channel. In the Lower TF price is respecting a Demand zone and we also have slow price movement with not other price to mitigate further down. 1H TF is showing us a nice FVG that price is consolidating within. Id be expecting a large push to the Buy side within Market Open Good Luck to any traders that follow
by jamesibartram
The SECRET to BULLISH CHART PATTERNS | EducationBullish chart patterns play out towards the upside... atleast most of the time. In some cases, a bullish pattern forms - seemingly strong- but ends up going the complete opposite direction. There is a way to navigate this very frustrating outcome - by waiting for confirmation. Through waiting a little longer, you will surely reduce the profits - but this greatly reduces the risk of playing a "failed" pattern. Keep a close eye on this bullish chart pattern forming on SUI: __________________________
by CryptoCheck-
EURUSD: warming inflation, or not?One of the most important events during the previous week was Fed Chairs Powell testimony in front of the US Congress. Some key takeaways from this hearing was that the Fed is in no hurry to cut interest rates and that Fed's decisions will stay independent from any political interference. As for macro data posted during the previous week, January inflation data were in the spotlight of the market. Posted figures show a bit hotter inflation of 0,5% for the month, a bit higher from market estimate of 0,3%. Inflation rate on a yearly basis reached 3%. Core inflation continues to be elevated at 0,4% in January and 3,3% on a yearly basis. The Producers Price Index reached 0,4% in January, again higher from market estimate of 0,3%, while core PPI was at the level of 0,3% and in line with market consensus. The Retail Sales dropped by -0,9% in January, much higher from market expectation of -0,1%. The Retail Sales were higher by 4,2% on a yearly basis. The inflation rate in January in Germany was standing at -0,2% for the month and 2,3% y/y. The GDP growth rate, second estimate for Q4 in the Euro Zone was 0,1%, and a bit higher from forecasted 0%. The GDP growth rate, second estimate for the year, was standing at 0,9%. The US inflation in January, which was hotter than the market estimate, made investors prefer euro over dollar during the previous week. The currency pair started the week at levels modestly below the 1,03 level, and was pushed for the rest of the week toward the higher grounds. The highest weekly level was reached on Friday, at 1,051. The currency pair ended the week at the level of 1,0487. The RSI also reverted its move toward the level of 60, however, there is still enough space for the higher ground until the clear overbought market side is reached. The MA50 continues to slow down its divergence from MA200, with a solid distance between two lines, in which sense, the cross is not in the store anytime soon. The currency pair reached the resistance line at 1,05 which had been tested during the previous week. Based on current charts, the eurusd will most probably continue to test these levels at the start of the week ahead. Considering a Holiday in the US on Monday, and lack of release of currently important data for markets, which is related to inflation, it should not be expected to have some higher volatility during the week. On the upside, the 1,05 level will be tested for one more time, while on the opposite side, there is a possibility for a short reversal, but not below the 1,04 support line. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in February for both EuroZone and Germany, PPI in January for Germany, HCOB Manufacturing PMI flash in February in Germany and the Euro Zone, USD: Due to Holiday in the US markets will be closed on Monday, Building Permits preliminary in January, Housing Starts in January, FOMC Meeting Minutes, Existing Home Sales in January, Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for February.
by XBTFX
EURUSD Expected Growth! BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0426 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.0448 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EUR/USD Rejects 1.0469 – Drop to 1.0399 or Reversal Ahead?EUR/USD Technical Analysis – February 19, 2025 The price is rejecting from the pivot line at 1.0469, confirming bearish momentum after failing to sustain above the key level. Technical Outlook Bearish Scenario: As long as the price trades below 1.0469, the downtrend remains valid, targeting 1.0399. A break below this level could extend losses toward 1.0367 and 1.0288. Bullish Scenario: To reverse the bearish momentum, EUR/USD must break back above 1.0469, which could trigger an upward move toward 1.0520 and 1.0605. Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Pivot Point: 1.0436 🔹 Resistance Levels: 1.0520, 1.0605 🔹 Support Levels: 1.0390, 1.0367, 1.0288 📉 Directional Bias: The price is expected to drop toward 1.0399 while trading below 1.0469. A break below 1.0399 confirms further downside movement. 💬 Will EUR/USD hold below 1.0469 for further downside, or reclaim the level for a reversal? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
Short
by SroshMayi
Can the Greenback continue its Reign against the EURO?Hello traders, The current market volatility, fueled by recent events, presents an exciting trading environment. I'm sharing my analysis of the EUR/USD pair, where I anticipate continued weakness in the Euro and strength in the Dollar. Short-Term Outlook Given the strong bearish potential on higher timeframes, I'm maintaining a short position on this timeframe. The breach of the significant level at 1.0500 reinforces this outlook, as long as prices remain below this level. Entry and Invalidation Points With the recent pullback to 1.03800, I've identified multiple confluences on lower timeframes, making it an attractive entry point. My invalidation price is set at 1.041, above which I'll reassess and await another entry opportunity. Target My target is set at the next significant level, 1.0, which I believe offers a compelling price target. Risk Management As always, please remember that nothing is guaranteed in trading. The only aspect we can control is our risk. Trade safely until next time. Best regards, Tradebudz
Short
by Tradebudz
13
EURUSD H4 | Falling from the Fibo confluenceBased on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.0536, an overlap resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibo projection, indicating a strong resistance level. A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 1.0461, a pullback support. The stop loss is set at 1.0606, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
EUR/USD Longs from 3hr demand zone My bias for EUR/USD (EU) aligns with my outlook on other dollar pairs, as the Dollar Index (DXY) has been trending lower, reinforcing the bullish momentum for EU, GU, and Gold. Currently, there’s a clean 3-hour demand zone that caused a break of structure to the upside—this is the move I’m looking to capitalize on. My expectation is for price to continue higher and target the pool of liquidity resting above. That said, if price shows a shift in character to the downside on the higher timeframes (HTF), I’ll reassess and look for potential opportunities to capitalize on that move instead. Confluences for EU Buys: ✅ Price is in a strong bullish trend, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. ✅ The Dollar Index (DXY) remains bearish, supporting this bullish outlook. ✅ Liquidity above that price is likely to target. ✅ Clean 3-hour demand zone that remains unmitigated. Alternative Scenario: If price drops below the 3-hour demand zone, I’ll look for my next buy opportunity at the clean 6-hour demand zone around 1.03000, where price would be in a more discounted area. Stay sharp and trade smart—have a great trading week! 🤺
Long
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD DUMP Easily anticipating a lock for high of week. If not, I will cove to .055 Rapid 1.2.3 (i) (ii) (iii) on Monday's open running straight to previous week highs before bearish ChoCh, BOS and change in market structure. LO premarket move anticipating to control risk with SL to BE targeting equilibrium or 50% retracement to open the week ***Unfortunately price is currently trading above VWAP. A strong high volume move across is required to validate the move*** -YungEmsi
Short
by YungEmsi_254
1
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.0531, an overlap resistance A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 1.0456, a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. The stop loss is set at 1.0592, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
EURUSD selling zone 1. Resistance Area Weakness The resistance zone is marked as a strong rejection area, but there's a possibility that instead of reversing, price could break through. A break above could indicate bullish momentum rather than a reversal. Instead of assuming a rejection, watch for liquidity grabs above the weak high. 2. Support Area Strength Overestimation The support zone is considered a strong level for reversal, but if the market is in a strong bearish trend, the support may fail. Instead of assuming a bounce, consider the possibility of a breakout below support, leading to a further drop 3. Market Structure Bias The analysis focuses on a bearish move from the resistance area, but the recent rally before resistance suggests that buyers were strong. A "Change of Character" (ChoCH) may not always lead to a reversal; sometimes it can be a trap before continuing higher. 4. Alternative Scenarios Instead of the expected drop, price could range between resistance and support before a bigger breakout. Liquidity could be built up near the resistance zone, causing a fakeout before an actual move.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
1
EURUSD ShortEURUSD Analysis (H4, Short Position): 1. Current Context: As of the last update (presumably before February 2025), EURUSD was in a downtrend on higher timeframes (e.g., D1), which could influence the H4. Let’s assume the pair recently hit a local high and is showing signs of a downward reversal, aligning with your request for a short-position analysis. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: Suppose the nearest significant resistance on H4 is around 1.0500–1.0514 (a psychological level and a zone often mentioned in X posts and TradingView analyses). This could be confirmed by the 50-period EMA or a Supply Zone. Support: The nearest support might be around 1.0400 or slightly lower at 1.0370, where price previously found demand (Demand Zone). 3. Technical Indicators: Moving Averages (EMA): If the 50 EMA crossed below the 200 EMA (bearish cross) or the price bounced off the 50 EMA downward, this strengthens the sell signal. RSI (14): If RSI on H4 is in the overbought zone (above 70) and starts declining, it confirms weakening bullish momentum. Volume: An increase in volume during a downward break of the resistance level could indicate bearish strength. 4. Patterns: On H4, a reversal pattern might be forming, such as a "Double Top" near 1.0514 or a "Head and Shoulders" if the price has already started pulling back from resistance. Alternatively, a break below an ascending channel with a retest of the upper channel line could serve as an entry point for a short. 5. Short Position Scenario: Entry Point: If the price tests 1.0500–1.0514 and shows a bearish rejection (e.g., a pin bar or engulfing pattern), this is an ideal moment to enter a short. Stop-Loss: Place the stop just above resistance, e.g., at 1.0530, to account for potential false breakouts. Take-Profit: First target at 1.0400 (about 100–140 pips profit), second target at 1.0370 if bearish momentum persists. Risk/Reward Ratio: With a 20–30 pip stop and a first target of 100 pips, you get at least a 1:3 ratio, which is acceptable for the strategy. 6. Fundamental Factors: While this is a technical analysis, note that EURUSD is heavily influenced by U.S. data (e.g., NFP, Fed interest rates) and Eurozone events (ECB decisions). If strong dollar-supportive data is expected soon, it could reinforce the bearish scenario.
Short
by Trade_Hive_Signals
UPDATE ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 1H - As you can see price clearly didn't need the Supply to the upside in order to carry on this journey correcting price lower. This isn't an issue for us it just means we wait for the right buy opportunity now to present itself. I want to see price come to clear the Demand Zone below and from there offer us the chance to get involved in this market in some long positions. In order for us to deem a valid entry we will need to see price clear the zone and break structure to the upside. A break in structure to the upside will confirm the end of the correction and the start of the next wave trading this market higher, once we have that fractal break to the upside we can then prepare for the long position. When we look to place the long position we will stick our SL below the zone we get involved from and our TP will be set just below the last higher timeframe high thats been set in the market.
Long
by Lukegforex