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EUR/USD_TODTOM - SWAP EUR/USD

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EURUSD: holds steady above 1.0400 amid US tariff threatsEUR/USD holds steady above 1.0450 in the European trading hours on Thursday. Broad US Dollar underperformance supports the pair. However, tariff threats from US President Donald Trump and geopolitical tension might cap its upside. US data and Fedspeak remains in focus. EUR/USD Technical Overview Technically, the bullish outlook of EUR/USD remains intact as the major pair holds above the key 100-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) on the 4-hour chart. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is located below the midline, near 42.85, suggesting that further downside cannot be ruled out. The first upside barrier for EUR/USD emerges near 1.0461, the high of February 19. The key resistance level to watch is the 1.0500-1.0505 zone, representing the psychological level and the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band. A decisive break above this level will see a rally to 1.0533, the high of January 27.
Long
by xauusd_rr
EUR/USD Trend and Trading Strategy for the Beginning of the WeekEUR/USD news: 🔆The EUR/USD pair gains positive momentum at the start of the new week, reaching a near one-month high around the 1.0525-1.0530 range during the Asian session, driven by renewed selling pressure on the US dollar (USD). 🔆Heading into the weekend, the USD struggled following weaker-than-expected economic data, including the final Michigan Confidence Index, Home Sales, and the US S&P Services PMI, which recorded its first contraction in 25 months. 🔆Additionally, the conservative party’s victory in the German election strengthens the euro, providing further support to the pair. Personal opinion: 🔆EUR/USD will continue to increase due to positive news from the EU. And the weakness of the USD is inevitable when the uncertainties about tariffs and the instability of the US federal bureaucracy are still complicated Technical analysis: 🔆Based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines to come up with a reasonable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy EUR/USD 1.050x– 1.048x ❌SL: 1.0430 | ✅TP: 1.0550– 1.0600 – 1.0650 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
EURUSD Buy zone @1.07150 H4 chart analysisHere's a simple and effective post you can share with traders: 📊 EUR/USD Trade Setup 📊 🔹 Buy Zone: 1.07150 🔹 Target Point: 1.07500+ 🔹 Stop Loss: 1.06303 🕵‍♂ H4 Chart Analysis: ✅ Strong support at 1.07150 ✅ Potential bullish reversal signals ✅ Favorable risk-to-reward ratio 📌 Trade Wisely! Manage risk properly. Would you like any modifications or a chart to go with it? Your buy zone at 1.07150 on the EUR/USD H4 chart suggests a potential support area where buyers might step in. Here are key factors to consider: H4 Analysis 1. Support & Resistance: If 1.07150 aligns with previous support levels, it could be a strong buy zone. Look for confirmation via candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bar). 2. Trend & Structure: Is the overall trend bullish or in a pullback? If it's an uptrend, 1.07150 could be a great retracement entry. If it's a downtrend, wait for strong rejection signals. 3. Indicators Confirmation: Fibonacci Levels: Does 1.07150 align with 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8% retracement? RSI & Stochastics: If oversold, a bounce is likely. Moving Averages: Check for support around the 50/200 EMA. 4. Price Action Signals: A strong bullish candle around 1.07150 increases the probability of reversal. A break and retest pattern could confirm a safe entry. Trade Setup Entry: Buy around 1.07150 if confirmation appears. Stop Loss: Below recent swing low (~1.07000 or lower). Take Profit: Key resistance zones (1.07500, 1.07800, or higher). Risk-Reward: Maintain at least 1:2 or 1:3 RR ratio. Would you like an updated chart analysis or any specific insights on EUR/USD?
Long
by Geroge_Fx
1
Quick update The German elections went as expected, the next step is to form a viable coalition which is of course we'll have some ups and downs, but generally speaking I'm bullish on the euro for several reasons. First of all, the biggest treat that Donald Trump will impose some kind of tariffs on the European Union is high but also the impact is not as severe as we anticipate. Well he can do it, as he wish but at the same time European Union also can hit hard, on the other hand if the Ukrain War will end, that will give a substantial boost for the European economy. The USA is isn't in the situation where he can take several front trade Wars with everyone , without literally destroying their own economy. Just to bemore exact they cannot let that interest rates getting higher since it will directly affect the government interest payment on their future debts issuence which is already freakinghigh. At least not now . Inflation in the European Union is coming down which is also indicating that may the ECB have to cut once again the interest rate, that's that's not matter anymore because more or less it's already baked into the price, and we are already looking for the next cycle of red hikes, but until then this is a one-way Direction. It's up. Do you say it sooner or later will be forced also to lower the interest rates which gradually will take out the interest of the US dollar, hence the Euro again just getting another catalyst. Price targe 1,0617-1,0650 DEEP buy 1,0375 FROM THE CURRENT LEVELS ONLY MODERATE BUYS. FOCUS IN PULLBACKS AND BIGGEN THAN -0,75%
Long
by ElGatoTrade
EURUSD Will Fall! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 1.043. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.041 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EUR/USD (4H Timeframe) Analysis 🔍 Key Observations** 1️⃣ Market Structure** - The market has been in a clear **bullish trend**, with multiple **BOS (Break of Structure) levels** confirming higher highs and higher lows. - **CHOCH (Change of Character)** to the upside suggests a shift from a previous bearish sentiment to a bullish one. - The price is currently in a **retracement phase** after hitting a short-term high. --- 2️⃣ Supply & Demand Zones** - **Premium Zone (Above 1.05782)**: - A **strong supply zone** is present in the premium pricing area. - If price pushes into this area, it could act as a **reversal zone** for short opportunities. - **Discount Zone (Below 1.03000)**: - A strong **demand zone** exists in the lower region. - If price retraces into this zone, it could be a high-probability long entry. --- 3️⃣ Liquidity Considerations** - **Previous Day's High (PDH) & Previous Day's Low (PDL)**: - **PDH is acting as resistance**, meaning liquidity could be resting above this level. - **PDL is a key area to watch**, as price might drop below it to grab liquidity before continuing higher. - **Potential Liquidity Grab**: - If price sweeps the **PDH**, it could induce **short positions** from late buyers before reversing downward. - Alternatively, if price taps into the **PDL** or equilibrium zone, it might induce buy orders before rallying again. --- 4️⃣ Trade Setup Refinement** 📌 Bullish Scenario** - **Entry Zone:** Between **1.0430 - 1.0460** (Near PDL & Equilibrium). - **Stop Loss (SL):** Below **1.0400** to protect against deeper pullbacks. - **Take Profit (TP):** Around **1.05782**, aligning with the **premium zone & supply area**. - **Risk-Reward Ratio:** **1:3+**, making it a high-probability trade. 📌 Bearish Scenario (If Price Breaks Below PDL)** - If **PDL is broken and price fails to bounce**, it could indicate a move toward the **discount zone (~1.03000)**. - A bearish confirmation (such as a BOS to the downside) would suggest further downside. Final Thoughts ✅ **Primary Bias:** Bullish, expecting a dip into the **equilibrium zone (~1.0430)** before resuming upward. ✅ **Alternative Bias:** If price breaks **below 1.0400**, the next buy zone is **1.03000 or lower**. ✅ **Trade Plan:** Watch for a liquidity grab at **PDL** before confirming a long entry.
Long
by wizzywise1
EUR/USD - Trade SetupClean Trade Setup in my own opinion. DAILY - Bearish With the previous market drop failing to take out Liquidity telling me price still needs to hunt for that price We are currently In a Correctional leg before I believe we would look to sell Price currently is in the OTE zone for selling positions meaning im looking for price to make a reaction of a key area or level. I see a clean unmitigated Order Block within a supply zone giving me strong confluence to sell at this level. 100Pip SL for a 370 PIP return Good luck to any traders that might follow
Short
by jamesibartram
EURUSD in Focus After the Conservatives win the German ElectionEURUSD has traded as high as 1.0528 overnight after the Conservatives, led by Friedrich Merz won the German election. Whether this move is capable of becoming something more than a relief rally response is likely to be determined by a number of factors, some of which are specific to Germany, including how quickly a new government can be formed, their approach to Ukraine, and perceived willingness to embrace removing the ‘debt break’, strict limits enshrined in German law after the 2008 financial crisis, to fund spending on much needed infrastructure. Other factors likely to impact EURUSD this week include President Trump’s next moves on Ukraine and trade tariffs, as well as the release on Friday of the latest US PCE Index release, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of inflation (1330 GMT Friday). The Final Factor Relates to the Technicals. Having posted a high at 1.0514 on February 14th 2025, EURUSD entered into a choppy trading period ahead of the weekends German elections. This likely reflected trader uncertainty ahead of what was potentially an important driver of future EURUSD price sentiment. However, what this sideways activity has provided are several potentially important levels to monitor over coming sessions as we move into the new trading week. Closing breaks below support or above the resistance points, might offer clues to the potential direction of next EURUSD price moves. Reaction to Election Results So Far… The initial EURUSD price reaction to the election results saw EURUSD rally to challenge the first possible resistance offered by the February 14th high at 1.0514. This level has managed to cap attempts to move higher but traders may well be watching this level on a closing basis, as confirmed breaks above it might suggest a more sustained phase of price strength. While a closing break of a previous failure price high can reflect potential for an improving technical picture, there is perhaps an even more important resistance band, we may also need to focus on. Take a look at the above chart, there are 2 further failure highs near to today's price activity, which were posted on December 17th 2024 at 1.0534 and at 1.0533 on January 27th 2025. If possibilities of a more sustained phase of EURUSD price strength are to be seen, this 1.0533/34 area may be the one to watch on a closing basis. While much will depend on future price trends, successful closing breaks above 1.0533/34 might be an indication that risks are turning towards a further attempt to push to higher levels. What if 1.0533/34 Resistance Holds? Having found EURUSD sellers previously at this 1.0533/34 level, it is just as possible they will be found again and even prove strong enough to hold and reverse current price strength. As such, we must also be aware of the support levels on the downside that if broken, may see a resumption of price weakness. Last week’s low posted on February 19th at 1.0401, coincides with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of price strength seen in February, which stands at 1.0406. These may well provide strong support on any dips in EURUSD prices, however if closing breaks of this support range were to develop, evidence may well be building for a more extended phase of price weakness. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
by Pepperstone