EURUSD Approaching Major Resistance - Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURUSD is approaching a major resistance level, marked by significant selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reaction if sellers step in again.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance level, there is a high probability of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 1.09742 level, which serves as a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break above this resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
EURO - Price can rise a little more and then start to fallHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments๐
Some time ago price moved inside a falling channel, slowly declining and bouncing from support to resistance.
Then EUR made a breakout, exited the channel, and started forming a rising wedge with clear bullish acceleration.
After a breakout, the price continued to grow and reached the upper boundary of the wedge pattern on the chart.
Recently Euro touched the resistance zone and showed a bounce from the local top near the wedge's upper edge.
Now it trades inside wedge formation and stays above support area near $1.1145 without strong momentum.
In my opinion, Euro can drop from current levels and reach $1.1150 zone as next support target soon.
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Euro may correct to support area and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price started its movement inside a tight upward channel, gradually rising from lower levels. After a steady climb, the Euro broke out of the channel with a strong impulse, entering a buyer zone between 1.0870 - 1.0910 points. This zone acted as a strong base, and from there, the pair accelerated upward, eventually reaching the upper boundary of a wide horizontal range. After multiple rejections near the rangeโs top, the pair finally made a breakout and exited above resistance, confirming the shift in momentum. The growth didnโt stop there - price continued its rally, reaching the current support area between 1.1320 - 1.1280 points, which now aligns with a strong horizontal level at 1.1280 points. This area was successfully retested and defended by buyers. Currently, the price is consolidating slightly above this support, forming a local correction after the recent impulse. As long as this structure holds and the support area remains intact, the bullish pressure is likely to resume. Given the breakout, the strong base from the buyer zone, and the bullish market structure, I expect the Euro to continue growing toward the 1.1550 level, which is marked as my current TP1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost ๐
EURUSD โ Pullback before a new move?EURUSD has been consolidating for several sessions now after making a strong impulsive move to the upside earlier this month. Since breaking above the 1.1150 level, momentum has started to slow down and price is beginning to range near the recent highs. That alone isnโt surprising strong impulsive moves are almost always followed by periods of consolidation or retracement as the market pauses, takes profits, and reevaluates.
What catches my attention now is how weak the price action looks during this consolidation. The candles are getting smaller, wicks are getting longer, and thereโs not much follow-through on the bullish side anymore. This kind of price behavior typically shows indecision or exhaustion buyers are no longer driving price with the same force and sellers are starting to creep back in.
So instead of chasing this move higher, Iโm positioning myself for a pullback into a key demand zone that I think will offer a much higher probability long setup.
The Level Iโm Watching โ Golden Pocket with Imbalance Confluence
The zone Iโm targeting for a potential entry sits in the 1.1070 to 1.1170 area. This range covers the golden pocket retracement zone, between the 61.8% and 65% Fibonacci levels measured from the recent impulse low to high, and overlaps with multiple technical factors that make it extremely attractive.
First off, this zone contains three separate unfilled imbalance areas (or fair value gaps), created by aggressive bullish candles on the way up. These are areas where price moved too quickly to fill all orders on both sides, which leaves inefficiencies in the market. The market tends to revisit these areas to rebalance before continuing in the prevailing direction. So from a pure price action perspective, the unfilled imbalances create a natural magnet for price to retrace into.
Second, weโve got historical resistance right in this same zone. If you look back a few sessions, price rejected this level multiple times before finally breaking through. Now that weโre above it, thereโs a strong chance this area flips into support. This concept resistance turning into support is a classic and reliable price action behavior, especially when it lines up with other tools like fibs and imbalances.
Trend Structure Still Intact
Whatโs crucial to me here is that a pullback into this zone will not break the overall bullish market structure. Weโre still printing higher highs and higher lows, and a retracement into the golden pocket would simply be another higher low within the current uptrend.
Thereโs also a clean ascending trendline from early April that hasnโt been breached. If price respects that trendline again while dipping into this demand zone, that would add further confluence to the setup. It would mean the trendline, golden pocket, unfilled imbalances, and historical support are all lining up at the same point thatโs a textbook area where I want to be a buyer.
Entry Triggers and Execution Plan
Iโm not looking to blindly set a limit order in this zone. I want confirmation that buyers are stepping in and that weโre getting a shift in momentum. Ideally, Iโll drop to a lower timeframe like the 1H or even the 15M and wait for a clear change of character โ something like:
A break of a local lower high
A bullish engulfing candle at the base
A sweep of liquidity below recent lows followed by a strong push back above structure
Once I see that kind of reaction, Iโll consider entering a long position. My stop will go just below the structure low or the lowest point of the zone, depending on the entry signal. Iโll give it enough room to avoid getting wicked out on a false break.
As for targets the first obvious one is the current range high around 1.1350. If we get a strong reaction, Iโll trail part of the position and look for continuation into new highs. This pullback could set the stage for the next leg of the broader bullish trend, especially if DXY starts showing weakness again.
Why Iโm Not Shorting Here
Even though price looks weak and a retracement seems likely, Iโm not interested in shorting this setup. Weโre still firmly in bullish structure and shorting into a healthy uptrend just doesnโt make sense to me unless Iโm scalping. The risk to reward just isnโt favorable on the short side right now Iโd rather wait for price to come to my zone and then look for confirmation to go with the trend.
Final Thoughts
EURUSD is consolidating after a strong move up and Iโm expecting a pullback. The golden pocket zone, stacked with unfilled imbalances and previous resistance, looks like the ideal place for a bullish reaction. As long as we stay above that zone, structure stays bullish and Iโll be looking for long opportunities once price confirms the bounce.
Patience is key here. Iโm not rushing into anything, but if price gives me the reaction Iโm looking for in that zone, Iโll be ready to execute. The setup aligns well with both technical structure and market behavior and Iโll continue to monitor price action closely over the next few sessions.
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EURO - Price can make correction and then continue to move upHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments๐
Some days ago price broke resistance and started a strong upward impulse, exiting from a flat accumulation zone.
After this breakout, the Euro made a sharp rise and formed a rising wedge pattern.
Then price reached the upper boundary of a wedge and bounced down, testing the support line of the pattern.
Recently, it touched the support zone near the $1.0800 level and then bounced with recovery toward resistance.
Now price trades inside wedge, holding above support line and forming bullish continuation structure.
In my opinion, Euro can continue to grow and reach $1.1185 resistance line of the wedge soon.
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Lingrid | EURUSD bullish MOMENTUM Testing KEY Resistance LevelThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . It reached the target zone. FX:EURUSD formed a massive bullish weekly candle, representing an impulse leg on lower timeframes. The market broke and closed above the 2023 high and is now testing the 2022 high. On the 1H timeframe, the market is likely to create an ABC pullback toward the support level and upward trendline. I think the price may continue moving sideways since consolidation phases typically follow impulse legs. If the price rejects the support level below, we can expect the market to move higher. This consolidation would be a natural breathing period after the strong upward movement before potentially continuing the bullish trend. My goal is resistance zone around 1.15000
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EURUSDHello Traders! ๐
What are your thoughts on EUR/USD?
EUR/USD has broken above the resistance zone and is currently trading above the breakout level.
A pullback to the broken level is expected before the next bullish move.
Once the pullback is complete, we anticipate a continuation of the uptrend toward the specified target. Holding above the broken resistance would reinforce the bullish outlook.
Will EUR/USD maintain momentum after the pullback? Share your views below!
Donโt forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! โค๏ธ
Euro may continue to move up inside upward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. We can see how the pair spent a long time inside a wide range, repeatedly testing the buyer zone between 1.0365 - 1.0400 points. After multiple rebounds and false breakouts, Euro finally broke through the resistance and started forming a strong upward channel. The bullish structure was further confirmed when the price respected the support line of the channel and created a new higher low near 1.0885, which now acts as the current support level. This level also coincides with the bottom of the seller zone, which was recently flipped into support. Price reacted with a sharp impulse up, breaking the consolidation range and confirming continued bullish pressure. Now Euro is approaching the middle of the channel and gaining strength again. I expect the pair to make a slight pull-back to the support area, followed by a continuation of the upward trend toward TP1 - 1.1250 points, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. As long as EUR remains above 1.0885 points and respects the bullish structure, Iโm looking for another leg higher. The chart structure supports the bullish case, and the upward momentum is clearly in play. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost ๐
EURUSD: Channel Down topped. Huge sell ahead.EURUSD corrected the previously overbought levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.799, MACD = 0.009, ADX = 25.183) and 1W is expected to follow suit as the price is making a double rejection at the top of the 2 year Channel Down. We anticipate a new -9.25% long term bearish wave to begin (TP = 1.01300).
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Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.11613.Colleagues, the price is in the correction of wave โ2โ. I believe that the upward five-wave impulse is not yet complete. In any case, I think that the price will still reach the maximum of wave โ1โ at 1.11613.
The question is how far will the correction of wave โ2โ go or is it over? There is no way to know for sure, so I don't recommend selling. I think we should stick to long positions.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Lingrid | EURUSD potential Short-Term PULLBACK from 2022 HighThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . It hit the take profit. FX:EURUSD market is making higher highs, showing bullish momentum. Also the price broke and closed above the consolidation zone. However, on the daily timeframe, the price is forming an ABC move where point C completes at the psychological level of 1.15000. After the completion of this move, a pullback typically follows. Furthermore, this resistance zone represents the high of 2022, and I believe there may be liquidity above which could lead to a rollover. If we see rejection at this level, we can expect a short-term pullback. My goal is support zone around 1.12700
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Euro will break current support level and drop to 1.0735 levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Recently, the price completed a pennant pattern, which resulted in a breakout to the upside. This breakout, however, didnโt gain much ground - the movement quickly lost momentum inside the resistance area between 1.0955 - 1.0985 points, where Euro sharply turned around. The reversal from this zone wasnโt unexpected, considering this level had already acted as resistance earlier. What followed was a clean break below the current support level at 1.0955 points, which shifted the market structure back to bearish. Now the price is trading lower, and the bearish impulse looks set to continue. My expectation is a further decline toward the support level at 1.0735, which also aligns with the buyer zone between 1.0695 - 1.0735 points. This level may act as the next potential area of interest where buyers could attempt a defence. The invalidation of local support, weakness after the breakout, and strong supply reaction from resistance all point to a high probability of continuation down toward TP 1 - 1.0735 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost ๐
EURUSD โ Why This Key Level Could Decide the Next Big MoveAt the moment, EURUSD is maintaining a bearish market structure on both the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes. Price action has been consistently forming lower highs and lower lows, which is a clear indication of sustained selling pressure in the market.
Zooming in, weโve noticed that previous support zones are no longer being respected, which further supports the bearish narrative. These failed supports are now acting as weak resistance zones, and price is cutting through them with minimal hesitation โ a sign that buyers are losing control while sellers continue to dominate the market.
One of the key technical levels on our radar is marked by a horizontal red line, currently acting as minor support. A candle close below this level would be highly significant. It would indicate that the temporary consolidation or hesitation we're seeing is breaking to the downside. If this scenario plays out, it could trigger a strong bearish continuation, with increased volume likely to enter the market from breakout traders and institutions scaling in.
The chart points to a clearly defined target area for this move, located in the 1.07500 to 1.07800 range, which is marked in green. This is a strong historical support zone โ one that has previously held and sparked reversals. We anticipate that if price reaches this area, we may begin to see a slowdown in bearish momentum and a potential reversal setup.
1 hour trend
Trade Plan
Bearish Bias While Below the Red Line
If price closes below the red line (~1.09200), Iโll be watching for follow-through to the downside.
Entry opportunity may exist on the retest of this broken level, provided price shows rejection or continuation patterns.
Target area: 1.07500โ1.07800 (green support zone)
Bullish Setup at Key Support
Should price reach the green zone, Iโll wait for confirmation before entering a long position.
Ideal signs: bullish candlestick patterns, slowing momentum, volume divergence, or strong reaction wicks.
Potential upside target: reversion back to broken structure or trendline zone.
Fundamental Analysis: U.S.-EU Tariff Situation
In addition to the technical structure, we also need to be mindful of the fundamental backdrop, particularly the recent escalation in tariff-related discussions between the U.S. and the European Union.
The Biden administration is reportedly exploring a fresh round of tariffs on EU imports in response to long-standing disagreements around digital services taxes and subsidies in the aviation industry. These talks have gained momentum recently, with the potential for announcements in the coming days or weeks.
Should these tariffs be confirmed, it would likely:
Weigh heavily on the Euro, especially if the EU responds with retaliatory measures.
Increase uncertainty in trade flows, damaging investor confidence in the region.
Trigger a flight to the U.S. dollar as a safe haven asset, further fueling EURUSD downside.
On the flip side, if negotiations lead to a positive resolution or postponement of tariffs, the Euro could see some relief, which may coincide with a bounce from the green support zone on the chart potentially lining up with our long bias at that level.
Conclusion
The EURUSD pair is currently offering a clean, high-probability setup driven by both technical and fundamental factors. With the market respecting bearish structure on the lower timeframes and support levels being broken with ease, the path of least resistance remains to the downside at least until the 1.07500โ1.07800 zone is reached.
From there, a shift in momentum could present a great opportunity to switch bias and look for a long entry with favorable risk-reward.
This trade idea remains valid as long as price respects structure. Always manage risk and stay updated with any breaking news around U.S.โEU trade talks, as those developments could heavily influence the direction of EURUSD in the coming sessions.
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Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like ๐ and leave a comment, Iโd love to hear your thoughts! ๐
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EURUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my EURUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
EUR /USD) resistance level rejected support level Read The ChaptSMC Trading point update
analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair on a 1-hour timeframe, and it presents a potential bearish setup. Here's a breakdown of the idea:
Key Elements:
Resistance Zone (around 1.14182):
The price is currently approaching a marked resistance area. The analysis suggests this could be a turning point where price may reverse.
Projected Movement (Black Arrows):
The chart predicts a double top formation or a rejection from the resistance level, followed by a strong move downward.
Target Point:
The drop is expected to reach the key support zone around 1.10942, aligning with a previous structure and a potential liquidity zone.
EMA 200 (around 1.10389):
Price remains well above the 200 EMA, suggesting the trend is still bullish overall, but the setup targets a potential correction or short-term reversal.
RSI Indicator (~60):
RSI is above 60 but not overbought yet. This supports the idea that there's room for one more push up into resistance before a drop.
Mr SMC Trading point
Summary of the Idea:
1. Watch for price reaction around 1.14182.
2. If there's a clear rejection or double top, a short position may be considered.
3. Target area is around 1.10942.
4. The setup assumes a corrective move in a broader bullish trend.
plase support boost ๐ analysis follow)
EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis ๐ช๐บ๐บ๐ธ
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis for
EURUSD for the week ahead.
Resistance 1: 1.1456 - 1.1552 area
Resistance 2: 1.1640 - 1.1700 area
Resistance 3: 1.1860 - 1.1915 area
Support 1: 1.1150 - 1.1280 area
Support 2: 1.0730 - 1.0900 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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EUR/USD short: Grow eyes in the back of your headHello traders
Well, what an exciting but yet predictable week with the tariff turmoil.
I have advocated several times in the past to keep an eye on the US 10Y yield but yesterday's price action definitely left me feeling like my head was spinning on my shoulders like Beetlejuice. Fun movie.
However, I was on the EUR/USD long side after the rejection lower at the weekly high. Dumb luck or insight, I don't know but I am grateful that my 10 pip trailing stop starting at 1.0988 propelled my trade higher until it was stopped out.
The US 10Y yield rocketed higher and the USD decoupled, crashing lower against the Euro.
And that folks, is probably why we once again have a new tariff scheme. Traders and (likely) Sovereign entities dumping US bonds seemed to be behind this illogical move. This event must have hit a nerve somewhere in the White House because without issuing more debt and finding buyers, the proposed tax cuts are dead in the water. More about that later in the week.
I have entered into a technical driven short EUR/USD position with a tight stop above 1.0998. This trade will only be successful if the current calm conditions prevail and core CPI MoM(March) comes in higher tomorrow. Jobless claims? Ask Musk and DOGE. The FOMC is not going to bail out this market if it gets choppy again, so keep an eye on your preferred newsfeed.
In conclusion, be hyper vigilant because the bond market might have had a successful US 10Y auction today but there is nothing "beautiful" about anything at the moment.
Do Beetlejuice with eyes in the back of your head.
Good luck
EUR/USD Bullish Setup โ Targeting 1.16950Entry Zone (Buy Area): Between 1.12729 and 1.13101
Stop Loss: 1.12100
Target (TP1): 1.16950
Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R):
Risk: 1.13101 - 1.12100 = 101 pips
Reward: 1.16950 - 1.13101 = ~385 pips
R:R โ 1:3.8 โ excellent risk-to-reward
๐ Technical Observations
Bullish Momentum: Strong bullish candles leading into the setup suggest buyers are currently in control.
Support Zone (Entry Area):
The purple zone has acted as a previous resistance, now turned support.
Price may retest this zone before moving higher (as indicated by the blue path on the chart).
Moving Averages:
Red (likely 50 EMA) and blue (possibly 200 EMA) are showing a bullish crossover.
Price is above both MAs, reinforcing a bullish trend.
Projected Move:
The setup anticipates a pullback before a continuation to the upside toward 1.16950.
๐ง Trade Idea Summary
This is a buy-the-dip strategy within a bullish trend.
Entering on the pullback allows for:
Tighter stop loss
Better entry price
Higher R:R ratio
โ ๏ธ Risk Considerations
A break below 1.12100 would invalidate the setup.
Monitor for bearish reversal patterns or news around the EUR/USD that might shift sentiment.
EURUSD - Trade The Impulse!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
๐EURUSD has been bearish trading within the falling wedge pattern marked in red.
Currently, EURUSD is retesting the upper bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the $1.12 is a strong weekly supply zone.
๐น Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red trendline and supply.
๐ As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD is hovering around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
๐ Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
HelenP. I Euro will decline to support zone, breaking trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After breaking out from a long consolidation phase, the Euro entered a strong upward trend supported by a clearly defined trend line. This breakout was backed by strong momentum, allowing the price to push above Support 1 and climb rapidly. However, after reaching the 1.1450 area, bullish strength started fading. The market printed a sharp rejection from the highs, and soon after, the price broke back below the trend line. This breakdown signals a shift in sentiment. The price is now approaching the previous support zone between 1.1160 and 1.1120 points, which acted as a key accumulation area during the bullish move. The reaction from this zone will be crucial, but considering the breakdown from the trend line and the aggressive rejection from the top, sellers now appear to be in control. Currently, EUR is trading below the broken trend line, and bearish pressure continues to build. Given the rejection from higher levels, structure break, and weak recovery attempts, I expect EURUSD to decline toward my current goal at 1.1160 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment โค๏ธ
EURUSD Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading Idea๐ก Daily Timeframe:
As forecasted by 4CastMachine AI last week, EURUSD was rejected from the channel line.
๐ก H4 Timeframe:
FX:EURUSD started a corrective wave,
This decline may continue, but the support area of โ1.1200 ~ 1.0890 could trigger a rebound.
This area, which was previously a major resistance, will become a major support, creating a good buying opportunity.
๐ก H1 Timeframe:
The Triangle pattern formed in the price has broken downwards.
The bearish wave is expected to continue as long as the price is below the strong resistance at 1.1334
1.1334 Support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now!
๐ก H1 Forecast:
Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
H1 Trading Idea:
Sell now or wait for pullback and Sell on price rejection from 1.1334.
SL: Above 1.1334
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Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
EUR/USD Nears Key Resistance โ Will the Uptrend Continue?๐ EUR/USD Daily Technical Outlook โ April 10, 2025
EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.0964, following a strong upward move from 1.0800 to 1.1000. This rally has been driven by strong momentum and a clear break of structural resistance levels. However, the pair is now approaching a critical resistance zone between 1.1150 and 1.1200, which could lead to a potential pullback or reversal.
๐ Current Market Structure:
The pair has seen a solid rise from 1.0800, breaking through multiple resistance levels along the way. However, as it approaches the strong resistance area between 1.1150 and 1.1200, there may be some profit-taking or correction. The key question is whether the bulls can push through this resistance to continue the uptrend.
๐น Key Resistance Levels:
1.1150 โ 1.1200: This is the critical resistance zone. If price fails to break above this, we could see a pullback or consolidation.
1.1215: A further key resistance. If price reaches this level and struggles to move higher, it may signal a potential reversal.
๐ธ Key Support Levels:
1.0960: Immediate support level. A pullback toward this area could offer another opportunity for buying if the bulls continue to dominate.
1.0800: Major support. A failure to hold this level could lead to further downside and shift the market sentiment to bearish.
๐ Price Action Patterns:
As the price approaches the strong resistance zone, we might see profit-taking or corrective moves. It's crucial to monitor how price reacts at these levels to determine the next potential move. A break above 1.1200 could signal continued bullish momentum, while failure could lead to a retracement.
๐งญ Potential Scenarios:
โ
Bullish Scenario:
If EUR/USD manages to break through the 1.1150 โ 1.1200 resistance zone, it could continue its uptrend toward higher levels. A close above 1.1200 would strengthen the bullish outlook.
โ Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to break through resistance and pulls back below 1.0960, a deeper correction toward 1.0800 could be on the cards. A break below 1.0800 would suggest a more bearish outlook.
๐ Conclusion:
EUR/USD is at a critical resistance point. Watching how the pair reacts near 1.1150 โ 1.1200 will be key in determining if the bullish trend can continue or if a correction is likely. These levels will act as the defining points for the next move.
๐ฌ Whatโs your outlook for EUR/USD? Will the pair break above 1.1200, or is a bearish reversal imminent? Share your thoughts below ๐