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EUR/USD_SPT - EUR/USD

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EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 28, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Euro has experienced a downward trend in the current trading session, surpassing the Mean Support level of 1.078, where an intermediate price reversal occurred. The analysis indicates that the Eurodollar is expected to retest the Mean Resistance level at 1.086, with a possible resistance level marked at 1.095. A downward momentum may be initiated from either the Mean Resistance of 1.086 or 1.095.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish TargetChart Overview: The provided EUR/USD daily chart displays a well-structured Rising Wedge pattern, which eventually led to a significant bearish breakdown. The analysis highlights key levels, including resistance, support, stop loss, and a downside target, all of which contribute to a well-planned trade setup. The market structure suggests a strong bearish continuation, targeting lower price levels based on technical projections. 1. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge Formation & Breakdown A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price creates higher highs and higher lows, but the slope of the trendlines indicates weakening bullish momentum. This pattern is often a signal of upcoming bearish price action once a breakout occurs. Pattern Breakdown Analysis: The price moved inside the wedge, showing a gradual upward trend with declining momentum. Upon reaching a key resistance level, price faced strong rejection (marked with a red circle). The bearish breakdown below the wedge confirmed the pattern, leading to a sharp decline. A retest of the broken wedge followed before continuing downward. This confirms a classic bearish trend reversal, making it a strong technical setup. 2. Key Levels and Trade Setup: 🔹 Resistance Level (Major Supply Zone) The resistance zone (highlighted in beige) acted as a strong supply area, where buyers lost control. Price reached this resistance multiple times but failed to sustain above it. A bearish reversal initiated from this level, marking the beginning of a downward trend. 🔹 Support Level (Key Demand Zone) The support zone (also highlighted) represents a major demand area where price previously reversed. This level aligns with historical price action, making it a critical area to monitor for potential reactions. 🔹 Stop Loss Placement A stop loss is placed above the previous high within the resistance zone to protect against false breakouts. If price invalidates the breakdown and moves above this level, the bearish setup would no longer be valid. 🔹 Price Target Projection The breakdown suggests a potential drop towards 1.00874, as indicated by the 100% measured move. This aligns with previous historical support, making it a realistic downside target. 3. Trade Execution Plan: How to Trade This Setup? 📌 Entry Strategy: Traders can enter short after confirmation of the breakdown and a potential retest. A sell position can be initiated around the resistance turned support after a pullback rejection. 📌 Stop Loss Strategy: A stop loss should be set above the resistance zone (around 1.12208) to minimize risk. This ensures protection against a bullish breakout invalidation. 📌 Take Profit Strategy: The first take profit target is set at the support level near 1.04498. The final take profit target is at 1.00874, which aligns with the full measured move projection. 4. Conclusion & Market Sentiment 🔸 Bearish Market Bias – The breakdown of the rising wedge confirms strong bearish momentum. 🔸 Key Resistance Held Strong – The price was unable to break above, confirming seller dominance. 🔸 Downside Target Aligns with Previous Support Levels – A confluence of technical signals supports further decline. Final Thought: This chart presents a high-probability bearish trade setup in EUR/USD. The combination of a rising wedge breakdown, clear resistance rejection, and a defined downside target makes it an ideal short-selling opportunity. Traders should watch for price action confirmations and risk management strategies before executing trades. 🚨 Risk Disclaimer: Always apply proper risk management and confirm signals before trading. Market conditions may change, so monitoring price behavior is crucial for trade adjustments.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Bears come to Euro?!Hey dear traders!👋 We have received weak data's from Eurozone, raising concerns about the currency.🔻 . . On the other hand, Trump remains firm on tarrifs, further worsening the situation. . In this trade war, where no one will emerge as a winner, Europe will bear a heavy cost, leading to rising prices. . . 🔸Another possibility is that traders will increase their bets on a rate cut in April, Currently, the money market has priced in an 80% probability of a 0.25% rate cut by the ECB in April. 🔹The important area's marked on chart with Red lines and we can use them for our entry and exit points. ✨GOOD LUCK YOU ALL🍀
Short
by TheApolloo
EURUSD:Beware of the retest of the daily chart resistanceYesterday, the price of EUR/USD generally declined as expected. The intraday price dropped to a minimum of 1.0776, rose to a maximum of 1.0829, and closed at 1.0789. Currently, the overall EUR/USD remains below the daily chart resistance level of 1.0860. Therefore, for the time being, a bearish stance is still appropriate for the medium-term trend. From the perspective of the four-hour chart, the price is in a fluctuating decline and is supported at the 1.0770 area, while the resistance of the four-hour chart is at the 1.0805 area. For now, it is advisable to be cautious about chasing short positions, and beware of an upward price correction. In terms of price levels, pay attention to the daily chart resistance to observe further performance of downward pressure. Trading strategy: Sell@1.0850-1.0860 TP:1.0810-1.0770 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
Short
by LeoBlackwood
EUR/USD Triple Bottom Reversal | Bullish Breakout SetupChart Overview This is a EUR/USD 1-hour chart showing a classic Triple Bottom Reversal Pattern, a strong bullish reversal signal. The price has tested a key support level multiple times, forming three distinct bottoms, indicating that sellers are losing momentum while buyers are stepping in. This setup suggests an upcoming breakout, with well-defined entry, take profit, and stop-loss levels to capitalize on the potential upward move. Technical Breakdown 1. Support & Resistance Zones Support Zone (Highlighted in Beige) The price has tested this zone multiple times without breaking below, confirming strong buying interest. Each time the price touched this level, it rebounded, indicating accumulation by buyers. Resistance Zone (Highlighted in Beige) The price previously reversed from this level, making it a key area to watch for a breakout. A confirmed breakout above this resistance could trigger strong upward momentum. 2. Triple Bottom Formation A Triple Bottom is a strong bullish reversal pattern. It consists of: Bottom 1: First rejection from support. Bottom 2: A retest of support with buyers defending the level. Bottom 3: The final touch before an upward move, confirming the pattern. This pattern signals that selling pressure is diminishing and buyers are preparing for a strong breakout. 3. Bullish Reversal & Breakout Zone A breakout above the neckline resistance (around 1.0843) will confirm the pattern. Traders should wait for a confirmed candle close above the resistance before entering a long position. A retest of the breakout zone can provide an additional entry opportunity. Trade Setup & Key Levels 🔹 Entry Strategy Aggressive Entry: Enter at the breakout level (above 1.0843) with volume confirmation. Conservative Entry: Wait for a breakout retest before entering long. 🎯 Take Profit Targets TP1: 1.08868 (First resistance zone) TP2: 1.09642 (Major resistance zone, strong price reaction expected) ❌ Stop Loss Placement Stop Loss: Below 1.06786, under the support zone. This ensures that if the price breaks below the key level, the trade is invalidated. Market Sentiment & Expected Move If the price breaks the resistance → Expect a strong bullish move toward TP1 and TP2. If the price fails to break out → It may consolidate further or retest support. Watch for increased volume on the breakout to confirm strength. 📌 Final Thoughts This is a high-probability bullish setup based on a well-formed Triple Bottom Reversal pattern. Traders should monitor price action near the breakout zone and manage risk effectively with proper stop-loss placement.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USDEUR/USD is looking to break a streak of six consecutive down days after running into Fibonacci resistance at 1.0943. That pullback spanned more than 200 pips at its peak, with support finally showing up yesterday in the 1.0730-1.0750 zone previously highlighted. The question now is which trend will take over - as the prior bullish trend had quickly went overbought with RSI divergence showing into last Wednesday's FOMC meeting. For today, the 1.0800 level has capped bulls' advance and the next levels up are prior price swings at 1.0823 and 1.0861, followed by a Fibonacci extension at 1.0909 and then the longer-term Fibonacci level at 1.0943
by CecaRockefeller
EURUSD March 28 journal entry and summary of deliveryEURUSD March 28 journal entry "After 6 days of sell off Price has a buy day. I suspect for Price to come to the 50 in Asia seeking sell side to reverse and take by stops. Be patient and wait for Price to show you its hand. " March 30 review of delivery WOW. Reviewing this note gives me so much confidence and now its time to trust your analysis. This is exactly what price delivered. March 28 Delivery Asia delivers a consolidation in a premium. Then lowers creating equal lows consolidating coming into London. 3 macro Price fake expands higher to take minor buy side before breaking for equal lows to a bullish order block? Consolidates coming into NY AM session. Price news driver manipulates prices energetic rally to take recent buy side and rebalance a FVG, however Price does not make a new high. Price does its choppy see saw to lower, retrace, small consolidation then 4pm rally to take minor session buy side and close on a previous NWOG. Discount to premium. Closed in a Premium. *Note low was made on Wednesday and pivot point of the week was after that. *Studying the cycle price is delivering to is key to where the next likely draw on liquidity will be. *I suspected the event horizon would be a magnet and sure seems like it.
by LeanLena
EURUSD: Spring is setting in. Bulls shall have new pasture to..EURUSD: Spring is setting in. Bulls shall have new pasture to graze in. On hourly charts the Bears had a steady down trend and 27th March was the day when Bulls started staging effective resistance to Bears. From here onward we see that a swing low is formed and subsequently high and lower highs and higher highs are formed. This brings us to a point where we have two scenarios 1. buy on dip. For this we use fib tool to identify potential entry point. 2. buy when the current Higher high is breached. Please note that STOP LOSS shall be respective Swing Low, as the case may be. TPs have been identifies on the chart. Wishing You a Profitable Trading
Long
by usufgul
The Day Ahead: Market Focus & Key EventsKey Market Events – Friday, March 28 U.S. Data: February PCE (Core & Headline): Key Fed inflation gauge—high impact on rate expectations. Personal Income & Spending: Consumer strength insights. March Kansas City Fed Services Activity: Regional business sentiment. Europe: UK February Retail Sales: Consumer demand check. Germany March Unemployment, April GfK Consumer Confidence: Labor market & sentiment indicators. France March CPI, PPI: Inflation signals. Italy March Consumer, Manufacturing, & Economic Sentiment + Industrial Sales & PPI: Growth outlook. Eurozone March Economic Confidence: Broad sentiment gauge. Canada: January GDP: Growth momentum ahead of BoC policy decisions. Central Banks: Fed’s Barr & Bostic Speeches: Potential rate clues. ECB Consumer Expectations Survey: Inflation & policy sentiment. Trading Focus: PCE data → USD, Treasuries, equities move on inflation implications. Retail sales, GDP → FX volatility (GBP, CAD). Confidence & inflation prints → EUR crosses & bond yields. Fed/ECB speakers → Interest rate expectations shift. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURUSD Trade Execution EURUSD Trade Execution March 26 Asia 20:00 Macro I suspected that Price would gravitate to the 50 level through to the noted FVG. Logic was Price has been taking sell stops for the past 6 days inching lower. Price was in a deep discount and would want to retrace. Last session taking major sell stops and when the 2022 candle formation occurred I entered. I set alarm for the 50 level and saw that DXY had surpassed its 50 level so I let it ride to my next target. I saw that it could just be consolidating and want to close in the FVG it was rebalancing, however I closed the trade on my target and extremely happy with my analysis, my execution , my exit! Great delivery and trust.
Long
by LeanLena
Daily Market Brief: EUR/USD Analysis Through Correlation Pattern1. Current Market Situation EUR/USD remains under pressure following DAX's -1.17% decline. Key observations: Resistance zone: 1.0781-1.0791 Support level: 1.07810 Subdued trading volumes suggest impending volatility 2. Methodology Our analysis employs: Proprietary Correlation Indicator tracking: • DAX/S&P 500 divergence • EUR/USD's historical response to index movements • Liquidity cluster levels Price action analysis (not theoretical models) 3. Correlation Dynamics Notable patterns: Classic DAX-EUR negative correlation remains intact S&P 500 resilience creates interesting divergence Our indicator detects: 76% chance of false breakout before main move 4. Actionable Trade Plan Primary Scenario (70% probability): Sell zone: 1.0781-1.0791 Invalidation Conditions: DAX rebounds above yesterday's close EUR/USD sustains above 1.0791 5. Execution Guide Monitor DAX futures in real-time Watch for volume spikes at key levels 👉 search Evgenii’s Substack Evgenii’s Substack
Short
by zibr-a