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EUR/USD_SPT - EUR/USD

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The Day Ahead Friday, June 27 – Market Focus A packed session lies ahead with key inflation, growth, and sentiment data releases from major global economies, alongside speeches from central bank officials that could shape rate expectations. United States: Markets will closely watch the May PCE inflation report—the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation—alongside personal income and spending figures. A cooler-than-expected core PCE could fuel speculation of rate cuts later this year. Also on tap: Kansas City Fed's June services activity, providing a regional pulse on service-sector momentum. China: May industrial profits will offer further clarity on the pace of China's manufacturing rebound, with implications for commodity-linked assets and Asian market sentiment. Japan: A comprehensive data dump includes June Tokyo CPI—a key inflation proxy—alongside the May jobless rate, job-to-applicant ratio, and retail sales. These will be crucial for BOJ watchers amid ongoing policy normalization debates. Europe: France releases a triple dose of data—June CPI, May PPI, and consumer spending—while Italy publishes June consumer and business sentiment figures, plus May PPI and April industrial sales. At the Eurozone level, June economic confidence will help assess regional momentum amid ECB’s dovish pivot. Canada: The spotlight is on April GDP, with the economy's performance key to shaping BOC rate expectations. A weak print could cement the case for further easing. Central Banks: Speeches by Fed’s Williams, Hammack, and Cook, along with ECB’s Rehn, may provide clues on future policy paths, especially if they comment on recent inflation data or labor market dynamics. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
1
EUR/USD Rally Continues – 1.18000 in SightHi Everyone, As outlined in our analysis last week, we anticipated a continued move higher toward the 1.16564 and 1.18325 levels, provided price held above 1.14483. Price respected this level, and EUR/USD extended its rally, reaching our first key target at 1.16564 and pushing above 1.17400 — marking the highest level since February 2022. A successful bounce from above 1.16680 or slightly lower at 1.15998 would offer near-term support for a potential retest of the 1.17400 zone. A confirmed break above this resistance could pave the way for a move toward 1.18000, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance. We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
Can it Reach New Highs as USD Weakens?EUR/USD: Euro's Resilience Holds Strong – Can it Reach New Highs as USD Weakens? 🌍 Macro Landscape: EUR/USD Rides Risk-On Sentiment and Fed Cut Hopes The Euro (EUR) is showing significant strength, maintaining its position near a three-year high against the US Dollar (USD). This resilience is largely fueled by a moderately positive risk appetite in the market. Simultaneously, the US Dollar is facing considerable downward pressure. This weakness stems from recent weaker-than-expected economic data from the United States and increasing market expectations for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to implement interest rate cuts. If US economic indicators continue to soften, it could solidify the case for earlier Fed rate cuts, further undermining the USD and potentially boosting EUR/USD. 🏦 Central Bank Policy: Diverging Paths for ECB and Fed Federal Reserve (Fed): The market is increasingly pricing in the likelihood of Fed interest rate cuts. Weaker US data strengthens this narrative, as the Fed might be compelled to ease monetary policy to support economic growth. This dovish outlook for the Fed is a key driver of USD weakness. European Central Bank (ECB): While the provided information focuses on the EUR's strength due to broader market sentiment and USD weakness, the ECB's more measured approach to monetary policy compared to the Fed's potential easing can create a favorable interest rate differential for the Euro, attracting capital flows. This divergence in central bank policy expectations—with the Fed leaning towards cuts and the ECB maintaining a more cautious stance—creates a tailwind for the EUR/USD pair. 🌐 Capital Flows: Money Favors Euro Amidst USD Softness Global capital flow models suggest that funds are increasingly moving towards assets perceived as offering better relative value or stability. As US yields become less attractive due to anticipated Fed rate cuts, capital may flow out of USD-denominated assets. This outflow from the USD naturally benefits currencies like the Euro, especially given its current positive momentum driven by a moderate risk-on environment. The re-pricing of Fed policy risk directly influences these capital movements, contributing to the upward trajectory of EUR/USD. 📊 Technical Structure (H4 Chart Analysis): EUR/USD Eyes Key Resistance Levels Based on the provided EUR/USD H4 chart: Uptrend intact: The pair continues to exhibit a positive trend, characterized by higher lows and higher highs within an ascending channel. Key Resistance Levels: Initial Resistance: 1.16330. This level aligns with recent highs and the top of the minor channel. A break above this suggests further bullish momentum. Major Resistance Zone: 1.17031. This is indicated as a significant resistance area, potentially a long-term target or a reversal point. A break here would confirm strong bullish conviction. Key Support Levels: Immediate Support: 1.15470. This level has acted as a support point, aligning with the EMA 200 and a Fibonacci retracement level, indicating a potential bounce area. Strong Support Zone: 1.15249. This zone represents a robust demand area, aligning with previous price action and serving as a crucial level for bulls to defend. Moving Averages (EMA 13-34-89-200): The price is trading above the short-term and long-term EMAs, suggesting strong bullish momentum. The EMAs are fanning out and showing a bullish alignment, reinforcing the uptrend. Projected Price Action: The chart suggests that the price might retrace towards the 1.15470 or 1.15249 support zones before resuming its upward trajectory towards the 1.16330 and potentially 1.17031 resistance levels. 🎯 Trade Strategy Recommendations: Scenario 1 – BUY the Dip: Entry: Look for bullish confirmation around 1.15470 - 1.15249. Stop-Loss: Below 1.15100 (or a level below the 1.15249 support for risk management). Take-Profit: TP1: 1.15600 TP2: 1.15800 TP3: 1.16000 TP4: 1.16200 TP5: 1.16330 (Targeting the immediate resistance) TP6: 1.16500 TP7: 1.16800 TP8: 1.17031 (Targeting the major resistance) Scenario 2 – SELL the Rally (Counter-trend/Reversal): Entry: Look for bearish confirmation around 1.16330 - 1.16400 or higher near 1.17031. Stop-Loss: Above 1.16500 (or above 1.17100 if selling at higher resistance). Take-Profit: TP1: 1.16200 TP2: 1.16000 TP3: 1.15800 TP4: 1.15600 TP5: 1.15470 (Targeting the immediate support) TP6: 1.15249 (Targeting the strong support zone) ⚠️ Key Events to Watch: Upcoming US Economic Data: Any further weak data could solidify Fed rate cut expectations and weigh on the USD. ECB Official Statements: Comments from ECB members on inflation or monetary policy could impact EUR's strength. Global Risk Sentiment: A continued moderate risk-on environment will generally support the EUR against the USD. Trade smart and stay informed! Wishing everyone a successful trading day!
Long
by MMFlowTrading
1
EUR/USD Bullish Continuation Analysis EUR/USD Bullish Continuation Analysis 🚀💶 📊 Chart Summary: The EUR/USD pair is demonstrating a strong bullish structure with consistent higher highs and higher lows. Recent price action shows a breakout above the 1.16386 resistance level, now acting as support 🛡️. The market is currently retracing and might retest this new support zone before continuing its upward move toward the target. 🔍 Key Observations: 🔸 Bullish Structure: Multiple bullish impulses have formed a clean staircase pattern (🔼⬆️), indicating sustained buying momentum. 🔸 Support Zone 🟦 (1.13200 - 1.14000): This zone has been tested multiple times, confirming its strength and the base of this bullish rally. 🔸 Breakout & Retest 🟠: Price broke above the 1.16386 resistance level, pulled back slightly (highlighted by the orange circle), and now looks ready for a potential continuation to the upside. 🔸 Target 🎯: 1.18010 A clear target has been set based on measured move or resistance projection. If the price respects the current structure, we may see a continuation toward this level. ✅ Trade Outlook: Bias: Bullish 📈 Entry Zone: Around 1.16386 (upon bullish confirmation) Target 🎯: 1.18010 Invalidation ❌: Break below 1.1600 with bearish momentum 🧠 Technical Tip: Always wait for confirmation on the retest before entering. Wick rejections or bullish engulfing candles at the support zone can provide additional entry confidence. 🔍✅
Long
by MrStellanSight
4
EURUSDShorting EUR/USD means you expect the euro to weaken against the U.S. dollar. In other words, you believe the dollar will gain strength or the euro will lose value — or both. Reasons traders might short EUR/USD: • The U.S. economy is performing better than the eurozone. • Interest rates are rising faster in the U.S. than in Europe. • Political or economic instability in the eurozone. • Investors seeking safety in the dollar during global uncertainty. How it works: You sell the pair (EUR/USD) first, aiming to buy it back later at a lower price — profiting from the drop in the euro’s value versus the dollar.
Short
by HavalMamar
2
EURUSD TRADING IN BULLISH TREND EURUSD TRADING IN BULLISH TREND. Price is currently forming higher high and higher low formation. Market was trading in secondary trend from lest few sessions. Recently market shows interest of buyers by bullish engulfing candle. Market may end this secondary trend and can start moving in primary trend. Market is expected to remain bullish in upcoming trading sessions. On lower side, 1.12200 is key support level. On higher side market may hit the target levels of 1.15600.
Long
by TraderAishDXB
2
Summer VibesHello everyone, we a special shart movements in this month , things doesn't look bad as always, because falls and rises are always present in our life. and opportunities comes in the rights moment.. Please make your studies before going for a random idea on the internet and trade at your own risk: in this one, we can see the struggle of rising and we can see an Deja vu back flash into to past, the image is well clear then the written so enjoy. thank you for leaving a comments.
by bootnow
PO3 (Manipulation spike into Premium → Distribution)Price swept liquidity above the recent high → tapped into FVG at a premium BOS and CHOCH are already present earlier → confirming the reversal structure Expecting a bearish reaction from this imbalance zone 📉 EUR/USD Short Setup – June 27 🔹 Entry: 1.17380 🔹 SL: 1.17510 🔹 TP1: 1.17080 | TP2: 1.16800 🔻 PO3 bearish reaction from FVG at Premium zone + prior liquidity sweep pls let me know your opinion am open to let from anyone and everyone, pls
Short
by rotezsolutions
EUR/USD 30-MIN ANALYSISThis EURUSD setup showcases a clean bullish continuation scenario following a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS) and a sharp rally driven by momentum and liquidity imbalance. After sweeping a key low (XXX), price impulsively broke structure to the upside, confirming a potential shift in market intent. A retracement is now expected to mitigate the Buy-Side Imbalance (BISI) zone. BOS & SSS (Short-Term Structural Shift): Confirmed bullish intent. Imbalance (BISI): Price left behind an unfilled imbalance zone a likely magnet for a pullback. Re-Entry Zone: (BISI) provides a high probability area for long re-entry. Upside Targets: Target 1: 1.15483 – intermediate structural level. Target 2: 1.16158 – premium supply / liquidity target. #EURUSD 30M Technical Analysis Expected Move.
Long
by TradeTacticsreal
EUR/USD Short Idea Analysis EUR/USD exhibits bearish potential on the daily timeframe, with the 1.17160–1.18070 zone acting as a key resistance area for a short setup. Technical Analysis: Price Action: Price is testing the 1.17160–1.18070 resistance zone, which aligns with prior highs and a rejection area. A bearish reversal pattern (e.g., shooting star or engulfing) could confirm the short. Support/Target: Initial support at 1.1600, with a deeper target at 1.1500 if selling pressure accelerates. Indicators: RSI is nearing overbought levels (above 65), suggesting a potential reversal. MACD shows weakening bullish momentum, supporting a bearish bias. Fibonacci: The 1.17160–1.18070 zone aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the prior downmove, reinforcing resistance. Risks: A break above 1.1820 could invalidate the setup. Watch for ECB policy updates or unexpected US data shifts. Conclusion: The 1.17160–1.18070 resistance zone offers a compelling short opportunity for EUR/USD, backed by technical and fundamental factors. Use tight risk management due to potential volatility.
Short
by realtrademaster
1