EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
DeGRAM | EURUSD Reached Triangle Target📊 Technical Analysis
EUR/USD remains in a rising channel but is struggling at resistance near 1.1600, forming a bearish divergence. The pair is again testing support around 1.1390.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
The ECB's April rate cut, amid weak growth and easing inflation, highlights Eurozone fragility, while the Fed holds steady as US data remains solid. This policy divergence and ongoing trade tensions support short-term USD strength.
✨ Summary
Both technical and fundamental signals align, suggesting a short-term bearish bias for EUR/USD.
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SELL EURUSD for bullish trend reversal STOP LOSS : 1.15731SELL EURUSD for bullish trend reversal
STOP LOSS : 1.15731
Regular Bearish Divergence
In case of Regular Bearish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Lower Highs
* Actual Market Price shows Higher Highs
We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this level resistance so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with…….trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
Euro dollar, $1.15 is a major technical resistance$1.15, a technical target that was expected
Since the beginning of the year, the euro dollar has established itself as the leader of the foreign exchange market (Forex). Up by more than 10%, it has outperformed all other major Forex pairs, and this upward movement has been built up in stages from a technical analysis point of view. The major chart target of $1.15 has now been reached, a pivotal technical threshold that dates back to 2020/2021.
Since the start of the year, there have been a series of bullish reversal signals on the EUR/USD rate, with a break of resistance at $1.06 in early March, a bullish reversal pattern reminiscent of autumn 2022, and a recently validated golden cross. Elliott wave analysis suggested an end to wave 2 in February, which was validated by price action and momentum indicators.
The $1.15 mark had been the technical target since the $1.06 mark was breached, and the market could now breathe a sigh of relief below this resistance.
Below is a chart showing the performance of the major Forex pairs since the beginning of the year.
Institutional traders were again the forerunners
But what gives even more weight to this move is the behavior of institutional traders. As is often the case, they were the first to sense the bullish reversal. The COT report published by the CFTC shows that, from the beginning of March, hedge funds swung into the long camp, with their net positions returning to positive territory. Shortly afterwards, asset managers followed suit, and the entire institutional net position went bullish by over 50%, historically a major bullish signal (see the second chart below).
Now the real question is: are they still buying at these levels? Do they strengthen? If they start to lighten up, it'll be a game-changer. But for now, support is there, even if the euro-dollar rate were to pause or retrace below $1.15 resistance in the short term.
Support at $1.10/$1.12 is the guarantor of the uptrend.
Below, chart showing weekly Japanese candlesticks for the EUR/USD rate, with the institutional positioning curve according to the CFTC's COT report
So, can we aim for $1.20 by the end of 2025?
From a purely technical point of view, it's not impossible, but we'd need to break above $1.15/$1.17 to activate such a target. And fundamentally, it won't happen by itself. A combination of factors is needed: a euro buoyed by German economic momentum, the end of the conflict in Ukraine, an accommodating but credible ECB, and above all, a weakened US dollar, which requires a healthy “FED put”, in other words, a FED that eases because disinflation is confirmed, and not under the constraint of a recession. We also need to keep a close eye on interest-rate spreads: a spread too favorable to the dollar would break the momentum. In short, $1.20 is technically conceivable between now and the end of the year, but conditional on a macroeconomic context that is not yet present.
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EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
Trade confluences
- Weekly order block rejection
- Daily bearish close
- Intraday breaks of structure
- 15’ order block created
- Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURUSD retracement
Yesterday, EURUSD dropped by over 200 pips.
This move marks the beginning of a correction before the next potential rise.
Current support levels are at 1,1253, 1,1183, and 1,1055.
Wait for the correction to develop and watch for a reaction at these key support levels.
Avoid trading against the main trend!
EURUSD I Monday CLS I KL - FVG, Target - PWHHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
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— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Bullish Pennant Confirms Breakout: Momentum Builds Toward 1.19The pair has formed a textbook bullish pennant on the 4-hour timeframe following a sharp impulsive move upward. Price action consolidated within a narrowing triangle, signaling accumulation before the next leg higher.
The breakout above the pennant’s resistance suggests continuation of the uptrend, with projected Fibonacci targets at:
1.1781 (1.272 extension)
1.1940 (1.414 extension)
Volume behavior confirms the pattern: declining during the consolidation phase and increasing at the breakout, supporting a strong bullish bias.
Fundamental backdrop:
-The US Dollar faces pressure as markets increasingly price in a potential Fed rate cut in the second half of 2025.
-The ECB maintains a more hawkish stance, reinforcing euro strength relative to USD.
-Eurozone economic data shows signs of inflation stabilization, while US CPI readings remain mixed.
-Capital rotation favors major currencies with resilient monetary policies and macroeconomic stability.
As long as EUR/USD holds above 1.1476, the bullish scenario remains intact. A move toward 1.1781 and 1.1940 appears likely. A breakdown below 1.1237 would invalidate the pennant and shift momentum toward support retests.
EURUSD - Analysis and Potential Setups (Intraday- 22.04.25)Overall Trend & Context:
This pair is in an overall uptrend and has broken above last weeks highs.
Technical Findings:
Price is trading above 25, 50,100 and 200 EMA's on the daily and 4H charts.
Overall Bullish price action is evident.
Price has been consolidating through London session thus far, we can expect a tap into the demand below the liquidity (relative equal lows) before continuation of bullish cycles.
Notes:
Price is currently at a weekly supply level, we may bounce in and out of it a few times, so manage your risk and take this setup based on your own analysis as well.
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1490
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1559
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.1399
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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EURUSD: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the EURUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD My Opinion! SELL!`
My dear subscribers,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1362 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 1.1441
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probableBearish continuation.
Target - 1.1195
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURO - Price can fall to $1.1200 points, exiting from triangleHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price first broke out of a falling wedge pattern, kicking off a sharp rally that gained serious momentum.
The move ran into resistance at $1.1440, where price began stalling and transitioned into a triangle setup.
Since then, price has been wedged inside the triangle, testing highs but struggling to break convincingly.
The support trendline still holds, but each push upward is met with rejection near the resistance ceiling.
Momentum is fading, and with volume drying up, a downside move is becoming more likely from this zone.
I expect that the Euro can break lower from the triangle and fall to $1.1200 points in the upcoming sessions.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EURUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of EUR-USD with you.
Looking at the EUR-USD chart, the pair has been in an downward channel since 2008. Currently, we are at the top of the channel. If we see a weakening of the trend on the monthly timeframe, I expect the beginning of a major downward movement.
📉 Expectation:
Bearish Scenario: A potential drop starting from here with the first target being the descending trendline around 0.9250.
Second Target: The red zone I’ve highlighted, around 0.8700.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: Top of the channel
Support: Descending trendline around 0.9250
💬 What are your thoughts on EUR-USD this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
EURUSD Has Been consolidating Serval session A next EURUSD movement what's next target.
EURUSD has been consolidating for several sessions now after making a strong impulsive move to the upside earlier this month. Since support the 1.2150 level, momentum has started to slow up and price is beginning to range near the recent highs. That alone isn’t surprising strong impulsive moves are almost always followed by periods of consolidation or retracement as the market pauses, takes profits, and revaluates.
Resistance zone 1.14000 / 1.14700
Support 1.12000
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