Long EURUSD retest of breakout levels
Macro outlook for the remainder of the week
Upcoming News
US NFP at 430pm Fri
USD downside
Bad NFP report
USD upside
Good NFP report
News review
Liberation Day - Full-scale tariff were definitely not a good thing for the USD as investor fear of it causing a recession is currently outweighing the potential of keeping interest rates high to prevent inflation from running hot. Price has voted this way, so let's keep with it. The risk to this thesis is if Powell comes out and convinces the market that he will focus on inflation over all else and take a hard stance similar to volcker. Then we switch fundamental views.
Technical view
Breakout of the previous levels at 1.0954
With NFP coming up, I'm looking for a retrace back to near the breakout level before it, then take a high RR bet for the trend to continue to the upside.
Timeframe of bet → Till Friday around NFP
Price level of interest → 1.099 to 1.0954
Execution
Price alert set
Look for price to touch the area, and reverse
SL: 1.093 for now. Will be determined based of reversal candle and what's the low of the retracement move.
TP: Highs of 1.11
Results of ideas thus far:
Number of trades: 1
WR: 0%
Profit: -0.1R
Notes: This is currently for personal practice to write out trade ideas. Feedback is welcome, and please don't mind if none of this makes sense.