Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles.Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles. Here’s a full breakdown of the chart and its annotations:
📊
Chart Details:
Pair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 4-hour (H4)
Current Price: Around 1.16093 USD
🔍
Key Annotations & Zones:
🟫
Pink Zone (Supply/Resistance Area):
This area includes:
Accumulation
FVG (Fair Value Gap)
Price has recently entered and reacted from this zone.
🔼
Buy Side Liquidity:
Highlighted at the top of the range.
Price swept above recent highs to trigger buy stops (liquidity grab), possibly setting up for a reversal.
🔽
Sell Side Liquidity:
Marked below the previous consolidation range.
Price had previously dipped to collect sell-side liquidity before moving upward.
📈
Accumulation:
This phase occurred before the bullish breakout.
Suggests institutional buying or smart money positioning.
📉
FVG (Fair Value Gap):
Imbalance between buying and selling, typically gets filled.
Marked in the pink zone where price may return before continuing its move.
📌
Price Structure Analysis:
The chart shows a classic liquidity sweep setup:
Price grabs buy-side liquidity.
Enters a supply zone.
May return to fill the FVG.
Potential reversal or bearish reaction from this zone.
✅
Trading Implications:
Bearish Scenario:
Price may reject from the pink supply zone after the buy-side liquidity sweep, filling the FVG and possibly heading toward previous lows.
Bullish Scenario (less likely immediately):
If price holds above the pink zone, it could continue trending upward.
EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
EURUSDShorting EUR/USD means you expect the euro to weaken against the U.S. dollar. In other words, you believe the dollar will gain strength or the euro will lose value — or both.
Reasons traders might short EUR/USD:
• The U.S. economy is performing better than the eurozone.
• Interest rates are rising faster in the U.S. than in Europe.
• Political or economic instability in the eurozone.
• Investors seeking safety in the dollar during global uncertainty.
EURUSD Midweek Outlook | 3H - 15M Dual ViewLeft side chart shows the 3H Bird’s Eye structure — price swept the recent highs but failed to follow through, signaling external bull weakness. That shift in narrative tells me price may be prepping to drop, potentially targeting the SSL below before gathering fuel to attack major highs.
Right side zooms in on the 15M — I’m patiently watching for a clean lower high to break (CHoCH) followed by a pullback to confirm a sell entry. Until I get that proper LTF trigger, I stay on the sidelines. Execution always follows alignment.
Bias: Short
HTF Structure: 3H sweep of highs, showing weakness
LTF View: Waiting for 15M confirmation (break + retest)
Target: SSL below
Mindset Note: Trade what’s shown, not what’s felt. Stay sharp, stay patient.
Bless Trading!
EURUSD: Can it reach 1.1900?EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.234, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 20.419) and is going for a 3 week high. This is technically a long term bullish wave (since the January 13th 2025 low) on the 3 year Channel Up. We anticipate that this wave will go for the pattern's high by the end of the year, and being limited by the 7 year LH trendline, we expect to aim for at least 1.1900. The 1W RSI has started to post a sequence that resembles the last 3 major ones.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Euro Prices Falling TodayThe EURUSD has broken to a new high for the month and the year.
The price extended above highs from June between 1.1614 to 1.16297. The high price extended to 1.1641 so far. That represents the highest levels going back to October 2021. With the break, the next key target area comes between 1.1663 and 1.16916. That area corresponds with swing lows and swing highs going back to April 2021 through November 2021 before the pair started a trend-like move to the lows reached in September 2022.
EURUSD: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 1.16242 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD Sell/ShortFundamental Analysis
EURUSD rates is being influenced by the current Eurozone's economic performance, driven by key economies like Germany and France, continues to be shaped by industrial output, consumer confidence, and inflation trends. The European Central Bank (ECB) has likely maintained a cautious monetary policy, with interest rates possibly held steady or adjusted slightly to combat inflation while supporting growth. On the U.S. side, the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, potentially in a tightening phase to address persistent inflation plays a critical role. Recent U.S. economic data, including GDP growth, employment figures, and consumer spending, may indicate a robust dollar, putting downward pressure on EURUSD. Additionally, geopolitical tensions, energy prices (affecting Eurozone energy imports), and trade balances between the U.S. and EU are likely contributing to volatility. Given the current date, recent ECB and Fed statements or data releases for June 2025 inflation reports.
Technical Analysis:
Based on the provided EURUSD 1D chart (covering mid-2024 to mid-2025), the following technical observations can be made:
Trend and Moving Averages:
For EURUSD it shows a descending trend from a peak around 1.48 in mid-2024, with a potential reversal or consolidation forming in mid-2025. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages (depicted as orange lines) are sloping downward, with the price recently testing these levels around 1.12-1.13. A break above the shorter-term moving average could signal bullish momentum, while a failure to hold might confirm a continuation of the downtrend. Looking for key support levels here are identified at 1.09318 (TP 2) and 1.08000, with the current price hovering near 1.12003 (TP 1). Resistance is notable at 1.15625 (SL) and the previous high near 1.4800. The price action suggests a potential bounce from the recent low, with the next target being the resistance zone around 1.15625 if bullish momentum persists. Candlesticks and volume patterns are showing a recent green candlesticks indicate buying pressure, potentially forming a reversal pattern near the 1.12 level. Volume analysis would confirm the strength of this move, with higher volume on upticks supporting a breakout.
Overall Bias:
The technical setup suggests a short-term bullish correction within a broader bearish trend, contingent on breaking and holding above 1.15625. A drop below 1.09318 would invalidate the bullish case and resume the downtrend toward 1.08000 or lower.
Sentiment Analysis
Market sentiment as of June 2025 likely reflects heightened interest in EUR/USD due to recent economic data and central bank policies. Traders and analysts are closely watching for signs of ECB rate cuts or Fed rate hikes, which could sway the pair. On social platforms and financial forums, there may be a mix of caution and optimism looking out for caution due to the Eurozone's economic challenges (energy costs, political uncertainty), and optimism if U.S. data softens, weakening the dollar. The chart's visibility on trading platforms suggests retail and institutional traders are actively monitoring this pair, with a focus on the 1.12-1.16 range as a critical decision point. Sentiment could shift rapidly based on upcoming economic releases or geopolitical developments.
Conclusion
The EUR/USD pair is at a pivotal juncture, with fundamentals pointing to a stronger USD due to Fed policy, while from a technical standpoint suggest a short-term bounce toward 1.15625 if support at 1.12003 holds. Sentiment indicates active trader interest, with eyes on central bank moves. A break above resistance could target 1.4800 (long-term), while a failure might see a decline to 1.08000. Monitor upcoming data for confirmation.
EURUSD Bullish flag breakout at 1.1525Trend Overview:
The EUR/USD currency pair maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by a sustained rising trend. Recent intraday price action shows a bullish flag breakout, a continuation pattern that typically signals further upside potential.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support:
1.1525 – critical former consolidation zone and breakout base
Below that: 1.1440 and 1.1360 as deeper retracement targets
Resistance:
Initial target: 1.1700
Further resistance at: 1.1740 and 1.1780
Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation:
A retest and hold of the 1.1525 support would confirm strength post-breakout
Could trigger renewed buying toward 1.1700, then 1.1740 and 1.1780
Bearish Reversal:
A daily close below 1.1525 would invalidate the bullish flag
Opens the path for a deeper correction toward 1.1440 and 1.1360
Conclusion:
EUR/USD remains technically bullish following the flag breakout, with upside momentum favoured above 1.1525. Traders should watch for price action near this key level — holding it supports a bullish continuation, while a breakdown may trigger a short-term bearish correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the resistance level📊 Technical Analysis
● Price has spiked into the confluence of the long-term channel roof (≈1.1615) and a steeper resistance line, printing a rejection candle and bearish divergence on the 1 h RSI.
● The move leaves a lower high versus 13 Jun and snaps the micro up-sloper; a slide back inside the grey 1.1560-1.1520 supply should accelerate toward the mid-June swing floor at 1.1490.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Hotter US S&P-global PMIs rekindled Fed “higher-for-longer” chatter, lifting two-year yields and the DXY, while French election uncertainty widens Bund-Treasury spreads—both pressuring EUR.
✨ Summary
Fade rallies 1.1580-1.1610; sustained trade beneath 1.1560 targets 1.1520 ➜ 1.1490. Bearish view void on an hourly close above 1.1630.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support
EURUSD Potential Topping ActionTaking a look at the 4hr chart, RSI is showing signs that the bullish momentum is starting to fade with the bearish divergence. In the event we get a 4hr candle that closes below the last, I'll be looking to start scaling some short positions with this pair.
Trade Safe - Trade Well.
Euro H4 | Potential reversal off a multi-swing-high resistanceThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.1609 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 1.1675 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 1.1535 which is a pullback support that aligns with a 50% Fiboancci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Forex and Gold Market Highlights June 21 2025Forex & Gold Market Highlights – June 21, 2025
🕒 Key Events This Week:
• 🏦 Fed officials signaling possible rate cuts vs. cautious economic tone
• 🌍 Escalating Israel–Iran tensions boosting safe-haven flows
• 🏭 Mixed U.S. macro data (retail sales, Philly Fed, housing) shaping Fed expectations
________________________________________
💶 EUR/USD Nears 1.1520 on Safe-Haven Flows
EUR/USD edged up to about 1.1520 amid weakness in the U.S. dollar, driven by global risk-off sentiment. Mixed signals from the Fed kept traders cautious.
________________________________________
💷 GBP/USD Hovering Around 1.3500 on USD Strength
GBP/USD remains near 1.3500, slipping slightly off highs after weaker UK retail data. The pair faces resistance in the 1.3550–1.3600 zone.
________________________________________
💴 USD/JPY Eyeballing 146 Resistance
USD/JPY climbed toward 146.00, driven by risk-averse USD demand and dovish BOJ stance. The pair is testing key retracement resistance near 146.76.
________________________________________
🥇 Gold Pulls Back but Holds Ground
Spot gold slid to around $3,334 3,381 this week, under pressure from a stronger dollar and diminished Fed rate-cut hopes. Still, geopolitical jitters kept it from falling hard.
• Weekly drop of ~2.5%, trading in a $3,330–$3,400 range.
________________________________________
📈 DXY Index Rallies on Risk Aversion
The U.S. Dollar Index rose ~0.45%, marking its strongest weekly gain in over a month due to heightened safe-haven flows amid Middle East tensions.
________________________________________
📌 Market Outlook:
• EUR/USD: Mixed bias. May test 1.1550–1.1600 if risk-off continues; downside risk near 1.1400 if U.S. data surprises.
• GBP/USD: Expected to stay in the 1.3450–1.3550 range; UK economic data and USD momentum will be key.
• USD/JPY: Bullish tilt remains toward 146.76, but any BOJ hints of policy tightening could shake it.
• Gold: Pressure from a firm dollar is likely to persist. Watch for geopolitical developments and upcoming Fed signals for reversal clues.
EURUSD Trade Plan: Retracement Into Key Fibo Zone POI.I’m currently watching EURUSD closely 👀. On the daily timeframe, it’s clearly broken structure and is now in a bullish trend 📈. Dropping down to the lower timeframes 🕒, price appears overextended and is now trading into a previous resistance level 🚧.
I’m anticipating a retracement into equilibrium — specifically the 50% level of the current swing, and ideally into the 50–61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone 🔁. If price pulls back into that range, I’ll be watching for a bullish market structure shift 🔄. I don’t want to see it push below the bullish imbalance 📉—I want that zone to hold as support so price can continue north 🔼.
If this plays out, my ideal entry would be around the imbalance and the 50% Fib level, with a stop loss just below the imbalance, and targets set at the current swing high and previous swing high, as detailed in the video 🎯.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Please do your own analysis or consult a licensed financial advisor.
Can the EUR/USD break out of its range-bound trading?The EUR/USD has advanced for the third consecutive trading day, rebounding above the key 1.1500 level and trading around 1.1530 during the European session. US President Trump's statement that it would take two weeks to decide whether to intervene in the Middle East conflict effectively alleviated market concerns over conflict escalation, providing support for the euro. Analysts believe that the exchange rate is likely to remain range-bound between 1.1400 and 1.1600 over the next 1-2 weeks. Any new developments in geopolitical tensions could significantly impact the exchange rate. If positive progress is made in the Iran nuclear talks, the exchange rate is expected to challenge the upper boundary of the range; conversely, if the Middle East situation deteriorates further, the exchange rate may retest the 1.14 support level.
you are currently struggling with losses,or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Trading Strategy:
buy@1.4500-1.4700
TP:1.5300-1.5500
Support and Resistance Zones
Resistance zone is marked near 1.16000.
Support zone is marked around 1.14500.
Price Action:
Price is currently near 1.15776, heading towards the resistance.
There’s a strong white candle indicating bullish momentum.
Projected Price Path:
A white projection line suggests a move upwards to test the resistance zone.
Then, a grey projection line suggests a potential reversal from the resistance, falling back to test the support level.
Interpretation:
This is likely a range-trading or false breakout trap analysis:
The trader is possibly expecting a fake breakout above the resistance before a drop back down toward the support area.
EURUSD: Bears Will Push Lower
The analysis of the EURUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to tank due to the rising pressure from the sellers.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
EURUSD: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 1.15261 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD Is Going Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.146.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.143 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!