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EUR/USD_SPT - EUR/USD

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EURUSD_SPT trade ideas

EUR/USD Technical Outlook: Bearish Momentum Builds Below Key ResEUR/USD has broken down from its recent highs near the 1.1750 resistance area, which coincides with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. The pair is now trading around the 1.1600 handle, slipping below a short-term support zone near 1.1576. This breakdown signals potential continuation of bearish pressure in the coming sessions. The 50-day SMA (1.1477) remains upward sloping, but the price action has now decisively turned lower, with a series of lower highs forming after the July peak. The MACD histogram is fading, indicating waning bullish momentum, and the RSI has dropped to 47.7—losing the bullish bias and heading toward bearish territory. If EUR/USD cannot reclaim the 1.1576–1.1600 zone quickly, a deeper pullback toward the 50-day SMA or even the 1.1450–1.1500 range may unfold. On the upside, bulls would need to push back above the 1.1750 resistance to regain control, but given the loss of momentum and structure, the near-term bias favors the bears. -MW
by FOREXcom
EUR/USD Fibonacci Resistance - Rising Wedge BreakEUR/USD came into Q3 with a full head of steam, setting a fresh three-year high on the first day of the new quarter. But bulls couldn't make much progress after that and a key Fibonacci retracement continued to hold buyers at bay, until eventually sellers were able to take-over and make a more noticeable dent after this morning's CPI data. The breakout in USD helped to prod a breakdown in EUR/USD, and bears now have an open door to run a short-term trend. There's now resistance potential at prior support of 1.1631 and 1.1663, and there's deeper support potential at 1.1543 and 1.1457. - js
by FOREXcom
EURUSD OUTLOOK 15 - 18 JULYCore CPI m/m came in light which gave a mixed signal at first but CPI y/y was higher than expected which eventually moved EU lower. The last two analysis that I posted were more longer term focused so this time I will be giving a more short term outlook. Currently the dollar is stronger based on the recent news that has been coming out and because of that I am still looking to short this pair keeping in mind that it is only the internal structure that is bearish and the swing structure is still bullish
Short
by Keyserfx
EURUSD BEARISH SETUP: 15 JULY 2025This is a 4-hour chart of the EUR/USD currency pair, and it includes several key technical elements: --- 🔍 Overall Market Context The price is in a downtrend, clearly shown by the descending channel (highlighted with yellow lines). The price just broke below the lower boundary of that channel, indicating potential bearish continuation. The chart includes support/resistance levels, pivot points, and a projected path suggesting possible price behavior. --- 🔧 Key Technical Elements 1. Price Action & Structure Recent price action shows a strong bearish move (large red candle), suggesting strong selling pressure. The move bounced off S2, a weekly pivot support level, and entered a demand zone (green area). 2. Projected Scenario (Black Line Path) A potential pullback to 1.16586 (key resistance). If price fails to break above that resistance, it's expected to drop again. Possible next supports: 1.15842 1.15228 Final target: 1.14550 3. Pivot Levels Weekly Pivot: Near 1.17100 area (currently above the price — bearish implication). S2 level: Around 1.15900 — presently acting as short-term support. R1, R2, etc., are above and could act as resistance in a retracement. --- 📊 Summary of Trade Outlook 🔻 Bearish Bias (Short-Term to Medium-Term) Main idea: This chart reflects a bearish breakout of a descending channel. Entry Zones: After a potential pullback to resistance (1.16586) Targets: 1.15842 → 1.15228 → 1.14550 Invalidation: A Bullish break above 1.16586 could invalidate the bearish setup. --- ✅ Trading Considerations Wait for confirmation of rejection at 1.16129 or 1.16586 before shorting. Watch for volume confirmation on the pullback. Monitor fundamentals (e.g. ECB or Fed news) as they can drive sudden volatility.
Short
by Pedro_07
#AN021: TRUMP Threats on Tariffs and FOREX Tensions Global markets are waking up to a currency cold war. Hi, I'm Trader Andrea Russo, and today I want to share the latest news with you. Donald Trump set the day alight, launching a barrage of threats from a rally in Ohio: "If re-elected, I will impose 60% tariffs on all of China, 20% on Mexico, and 10% on the European Union. And I'm telling Putin clearly: if you continue to help China evade our embargoes, we will hit Russia too." The words reverberated across global investment banks, triggering an immediate reaction in the dollar and emerging market currencies. Markets React: USD Soars, GBP and NOK on Alert The US dollar gained ground against nearly all major currencies, while the GBP collapsed under pressure from fears of a BoE rate cut and a slowing labor market. The GBP/NOK pair, in particular, is showing signs of a structured bearish breakout: the pound is under dual pressure (domestic politics + trade war), while the Norwegian krone is indirectly benefiting from rising energy prices and pro-commodity sentiment. US CPI at 2:30 PM: The Real Detonator The US core inflation figure will be released at 2:30 PM Italian time. The consensus is for +3.4%, but a higher reading could push the Fed to remain more hawkish for longer. This would strengthen the dollar and create new shock waves in weak and emerging market currencies. Specifically: USD/JPY could break above 162.00 with strength. GBP/USD risks a break below 1.29. USD/SEK and USD/MXN are the key pairs to watch for explosive movements. Trump vs. Powell: A Showdown Meanwhile, fears are growing of a direct attack by Trump on the Fed. According to Deutsche Bank, markets are underestimating the possibility that Trump will attempt to remove Jerome Powell if he returns to the White House. "The market is ignoring the Trump-Powell variance. If he really tries, the dollar could fall 4% in a week," – Deutsche Bank We are about to enter the best time of the month for Forex. Those who get their timing wrong today will burn capital. Those who wait for the right signal can ride the trend arising from a predicted global crisis.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
LONG EURUSD I am LONG on this pair at time of writing. IT is important to adjust your paper profits NOT SO high that it will wipe you out and you need to restart at a higher buying price. Say you have 2 contracts and is in profits position, you can take 1 contract or 0.5 or 1.5 size and leave the remaining to run at breakeven SL position. That way, if you are riding on the market trend, then your remaining position be it 0.5 or 1.5 will still benefit and you can just accumulate as it trends up. This works for me but may not be for everyone. Choose a strategy that fits you. Different folks, different strokes.
Long
by dchua1969
The Day AheadMacro Data Highlights United States June CPI – Crucial inflation gauge; likely to shape Fed rate expectations. Empire Manufacturing Index (July) – Regional economic activity snapshot. China Q2 GDP – Key read on the health of the world’s second-largest economy. June Retail Sales / Industrial Production / Home Prices – Important for tracking domestic demand and real estate trends. Europe Germany & Eurozone ZEW Surveys (July) – Investor sentiment indicators, especially relevant amid sluggish European growth. Eurozone May Industrial Production – Tracks output momentum in manufacturing-heavy economies. Italy May Government Debt – Sovereign debt level insights amid fiscal scrutiny. Canada June CPI – Important for BoC policy outlook. Existing Home Sales / May Manufacturing Sales – Indicators of economic activity and housing market resilience. Central Bank Speakers Fed: Bowman, Barr, Collins, Barkin – Watch for comments on inflation and rate cut timing. BoE: Governor Bailey – May impact GBP and UK rate expectations. Earnings (Focus: Financials) JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, Bank of New York Mellon, BlackRock Q2 results will offer insights into: Net interest income trends Credit quality & loan growth Capital market activity (BlackRock focus on AUM and inflows) Trading Takeaway U.S. CPI and bank earnings are the top market movers – inflation print could shift rate cut expectations for September. China data may influence commodity and EM sentiment. Fed/BoE speakers may provide policy clarity amid disinflationary trends. Financials earnings will be key to market tone, especially for value stocks and financial sector ETFs. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
2
EURUSD: Move Up Expected! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.16869 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.16975.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Long
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
EURUSD SEEMS TO FIND SUPPORT TRADING IDEA UPDATE - EURUSD SEEMS TO FIND SUPPORT🦾 EURUSD seems to find support on a trendline and shows us divergence on RSI on 1-h timeframe. So, I decided to close my trade in advance before my stop loss gets triggered and open long position with a 🔼 a market buy order at 1.16833 with ❌a stop loss at 1.16324 and 🤑a take profit at 1.18266 Additionally, today is the U.S. CPI report data coming out. Market expects the annual inflation to be around 2.7%. Me, personally, think that actual June inflation will be a bit lower, which may provide some fundamental support to the EURUSD. Will see.
Long
by ProfessorSingapore
LONG | EUR/USD | 1DCurrent Level: ~1.1662 Revised Entry Zone: 🔄 Buy the dip around 1.1660–1.1670 This aligns with 50-day EMA and daily/4H pivot (~1.1630–1.1670) acting as support. Stop Loss: 1.1630 (just below 50 EMA & recent low) Target: 1.1750 → 1.1800 (range high/resistance) Risk:Reward: ~1:3.8 ✅ Institutional Rationale: Momentum remains bullish, though momentum indicators are cooling—price retesting structural support (mid-BB, pivot zone). Weekly outlook still favors bulls while above 1.1637–1.1670—suggesting accumulated buy orders in this zone. Event risk: U.S. employment and Fed speakers imminent—creates ideal buy-on-dip opportunities with tight stops.
Long
by per5onanongrata
EURUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.1684 Bias - Bullish Safe Stop Loss - 1.1633 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 1.1776 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD Will Go Lower! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.168. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.159 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EURUSD Analysis – Smart Money Breakout + Reversal Zone in Play🔹 1. Bearish Channel & Liquidity Trap Setup Price action from late June into mid-July formed a clearly defined descending channel, with consistent lower highs and lower lows. This structure likely attracted retail traders into short positions, expecting continued downside. 💡 Key Insight: The initial breakout of the channel was a fake move — often referred to as a liquidity grab or inducement. This is typical in smart money models where institutions trap early traders before the real move begins. 🔹 2. Major CHoCH (Change of Character) Shortly after the fakeout, price sharply reversed and broke a major internal structure level, giving us our first CHoCH confirmation. This is a critical event in SMC, signaling a possible trend reversal from bearish to bullish. Why it matters: A CHoCH after a channel + fakeout combo is a strong reversal signal, especially when supported by volume and aggression. Visual cue: Look at the bullish engulfing momentum candle post-fakeout — this was the moment smart money entered. 🔹 3. Trendline Break + SR Interchange (Support/Resistance Flip) Following the CHoCH, price broke the trendline and came back down to test a high-probability SR Interchange Zone — an area where previous resistance turned into fresh support. This zone also aligns with the order block and inefficiency area, making it a premium entry for institutions. Notice how price respected the zone before launching aggressively upward. 🧠 Note: This was the cleanest entry point in this setup — combining structure break, liquidity, and a demand zone. 🔹 4. Major BOS (Break of Structure) After the retest, EURUSD broke the last major lower high, confirming a Bullish BOS (Break of Structure). This is where many traders realized the trend had shifted. Market sentiment flipped from bearish to bullish. Momentum increased, indicating institutional buying pressure. 🔹 5. Next Target: Reversal Zone (Supply Area) Price has now reached a critical supply zone (1.1930 – 1.1970) where the next major reaction is likely to occur. This area was previously a strong rejection point, and it aligns with a potential higher timeframe supply zone. ⚠️ Watch for: Bearish rejection wicks Liquidity sweeps above highs Bearish engulfing or mitigation patterns CHoCH on lower timeframes (1H, 15m) ✅ Key Trading Takeaways: Liquidity Trap: Retail was trapped inside a clean channel. Fakeout Move: Induced shorts were wiped out. CHoCH & BOS: Clear reversal pattern with momentum. Perfect Retest Entry: Price retested demand and launched. Current Area = Supply/Distribution: Great place to look for shorts or take profits. 📌 Possible Trading Plans: 🔸 Plan A: Reversal Short (Countertrend) Entry: Inside 1.1930–1.1970 zone Confirmation: Bearish PA + LTF CHoCH TP1: Previous BOS (~1.1830) TP2: Demand zone retest (~1.1650) SL: Above 1.1980–1.2000 🔸 Plan B: Continuation Long (Breakout Bias) Entry: Break + Retest above 1.2000 psychological level SL: Below breakout wick TP1: 1.2100 TP2: 1.2200+ 🔖 Concepts Applied: Smart Money Concepts (CHoCH, BOS, liquidity sweep) Price Action Structure Trendline break and retest Supply & Demand Zones Support/Resistance Flip (SR Interchange) Volume + Momentum Confirmation 🔄 Conclusion: This chart demonstrates a classic Smart Money narrative: “Trap the retail, shift the structure, drive price into premium, then reverse.” We're now at a make-or-break supply zone. Watch price behavior carefully — this is where smart traders either secure profits or prepare for the next leg.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades