EURUSD | m15 supply playPrice broke structure with a clean CHoCH, then pulled back into a refined M15 supply zone. After rejecting the imbalance area, I executed a short aiming for the next liquidity pool below 1.14250.
🧩 Confluences:
CHoCH + Lower High confirmation 🔁
Supply zone entry + FVG rejection
3-candle mitigation + bearish pressure returning
🎯 Target: 1.14050
❌ SL above: 1.14830
“Structure breaks first, then price tells the story. Patience pays.” 🔥📉
EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
EURUSD Gearing Up for Next Leg Up – DXY Weakens After PPI MissToday, key U.S. economic indexes were released, providing fresh insights into inflationary pressures and the state of the labor market:
Core PPI m/m:
Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: -0.4%
Lower than expected – suggests weaker underlying producer inflation.
PPI m/m:
Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: -0.5%
Slight miss – overall inflation at the producer level remains soft.
Unemployment Claims:
Actual: 248K | Forecast: 242K | Previous: 247K
Slightly higher than forecast – signaling some cooling in the labor market.
Market Outlook :
These data releases point toward cooling inflation and softness in job growth, which may strengthen the dovish narrative around the Fed’s next move.
DXY Index ( TVC:DXY ) is under pressure, and EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is showing signs of bullish momentum .
-----------------------------------------------------------
Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 1-hour time frame .
EURUSD is trading near the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) and Monthly Resistance(2) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , EURUSD appears to be completing microwave 4 . Microwave 4 could be completed at one of the Fibonacci levels .
I expect EURUSD to attack the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) at least once more after completing microwave 4 and could even rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.1446 , we can expect more dump.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Uptrend in EURUSDEURUSD remains in a clear upward trend.
Last week, key economic events passed, but the pair failed to reach a new high.
This week, we’ll be watching for signs that the current pullback is ending and looking for potential buying opportunities.
The first support levels are the previous low and 1,1443.
The target is to test and break above the previous high!
EURUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Off the 61.8% FibBased on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.1555, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.1457, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 1.1632, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EURUSD Stalling—Breakout or Breakdown Next?EURUSD has been trending higher but is now flashing signs of exhaustion. While shorts remain risky without more confirmation, aggressive traders could explore them near the highs. Longs also carry increasing risk at these extended levels. Two idea paths: a cautious long continuation, or a speculative reversal trade. A clean break of key trendlines will likely invalidate short setups and resume the uptrend.
EURUSD -> Bullish Idea 22/06/2025(ICT x Volume Profile)OANDA:EURUSD 🎯 Bias: Bullish
🕒 Timeframe: H1 primary, H15 confirmation
Happy sunday traders!
Following President Trump’s strikes on Iran, I expect an initial bearish reaction in the Asian and London Sessions, then a bullish reaction in the NY sessions as sellers push the USD lower. However, the prevailing trend context remains bullish: the hourly chart has shifted structure (MSS) and broke structure to the upside. I anticipate a liquidity sweep below the recent lows, before a retracement into the 15-minute fair value gap (FVG) which aligns with the volume profile, then continuation higher to target the weak high and into the swing highs marked.
EURUSD: Important Supports & Resistances For Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these supports and resistances for breakout/pullback trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EU could go up againHi traders,
Last week EU made a bigger (overlapping) correction to the downside so now the wave count is invalid. I must admit that I don't see a clear Elliott wave pattern. There are multiple options.
This last pattern could be a corrective pattern and next week we could see a next impulsive wave.
Or it is a bearish leading diagonal and next week we could see this pair drop.
At the moment my main (fundamental) bias is still bullish.
But let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for more development of price action.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
EURUSD: Bearish Continuation
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 20, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the Eurodollar has encountered a significant decline, dipping below the Mean Support level of 1.149; however, it exhibited a modest recovery on Friday. Recent analyses indicate that the Euro is likely to decrease further to the Mean Support level of 1.148, with the potential for extending its bearish trend to reach 1.140. Nevertheless, there remains a possibility that the current recovery will persist, which could result in price movements targeting the Key Resistance level at 1.158 and potentially leading to a retest of the Outer Currency Rally's 1.163 mark.
Long objective for the following week for EURUSD.We see EU after a deeper mitigation in our range, Shift structure in the lower timeframes, Which can indicate a trend shift in the higher timeframes because the markets are fractal.
We have undetified two significant demand zones for longs positions.
There is also a chance that price can mitigate deeper in our range so we should use correct risk managment because nobody knows from which point price will move from.
EURUSD BEARISH SETUP
The EUR/USD 4-hour chart reflects a significant technical setup, showing price action within a bullish ascending channel that has recently broken to the downside, forming a falling wedge pattern—typically a bullish continuation signal.
Key Observations:
Bullish Channel Broken: The price broke below the ascending channel earlier this month, signaling initial weakness.
Falling Wedge Formation: A bullish falling wedge has developed, and the pair is now testing its upper boundary near 1.1522, attempting a breakout.
Resistance Zone: The price is approaching a key resistance area between 1.1550 – 1.1600, which aligns with previous highs and the wedge's upper edge.
Scenario Projection:
A temporary bullish breakout toward the resistance zone is expected.
If the pair gets rejected from this resistance, a sharp decline toward the major support area near 1.1300 is likely.
Bearish Confirmation: A clear rejection at the resistance zone followed by a break below the recent minor support (red zone) would confirm the bearish move.
Conclusion:
While short-term bullish momentum may push EUR/USD slightly higher, the confluence of resistance levels suggests a high probability of rejection. Traders should watch for reversal signals in the 1.1550–1.1600 zone, as failure to break higher could lead to a bearish move toward 1.1300 in the coming days.
EURUSD - Where next?Looking at EURUSD
I still feel like we are due some sort of deeper retracement to the downside considering how bullish the 4H and Daily time frame have been in recent times.
Although the market does not care how I feel in all honesty haha. I will play the short term short until the 15min orderflow switches bullish once again.
The expansion that is currently happing right now is very interesting and makes a good watch to see what we will do come market open as we are engineering liquidity for both a buy and sell with both POI's looking primed for entries.
Will be keeping a close and keen eye on EURUSD when the market opens
Any questions feel free to give me a message
EURUSD - End of the bull trend? Entering in a Range or a Bear?EURUSD is reaching a channel line on the weekly chart and it already showed us that traders are watching it.
Last week we had a very strong and climatic bull move, indicating bears were off, possibly waiting for the market to reach this level. Now that we reached it, we have a weekly candle with a long upper tail, indicating bulls taking profit and bears coming in.
The market is also overextended from the 20 EMA and a longer pullback looks reasonable and healthy at this point.
Let's see what happens in the next few weeks. But anyway, whoever made money on this bull trend is now shifting to a more cautious perspective. A pullback to the EMA is likely this year, since we didn't touch it since March 2025.
EU| - Bullish Structure Intact | Watching for SSL Sweep and RunPair: EURUSD
Bias: Bullish
Timeframes: 4H, 2H, LTFs
• 4H structure is clean and bullish — momentum’s been steady, and the market looks ready to ride higher going into next week.
• 2H gives clarity — I’m watching for a sweep of SSL into OB to set the stage for LTF confirmation.
• Entry process remains the same: wait for CHoCH, followed by sweep inside the OB zone.
🔹 Entry: After CHoCH + sweep inside OB (LTF process repeated)
🔹 Entry Zone: After confirmation within OB
🔹 Target: Structure highs — letting price unfold with the trend
Mindset: Patience pays the most. Wait for the market to come to you, not the other way around.
Bless Trading!
Euro-dollar retreats from $1.18Euro-dollar’s uptrend which has lasted fairly consistently since the start of 2025 continued in June with the price reaching a fresh four-year high above $1.18 on 1 July. Less confidence in the USA as the government continues to flip-flop and contradict on tariffs has driven capital out of the dollar. Monetary policy in the eurozone might stabilise with majority expectations pointing to only one more cut by the ECB this year while CME FedWatch suggests an 80% probability of at least two cuts by the Fed before the end of 2025.
Low volume and clear overbought conditions might point to a pause in the uptrend soon, but selling demand also seems to be limited as seen from the relatively long tails of recent candlesticks. The 23.6% monthly Fibonacci retracement is slightly above the top of this chart around $1.1885. The 38.2% Fibo around $1.166 is a possible area of support.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
EURUSD 4H Structure Analysis | MMC Strategy + Channel + CurveIn this EURUSD 4-hour chart analysis using MMC (Market Mind Concept), we are observing a textbook rising channel structure accompanied by a black mind curve (evidence of psychological support behavior). Let's break it down:
📊 Structure Overview:
Straight Ascending Channel:
Price has been respecting a clean, straight rising channel, forming higher highs and higher lows over the past several weeks. This structure provides a controlled bullish bias, but we are approaching an inflection point.
Black Mind Curve Support (Evidence 2):
A curved trendline (Mind Curve) is providing dynamic support. This curve intersects with the lower boundary of the rising channel—creating a confluence zone, which is likely to act as strong short-term support or the base of a reversal.
Major BOS (Break of Structure):
A significant bullish BOS occurred earlier, confirming momentum strength. This previous break is acting as a reference point for bullish continuation scenarios.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below the channel and mind curve support, this would invalidate the current bullish channel structure.
A clean breakout + retest below the support zone may invite strong selling pressure, targeting previous support zones around 1.1500 – 1.1350.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If the price holds above the mind curve and continues upward, we may see a breakout above the top of the channel.
A confirmed breakout could send price toward the 1.1900 – 1.2000 resistance zone.
Patience is key—wait for a confirmed breakout from the channel (either side) before engaging.
⏳ Strategy Outlook:
✅ Wait for channel breakout confirmation (up or down)
⚠️ Watch for fakeouts or liquidity grabs near channel boundaries
🔁 Mind Curve Support adds another layer of decision-making structure
🧠 Trade with the trend, but remain adaptable to shift if channel breaks
🔍 Summary:
The EURUSD pair is in a decision-making zone—either we get a bullish continuation breakout, or the structure fails and we flip into a bearish correction. The confluence of the straight channel and mind curve makes this setup high-quality for both trend traders and breakout traders.
EURUSD is almost at h1 ob and previous day high. EURUSD approaching the H1 order block (OB) and the previous day high. That’s a strong confluence zone for a potential reversal.
Here’s a quick game plan you could consider:
Entry: Look for bearish reversal price action signals (like pin bars, bearish engulfing candles) right at the H1 OB / previous day high zone.
Stop loss: Just above the order block or recent swing high to minimize risk.
Target: Yesterday’s low as your take profit zone — logical support area.
Risk/Reward: Make sure it fits your 1-2% risk per trade with at least 1:2 or 1:3