EURUSD Approaches Key Resistance After Strong BounceThe 1.1050–1.11 support zone held EURUSD almost like a textbook example. Still, it is too early to say the retest has failed and that the main direction is now definitively upward. You can check our earlier post here:
In the short term, the bounce and breakout above 1.12 were strong. However, bulls should remain cautious as the main resistance is now within reach. The 1.1275–1.1295 zone is the key short-term resistance, in our view. This area includes a former key horizontal support level, the short-term downtrend line, and it also marks the midpoint of the April 21 to May 13 retreat.
Unless this zone is broken, EURUSD could start to lose momentum. The 1.12 level may now act as a pivot between the 1.1150–1.12 support area and the 1.1275–1.1295 resistance range.
EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
History repeats itselfOANDA:EURUSD
Here’s a technical analysis of the higher timeframes, specifically the monthly chart for EUR/USD.
As clearly visible, price action is currently moving within a respected descending channel. The saying "history repeats itself" seems particularly relevant here, especially in the context of Trump’s presidency. While this topic has been discussed frequently, I wanted to highlight the striking similarities once again.
The current market cycle closely mirrors the previous one from 2016-2017 — in terms of structure, timing, and volume. At present, we appear to be in the distribution phase, which is far from complete.
It’s quite plausible that we may see further downside before another significant move to the upside begins. If we take the 2017 distribution phase as a reference (lasting approximately 300 days), the current phase has only been unfolding for around 80-100 days.
Of course, there is no guarantee that price will rise again — but I consider it very likely that this market cycle has not yet fully played out. Technical analysis on higher timeframes often provides stronger probabilities and a clearer picture of the overall trend.
On the right-hand side of the chart, I’ve marked a weekly imbalance (not directly visible on the monthly chart), which aligns with the 50% retracement level of the Fibonacci tool. I view this confluence as a strong potential entry for a swing trade targeting the upper boundary of the descending channel.
This outlines my current trading outlook.
EURUSD getting ready for long?EURUSD: is it getting ready for further buys or perhaps sells?
In my point of view, after taking intermediate high price will now enter a higher timeframe consolidation before further push ups, there is plenty liquidity resting below price and I believe before we have another strong push up price will first mitigate demand.
Eur usd bais sell side The EUR/USD pair currently presents a bearish bias, driven by a combination of eurozone economic weakness and relative dollar strength. Key technical indicators suggest downward momentum, with the pair trading below key moving averages and showing lower highs on the daily chart. Macroeconomic factors such as hawkish Fed sentiment, persistent inflation in the U.S., and weaker-than-expected eurozone data support the sell-side outlook. Traders may look for short opportunities on pullbacks toward resistance levels, with close attention to upcoming ECB and Fed statements for confirmation.
EURUSD bearish idea📊 Chart Analysis: EUR/USD – Bearish Bias
🔍 Structure Overview:
:Timeframe: 1 Hour (H1)
: Current Price Area: Around 1.1112
: Market Structure: Bearish overall, with a potential pullback in progress before continuation to the downside.
🟪 Key Zones:
🔺 Resistance Zone (Purple Area around 1.1370–1.1415):
: Price previously rejected this zone strongly.
: Significant supply area; a strong reversal occurred here.
🔰 Sell Entry Zone: 1.1199 (Marked)
: A lower high is expected to form here.
Label: “Sell can be expected from this area.”
: This is a potential pullback entry point aligning with bearish continuation.
🟩 Support Zone: 1.1086–1.1064
:Watch for breakout of this zone. A break below it confirms bearish continuation.
: Label: "Wait for the breakout of this support.
📉 Sell Trade Plan:
Trigger: If price reaches ~1.1199 and forms a rejection or bearish pattern → enter short.
: Confirmation: Break of support at 1.1064–1.1086.
🎯 Targets:
1: TP1: 1.0950 – Logical support zone
2: Final TP: 1.0810 – Strong historical support
✅ Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Trade Type: Pullback sell followed by trend continuation
Conditions:
> Wait for pullback near 1.1199 (sell zone)
> Confirm break below 1.1086 support
> Target 1.0950 (TP1), 1.0810 (final target)
EUR/USD sell target/buy orderPrice went down and hit a previously marked level at 11083.6 and bounced. However I believe there is still strong selling pressure and the trend will continue to the downside.
There is another high volume area waiting below at 10996.5, Confluence here as this area was the volume point of control on the 10th April.
Usually would trade this as a buy when the level is reached, but I have the confidence that this will continue to drop, so selling down to this level.
EURUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of EUR-USD with you.
Looking at the chart, EUR-USD has reached the target I previously set, which is 1.12142. From here, I expect a breakout to the upside, with the price moving towards 1.12650. After a pullback at 1.12650, I expect further price decline towards 1.11464.
📉 Expectation:
Bullish Scenario: Price to move up to 1.12650 after breaking above 1.12142.
Bearish Scenario: After reaching 1.12650, the price will likely drop down to 1.11464.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 1.12650
Support: 1.11464
💬 What are your thoughts on EUR-USD this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
EUR/USD Bearish Setup: Supply Zone Rejection Toward1.0900 Target(Swing Trade Setup)
📉 Trendline + CHoCH Confirmation
🔻 Downtrend marked by a falling blue trendline.
🔄 CHoCH (Change of Character) shows a bearish market structure shift, confirmed by a lower low.
🟦 Supply Zone (Sell Zone)
💥 Strong seller reaction previously occurred between:
1.12956 – 1.13896
🔹 Wait for price to retrace into this zone.
🎯 Ideal for short entries.
🎯 Entry & Stop-Loss
🔵 Entry Point: Around 1.12956 – 1.13005
(below supply zone and EMA)
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.13896 – 1.13929
(above the last high + supply zone)
🟦 EMA 70 (Purple Line)
📈 Currently at 1.13051
Acts as dynamic resistance — strengthening the short setup.
🏁 Target Zone
🎯 Main Target: 1.09000
Marked as TARGET POINT 1.0900
🟦 Support Levels Inside Target Zone:
1.09229
1.09150
1.08814
✅ Summary of Trade Idea
📍 Short Position
⬆️ Entry: ~1.13000
🛑 Stop Loss: ~1.13900
⬇️ Take Profit: ~1.09000
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: ~1:3+ potential
EUR/USD Gap Filled, 4H Structure Supports Bullish ContinuationEUR/USD has just filled the previous gap on the 4H chart and is now forming higher lows right below a descending trendline. Price is currently sitting above a key structural support zone.
In my view, if price can break above this trendline with confirmation, there’s a good chance we’ll see a move toward the 1.13732 resistance area. The recovery structure looks solid so far, and MACD is starting to turn bullish.
📌 Key Points of the Setup:
Gap has been filled ✅
Price holding above structure support
Target: 1.13732
Stop loss: below 1.11357
A confirmed breakout could lead to a bullish continuation
This is a personal trade idea, not financial advice. Please manage your own risk.
EURUSDEUR/USD Interest Rate Differential and Economic Data for May 2025: Directional Bias
Interest Rate Differential
European Central Bank (ECB):
Cut rates by 25 basis points in March 2025, lowering the deposit facility rate to 2.50%.
Dovish outlook: Inflation is projected to average 2.3% in 2025, with further easing likely if price pressures subside.
Federal Reserve (Fed):
Held rates steady at 4.25–4.50% in May 2025, maintaining a cautious stance amid sticky inflation and trade uncertainty.
Market expects delayed rate cuts until July 2025 or later.
Differential:
~1.75–2.00% rate advantage for the USD, favoring dollar strength over the euro.
Key May 2025 Economic Data
Region Data/Event Impact on EUR/USD
Eurozone Q1 GDP Growth (0.4% YoY) Mildly positive but uneven (Germany: 0.2%, France: 0.1%).
US April CPI/Jobs Reports Sticky inflation (core CPI: 2.8%) supports Fed’s hold. Strong labor market (177k jobs added in April).
Political EU Elections/Trade Tensions Risks from EU political turmoil (Germany/France) and U.S.-China tariffs weigh on EUR.
Directional Bias
Bearish EUR/USD:
Rate Differential: The Fed’s hawkish hold vs. ECB easing widens the USD yield advantage, pressuring the euro.
Growth Divergence: Eurozone growth (0.4% Q1) lags behind U.S. resilience, despite Germany’s exit from recession.
Geopolitical Risks: EU political instability and U.S. tariff uncertainty amplify EUR downside.
Conclusion:
EUR/USD remains bearish in May 2025, driven by widening rate differentials, mixed Eurozone growth, and geopolitical headwinds.
EUR/USD suggesting a bullish outlookKey Elements in the Chart:
1. Chart Type:
Candlestick chart showing the EUR/USD currency pair.
Timeframe is 2 hours per candlestick.
2. Indicators:
Supertrend indicator: Shows buy and sell signals based on trend direction.
Green means bullish trend (buy signal).
Red means bearish trend (sell signal).
3. Annotations:
Trendline: A diagonal blue line indicating past support during an uptrend.
Support Level: A horizontal zone marked near the bottom, where price has previously bounced (around 1.1113).
Red Oval: Highlights a consolidation or range-bound area with choppy movement.
Buy/Sell Labels: Indicators of possible entry points provided by the system.
4. Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: Around the 1.1189 level (current price).
Target Zone: Near 1.1432.
Stop-Loss/Support: Close to 1.1113.
Projected Move: Illustrated with an arrow pointing upward from the entry zone to the target zone, suggesting a bullish outlook.
This chart presents a bullish trade idea on EUR/USD with a favorable risk/reward ratio. The trade is based on a support bounce, a buy signal from the Supertrend indicator, and a technical structure suggesting a potential upward movement toward the 1.1432 target leve
Bearish drop?EUR/USD has rejected off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1274
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1373
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.1084
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Keep an eye on it.Hello friends.
There are two scenarios in the euro to dollar symbol, which you and I, my dears, should pay attention to.
You can look for buy trades in case of correction in the specified areas.
Also, keep in mind that we are in an upward trend on a higher time frame and this correction drop is to continue the trend rather than the main drop.
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I hope you have used this analysis well, and this is only a point of view from me and my team and do not use this analysis as a trade in any way, unless with your approval.
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Thank you for following our page to see more analyses.
EURUSD/M15
💫 The Euro structure is bearish in the higher time frame, while we have a bullish trend in the intermediate time frame.
👈 According to the marked zones on the chart, if the price returns to the green zone and we see a trigger, we can enter a sell position targeting the lower green zone.
👈 Given the bearish structure of the higher time frame, we anticipate further decline. However, for lower targets, we will wait for the price's reaction to the lower zone, which will confirm the trend change in the intermediate time frame.
⚠️ Please note that if you enter a sell position, your first target should be the lower green zone.
⚠️ Be cautious: If the price touches the lower green zone without returning to the upper zone and then moves back up, the upper zone is invalidated, and no further positions should be taken in that area.
#Eurusd/M15
EURUSD NEW HIGHS?The 1h timeframe reminds me of this book, LIQUIDITY AND MANIPULATION.
"The markets need to generate liquidity in order to move, so if liquidity isn´t
already there, it will be created. So when new traders come in to forex and
learn about it for the first time, what they usually do is gonna be retail based
trading.
So support and resistance, chart patterns which are extremely popular in the
industry, and things of that nature.
So what some brokers do is they offer free education for their clients once we
start trading. Now this education will usually be retail methods support and
resistance. "
Thanks for this idea.
here is the chart relative to this, see the price above it will clear?
I have more on this kind of idea.
This is not a financial advice.
Follow for more .
trade it or see it.
Goodluck
EURUSD May 13 Trade ExecutedEURUSD
May 13
Trade Executed
Premarket Analysis & Narrative logic
*Friday Price Asia swings low to sell side. London retraces Thursdays delivery. NY session retraces to sells off.
*I suspected for Sundays delivery to take the equal lows and a deeper sell off
*Sunday delivery to Asia price retraces the previous range to 50% and consolidates
Expected a expansion cycle to occur-time to look for the sell off set up
*Admittedly these consolidation ranges burn me, I go in too early or too late, too eager.
*Cross reference GBP it did not take its key lows tipping its hand thats where GBP would go
*DXY consolidated in the top side of FVG tipping its hand to seek higher prices
Asia
Prices retraces in the .618 range appears to be breaking down coming into London.
2 macro price swings up-judus swing
2:30 creates a swing low and takes the minor buy side equal highs
2:31 energetic displacement candle-good sign
2:35 creates a FVG and breaks the swing low
2:37 is model 2022 entry but Im not in a Macro so I waited for more info
2:51 enter into a first presented FVG candle 1:56
Price knocked me out at my TP-equal lows
First target equal lows also 1 standard deviation
I saw the candles at 3:15 and felt it would run to the 2 standard deviation but my balls are not big enough yet when it drops like that. It basically scared me!
WOW! great delivery. Great analysis and cross reference of DXY and GBP to support me.
What I learned
Trust your morning analysis and stay out of the noise-minute charts. The minute candles really mess with me as my emotions get jared and put doubt in my head.
Im pressing DEMO buttons!
I was cautious and almost did not take this trade, due to selling in a discount logic.
Very happy with this trade.
Holding for second deviation when I saw the candle formation was a retracement is a take away.