Golden Cross Alert on EUR/USDFor the first time since August, the Euro has printed a Golden Cross — the 50-day moving average (SMA) has just crossed above the 200-day SMA.
This is one of the most well-known technical signals, often interpreted as a bullish shift in trend. Here's why this is worth watching:
✅ Strong momentum leading into the cross
✅ EUR/USD breaking above recent resistance levels
✅ Long-term downtrend possibly reversing
But remember: Golden Crosses don’t guarantee sustained upside. Many are followed by consolidation or even bull traps — volume and confirmation matter!
📈 Could this be the beginning of a bigger move in the Euro? Time to zoom in.
EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
EURUSD SELL?RSI on daily time frame is showing overbought which could be a sign of exhaustion.
Based on Daily & 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
EURUSD: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.13506 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.13834.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EUR/USD short trade Macro viewHere's a EUR/USD 1 week chart, 3 year view. As you can see EUR/USD is trading in a major resistance area with the top being 1.14950. November 2024 - February 2025 EUR/USD support range high was 1.0632 to low 1.0213. In September 2022 EUR/USD low was 0.9536. The average price of the past 3 years high and low equals 1.0515.
EUR/USD short trade idea:
short = 1.1379
stop = 1.1495
profit = 1.0515
EUR/USD 3-Year Highs After 200-DMA SupportEUR/USD had pushed six consecutive days of losses after recoiling from Fiboancci resistance late last month. The 1.0943 level held two different resistance tests, with prices pulling back after the FOMC meeting saw Jerome Powell take a wait-and-see approach with regards to both inflation and possible rate cuts.
Normally, a backdrop like that would allow for a build of USD-strength, and we saw that show up as EUR/USD dropped down for a test of the 200-day moving average, but that's around when the weakness started to slow. Buyers responded in a big way and that led to a breakout and fresh three-year highs just a week later.
Notably, before those highs could print it was the same 1.0943 Fibonacci level that held support, and that has some relation to another key level that's so far held support for this week at 1.1275, which is the 61.8% retracement of the 2021-2022 major move.
At this point bulls have retained control of the pair and this week presented another couple of fundamental drivers that would seem to point at reversal, with a strong U.S. retail sales report, a Jerome Powell that sounded somewhat hawkish with inflation expectations around tariffs; and then the dovish ECB rate cut on Thursday. Despite all that - EUR/USD has held up fairly well and it's that deduction that illustrates bullish potential into next week.
For resistance - 1.1500 is huge. This was last in-play in early-2022 and it was resistance on multiple occasions before bears were able to take care of matters. So, chasing breakouts at the big figure could be challenging. Pullbacks could remain attractive and given the response to 1.1275, we can see where buyers had responded quickly to that. Of interest is the 1.1200 level that was hardened resistance in Q3 of last year, and then possibly even the 1.1100 level that held the highs earlier in April. For invalidation of trend, it's the 1.0900-1.0943 zone that I think remains of interest. - js
EURUSD buy from 1.13413 level!Hey traders,
I'm eyeing a potential long setup on EURUSD, looking for price to dip into the 1.13413 zone to grab liquidity just beneath yesterday’s lows before making a move higher.
My expectation? A bullish push toward Monday’s high at 1.14256.
Here’s the trade plan:
🔹 Buy Limit: 1.13413
🎯 Target 1: 1.13889
🎯 Target 2: 1.14256
🛡️ Stop Loss: 1.13234
I’m watching this level closely, if the market reacts as expected, we could catch a nice upside move.
If you found this setup valuable, consider giving it a boost. Appreciate the support!
What Is a Balanced Price Range, and How Can You Use ItWhat Is a Balanced Price Range, and How Can You Use It in Trading?
Balanced Price Ranges (BPRs) offer traders insight into areas where market forces temporarily balance. Understanding how BPRs form and how to use them can help traders identify key zones of interest on the chart. This article explores the details of BPRs, their applications in trading, and how combining them with other tools can refine your market analysis.
What Is a Balanced Price Range (BPR)?
A Balanced Price Range (BPR) is an Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concept used to pinpoint areas on a price chart where market activity reflects a temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers. These zones, often identified through overlapping Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), highlight price levels where buying and selling pressures have offset each other, creating a balance.
Here’s how it works in a bullish scenario: a rapid price move downward leaves a bearish Fair Value Gap—a price range the market skips over due to strong selling momentum. If the price rises with equal intensity shortly, creating a bullish Fair Value Gap in the opposite direction, the overlapping region between these gaps becomes the BPR. This overlap represents a zone of temporary balance, where the market has effectively “corrected” the earlier imbalance.
BPR zones are not random. They often form in areas of high market interest—perhaps near key support or resistance levels, or after significant news events that cause sharp price movements. Traders look at these ranges because they frequently act as reference points for future price reactions.
The boundaries of an ICT BPR—its high and low—serve as critical levels. These edges often function as dynamic support and resistance, helping traders gauge potential turning points. Furthermore, BPRs can appear across various timeframes, from minute-by-minute to weekly charts.
How Does a Balanced Price Range Form?
Now that we know the idea of the ICT Balanced Price Range, let’s look at how it forms step by step.
1. An Initial Price Imbalance
A BPR begins with a strong price movement in one direction—either up or down. For example, in an overall bearish scenario, buyers initially drive the price up rapidly and leave behind a bullish FVG. This gap reflects an area where the market didn’t fully engage, often skipping over price levels due to overwhelming demand.
2. A Counter-Move Creates an Opposing Gap
After the initial move, the market can shift in the opposite direction with equal momentum. In our example, sellers step in, pushing the price downward. This creates a bearish FVG that partially overlaps with the earlier bullish FVG. These rapid shifts often occur around key events, such as news releases or liquidity grabs, which ignite temporary market imbalances.
3. Overlapping Fair Value Gaps Define the Range
The overlapping portion of the bullish and bearish FVGs is what forms the BPR. This zone represents the price levels where buying and selling forces are temporarily balanced, neutralising the earlier imbalances.
4. Market Consolidation and Testing
Once the BPR is established, the price often consolidates near this range. This zone acts as a magnet for future price action because it’s seen as an area of high market interest, where traders may take note of previous balance. In the example given, a test may precede a bearish reaction.
Combining BPRs With Other ICT Concepts
Balanced Price Ranges in the ICT methodology become even more powerful when combined with other related concepts. By layering multiple tools, traders can refine their analysis and pinpoint high-probability areas for market activity. Here’s how BPRs work with key ICT concepts:
Fair Value Gaps
Since BPRs are defined by overlapping fair value gaps, understanding how to read these gaps adds depth to BPR analysis. FVGs outside the BPR can act as supplementary zones of interest.
Order Blocks
Traders often spot BPRs forming near significant order blocks. When these zones overlap, they highlight areas where institutional activity may have left a footprint, increasing their importance for analysis.
Liquidity Pools
BPRs often align with liquidity zones where stop orders are clustered. Price may gravitate toward these areas before reacting, offering traders insight into potential price reversals or continuations.
Market Structure Shifts
BPRs can reinforce insights gained from market structure shifts. For example, a BPR forming after a break in structure might signal consolidation before the next major move.
Higher Timeframe Confluence
When a BPR aligns with key levels on higher timeframes, it can provide added confidence in the zone’s relevance for price reactions.
How to Use a Balanced Price Range
The Balanced Price Range can provide traders with valuable insights into price behaviour, acting as a reference point for analysing potential market movements. By understanding how these zones function, traders often use them to refine their strategies and enhance their market analysis.
Identifying High-Interest Zones
As BPRs highlight areas where the market found an equilibrium between buyers and sellers, traders typically monitor how the price reacts when revisiting a BPR. For example, if the price approaches the upper or lower boundary of a BPR, it may indicate a potential turning point or a continuation, depending on the market context.
Support and Resistance Dynamics
One common approach is to view BPRs as dynamic support or resistance zones. When the price tests the range, traders often anticipate a reaction. For instance, a rejection from a BPR in a bearish trend may suggest continued downward momentum, while a breach might signal weakening selling pressure.
Contextualising Larger Market Structures
BPRs don’t exist in isolation; they often align with broader market structures. Traders may use them in combination with tools like liquidity zones or order blocks to build a more complete market picture. For instance, if a BPR forms near a major resistance level on a higher timeframe, this confluence could strengthen its importance as a reference point.
Adjusting for Timeframe and Strategy
The relevance of a BPR often depends on the timeframe being analysed. Day traders might focus on intraday BPRs to find potential trading opportunities, while swing traders could look for these zones on higher timeframes, considering them significant levels for long-term moves. Either trader can use lower and higher timeframe BPRs to inform their analysis and entries.
Managing Risk Around BPRs
Traders may incorporate BPRs into their risk management plans, such as by using the boundaries of the range to set stop-loss or take-profit levels. A breach of these levels can indicate a shift in market sentiment, helping traders refine their analysis.
Risks and Considerations When Using BPRs
While BPRs can be a useful tool for analysing price behaviour, they aren’t without limitations. Traders need to approach BPRs with a clear understanding of their potential pitfalls. Here are some key considerations:
- Not Predictive: BPRs don’t guarantee future price movement. While they highlight zones of interest, traders must combine them with broader market analysis to avoid over-reliance.
- Subjectivity: Identifying BPRs can sometimes be subjective. What one trader sees as a balanced range might not align with another’s interpretation, especially on different timeframes.
- Timeframe Sensitivity: A BPR on a lower timeframe may lose significance in the broader market context. Conversely, higher timeframe BPRs may lag behind fast-moving markets.
- False Breakouts: Price can move beyond a BPR briefly before reversing, creating potential traps for traders relying solely on breakout strategies.
- Market Context Matters: BPRs are analysed alongside market conditions like volatility, news events, or broader trends. Ignoring these factors can reduce their reliability.
The Bottom Line
Understanding Balanced Price Ranges can help traders interpret key market zones and improve their analysis. By combining BPRs with other tools and strategies, traders gain deeper insights into price movements.
FAQ
What Is the ICT Price Range?
The ICT price range refers to specific price levels or zones highlighted in the Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodology. These ranges often represent areas of interest in the market, such as liquidity pools, fair value gaps, or balanced price ranges. Traders use ICT price ranges to analyse price movement, identify potential reaction points, and refine their trading strategies.
What Is the Meaning of a Balanced Price?
Balanced price describes a market state where buying and selling pressures are in equilibrium. It typically forms in areas where overlapping fair value gaps exist, reflecting zones where previous imbalances have corrected. These areas can act as key levels for future price reactions.
What Is an Optimal Trade Entry in a Balanced Price Range?
Optimal trade entry in a balanced price range refers to identifying high-probability entry points within or near a BPR. Traders often look for price reactions at the range’s boundaries, combining BPR analysis with other ICT tools, such as order blocks or liquidity zones, to refine their approach.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EUR/USD) resistance level rejected) Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
updated chart provides a more refined bearish outlook for EUR/USD. Here's the idea behind this analysis:
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Market Structure Overview:
Resistance Level: ~1.14292
Mid Support Zone: ~1.13500
Major Support (Target Point): ~1.12658
Current Price: 1.13787
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Indicators:
EMA 200 (1.12174): Price is above the 200 EMA, indicating an overall bullish bias, but that may be weakening.
RSI (14): Around 54.37, slightly bullish but neutral—no strong momentum.
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Trading Idea:
1. Short-Term Bullish Move:
Price is expected to rise to test the resistance level around 1.14292.
2. Bearish Reversal at Resistance:
From there, a rejection is anticipated, leading to a drop back to the mid support (~1.13500).
3. Break Below Mid Support:
If the price fails to hold the mid support zone, a breakdown is likely to continue toward the target point at 1.12658, which aligns with the previous big support level.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Strategy Suggestion:
Sell Setup 1: At resistance (~1.14292), with confirmation like bearish candles or divergence on RSI.
Sell Setup 2: On breakdown and retest of the 1.13500 support zone.
Take Profit: Target at 1.12658.
Stop Loss: Above 1.14300 or above the most recent swing high.
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Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
EURUSD forms inverse head and shouldersEURUSD has stalled after testing key levels, but a new inverse head and shoulders is forming. We’re watching for a breakout above 1.1429, backed by correlated moves in GBPUSD and USDCHF. Triangle and flag patterns also point higher.
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Important news about EURUSD
EURUSD continues to move sideways since the beginning of the week and managed to reach 1,1412 yesterday.
Today at 1:15 pm (London time), the ECB is expected to cut interest rates.
This will likely cause increased volatility.
It is advisable to reduce risk on all positions and look for new entries after the news!
Smart Money is Not Selling Yet 🧭 EUR/USD – Smart Money is Not Selling Yet
Market Outlook: Bullish Continuation with Consolidation
🧠 Multi-Timeframe Breakdown:
| Timeframe | Behavior | Structure |
|-----------|-----------|-----------|
| **12M** | Bullish (new candle in development) | Strong upside push |
| **10W** | Bullish | Breakout from consolidation |
| **9W** | Bullish | Continuation strength |
| **7W** | Indecision | Buyers and sellers wrestling |
| **6W** | Bullish | Prior strong move |
| **30D (1M)** | Bullish | Solid body, no upper wick |
| **18D** | Bullish inside liquidity | 1.12414–1.11982 |
| **3D** | Consolidation | Range forming at support |
| **4H** | Testing structure | Rejections at support floor |
🔑 Key Levels:
- **Psychological Resistance:** 1.15729 – 1.16921
- **Neckline (Mid SR):** 1.14221
- **Liquidity Zone Support:** 1.12414 – 1.11982
- **Invalidation Level:** Daily close below 1.11982
---
📌 What I'm Watching:
Price action is currently consolidating on lower timeframes (3D and 4H), while all
**higher timeframes remain bullish**.
A dip into the **liquidity zone** may trap early sellers and trigger a **retest of the 1.15729 zone**.
Until a breakdown confirms beneath 1.11982, this structure remains a **bullish continuation setup**.
---
📊 My Bias:
"Smart money doesn’t sell indecision – it buys time. Don’t trade noise. Trade structure."
EUR/USD Bearish Setup
Recent negative US GDP data and rising inflation risks—partly driven by potential tariff policies—suggest recession fears are growing. Yet, current monetary policy still favors a stronger dollar in the short term.
On the daily timeframe, EUR/USD has hit a key TPO resistance zone and faced a strong rejection. Price is now moving toward the 1.0927 area, which aligns with a significant fair value zone based on volume profile. Bears may take control if this momentum continues.
EURUSD SellHello everyone! The first trade of the day will be on EURUSD. On the 5-minute chart, I’ve set the trade with a Risk-Reward Ratio of 1:1.50 and will open a sell position. The TP target is 1.12920 and the SL is 1.13130. It’s better to activate the trade immediately."
Ve sonuna eklememi istediğin mesajla birlikte tam hali şu şekilde olur:
Hello everyone! The first trade of the day will be on EURUSD. On the 5-minute chart, I’ve set the trade with a Risk-Reward Ratio of 1:1.50 and will open a sell position. The TP target is 1.12920 and the SL is 1.13130. It’s better to activate the trade immediately.
🔔 I post detailed trade ideas and daily market analysis like this every day on my TradingView profile.
👉 Follow me to get notified and read the full breakdowns.
EURUSD April 30 Trade ExecutedEURUSD
April 30 Trade Executed
Previous session Price delivering in a discount, Price only expanded rebalancing a FVG. Price came to the 50 level. Coming into Asia breaks down. I suspected for Price to lower to gravitate to equal lows target.
When price hit the equal lows and in a discount I suspected for Price to come to rebalance the FVG and possibility expand to the 50 level.
Elements to my set up
*liquidity taken
*in a discount PD array
*inefficiency target identified FVG to rebalance, equal highs
*risk to reward calculated
*22:05 candle creates FVG
*22:40 candle taps the CE of created FVG 22:05 candle
*22:40 entry
*2:35 candle exit
4 hours for this trade to achieve.
33 pips
EUR/USD Correction in Progress – Can Bulls Still Reach 1.20?EURUSD is retesting key structure after rejecting from recent highs. Price remains above long-term trend support, but compression is tightening. This post outlines the critical zones to watch, what invalidates the move, and whether the 1.20 target remains realistic.
Technical Analysis:
Price has pulled back from recent highs after failing to hold above short-term resistance. While the current move looks corrective, we are now at a decision point. The pair is trading above the long-term bullish trendline, but confirmation is needed before continuation toward 1.20.
Support Zones (if pullback deepens):
🟠 1.09957–1.09439 – Last 1H Support (Medium Risk):
Short-term intraday demand zone. If price pulls back, this is the first area bulls might defend.
Stop-loss: Below 1.09439
🟢 1.05484 – Weekly Strong Buy Zone (Low Risk):
Major structure from previous macro reversals. Clean area for swing entries if reached.
Stop-loss: Below 1.03400
Resistance Target:
🔴 1.20944 – Daily Strong Resistance (High Rejection Risk):
A key supply zone from previous macro structure. If price reaches this level, watch for rejection.
Stop-loss: Above 1.22821 – A breakout above this invalidates short setups and could trigger a higher timeframe breakout continuation.
Outlook:
Bullish case: Holding above 1.09439 and reclaiming 1.1600+ opens the door to test 1.2094.
Bearish case: A clean loss of 1.09439 would shift momentum toward deeper support at 1.0548.
Bias: Short-term neutral. Structure remains bullish while support zones continue to hold.
Fundamental Insight:
The FOMC meets on Wednesday, May 1. If the Fed hints at easing or rate cuts later this year, EURUSD could rally toward 1.20 on USD weakness. But if Powell reaffirms a “higher-for-longer” stance, expect downside continuation into the 1.09957 or 1.05484 support zones.
✅ Conclusion:
EURUSD is at a technical decision point. If buyers defend mapped support, the path to 1.20 remains valid. A breakdown below 1.094 could trigger deeper retracement. Until the picture clears, remain reactive to structure and macro tone.
Not financial advice. Like & follow for more EURUSD setups and structured FX market analysis.