EUR/USD CHART ANALYSIS 4hr I'm expecting a bullish continuation. Just wait for price to reach my Demand Zone. My first entry trigger is at 1.12914, who else shares my bais ?
EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
EURO - Price can correct to support area and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments๐
After consolidating in a broad range for several weeks, Euro made a strong breakout and entered an ascending channel.
The price respected this pattern twice, forming clear support and resistance touches, and confirming trend direction.
Most recently, the Euro surged and reached the upper boundary of the new rising channel, but quickly pulled back.
Currently, itโs testing the $1.1380 support area, which also aligns with the channel base, creating a confluence zone.
Given this context, I anticipate a bounce from this support and continuation of bullish structure toward $1.1670
This level represents the channel top and may act as the next key resistance zone.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in commentsโค๏ธ
Reversal?Are we shaping up for the mother of all reversals on the EUR/USD? I have no idea, but i'll give it a go. A order Block has formed, fair value gaps reversed, change of market structure, and change in state of delivery. My predictions are wild but lets go!
EURUSD 4h Head and Shoulders ๐ Technical Analysis โ EUR/USD (4H)
๐ง Pattern Identified: Head & Shoulders
This is a classic reversal pattern, often indicating that the prevailing uptrend is weakening and a potential bearish move may follow.
Left Shoulder: Formed around April 17โ18.
Head: Sharp push up and reversal around April 22.
Right Shoulder: Forming now, showing a lower high compared to the head.
Neckline: Currently being tested around the 1.1335โ1.1340 zone.
๐งญ Key Levels
Zone Level Significance
Resistance 1.1450 High before the drop (Head)
Neckline Support 1.1335 Crucial breakout level
Next Support 1.1260 March highs; potential bounce
Target (H&S projection) 1.1200 - 1.1220 If neckline breaks with volume
eurusd 25 Apr 2025 possible triangleCurrent price actions appears to be a triangle, if formation holds and price breaks lower, we will see another leg lower, however, this leg lower is a buy for me.
Waiting for the break to come.
EURUSD COT and Liquidity Analysis Hey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. Im always trying to trade with the Big players so knowing their positions is good thing.
Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
I created this simple free indicator which you can find in the my scripts. It's highlighting the day of the real report - Tuesday.
Here is the tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
So what we see in the report of this week:
We can see slight decrease in the longs and increase in the shorts but for the reversal it has to happen in the liquidity pool. So for the bigger pullback I think market makers will be adding shorts att highs as well as closing longs.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
โ David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter โ๏ธ
Pullback or Recovery? All Eyes on ECB and Inflation CluesEUR/USD โ Pullback or Recovery? All Eyes on ECB and Inflation Clues
Hey traders! ๐
After a tough drop earlier this week, EUR/USD is now finding its feet again near the 1.1240 area. Weโre seeing some early bullish signs, but the bigger question is: Is this just a pullback or the start of a stronger recovery?
๐ Whatโs going on?
Today, ECBโs ล imkus came out with some pretty dovish comments:
He warned that Eurozone inflation depends a lot on how the EU responds to trade policies from the US.
There's pressure to cut interest rates as soon as June, but itโs still unclear whether theyโll follow up again in July or September.
Growth risks remain due to geopolitics and Chinese goods flowing into Europe.
These hints of a possible rate cut added more weight on the Euro. But at the same time, weโre seeing buyers step in around key support zones, so price action could get interesting soon.
๐งญ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
1.1278 โ First level to break for bulls
1.1301 โ Near-term resistance
1.1325 & 1.1353 โ Highs to watch if momentum builds
Support:
1.1240 โ Holding well so far
1.1198 โ Key BUY zone
1.1160 โ Last line of defence for bulls
๐ง Trade Plan for Today (May 9th)
โ
BUY IDEA:
Buy Zone: 1.1198
SL: 1.1138
TP Targets:
โ 1.1235
โ 1.1285
โ 1.1325
โ SELL IDEA:
Sell Zone: 1.1301
SL: 1.1360
TP Targets:
โ 1.1265
โ 1.1225
โ 1.1185
๐ Final Thoughts
The pair is still inside a downward channel, so we need to be flexible. If EUR/USD breaks and holds above 1.1300, bulls could take control. But if it fails, we might see another dip back toward the lower range.
Keep an eye on macro data next week โ especially inflation figures and any fresh ECB signals.
๐ Stay patient, trade your zones, and donโt chase! Let the setup come to you.
Good luck! ๐
Skeptic |EUR/USD : Bearish Breakout Unlocks Deep Corrections!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Letโs start this Friday morning with a fresh EUR/USD analysisโsome juicy setups are waiting! ๐ Our previous long position after the 1.13485 resistance break turned out to be a fake breakout, hitting our stop loss. But the short trigger I mentioned below 1.12676 activated, hitting a 2:1 R/R with a safe stop loss. Now, weโve seen a pullback to that broken level, and if the trend continues, we can find more solid triggers. Stick with me to break it all down! Letโs start with the Daily Timeframe. ๐
๐
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
The upward channel on the daily chart has finally broken , and when we talk about a channel break, we donโt mean a weak oneโthis was confirmed by two strong bearish candles. We might see a pullback to the channel, but if not, a break below the 1.12006 support could send us into a deeper correction toward 1.08454 . To confirm a full trend reversal, weโd need to see lower highs and lower lows on the daily.
So, with this in mind, itโs smarter to take positions in lower timeframes (like 4H or below) in the direction of the current bearish momentum to boost your win rate and R/R. Letโs zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe for the actionable setups.
โฐ 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
After a prolonged box range and a fake breakout above the boxโs ceiling, the price has now broken lower and is pulling back. For our short setup, we already have a position open from above at 1.12676 . But after a break of 1.12012 (which aligns with daily support), we can add to our positionโwith proper capital and risk management, of course.
Another confirmation for the short? The RSI entering oversold territory can be a solid signal. Why oversold? We need tools to gauge momentum, like SMA, RSI, or volume (though volume only works well in crypto since forex volume isnโt transparent due to bank transactions, etc. In crypto, every transaction is recorded, so volume is reliable). RSI is one of my go-to tools for spotting momentum shifts, and itโs been a profit machine for me. But remember: oscillators and indicators arenโt entry signals โtheyโre confirmations for the setups weโre trading. Want to learn more? I could drop a few YouTube videos on RSI aloneโitโs worth the deep dive! ๐
For a long setup , weโd need a return to the box range and a break above resistance at 1.13740 to open a long. Iโm not giving any long triggers before that because, as we said, the daily momentum has shifted to a downtrend, and we donโt want to trade against the higher timeframe flow.
๐ฌ Letโs Talk!
If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boostโit means a lot! ๐ Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and Iโll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and Iโll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! โ๏ธ
Euro Nears 1.1230 on Cautious ECBEUR/USD edged up to 1.1230 in Fridayโs Asian session, paring earlier losses caused by stronger U.S. data and easing trade tensions that supported the dollar. The euro remains under pressure as markets price in possible ECB rate cuts by June, though officials maintain confidence in inflation reaching the 2% target by year-end.
The pair faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside capped near 1.1460 and 1.1580. On the downside, support is seen at 1.1150, followed by 1.1100 and 1.1050.
EURUSD BUY ANALYSISHello Everyone, i shared my view about what i suggest will be the next move of $FX:EURUSD.
SELL EURUSD !!!HELLO TRADERS
As i can see eurusd break support zone and now its a resistence area As we can see s strong $ and Good NFP data this week with strong jobs and Trump trade Deal with UK its a clear sign as fundamental too and tecnically its showing a broken support trade with your own risk not a financial advice We love ur comments and support Stay tune for more updates
#EURUSD M 15 *AMD* #EURUSD M 15 *AMD* BOS Then MSS Liquidity With Demand
in LTF with proper MSS then our entry
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Trims GainsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Trims Gains
EUR/USD extended losses and traded below the 1.1250 support.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro struggled to clear the 1.1380 resistance and declined against the US Dollar.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1240 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair failed to clear the 1.1380 resistance. The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.1300 support against the US Dollar.
The pair declined below the 1.1250 support and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 1.1200 level. A low was formed at 1.1196 and the pair is now consolidating losses. The pair is showing bearish signs, and the upsides might remain capped.
There was a minor increase toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1381 swing high to the 1.1196 low. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 1.1240 level.
There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1240. The next major resistance is near the 1.1290 zone and the 50-hour simple moving average or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1381 swing high to the 1.1196 low.
The main resistance sits near the 1.1335 level. An upside break above the 1.1335 level might send the pair toward the 1.1380 resistance. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.1420 level.
On the downside, immediate support on the EUR/USD chart is seen near 1.1200. The next major support is near the 1.1165 level. A downside break below the 1.1165 support could send the pair toward the 1.1120 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USA-UK: Trade Agreement and Impact
Hello, I am Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about the meeting that will take place today, May 9, 2025, between the USA and the UK. The announcement of a new trade agreement between the United States and the United Kingdom by Donald Trump has immediately attracted the attention of global investors. Its economic scope could have significant repercussions on the main currencies, in particular on the GBP/USD pair.
The components of the agreement and the reactions of the markets
According to initial information, the agreement aims to strengthen trade relations between Washington and London, simplifying regulations on goods and services, reducing duties and incentivizing bilateral investments.
Immediate impact on the pound (GBP)
The GBP/USD pair has shown an initial reaction of volatility, with investors evaluating the details of the new agreement. If the agreement leads to greater economic stability and growth in the United Kingdom, the pound could benefit from a bullish trend in the short term. However, some analysts warn that the pound could suffer from more in-depth negotiations in the future, especially if the deal puts renewed pressure on UK financial markets.
The US dollar and the Fedโs monetary policy
The deal comes amid economic uncertainty in the US, with the Federal Reserve monitoring inflation and growth. If bilateral trade between the US and UK were to expand significantly, it could have a positive effect on the dollarโs โโstrength, even against other currencies.
Economic sectors involved and impact on FX
The deal could affect several sectors:
Energy and raw materials: If trade in natural gas or oil between the two countries increases, it could have an impact on commodity futures and therefore on currencies linked to these markets, such as the CAD and AUD.
Technology and financial services: Expanded cooperation between technology and financial firms could attract investment on Wall Street and support the dollar.
Manufacturing and Exports: If the UK manages to secure favorable export terms, the pound could see increased demand in Forex.
Outlook
In the short term, the deal could lead to increased volatility in GBP/USD as investors await further details. In the long term, much will depend on the economic policies that follow the deal and the effects on the trade balances of the two countries.
Forex market analysts will continue to monitor investor reaction and future statements from the governments involved.
Leo XIV: Impact on the Forex Market
Hello, I am Forex trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about the election of the New Pope.
The election of a new Pope is an event with implications not only religious and social, but also economic. With the rise of Leo XIV, the financial world is closely watching the possible repercussions on global currencies and investment strategies.
Immediate effects on Forex volatility
Historically, major political and institutional events can generate fluctuations in international currencies. Italy, home to the Vatican, could see movements on the EUR/USD pair, especially based on the first statements of the new Pontiff regarding the economic policies of the Vatican.
Some investors may react with initial caution, leading to temporary volatility in the Forex market, similar to what happens during political elections or other leadership transitions. However, this volatility could be limited in the short term, unless Leo XIV announces substantial changes in the management of the Vatican finances.
Vatican Financial Policies and Their Impact on Currencies
The Vatican holds significant wealth, with real estate investments and stakes in international companies. If the new Pope decides to adopt a more transparent or ethical strategy in his investments, this could influence the financial sector, prompting global funds to review their investment strategies.
EUR/USD and the Role of the ECB: Possible Vatican interventions on economic and social policies in Europe could prompt the ECB to assess the macroeconomic picture more carefully.
Safe Haven Currencies (CHF, JPY, Gold): If the election generates economic uncertainty, we could see an increase in investments in safe haven assets, such as the Swiss Franc (CHF) and the Japanese Yen (JPY).
Economic Sectors Impacted
Ethical Finance and ESG: If Leo XIV emphasizes the importance of sustainable investments, companies linked to the ESG sector could see increased interest and capital inflows.
Real Estate: With the Vatican being one of Europeโs largest property owners, any reforms in asset management could have repercussions on real estate markets, influencing the value of the EUR and other related assets.
EURUSD BULLISH BREAKOUT AND RETESTOn the weekly chart, EURUSD recently closed above the 1.2000 resistance which has been a significant price zone since February 2023, with price reversing from this point multiple times. However, in the first week of April 2025, price violated this resistance, with the weekly candle closing well above 1.4000. Not only did the price break above the resistane, it was also confirmed by an ulta high volume bar. Since then, price has been retesting the broken resistane, but look at the volume again, its falling. As the bulls come in at this level, and with subsequent rising volumes,the next resistancce for EURUSD should be at the 1.2300 price zone, which is previous resistance from 2020/2021.
EURUSD Has Completed the Head and Shoulders PatternThe head and shoulders pattern has completed, indicating a likely decline in the EURUSD pair toward 1.1000.
The potential starting points for the fall could be around 1.12800 or 1.13200, but the safest entry to open a short position is near 1.13700.
EWTSU EURUSD H4 minute wave ((4)) update
Elliott Wave Trade Set Up H4 EURUSD
minute wave ((4)) developping in a complex zigzag (double)
minuette (y) running in 3 waves to 1.1070 area - (w)=(y)
invalidation: price break steadly over 1.1370 area
EURUSD BullishThe market is currently in a downtrend, but technical and fundamental analysis suggests that the market will go up and down again after a retracement.
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Heist Plan๐Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!๐
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, ๐ค๐ฐโ๏ธ
Based on ๐ฅThief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis๐ฅ, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. ๐๐ธBe wealthy and safe trade.๐ช๐๐
Entry ๐ :
๐ดโโ ๏ธBullish Entry - "The heist is on! Wait for the MA Pullback at Institutional Hidden Buy Zone (1.11000) & Big Players Verified Trade Zone (1.09000) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
๐ดโโ ๏ธBearish Entry - "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price.
Stop Loss ๐:
๐ฉThief SL placed at for Bullish Trade (Big Players Verified Trade Zone SL at 1.07000) & (Institutional Hidden Buy Zone SL at 1.09500)
๐ฉThief SL placed at 1.13800 for Bearish Trade
Using the 30mins period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target ๐ฏ:
๐ดโโ ๏ธBullish Robbers TP 1.17000 (or) Escape Before the Target
๐ดโโ ๏ธBearish Robbers TP 1.10500 (or) Escape Before the Target
๐ฐ๐ต๐ธEUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a Bearish trend ๐ป,., driven by several key factors.
๐ฐ๐๏ธGet & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets with overall score... go ahead to check๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐บ
Detailed Point-by-Point Recap ๐โจ
Fundamentals ๐: USD leads due to Fed policy, US growth, and tariffs; EUR limited by Eurozone risks ๐ต๐.
Macroeconomics ๐: US resilience contrasts with Eurozone weakness, favoring USD ๐๐.
Global Markets ๐: US equities and yields drive USD strength; Eurozone trade woes hurt EUR ๐๐.
COT Data ๐: Bearish speculative positioning supports USD ๐ป.
Seasonality ๐
: May historically favors USD, aligning with current trends ๐.
Intermarket ๐: USD benefits from equity/yield correlations; EUR hit by energy costs ๐๐.
Quantitative ๐: Technicals (RSI, Fibonacci, channels) confirm bearish momentum ๐ป.
Sentiment ๐ฃ: Bearish institutional bias, with retail shorts suggesting short-term EUR bounce ๐๐.
Trend Prediction ๐๐: Bearish across timeframes, with downside targets at 1.1080, 1.0445, and 1.00 ๐ป.
Outlook โญ: Bearish (7/10), with USD dominance likely to persist ๐ช๐.
๐Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
โ ๏ธTrading Alert : News Releases and Position Management ๐ฐ ๐๏ธ ๐ซ๐
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned ๐ค๐ฑโ๐ค๐ค๐คฉ
GBP/AUD Short, EUR/CAD Short, USD/JPY Short and EUR/USD NeutralGBP/AUD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
โข If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
โข If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
โข If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
โข If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
โข If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
USD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
โข 1H impulse down below area of value.
โข If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
โข If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
โข 1H impulse up above area of interest.
โข If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
โข If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
โข If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
โข If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Minimum entry requirements:
โข If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
Bullish Look for potential Reversal bullish candlestick formation upon the retest of four hour demand zone
