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EUR/USD_SPT - EUR/USD

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EURUSD_SPT trade ideas

Nearing the Top: A Final Push or Smart Money Liquidity Trap?EUR/USD – Nearing the Top: A Final Push or Smart Money Liquidity Trap? 🌍 MACRO OUTLOOK – EURO CLIMBS WHILE USD TREADS ON UNCERTAIN POLITICAL GROUND: EUR/USD is trading just below the 1.1700 mark as investors remain cautious about the US dollar's long-term credibility. Growing concerns over the Federal Reserve’s independence — should the “Trump 2.0” scenario unfold — have weighed heavily on USD sentiment across global markets. Meanwhile, the Euro is gaining support thanks to a relatively hawkish tone from the European Central Bank (ECB). Policymakers appear reluctant to ease policy prematurely, which supports the Euro through expectations of prolonged higher interest rates. However, with no major catalyst in play yet, traders are watching closely for mid-tier US data and any upcoming statements from ECB officials that might set the tone for the next directional breakout. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H4 TIMEFRAME: Market Structure: EUR/USD remains in a well-defined ascending price channel. However, the pair is now testing the upper band near the 1.1804 resistance, a key liquidity zone where sellers previously stepped in. EMA Alignment: Price is trading above the EMA 13/34/89/200 cluster — a strong sign of sustained bullish momentum. Momentum Indicators: RSI is hovering near 70 — potential overbought territory. ADX remains above 25 — confirming trend strength but signaling caution at extended highs. FVG (Fair Value Gap): A visible unfilled gap between 1.1600 and 1.1640 could act as a magnetic zone for price to revisit before the next impulse move. 🔹 Key Resistance: 1.1804 – 1.1835 🔹 Key Support: 1.1640 – 1.1600 (gap zone) 🔹 Major Demand Zone: 1.1499 – 1.1515 🎯 TRADE PLAN: Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Primary Bias): Entry: 1.1600 – 1.1640 Stop Loss: 1.1550 Targets: 1.1750 → 1.1800 → 1.1850 Scenario 2 – Buy Deep Pullback: Entry: 1.1499 – 1.1515 Stop Loss: 1.1450 Targets: 1.1640 → 1.1700 Scenario 3 – Countertrend Sell at Key Resistance (High Risk): Entry: 1.1804 – 1.1830 Stop Loss: 1.1860 Targets: 1.1720 → 1.1650 📌 Strategic Insight: EUR/USD may be setting up for either a breakout continuation above 1.1800 or a temporary reversal to sweep liquidity from the lower zones. Momentum favors bulls, but chasing highs without confirmation is risky. Focus on clean retracements and volume-supported entries. 💬 If EUR/USD drops back into the 1.1600 zone, will you load up for another leg higher — or wait for confirmation of trend strength? Share your view in the comments!
Short
by MMFlowTrading
EUR/USD Steady Near 1.1800 as Fed Cut Bets RiseEUR/USD held steady for a second session near 1.1800 in early Thursday trading. The pair could gain momentum as the US dollar weakens on rising expectations of a Fed rate cut after ADP data disappointed. June’s ADP Employment Change showed a surprise 33,000 drop, its first decline in over two years, well below forecasts of 95,000. May’s figure was also revised down to a 29,000 gain. Attention now turns to the upcoming US Nonfarm Payrolls, Average Hourly Earnings, ISM Services PMI, and S&P Global US PMI. Key levels: Resistance at 1.1830; support at 1.1730.
by ChartMage
Golden Opportunity with EURUSDEURUSD is maintaining a strong bullish structure, with a key support zone around 1.16600. Currently, the price is consolidating just below the 1.18100 resistance and may experience a short-term pullback before continuing higher. Bullish Supporting Factors: – The US dollar is weakening amid expectations that the Fed will act cautiously ahead of the upcoming jobs report. – Eurozone PMI has shown signs of recovery, lending further strength to the euro. Suggested Strategy: Wait for buy opportunities around the 1.16600 – 1.17000 area if bullish reversal signals appear. The target remains 1.18100 and potentially higher if upward momentum continues.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD: Uptrend Targeting 1.18600EURUSD is maintaining a solid bullish structure after breaking above the 1.17300 zone. The pair is currently consolidating around 1.1800 and may see a minor pullback before pushing toward the 1.18600 target. The main support comes from a weaker USD following Fed Chair Powell’s “patient” remarks, along with strong PMI data from the EU. EURUSD has now posted 10 consecutive days of gains, signaling strong upward momentum. As long as price holds above the FVG zone near 1.1780, the bullish trend remains intact, with 1.18600 as the next potential upside target.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD is moving within the 1.15900 -1.18500 range👉🏼 Possible scenario: The euro gained 0.16% on July 1, nearing its highest level against the dollar since 2021. Fed Chair Powell maintained a cautious tone on rate cuts, reinforcing expectations of possible easing if economic data weakens. Tensions between President Trump and Powell, including Trump's push for lower rates, have raised concerns over Fed independence and added pressure on the dollar. Traders now await ECB President Lagarde’s speech and the U.S. ADP jobs report on July 2, which could influence EURUSD direction. A weak jobs print may send the pair toward 1.17500. ✅Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.15900 Resistance level is located at 1.18500
by MaxOnMarkets
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.177. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.171. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Euro H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportThe Euro (EUR/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 1.1744 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 1.1660 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 1.1829 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
#AN012: Early July News and Forex Impact 1. US Debt and Dollar Depreciation The US Senate is debating an ambitious $3.3 trillion fiscal package, fuelling concerns about rising debt. The dollar has lost ground against the euro, hitting its lowest level in nearly four years. Forex Impact: Dollar weakness favors crosses such as EUR/USD and GBP/USD. Possible rate speculation, with prospects of Fed cuts. 2. NATO Summit and Increased Defense Spending At the NATO summit in The Hague, the commitment is to increase to 5% of GDP by 2035. This strengthens European government bonds and the dollar, in view of a safe-haven and new flows into the USD. Forex Impact: Support for the USD, increased volatility on crosses linked to the euro and sterling, potential trade on EUR/USD and GBP/USD. 3. Taiwan dollar appreciation The Taiwan dollar jumped 2.5% as local insurers hedge against dollar decline. Forex Impact: Dollar depreciation slows; Asian crosses such as USD/SGD and USD/KRW under pressure. 4. Global dollar weakness Euro bounces above 1.17 and USD/CHF below 0.80 on weak macro data and Fed cut speculation. Forex Impact: Open to long EUR/USD, short USD/CHF strategies, with potential carry trades. 5. Israel-Iran Ceasefire & Geopolitical Risk Israel-Iran fighting ends, but tensions remain. Markets are monitoring the fallout on oil and safe assets. Forex Impact: Possible increase in geopolitical volatility, with USD, JPY, CHF as a hedge; volatility on oil influences crosses that contain commodities (AUD/USD, CAD/USD). Hi, I'm Andrea Russo, a forex trader, and today I want to talk to you about the impact of the latest global news on currency markets. 🏛️ US debt and fiscal tensions The 3.3 trillion fiscal package under discussion in the United States has weakened the dollar. This weakness fuels opportunities on EUR/USD and GBP/USD, with potential upside on long positions, but beware of future Fed interventions. ⚔️ NATO towards 5% of GDP for defense The NATO Summit in The Hague marked a paradigm shift: more defense spending means bond issuance and USD flows as a safe-haven. This supports the greenback, making European crosses volatile. 💱 Forex Asia: the case of the Taiwanese dollar Yesterday's rise in the Taiwan dollar is a clear sign of protection against USD weakness. Unicorn to watch for those betting on emerging crosses in Asia. 💶 EUR/CHI and euro crosses recovering EUR/USD rises above 1.17 and USD/CHF falls below 0.80: perfect timing for strategic longs. The market is discounting falling Fed rates, amplifying the momentum on the euro. 🛡️ Geopolitics: fragile truce and geopolitical risk The truce between Israel and Iran currently limits the impact but does not eliminate the risk: safe haven assets such as USD, JPY and CHF remain under pressure for future eventualities. 🎯 Conclusion and trading opportunities Long EUR/USD on euro momentum and USD reflux Monitoring GBP/USD for macro sentiment Watch out for USD/CAD, AUD/USD for oil shocks This article was created with the support of our Broker Partner PEPPERSTONE. Keep following me for more updates.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
EUR/USD Monthly Timeframe Analysis (SMC / ICT-Based) EUR/USD Monthly Timeframe Analysis (SMC / ICT-Based) Current Price: 1.17437 (approx) OB (Order Block): A bearish order block is marked in the orange zone around 1.2250–1.2400, which aligns with a potential reversal point. BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity): Located just above the OB, targeting liquidity above prior highs. Price is expected to sweep this liquidity before reversal. FVG (Fair Value Gap): A red box indicating imbalance – likely an area price might react from once filled. Supply Zones: Upper Green Zone (~1.1400–1.1700): Price is currently reacting in this supply region. Lower Green Zone (~1.1050): Previous structure and minor resistance. SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity): Marked at the blue demand zone (~0.9500–0.9800). The chart shows a long-term bearish projection toward this zone after a liquidity sweep. 📉 Projection Path: Short-Term Bullish Move to the OB / BSL zone. Liquidity Sweep above the highs. Reversal from the OB zone. Bearish Trend Continuation breaking below recent structure. Final Target: Long-term drop toward SSL at 0.9500–0.9800 zone. ⚠️ Bias: Short-Term: Bullish until OB is hit. Long-Term: Bearish after liquidity sweep and OB rejection.
by King_Maker_FX
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 1, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 01.07 16:30 EET. USD - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Speaks 01.07 16:30 EET. EUR - ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks 01.07 17:00 EET. USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI EUR/USD is trading in negative territory near 1.1790 in the early European session on Tuesday. The US dollar (USD) is weakening against the euro (EUR) amid growing budget concerns and uncertainty surrounding trade deals. Four people familiar with the negotiations said US President Donald Trump's administration is seeking to phase in deals with the most involved countries as they rush to reach an agreement by the July 9 deadline. Uncertainty over trade agreements continued to weigh on sentiment and sell the US dollar. Investors are concerned about the US Senate's attempts to pass Trump's tax and spending cuts bill, which faces intra-party disagreement over a projected $3.3 trillion increase in the national debt. Fiscal concerns have dampened optimism and contributed to the decline in the US dollar. This, in turn, serves as a tailwind for the major pair. German inflation, as measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), eased to 2.0% y/y in June from 2.1% in the previous reading. The figure was below expectations of 2.2%. On a month-on-month basis, HICP rose 0.1% in June vs. 0.2% previously, below the market consensus forecast of 0.3%. Softer-than-expected German inflation data may limit near-term growth. Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1795, SL 1.1725, TP 1.1880
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Wave 5 is here... but are buyers about to get trapped1D Timeframe (Main Chart) ✅ Elliott Wave Count: Wave 1–2–3–4–5 structure is clearly marked. Wave 5 seems to be completing near the upper trendline, aligning with potential C wave of a larger correction. 🔺 Key Zones: Buyer zone highlighted under Wave 4 – indicating strong demand before Wave 5 push. Resistance from the descending trendline just above Wave 5 – potential reversal/sell area. Price region near 1.1757–1.1835 marked as a potential exhaustion zone. --- 🕒 4H Timeframe (Inset Chart) 📈 Current Price: Trading around 1.1755, approaching the resistance cluster (1.1757–1.1835). 🔻 Potential Scenarios: 1. Immediate Sell-Off: If Wave 5 has completed, expect a retracement back to previous demand zones (around 1.1683, 1.1446, or even 1.1362). 2. Final Push Up: If minor Wave 5 isn't finished yet, price could test the 1.1833–1.1853 area before reversing.
Long
by Greenfireforex