Market next target Original Analysis Summary:
Support area at ~1.1400 holding price.
Expectation: Bounce off support and continuation to higher target.
Arrows indicate a bullish bias after minor retracement.
---
Disruptive Bearish Interpretation:
1. Exhaustion at Top:
Strong upward rally could be showing signs of buying exhaustion, especially after the sharp vertical move.
The current top wick suggests rejection from higher levels.
2. Bearish Reversal Candles:
If a shooting star or bearish engulfing pattern forms near the target area, it could signal a reversal.
The current candle shows a long wick, which often precedes pullbacks.
3. False Breakout Risk:
The price could have broken above a resistance level only to trap breakout buyers before reversing downward.
This would trigger a move below the red box (support area).
EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
EURUSD InsightGreetings to all subscribers.
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to hit the boost and subscribe buttons.
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump announced via Truth Social that he โexpects Apple to manufacture and produce iPhones sold in the United States within the U.S.โ and warned that โotherwise, Apple will be required to pay a minimum 25% tariff in the U.S.โ
- Trump also warned the EU, stating, โIt was very difficult to deal with the EU, which was established with the purpose of taking advantage of the U.S. in trade,โ and recommended โimposing a 50% tariff on the European Union starting June 1, 2025.โ
- Maroลก ล efฤoviฤ, the EU Commissioner for Trade, commented that โthe European Commission is ready to cooperate in good faith.โ
- On the 27th, the Bank of Japan will hold a large-scale conference over two days under the theme โNew Challenges for Monetary Policy,โ with key financial figures, including Federal Reserve officials, expected to attend alongside Japanese participants.
This Weekโs Key Economic Calendar
+ May 26: Speech by ECB President Christine Lagarde
+ May 28: FOMC Meeting Minutes
+ May 29: U.S. Q1 GDP
+ May 30: U.S. April Core PCE Price Index
EURUSD Chart Analysis
EURUSD has smoothly broken through the 1.14000 resistance line and is once again attempting to break above the previous high. While a decline is expected after forming a high near the 1.16000 level, it is worth examining further bullish catalysts. Once it reaches the 1.16000 level, we will reassess the market direction.
EUR/USD: Engulfing candle, momentum signals boost bullish caseThe case for EUR/USD upside was looking good even before Donald Trumpโs latest tariff backflip on EU imports, with Fridayโs engulfing candle joining momentum indicators like RSI (14) and MACD in generating bullish signals.
With the price banging on the door of minor resistance at 1.1380, a bullish setup has been generated. If the price can clear 1.1380 and hold there, longs could be established on the break with a stop beneath for protection. Offers may emerge around 1.1420 where the pair topped out in late April, making that screen as an initial target. For those seeking greater risk-reward, 1.1500 has proven to be a strong resistance zone over the years, making that another level to aim for.
While the U.S. dollar has benefitted from similar tariff backflips previously, they are now widely expected by traders, meaning the tailwind they used to provide may no longer apply.
Good luck!
DS
EURUSD (STOP LOSSES SUPPLY + CONFIRMATION ON LTF)1) On top we have MSS + 705 Fib level.
2) Now price grab ST from demand and we can wait for confirmation on LFT.
3) NON mitigate Demand zone is OB 1H, i think price come back because 0.5 is still valid.
Entry: confirmation on LTF in POI
Target: First problem zone is OB 4H
Have a profitable day and don't forget to subscribe for more updates!
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EUR/USD...EURUSD 30M CHART PATTERN..I'm planning a *EUR/USD sell trade* with the following details:
- *Entry Price*: 1.13300
- *Take Profit (TP) Levels*:
- *TP1: 1.12300 (-100 pips*)
- *TP2: 1.11400 (-190 pips*)
### Key Considerations:
1. *Risk Management*:
- Ensure you have a *stop-loss (SL)* in place (e.g., 1.13800 or higher, depending on your risk tolerance).
- A common approach is a *1:2 or 1:3 risk-reward ratio*.
2. *Market Conditions*:
- Check if the trend is *bearish* (e.g., lower highs/lows, RSI below 50, moving averages sloping downward).
- Key resistance levels above 1.13300 could strengthen the sell case.
3. *Trade Execution*:
- Monitor price action around *1.13300* for confirmation (e.g., rejection candles, momentum).
- Consider partial closing at *TP1* and moving SL to breakeven.
Would you like help analyzing the trade setup further (e.g., technical indicators, support/resistance levels)?
EURUSD Technical Analysis.This chart shows a 1-hour time frame for the EUR/USD pair and outlines a potential short trade setup. Here's a breakdown of the components:
SL (Stop Loss): Positioned at 1.14397, indicating the maximum acceptable loss level for this trade.
Entry Zone: The current price is around 1.13624, with an expectation of entering a short (sell) trade near this level.
TP1 (Take Profit 1): Set at 1.13004, suggesting the target price where the trader expects to close the trade for a profit.
Chart Pattern: The outlined pattern indicates a potential bearish reversal, with a previous upward movement followed by signs of weakening momentum.
Arrows and Price Projection: Green arrows show the anticipated price movement down to the TP1 level.
This setup implies the trader expects a price drop after a minor upward move, using a risk-reward ratio that appears favorable if the price respects the resistance near the entry point.
Would you like help analyzing the pattern or backtesting this setup?
done and dusted, EUR/USD goes, โHold my beer , lets cheersEUR/USD: Smart Money Just Played a Masterclass
Price dipped below support โ looked like a breakdown, right? Wrong.
Hereโs the playbook they used:
Liquidity Grab: Took out sell stops sitting below key levels.
Bear Trap: Price snapped back up, leaving bears trapped and confused.
Order Block: Zoom in on the candles before the spike โ Smart Money bought heavy there.
Bullish Continuation: With bears trapped and bags full, price is now free to climb.
The fake fall fuels the real rise. Classic Smart Money setup โ watch this ride up.
EURUSD week 21 analysis๐Fundamental Analysis
Over the past week, the EUR/USD pair was influenced by positive economic data from the US as the PMI index showed that private sector activity expanded more than expected. This supported the USD and put downward pressure on EUR/USD in the short term. However, the USD's gains were quickly limited by concerns about the fiscal situation as the US House of Representatives passed a spending and tax cut bill that could increase the public debt by more than $3 trillion over the next decade.
On the other hand, Eurozone wage data recorded a slowdown in growth in the first quarter, reducing inflation concerns and reinforcing expectations that the ECB will soon cut interest rates. This left the Euro lacking clear upside momentum. In the context of a lack of important data over the weekend, market sentiment and macro risks continued to dominate the EUR/USD's performance.
๐ฏTechnical Analysis
EURUSD is still in a fairly strong uptrend and has hit the weekly resistance hook around 1.136. The next resistance level that the pair will face this week is 1.14200 with a large accumulation of sellers and when breaking out, pay attention to the weekly resistance level at 1.15000
To reverse the current trend, the pair needs to break the trendline structure around 1.12700. When breaking this area, it will wait for a retest point to SELL to the Entry Gap price of 1.116
๐๐Trading Signals
BUY EURUSD 1.127-1.125 SL 1.122
SELL EURUSD 1.142-1.144 SL 1.149 (Scalping)
SELL EURUSD 1.150-1.152 SL 1.155
EURUSD Direction | Daily Timeframe OutlookThese are the points we can take from the daily time frame :
1.EURUSD has broken through quite strong resistance, and we have not seen any wicks on any time frame, this indicates that EURUSD is still strong for buying
2.After finishing its uptrend, Eurusd fell to the weekly support that I marked,
3.After completing the correction phase, this week there was a fairly strong closing in the market structure shift (MSS) area
4.The conclusion is, eurusd will continue its upward trend, this is useful for daily traders as a direction to determine which trading positions are profitable
EURUSD Bounce Incoming? Smart Money Reversal BrewingThis EURUSD setup is a case study in smart money accumulation after a liquidity sweep + channel break. Price action is aligning like clockwork for a long setup, and the confluences are hard to ignore.
๐ง Breakdown:
๐ป Bearish Channel Structure: Market has respected this descending channel since early May โ multiple taps, respected diagonals
๐ก Reversal Clues: Clean sweep of liquidity at the channel bottom with bullish engulfing candle
๐ฐ Order Block + Discount Zone:
OB marked inside the 50%โ79% retracement range
๐น OB top: ~1.12567
๐น Key entry: Between 1.12567 โ 1.12199
๐น SL: Below 1.1180 (clean under discount zone)
๐ TP zone: 1.15728 โ previous market structure high and fib -100% level
โ
Risk-Reward: 1:5+ if played with precision
๐ Why this setup is ๐ฅ:
โ
Channel break = structure shift
โ
OB + Fib 61.8%โ79% = strong demand confluence
โ
Liquidity below equal lows already taken
โ
Sharp bullish move after sweep = signs of big players entering
โ
Price likely to pull back to mitigate before exploding
๐ง Institutional Logic:
โLiquidity fuels price. Structure guides it. Confluence confirms it.โ
The market swept lows, flipped structure, and now is likely returning to fill orders before the next leg up. This is a classic bullish mitigation play.
๐ If price taps into the OB and shows bullish confirmation โ this is a sniper zone.
Set alerts. Wait for the wick. Enter on the flip. Let the market work for you, not the other way around.
Euro will start to grow from support and then leave pennantHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Previously, price was moving confidently inside an upward channel, forming steady higher highs and higher lows. After a clear breakout from that structure, the price started consolidating inside a new pattern, an upward pennant. This formation usually appears as a continuation structure, where the market builds pressure before a new impulse. Currently, the price is trading near the middle of the pennant, after rolling down from the resistance line and rebounding up from the support area. The structure is compressing, and a retest of the support line near 1.1155 may occur before a breakout happens. Given the confluence of the pennant structure, the strong support area, and the previous bullish momentum, I expect the Euro to rebound again from the lower trend line and initiate an upward breakout. Thatโs why I set my TP 1 at the 1.1500 level, a logical target aligned with the upper boundary of the pattern and next key resistance. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost ๐
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarketsโ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Heist Plan๐Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!๐
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Entry ๐ :
๐ดโโ ๏ธBullish Entry - "The heist is on! Wait for the MA Pullback at Institutional Hidden Buy Zone (1.11000) & Big Players Verified Trade Zone (1.09000) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
๐ดโโ ๏ธBearish Entry - "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price.
Stop Loss ๐:
๐ฉThief SL placed at for Bullish Trade (Big Players Verified Trade Zone SL at 1.07000) & (Institutional Hidden Buy Zone SL at 1.09500)
๐ฉThief SL placed at 1.13800 for Bearish Trade
Using the 30mins period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target ๐ฏ:
๐ดโโ ๏ธBullish Robbers TP 1.17000 (or) Escape Before the Target
๐ดโโ ๏ธBearish Robbers TP 1.10500 (or) Escape Before the Target
๐ฐ๐ต๐ธEUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a Bearish trend ๐ป,., driven by several key factors.
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Detailed Point-by-Point Recap ๐โจ
Fundamentals ๐: USD leads due to Fed policy, US growth, and tariffs; EUR limited by Eurozone risks ๐ต๐.
Macroeconomics ๐: US resilience contrasts with Eurozone weakness, favoring USD ๐๐.
Global Markets ๐: US equities and yields drive USD strength; Eurozone trade woes hurt EUR ๐๐.
COT Data ๐: Bearish speculative positioning supports USD ๐ป.
Seasonality ๐
: May historically favors USD, aligning with current trends ๐.
Intermarket ๐: USD benefits from equity/yield correlations; EUR hit by energy costs ๐๐.
Quantitative ๐: Technicals (RSI, Fibonacci, channels) confirm bearish momentum ๐ป.
Sentiment ๐ฃ: Bearish institutional bias, with retail shorts suggesting short-term EUR bounce ๐๐.
Trend Prediction ๐๐: Bearish across timeframes, with downside targets at 1.1080, 1.0445, and 1.00 ๐ป.
Outlook โญ: Bearish (7/10), with USD dominance likely to persist ๐ช๐.
๐Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
โ ๏ธTrading Alert : News Releases and Position Management ๐ฐ ๐๏ธ ๐ซ๐
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Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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EURUSD: Will Start Falling! Here is Why:
The recent price action on the EURUSD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โค๏ธ Please, support our work with like & comment! โค๏ธ
EUR/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown โ Bearish Opportunity in Sight๐ Technical Breakdown
๐ฆ 1. Rising Wedge Pattern (Bearish)
The price has been moving within a tightening upward channel โ forming higher highs and higher lows, but with decreasing momentum. This is a typical Rising Wedge, a pattern that signals exhaustion in an uptrend and typically resolves to the downside.
The pattern formed over several days.
Volume has been declining as the price pushed higher โ a classic sign of weakening trend strength.
๐จ 2. Major Resistance Zone
The wedge culminated near a major historical resistance zone (around 1.1400), which price failed to break multiple times โ showing strong seller presence. This adds confluence to the bearish breakdown.
๐ 3. Breakdown & Retest
Price broke below the lower wedge trendline, confirming the bearish reversal. After the breakdown, the pair appears to be retesting the previous support line โ now acting as new resistance.
This retest is crucial โ a successful rejection here typically confirms the breakdown and provides an ideal entry point for short positions.
โก Volume Clues
Note the "Volume Burst" earlier in the chart, followed by a sharp move up. But that rally was unsustainable โ buyers couldnโt hold above resistance, and volume has since faded. This volume exhaustion is further evidence that bullish momentum is weakening.
๐ Key Support Zones Below
Around 1.1200: A strong SR flip zone (support-turned-resistance), which could act as temporary support.
Final Bearish Target: Around 1.1070, a strong demand zone where price previously consolidated before the last bullish run.
This is the measured move target from the wedge height applied to the breakdown point.
๐ง Why This Matters (Trader Insight)
This setup combines:
A reliable bearish pattern (rising wedge)
Key horizontal resistance
A volume drop
A clean retest structure
That makes it a high-confluence short trade idea. These patterns don't always play out immediately, but when they do, they often drop hard.
๐ Trade Setup Summary
Bias: Bearish
Pattern : Rising Wedge (broken)
Current Action: Retesting the broken wedge
Entry Zone: 1.135โ1.138 (retest confirmation)
First Target: 1.1200 (SR Flip)
Final Target: 1.1070 (Demand Zone)
Invalidation: Break and hold above 1.1410
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 23, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar has demonstrated significant strength during this week's trading session, attaining a notable Inner Currency Rally at 1.129 and encountering Mean Resistance at 1.137. Recent analyses indicate that the Euro will likely progress towards the forthcoming target levels, specifically the Mean Resistance at 1.142 and the Key Resistance at 1.151. A retest of the completed Outer Currency Rally at 1.157 may facilitate this advancement. However, a potential downward pullback could emerge from the current price range, particularly in proximity to the Mean Resistance level of 1.137, with a possibility of declining to the Mean Support at 1.127.
EURUSD Pullback in Play โ Next Stop: $1.1337EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($1.1310-$1.1162) while the upper line of the descending channel has been broken.
According to Elliott Wave theory , a breakout of the descending channel can at least confirm the end of a corrective wave . The corrective wave structure was a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect EURUSD to rise to at least $1.1337 after completing a pullback to the upper line of the descending channel .
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.11590, we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
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Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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