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EUR/USD_SPT - EUR/USD

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EURUSD_SPT trade ideas

EUR/USD: Reached the targetThe shorting strategy we provided at 1.0900 this week has now reached the first target position. If the profit is sufficient, you can close the order in advance. Wait for it to rise again and then you can continue to short. Currently, my account balance has grown from an initial $40,000 to $800,000 in profits. I will share accurate trading signals every day, and you have the option to copy my trading orders. If you're interested in getting these signals, you can click on the link below this article.
Short
by KentJessie6
EUR/USD: Bearish Reversal Potential at Fibonacci LevelEUR/USD daily chart provides a nice short opportunity. The pair recently experienced a retracement as part of an extended downtrend, reaching the 70.00% Fibonacci retracement level and facing resistance at the 1.09957/1.09947 level. A confluence of technical variables in this way can serve as a potential reversal point and resumption of the underlying bearish trend. Trading Strategy: Entry: Sell short EUR/USD at or near the prevailing price (1.08361) on confirmation of bearish price action such as a rejection candle off the resistance point. Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order above the new high (1.12142) or at a judiciously chosen resistance level to manage risk. Take Profit: Look for the following support levels as probable take-profit points: 1.07323 1.07286 1.06794
Short
by ultreosforex
1
Week AnalysisI fumbled my funded account because of myself It wasn't my strategy but it was my own decisions. I was up 5% stable but then I started scalping and interacted with XAU after I banned myself from poor trading decisions. What Am I going To Do? I recognise my problem was alpha mentality in which I'm looking to be positive every day and whilst I should be waiting for setups to form, I was creating setups. We going to run it up this week again with this on my mind and aim for high quality setups. P.s, if your in a similar position to me feel free to connect with me This week not my news so we might not see so many expansionary moves so another thing to be kept on mind.
by acelovespips
Idea for next weekWe’re set to receive the latest round of global Purchasing Managers’ Indices on Monday, and it’s the European data that will likely be in the spotlight, putting the EUR/USD forecast in spotlight. The question is whether Trump’s trade war is already starting to dent business activity worldwide. In the Eurozone, manufacturing PMIs have been inching higher, but they still languish below the crucial 50.0 mark that separates contraction from growth. The recent upsurge in key indices such as the DAX suggests investors are starting to price in a more optimistic scenario, with hopes that Germany’s hefty fiscal stimulus will soon filter through to the broader economy. Any positive readings could help fuel a rally towards the 1.10 handle, while weaker data may not play a significant role.
by EZIO-FX
EURUSD Short with Risk Manager ToolI received some messages about the Risk Manager Indicator. This indicator was created by me and it calculates the Lot Size you need to enter in order to follow your risk management rules. You just need to fill the % of your balance you want to risk on each trade, the entry price and the number of pips of your stop loss. Then the indicator automatically calculates the position size. It works on XAU, FOREX, OIL and US100/MNQ1! markets. It's a private indicator and it's available on my website.
Short
by Luis_TudoSobreTrading
EURUSD – Rising Wedge Breakdown | FVG in PlayEURUSD has broken down from a Rising Wedge pattern on the 1H timeframe, suggesting a bearish momentum shift after a strong rally. The current price action indicates a likely continuation lower, targeting the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone and major support near 1.07047. 📊 Technical Breakdown 1. Rising Wedge Pattern A clean bearish rising wedge formed during the uptrend, with price contracting upward and volatility drying. The breakdown from this wedge came with strong bearish momentum, confirming the pattern's bearish bias. 2. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) as Draws on Liquidity Two unmitigated FVGs lie below current price: First zone near 1.0780 Second deeper zone near 1.07047, aligning with the projected measured move of the wedge breakdown. These zones act as magnetic targets for price to fill inefficiencies and collect liquidity. 3. Bearish Retest Structure Price is currently forming a potential retest of the broken wedge structure, which could provide an ideal short entry opportunity. Expected continuation downward upon rejection from this retest zone. 🧠 Trade Idea Entry Zone: After confirmation of rejection near 1.0850 (retest of wedge) Target: 1.07047 (FVG & measured move confluence) Stop Loss: Above 1.0885 (above wedge structure) Risk-Reward: Solid setup with FVG and structure confluence ⚠️ Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 1.0850–1.0880 (wedge retest) Support/Target: 1.07047 (FVG fill + structure) Break back above 1.0900 invalidates the short setup.
Short
by ForexOptimizer
HelenP. I Euro will decline to 1.0710, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Euro recently tested the Support Zone, but buyers couldn't push the price higher. After a weak reaction, the price started to decline, showing that sellers are still strong. Now, it is trading near this support area, and I expect further downward movement. If sellers maintain pressure, EUR could break below the Support Zone and decline toward 1.0710 points, which coincides with the trend line. This level will be crucial—if the price bounces, we might see a local rebound, but if it breaks, a deeper drop could follow. Looking at past price action, we can see that the trend line has acted as strong support multiple times. However, each test weakens the level, increasing the chances of a breakdown. If the price reaches 1.0710 points, I will watch how it reacts. A clear breakdown could push EUR/USD lower, potentially toward 1.0425 (Support 2). For now, I anticipate a decline to 1.0710 points, where the price will decide its next move. My goal remains at 1.0710 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
5
EURUSDEUR/USD Fundamental Outlook and Trade Directional Bias for Next Week Fed Policy and USD Weakness: Fed Rate Cuts: Markets expect two rate cuts in 2025, but the Fed’s cautious stance (e.g., Powell’s emphasis on “unusually elevated uncertainty”) has limited USD declines. DXY Outlook: The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains below 105.900, signaling bearish pressure. A break below 103.175 could accelerate USD weakness, luckly enough the dollar index found weekly support at 103.175 escaping further downswing.Euro boosting EUR/USD will be limited if it fails to break critical supply roof. ECB Rate Hikes: The ECB has maintained rates at 3.5%, but hawkish rhetoric could support the EUR if inflation stabilizes. Political Risks: Geopolitical tensions (e.g., Ukraine-US negotiations) may weigh on the EUR if unresolved, but optimism about de-escalation could fuel bullish momentum. Trade Directional Bias Bullish (EUR/USD↑) Moderate Fed dovishness, DXY weakness, and a break above 1.0989 could push EUR/USD toward 1.1300 . Bearish (EUR/USD↓) High Failure to hold 1.0787 or a USD short squeeze (DXY rebound) may drive EUR/USD toward 1.0580 zone . Critical Events Next Week Impact on EUR/USD Bullish EUR: German Services PMI (forecast: 52.3) and Eurozone Services PMI (forecast: 51.2) are key drivers. Beating forecasts could signal economic resilience, boosting EUR. Manufacturing PMIs remaining in contraction (sub-50) but improving (e.g., German Manufacturing PMI at 47.1) may limit EUR gains. Bearish EUR: Missed forecasts, especially in German/Eurozone services, would amplify recession fears, pressuring EUR. US PMIs Bullish USD: Manufacturing PMI at 51.9 (near expansion) and Services PMI at 51.2 (steady growth) could support Fed’s "higher-for-longer" rates, strengthening USD. Bearish USD: Weak PMIs (e.g., Manufacturing < 51.9) may revive Fed rate-cut bets, weakening USD and lifting EUR/USD. FOMC Member Bostic’s Speech Hawkish Tone (delayed rate cuts): USD↑, EUR/USD↓. Dovish Tone (hinting at cuts): USD↓, EUR/USD↑. Trade Directional Bias Scenario EUR/USD Bias Key Drivers Strong Eurozone PMIs + Weak US PMIs Bullish EUR gains on economic resilience; USD weakens on dovish Fed bets. Weak Eurozone PMIs + Strong US PMIs Bearish EUR pressured by growth fears; USD strengthens on hawkish Fed outlook. Mixed Data + Neutral Bostic Neutral Consolidation near 1.0850–1.0950 until clearer catalysts emerge. Key Risks Geopolitical Tensions: US-EU trade war risks (Trump tariffs) could weigh on EUR. ECB Policy: Dovish ECB rhetoric (rate cuts) may cap EUR gains. Conclusion Bearish Bias Likely: Eurozone’s stagnant manufacturing and political uncertainty (e.g., German coalition struggles) may offset PMI improvements. Fed’s cautious stance (Bostic’s speech) and resilient US data could strengthen USD. ECB Policy Guidance: Hawkish rhetoric may strengthen the EUR. Tariff Implementation: Markets will monitor Trump’s April 2 tariff deadline for trade war escalation risks. Conclusion EUR/USD faces bearish bias next week due to: USD Short Squeeze Risks: DXY could rebound if Fed dovishness is priced in, pressuring EUR/USD. On technical dxy rebound on 3 day buying strike is a big sign of potential bearish drop against euro. Geopolitical Uncertainty: Unresolved Ukraine-US tensions may amplify volatility.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Double Top Pattern & Bearish MoveThis EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a clear Double Top pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal. The chart displays key technical elements, including support and resistance levels, trendlines, a stop-loss placement, and a take-profit target. Let’s go through an in-depth professional breakdown of this trading setup. 1. Market Structure and Trend Analysis Before identifying the pattern, it’s crucial to analyze the market structure: ✔ The price had been in an uptrend initially, making higher highs and higher lows. ✔ However, the trend began to weaken after hitting resistance at the 1.0950 zone. ✔ This failure to break higher created a double top, which is a strong bearish reversal signal. A double top forms when the price reaches a high twice, fails to break above resistance, and then declines past the neckline (support level), confirming trend reversal. 2. Double Top Pattern Breakdown 🔹 First Peak (Top 1): The price surged upwards, hitting the resistance zone at 1.0950, but faced selling pressure. The rejection resulted in a pullback to the neckline (support level at 1.0800-1.0820). 🔹 Second Peak (Top 2): The price attempted another rally but failed at the same resistance zone, confirming seller dominance. The second rejection suggests a lack of bullish strength, signaling a potential shift in momentum. 🔹 Neckline (Support Breakdown): The key support zone around 1.0800 acted as a pivot level. Once this level was breached, it confirmed bearish continuation. 3. Key Technical Levels & Price Action Signals 🟢 Resistance Level – 1.0950 Zone This level has acted as a strong supply zone where sellers stepped in to push prices lower. The two failed breakout attempts indicate that buyers lost control. 🔵 Support Level (Neckline) – 1.0800-1.0820 Zone Initially, this area provided buyer support, but once broken, it became a resistance level (previous support turns into new resistance). ⚡ Stop-Loss Placement – 1.09190 A well-placed stop-loss above the resistance zone protects against false breakouts. If the price rises above this level, it invalidates the bearish structure. 🎯 Take-Profit Target – 1.06916 The projected target aligns with the measured move (the distance from the resistance to the neckline). The price may find support at this level, where traders should look for a potential reversal or continuation. 4. Confirmation of Bearish Breakdown For a high-confidence short trade, multiple confluences support the bearish bias: ✔ Break & Retest of the Neckline – After breaking support, the price attempted a retest and failed, confirming resistance. ✔ Trendline Break – The trendline supporting the previous uptrend has been decisively broken. ✔ Bearish Price Action – The formation of strong red candles and lower highs suggests sustained selling pressure. ✔ Momentum Shift – Increased bearish volume further confirms the reversal strength. 5. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan ✅ Entry Criteria Sell after the retest rejection at the previous support (now resistance). Look for a strong bearish candle formation as a confirmation signal. 📉 Risk Management Stop-Loss: Placed slightly above 1.09190, ensuring the pattern remains valid. Take-Profit: Target set at 1.06916, aligning with previous structure support. 💰 Risk-Reward Ratio The setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio, making it a high-probability trade. 6. Alternative Scenarios & Market Considerations Although the bearish bias is dominant, traders should be prepared for alternative outcomes: 🔸 Fakeout Risk: If price closes above 1.09190, it could indicate a failed breakdown, invalidating the trade. 🔸 Bounce from 1.06916: If the price reaches the target support zone, buyers might step in, leading to a potential reversal. 🔸 Fundamental Influence: News events (such as FOMC, ECB statements, or US inflation data) can increase volatility and impact price direction. 7. Conclusion – A High-Probability Short Trade This Double Top pattern setup presents a textbook bearish reversal, offering an excellent short-selling opportunity. The combination of technical confirmations, price action signals, and a well-structured risk-reward ratio makes this trade highly reliable. Final Takeaways: ✔ Bearish Confirmation – Double Top breakdown with a retest rejection. ✔ Sell Setup Validity – Below 1.0800 support. ✔ Stop-Loss & Target Defined – Risk-controlled strategy execution. 📊 Verdict: Bearish trade setup with downside potential toward 1.06916. Traders should monitor price action for further confirmations! 🚀
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USD Trading Analysis – Falling Wedge Breakout StrategyChart Overview The EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a classic falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal setup indicating that selling momentum is weakening and a breakout to the upside is imminent. This chart provides a structured trading plan, highlighting support and resistance levels, entry points, stop-loss placement, and a target price. Traders can use this setup to capitalize on the potential bullish move while effectively managing risk. Let’s break it down step by step. 1. Understanding the Falling Wedge Pattern A falling wedge is formed when price action moves within two downward-sloping trendlines that converge. It signals decreasing bearish pressure, as the price forms lower highs and lower lows within a narrowing range. The decreasing range indicates that sellers are losing control, and an upside breakout is likely. In this chart, we observe the following key characteristics of a falling wedge: ✅ Two converging downward trendlines that contain price movement. ✅ Lower highs and lower lows showing seller exhaustion. ✅ Decreasing volume as the price approaches the breakout zone. ✅ Support near 1.08000, which has held price several times before. A breakout above the wedge signals a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment, making this a strong trade setup. 2. Key Support & Resistance Levels 🔹 Support Level (Demand Zone) The horizontal blue zone at 1.07898 – 1.08000 is a critical support level. This level has been tested multiple times, making it a strong demand zone where buyers step in. The falling wedge bottom aligns with this area, reinforcing its importance. If price stays above this zone, it confirms the potential for a bullish breakout. 🔹 Resistance Level (Supply Zone) The resistance zone at 1.09300 - 1.09839 has acted as a barrier to upward movement. Price previously reversed from this zone, making it a logical take-profit area. If the breakout happens, this level will be tested again. A break above 1.09839 would signal further bullish momentum. 3. Trading Strategy – Step-by-Step Execution 📌 Entry Confirmation To enter this trade with confidence, traders should wait for a confirmed breakout above the wedge. A strong bullish candle breaking above the wedge’s upper trendline signals entry. Ideally, a pullback and retest of the breakout level would provide additional confirmation before entering long. 📌 Stop-Loss Placement Risk management is key, and stop-loss placement should be strategic to avoid unnecessary losses. A stop-loss is set just below 1.07898, slightly under the recent low. This placement ensures protection against false breakouts. 📌 Take-Profit Target The take-profit target is set at 1.09839, aligning with key resistance and the projected wedge breakout distance. This level has historically acted as resistance, making it an ideal zone to exit profits. Partial profit-taking can be considered near 1.09300, before the final target. 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio With a tight stop-loss and a higher profit target, this trade offers a favorable risk-reward ratio (RRR). A minimum RRR of 1:3 is recommended, meaning potential reward is three times the risk taken. 4. Expected Market Behavior & Possible Scenarios 📊 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Confirmation 🚀 If price breaks and closes above the wedge, we expect a rally towards 1.09300 - 1.09839. Pullback to retest the breakout zone would further confirm bullish strength. Strong volume would validate the breakout, leading to a high-probability move. 📉 Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown (Invalidation) ❌ If price breaks below 1.07898, the bullish setup is invalidated. A downside move could push the price lower, possibly towards 1.07500 or below. Traders should exit long positions if this scenario unfolds. 5. Additional Technical Indicators for Confirmation To strengthen this trade setup, traders can use: ✅ RSI (Relative Strength Index) – Look for RSI divergence or a move above 50, confirming bullish strength. ✅ MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) – A bullish crossover on MACD would reinforce the breakout. ✅ Volume Analysis – A spike in volume at the breakout level adds confidence in the move. 6. Conclusion & Trading Plan This falling wedge setup suggests a high-probability bullish breakout if the price confirms above the resistance zone. 🔹 Trading Plan Summary: ✅ Wait for a breakout above the wedge before entering. ✅ Confirm breakout with a retest or strong bullish candle. ✅ Set stop-loss below 1.07898 to limit downside risk. ✅ Take profit at 1.09839, securing profits at resistance. This strategy offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio, making it a well-structured trade setup. Always manage risk and avoid premature entries without confirmation. 📌 TradingView Tags for Maximum Visibility #EURUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #FallingWedge #Breakout #PriceAction #ForexSignals #SupportResistance #TradingSetup #DayTrading #SwingTrading
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Matador the EUR/USD Bull? - Bears about to jump in?After the previous 3 weeks of bullish havoc, the bears may have finally decided to pump the breaks on EUR/USD buyers. As price continued to push higher, I held on to short positions that I began building up at 1.0851 & 1.0909 as I wanted to wait and see if the Pivot level R1 area (1.0935) was going to provide the wall to begin declining back down. Once I saw the lack of advancement, I opened another strong short position at 1.0912 and now sitting at an overall average price of 1.0891. I like this trade, however I am still staying cautious on that 1.0800 level. I want to see this price point clearly broken and trading below it, otherwise I will keep my stop at a close break-even point for risk protection. Overall, so far so good but we need to break through 1.0800. From a purely technical analysis point of view, I see a small scale rising broadening pattern and this usually indicates a drop to the starting point of the pattern will take place however, If we drop aggressively, I may eye that 1.0600 level again which will lock in almost 300 pips but as I just said, these patterns usually return to their starting point so 1.0300 or below is not out of the question. I guess it depends on how the price action is looking whether I'd close or hold. 1.0600 is around the yearly pivot point so that is a good marker to shoot for IMO. Interestingly, the MACD and RSI show a rising broadening pattern as well so that gives me a little bit more conviction in this trade. I see some other markers for this trade as well but I will share that in my next upcoming market preview video since it'd be too much to type. As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe
by InternalTraderNYC
EU could go up againHi traders, Last week EU went a little bit more up and rejected from the Montly FVG again. After that it started the last leg of the correction down just as I've said in my outlook. So next week we could see the pullback finish into the Weekly/ Daily BPR and after that more upside. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish. If you see an impulsive move up and a change in orderflow to bullish, then wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs. If you want to see more of my analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading