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EUR/USD_SPT - EUR/USD

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Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.18466.Dear colleagues, I believe that the upward movement continues. The five-wave impulse is not over yet, and I see that the price is now in the upward wave “3” of the higher order and in the upward wave “3” of the lower order. Therefore, I expect a small correction to the 1.16165 area, after which I expect the price to reach at least the 1.18466 resistance area. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
17
EUR/USD - Liquidity grabbed! Move towards the 4H FVG next?This chart illustrates a short-term bearish outlook on the EUR/USD currency pair, using smart money concepts like liquidity grabs, fair value gaps (FVGs), and structural levels such as support and protected lows. It is based on the 1-hour timeframe and references a higher timeframe (4H) for added confluence. Liquidity Sweep At the top of the recent price movement, a "Liquidity sweep" is marked, suggesting that the market pushed above recent highs to trigger stop-losses of short positions or entice breakout traders before reversing. This kind of move is common in smart money concepts and typically precedes a directional shift, which in this case, is anticipated to be downward. This sweep likely removed buy-side liquidity and indicates that institutional traders may now seek to target sell-side liquidity below recent lows. Support Zone The green shaded area labeled "Support" represents a previous consolidation or demand zone that temporarily held price after the liquidity sweep. This zone is seen as a short-term reaction point where price may consolidate or bounce slightly before continuing lower. However, the dashed black line projection suggests that this support is not expected to hold long-term, as price is forecasted to break below it. Protected Low A previous low is labeled "Protected low," implying that it hasn’t been violated during recent downward moves. This term often refers to a structural level that, if broken, confirms a shift in market structure. In this context, the projection anticipates that price will break below this protected low, indicating a bearish intent and unlocking further downside movement. 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) The large blue zone labeled "4H FVG" marks an imbalance or inefficiency on the 4-hour chart. This zone is referred to as a "Strong bullish 4h FVG," suggesting that once the sell-side liquidity is taken and the lower targets are met, this area is expected to act as a high-probability demand zone. Institutional traders often look for price to fill these FVGs before reversing, as they represent unmitigated institutional orders. The projected path implies that this is the ultimate downside target where price may react bullishly. Conclusion Overall, this analysis outlines a bearish short-term scenario for EUR/USD. After sweeping liquidity above recent highs, price is expected to respect the bearish order flow, break through the current support level, and move below the protected low. The ultimate downside target lies within the strong 4H FVG, where a significant bullish reaction might occur. This suggests a classic smart money play, manipulate (sweep liquidity), shift (break structure), and mitigate (return to FVG)—offering a well-structured trade idea for both intraday and swing traders. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
39
EURUSD Bearish ideaWe are in a weekly fair value gap that we have balance and potentially collected orders to prepare for a potential drop in price. We are anticipating a quarterly shift for the month of July were we could be targeting downside liquidity that is in open float. * Fundamentals: -Interest rate differentials shows us that USD interest rate of 4.5 is higher than the interest rate EUR 2.15 which lead to the longer fundamental frame work of price correcting to the higher dollar rate to the euro. -The COT report also indicates to us that there is huge buying of Dollar by the commercials and a huge amount of selling of the EUR by commercials which can lead us to assume potential weaker dollar. *Targeting: -We are looking for the low of last month (June) to be taken out as well as even potentially reaching to the implied weekly fair value gap.
Short
by That_Guy_Trades
6
EUR/USD Overview - June 25: Why Did the Dollar Fall Again ?The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Tuesday, which had stated on Monday. Let us recall that on Monday, everyone expected a "rollercoaster" right at the market open, i.e., during the night. However, the real action came closer to the evening. The first two trading days of the week were packed with events-of various kinds-capable of supporting both the dollar and the euro. So why did the U.S. currency fall out of favor with the market once again? If we were to list all the reasons, one article certainly wouldn't be enough. so, let's start with the most local and obvious ones. As early as Monday, we mentioned that the dollar might benefit from another escalation in the Middle East, this time initiated by the U.S. But just think: can the dollar even hypothetically be considered a "safe haven" if one of the warring parties is the U.S.? The second reason is that Trump launched a strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, and the next day, missiles were flying back-toward Qatar, Israel, and U.S. military bases. And. notably, Iran hit the American bases. The third reason is that Trump thanked Iran for warning Washington in advance about the upcoming strike. Honestly, the only word that comes to mind here is "farce." Can this even be a war if the participants warn each other before launching attacks? Naturally, the market immediately concluded that this was not a war but a performance. That might be better in some ways-since human casualties were avoided, and that is most important. But at the same time, if the dollar had any hopes of strengthening due to a Middle East escalation, the market realized yesterday that this "escalation" was theatrical and staged. And it gets even more bizarre. On Tuesday morning, Donald Trump announced a ceasefire. The U.S. President was so eager to establish peace somewhere-anywhere-that he declared the war over without waiting for any official statements from Iran or Israel. And just a few hours later, Iranian missiles took to the skies again. Once more, if this weren't about deadly weapons of mass destruction, the whole situation could be considered a comedy For the res of Tuesday, Trump posted angry messages every half hour on his own social network, expressing his dissatisfaction not only with Iran but also with Israel. In the afternoon, Trump tried to persuade Israeli not to launch retaliatory strikes, and we're left wondering-does the U.S. President believe that Iranian and Israeli leaders check his Twitter feed before initiating missile attacks? Frankly, we don' even know how to respond to this circus anymore. But the market certainly does. Why should it buy the dollar-even without the caveat "if Donald Trump remains president"? America has turned from a country with the strongest economy and military into a laughingstock. And these are just the reasons the dollar fell on Monday and Tuesday. Should we even bother listing why the U.S. currency has fallen for five months The average volatility for the EUR/USD currency pair over the last five trading days as of June 25 is 74 pips, which is characterized as. " We expect the pair to move between the levels of 1.1551 and 1.1699 on Wednesday. The long-term regression channel is directed upward, indicating a continued bullish trend. The CCI indicator entered the overbought zone, which triggered only a minor downward correction Nearest Support Levels: S1 - 1.1597 S2 - 1.1475 S3 - 1.1353 Nearest Resistance Levels: R1 - 1.1719 R2 - 1.1841 R3 - 1.1963 Trading Recommendations: The EUR/USD pair continues its upward trend. Trump's foreign and domestic policies remain the strongest pressure factor on the U.S. dollar. Additionally, the market interprets or ignores much of the incoming data negatively for the dollar. We continue to observe a complete lack of interest in buying the dollar under any circumstances. If the price is below the moving average, short positions remain relevant with targets at 1.1475 and 1.1353, though a significant decline in the pair is unlikely under current conditions. If the price is above the moving average, long positions can be considered with targets at 1.1699 and 1.1719 in continuation of the trend. Explanation of Illustrations: Linear Regression Channels help determine the current trend. If both channels are aligned, it indicates a strong trend. Moving Average Line (settings: 20,0, smoothed) defines the short-term trend and guides the trading direction. Murray Levels act as target levels for movements and corrections. Volatility Levels (red lines) represent the likely price range for the pair over the next 24 hours based on current volatility readings. CCI Indicator: If it enters the oversold region (below -250), or overbought region (above +250), it signals an impending trend reversal in the opposite direction.
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
13
EURUSD Selling from Resistance at 1.17500 EURUSD Analysis – 4H Timeframe The pair continues to respect its ascending channel, but current price action suggests a potential sell opportunity from the 1.17500 resistance zone. 🎯 Technical Targets: 🔻 1st Target – 1.16000 (Key demand zone) 🔻 2nd Target – 1.14500 (Deeper support area) 🔻 3rd Target – 1.12500 (Bullish Order Block) 💡 Watch for confirmation signals near resistance before entering shorts. 💬 Like, follow, comment, and join us for more real-time trade ideas and updates! 📲 Let’s grow and trade smart together 💼✨ — Livia 😜
Short
by experttrader04
8
EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸 Bullish Wave Coming From : 1.17850 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute. EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )
Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
4
HelenP. I Euro may soon reverse and test support near $1.1655Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the chart, EURUSD has been climbing steadily within an uptrend, bouncing multiple times from the trend line and making higher highs. However, despite the recent bullish structure, the pair is now showing signs of slowing momentum. The price is approaching a possible turning point near the top, and the latest candles show hesitation. Now the pair is trading near 1.1790 and still staying above the trend line, but I believe it may rise a bit more and then break down below the trend line. Once this structure is broken, I expect sellers to take control and push EURUSD toward the nearest support zone between 1.1655 and 1.1630 points. This zone acted as a key level in the past and may serve as the next area of interest for buyers. Given the extended movement and potential loss of bullish pressure, I remain bearish and expect EURUSD to move down to retest support. The level of 1.1655 is my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by FirstNameHelen
4
EUR/USD breakout awaiting EUR/USD has not provided a clear structure over the past week or two. The pair appears to be in consolidation, building liquidity on both sides of the current range. At the moment, I’m waiting for a decisive breakout, ideally followed by distribution within the monthly supply zone, although that zone is still some distance away. This week, my focus will be on whether a new supply zone forms, closer to current price. If price sweeps the nearby equal highs and then shows signs of reversal, this could give us a fresh supply area to work from. Alternatively, if price moves lower, I’ll be looking at the 8-hour demand zone around 1.16000 for a possible long setup. Confluences for EUR/USD: - Although price has been slightly bullish, the current consolidation phase suggests a potential reversal could be on the horizon. - Liquidity is building on both sides of the range, making a reaction from the monthly supply zone increasingly probable. - There’s significant downside liquidity still untapped, such as Asia session lows, which could serve as short-term targets. - For clearer confirmation, we still need a decisive break in market structure to the downside. P.S. If price sweeps the lower liquidity and moves into the 8-hour demand zone near 1.16000, I will be watching for accumulation to form and signs of bullish intent from there.
by Hassan_fx
3
EUR/USD Rally Pauses Near 1.18000 – Higher Targets in SightHi Everyone, Last week, price action delivered the 1.18000 level we had been calling for, and as expected, dynamic resistance around that area proved to be significant. Looking ahead, we anticipate EUR/USD will continue to test the 1.18000 level this week while holding above the 1.16680 support zone. A strong break above last week’s high could attract further buyers, paving the way for a move towards the 1.19290 and ultimately the 1.20000 levels. We’ll share further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD if price breaks above this level. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
4
EURUSD BULISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURUSD has been playing out exactly as forecasted, now trading confidently above the key 1.17 handle. Price action has respected prior structure levels perfectly, with the recent bullish impulse forming clean higher highs and higher lows. After a minor corrective move and successful retest of the previous breakout zone, we’re now seeing continuation momentum build toward the 1.21 target. This pattern is a textbook bullish flag followed by a clean breakout and retest, confirming the strength behind this current upside leg. Fundamentally, the euro has gained strength due to growing divergence between the ECB and the Fed. With inflation in the Eurozone stabilizing and recent data indicating a modest recovery in manufacturing and services PMI, there's increasing speculation the ECB may hold rates longer, while the Fed is seen leaning toward eventual rate cuts as US labor data softens. The June NFP miss and downward revisions in prior data have weakened the USD’s position, creating a favorable environment for EURUSD bulls. The technical confluence with macro fundamentals is striking. Risk sentiment is improving across global markets as inflation fears ease and rate clarity emerges. The euro remains supported by strong capital inflows and demand for yield stability. Additionally, EURUSD has cleared multi-month resistance zones with conviction, signaling institutional interest and momentum-based positioning. The recent candle formations suggest buyers are in firm control. We remain on track for the 1.21 level, which aligns with prior swing highs and a key Fibonacci extension target. Any pullback toward the 1.16–1.1650 region should be viewed as a high-probability buying opportunity. With the DXY under pressure and euro zone resilience improving, EURUSD continues to be one of the top-performing major pairs heading into Q3. Stay patient and ride the wave—this move has more room to run.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2
EURUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for EURUSD is below: The market is trading on 1.1775 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 1.1648 Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1840 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
4
Anatomy of a Breakout: How to Spot It Before It Fakes You OutFew things in trading are as appealing as a breakout. The chart tightens, volume starts to stir, headlines align, your alerts start going off , and suddenly — boom! Price explodes above resistance. Your adrenaline spikes and you pop open that long. But just as often, that breakout turns out to be nothing more than an expensive head fake. Price stalls. Sellers swoop in. Your stop gets clipped. And now you’re sitting there, blinking at your screen, “Welp… that was quick.” Welcome to the bittersweet world of breakouts — where opportunity and deception dance like partners at a high-stakes poker table. 📢 What Is a Breakout, Really? Let’s get the basics out of the way: A breakout happens when price pushes beyond a key support or resistance level that’s been holding for a while. That level could be a previous high, a consolidation range, a trendline, or a psychological number that traders obsess over because humans love round numbers (did someone say Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD at $120,000 ?). The logic is simple: Once price clears a well-watched level, trapped shorts have to cover, new longs pile in, and momentum feeds on itself. That’s the dream scenario. But markets aren’t always that generous. For every clean breakout, there are a few fakeouts lurking — luring in overeager traders with the promise of easy money before slamming the door shut. ⚠️ Why Breakouts May Fail If breakouts were easy, we’d all be rich. The problem is that breakouts attract a special kind of crowd: late-to-the-party momentum chasers, breakout algorithm bots, and retail traders who read one blog post about technical analysis. The moment price nudges above resistance, FOMO kicks in. Volume surges. But if the move isn’t backed by genuine institutional buying (you need lots of billions to move the needle nowadays), it quickly becomes what seasoned traders call a “liquidity vacuum” — thin air where the only participants are you, a few equally optimistic Reddit threads, and market makers more than happy to take the other side. Sometimes breakouts fail because: The move lacked volume confirmation. Macro headlines shifted mid-breakout. A key level was front-run, and the real buyers have already taken profit. It was a deliberate trap set by larger players to hunt stops before reversing. Or — more often — the market just needed an excuse to shake out weak hands before resuming the actual move later. 🍸 Volume: The Truth Serum Let’s be very clear: Breakouts without volume are like dating profiles without photos — you should be suspicious. When real breakouts occur, you’ll usually see strong accompanying volume. That’s your proof that big players — funds, institutions, serious money — are committing to the move. No volume? Maybe the summer vibes are already here . Smart traders wait for confirmation: Is volume above average relative to recent sessions? Is price holding above the breakout level after the initial pop? Are follow-through candles printing convincingly? Are we seeing continuation across related sectors or instruments? Without these signs, that breakout candle may just be a cruel joke. 🤯 Breakout Psychology Breakouts prey on two of the most dangerous emotions in trading: greed and urgency. The market whispers, “If you don’t get in now, you’ll miss it.” This is where breakout psychology becomes more dangerous than the chart itself. Once a breakout happens, most traders are no longer analyzing — they’re reacting. They buy late, set tight stops below the breakout level, and become easy prey for stop-hunting algorithms. ✨ Types of Breakouts Not all breakouts are created equal. Here’s the lineup you should be watching for: Clean Breakouts: The rarest and most beautiful. Strong move, high volume, sustained momentum. You’ll know it when you see it — or after you’ve hesitated and missed it. Fakeouts (a.k.a. False Breakouts): Price nudges just past resistance, triggers breakout orders, then swiftly reverses. Designed to shake out breakout traders before resuming the original trend. Break-and-Retest Setups: Often the highest-probability trades. Price breaks out, then pulls back to retest the former resistance (now support). If buyers defend this retest, you’ve got confirmation. News-Driven Breakouts: Triggered by earnings, economic data, or political events. Volatile, fast, and often unsustainable unless backed by real fundamental shifts. 📈 The “Pre-Breakout Tell”: Reading the Tape Good breakout traders aren’t just watching levels — they’re watching how price behaves near those levels in advance. Tight consolidation? Lower volatility into resistance? Declining volume as price grinds higher? That often signals an impending breakout as supply dries up. Conversely, choppy action with large wicks and erratic volume often signals indecision — ripe conditions for failed breakouts and fakeouts. Tape-reading matters. The cleaner the structure before the breakout, the better your odds. 💰 Breakout Traders Need Thick Skin Even with perfect analysis, breakout trading requires accepting that many will fail. That’s the game. Your job isn’t to nail every breakout — it’s to size your positions properly , keep losses small when faked out, and let the clean breakouts run when you catch one. Stop-loss discipline is everything. Breakouts are binary events: you’re either right quickly, or you’re cutting the trade quickly. There’s no room for “maybe it’ll come back.” The most painful breakouts are the ones that fake out, stop you, then continue in your original direction. Every breakout trader has lived that nightmare. Accept it. Build it into your risk plan. 👉 Takeaway: Prepare the Setup, Anticipate the Fakeout Breakouts will always be part of every trader’s playbook. But they require discipline, experience, and an iron stomach. The market loves to tempt you with early signals — your job is to separate signal from noise. Pro tip: Start your day by checking the Economic calendar and browsing the latest news — staying informed (and witty) helps you build better context for smarter decisions. So before you chase that next breakout candle, ask yourself: Is volume there? Is the broader market supportive? Have I managed my risk before clicking buy? Because in trading, the only thing worse than missing a breakout… is getting faked out and blowing up your account chasing it. Now over to you : Are you a breakout trader or a fakeout victim? Share your best (or worst) breakout stories — we’ve all been there.
Education
by TradingView
26
EU may stop rising soon. Closes to W1 downtrend!1. Key points for reversal coming: The bullish wave on the weekly (W1) timeframe has been rising for quite a long time and has extended significantly. It is approaching the downtrend zone on the weekly/monthly (W1/MN) chart. There is a twisted Kumo top in the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating potential indecision or reversal. The current structure may be forming the right shoulder of a Quasimodo pattern. The TDI (Traders Dynamic Index) momentum indicator is showing a strong overbought condition. 2. Plan: Sell around 1.1950!
Short
by Bighandle
3
Bullish bounce off pullback support?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.1742 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.1698 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.1814 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
2