EURUSD price analysis week 20🌐Fundamental Analysis
USD gains ground: Thanks to the hawkish tone of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the announcement of the UK-US trade deal, the USD strengthened against other currencies, dragging the EUR/USD pair lower in the US session on Thursday.
US Monetary Policy Outlook: The FedWatch tool shows only a 17% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates in June, leaving the USD with room to rise if the Fed maintains a cautious stance.
Euro Outlook Weakens: ECB officials signaled a clear interest rate cut in June, as slowing growth and easing inflationary pressures limit the Euro's upside potential.
🕯Technical Analysis
EURUSD has established a downtrend after breaking through a key technical support zone around 1.12900.
Key support to watch is around 1.1100 and the next zone is the weekly support zone of 1.1000.
During the week, if there is any sign of price increase above 1.129 creating a False break pattern, we will pay attention to the peak area of 1.036 for the SELL strategy.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL EURUSD 1.03600-1.03800 SL 1.04100
BUY EURUSD 1.11100-1.10900 SL 1.10600
BUY EURUSD 1.10000-1.09800 SL 1.09500
EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
EURUSD My Opinion! SELL!`
My dear subscribers,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1357 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.1324
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD: Growth & Bullish Forecast
The analysis of the EURUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Has the EUR/USD Uptrend Ended?After trending upward since early 2025 on a weaker dollar, EUR/USD saw a notable pullback this week. For the first time, we can technically say that the uptrend has ended. But what are the reasons?
The price dropped below the 1.12640 level, which represents the most recent higher low recorded by the market, and closed the day below it, forming a new low. This signal on the daily timeframe is negative and indicates a trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
The 1.14931 level represents potential selling pressure, from which the price may decline after testing it, targeting the 1.12860 level.
As for the 1.15734 level, it is considered an important resistance line that keeps the bearish scenario valid. However, if the price rises and records a daily close above it, this would indicate a return to the bullish trend and the failure of the bearish scenario.
EUR/USD Bearish Setup: QM + Breakout Play Targeting Demand Zone!Hello guys!
I think eurusd is bearish! why?
A Range: Market consolidated in a tight horizontal range before breaking out.
QM Pattern: A lower high and lower low structure indicates potential for a trend reversal.
Neckline Break: Bearish confirmation with a strong break and close below neckline support.
Retest Zone: Price is now revisiting the QM supply zone, offering a high-probability short setup.
Bearish Projection: The next expected move is a drop toward the S&D (Support & Demand) zone between 1.12640 and 1.11900, which aligns with historical demand and previous accumulation.
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🎯 Bearish Target Zone:
First TP: 1.12640
Final TP: 1.11900 - 1.12080 (Demand Zone)
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 9, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the Eurodollar exhibited signs of weakness following a rebound at the Mean Resistance level of 1.137. With decisive, vigorous bearish price activity, the currency pair decisively breached the critical Mean Support level of 1.128. Current market indicators suggest that the Euro will likely close on a Mean Support level of 1.119, moving further towards an Outer Currency Dip at 1.111. However, it is essential to acknowledge that upward dead-cat rebounds may re-emerge at the present price range level.
USD strength still underrated? Credit Agricole thinks soEUR/USD is struggling to hold above 1.1250 after a modest bounce from recent lows near 1.1220. On the 4-hour chart, price remains capped below the 9-period SMA, with RSI hovering near neutral at 40 and volume showing persistent selling pressure. The technical setup points to a fragile recovery that has yet to gain conviction.
This comes as Credit Agricole maintains an above-consensus bullish view on the US dollar, projecting a recovery through H2 2025 and into 2026. While structural risks—such as ongoing US-China trade tensions—continue to draw market attention, the bank sees these concerns as overstated.
President Trump’s latest comments could reinforce that view, suggesting an 80% tariff on Chinese goods could be a viable alternative to the 145% already in place. The upcoming trade talks in Switzerland will be key to near-term direction, but for now, the bias for USD strength appears intact—keeping downside pressure on EUR/USD.
EUR/USD — Smart Money Concept (SMC) AnalysisStrategy Framework: SMC (CHOCH, POI, Supply/Demand Zones)
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Key Concepts on Chart
CHOCH (Change of Character)
Confirmed bullish CHOCH from higher timeframe demand zone (orange). Signals intent of bullish reversal.
✅ Strong Demand Zone (Yellow Box)
H4 demand zone holds — price swept liquidity below recent swing low and respected demand.
✅ Target Supply Zones (Marked in Yellow)
1st target: 1.1450 – 1.1500
2nd target: 1.1550 (High timeframe supply)
✅ Elliott Wave Context
Wave (4) completion + bullish impulse toward Wave (5) continuation possible — aligning with SMC bias.
Entry Idea:
> Long after confirmed CHOCH & mitigation of minor demand zone (~1.1240 – 1.1260)
Target 1:
> 1.1420–1.1450 Supply Zone
Target 2:
> 1.1500–1.1550 Higher Supply Zone
Invalidation (Stop Loss):
> Below major demand (
I had some bad luck todayI had some bad luck today. This setup was originally meant for me, but things didn’t go as planned. A crypto exchange claimed it supports USD-based trading, and since working with brokers like Lazzam is a bit confusing and complicated for me, I got excited and deposited my $11 there.
But then I realized the minimum position size was $1,250 USDT — way too much. I totally fell for it. So yeah, I couldn't take the trade, but now this setup is for you. Hope you enjoy it!
Good night — although it might not be night where you are. But I'm in Iran, and well, I guess that's my second bad luck of the day. Wish I were in the U.S. instead!
EUR/USD: Bearish Structure Intact — Lower Lows Ahead? (READ)By analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 1.136. If the price manages to stay below the 1.1414 level, we can expect further downside from this pair. The possible bearish targets are 1.128, 1.11480, and 1.10 respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURUSD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1278
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1344
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1236
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD: Important Bearish Reversal Confirmed?!The EURUSD chart shows a large head and shoulders pattern on a daily basis, indicating a strong bearish reversal signal with the breakout of the neckline.
The broken neckline now acts as a key resistance level, suggesting a potential further decline towards the 1.1150 level.
EUR/USD Hit Target, what´s next? The EUR/USD just hit my take profit target at 1.12, exactly as planned. I'm now patiently waiting for the next bullish rejection to re-enter a short position. The setup remains aligned with my overall bias, and I’ll be watching closely for confirmation before pulling the trigger again. @moneyflowing
HelenP. I Euro will drop from resistance zone to $1.1260 pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After an extended period of consolidation, the price remained trapped inside a narrow range, testing both the upper and lower boundaries multiple times without any decisive breakout. This indecision created a strong horizontal resistance around the 1.1355 - 1.1370 zone, which continues to act as a key obstacle for bulls. Eventually, the price declined sharply and found temporary support along the upward trend line. This area had already proven its significance through multiple touches and rebounds, serving as a strong dynamic support. After touching the trend line once again, buyers stepped in, leading to a moderate recovery in price action. Currently, EURUSD is pushing back toward the resistance zone. However, I don’t see this upward momentum sustaining for long. The previous failures at this level and the weak follow-through from bulls suggest exhaustion. I believe that once price enters the resistance zone, it will face renewed selling pressure. My expectation is a rejection from this area and a move lower, potentially breaking below the previous local lows. That’s why I set my goal at 1.1260 points, a logical target based on the previous swing support and current bearish setup forming just under a key resistance level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
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