EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
Cycle Low Confirmed – Strong Upside Move Starting!Here's what I notice:
- Price has **bounced very strongly** from the cycle low.
- You timed it very nicely — the upswing started just as the cycle predicted a bottom.
- If the cycle timing continues, this move could extend for several candles into the next cycle top.
**Summary of the New Setup:**
✔ Cycle low confirmed with bullish breakout
✔ Strong impulsive move off the bottom
✔ Favourable timing for long setups
✔ Potential for multiple days of upside if cycle rhythm holds
This new chart you uploaded looks like it's using cycle analysis — those green semi-circles suggest you're mapping time-based cycles!
Awesome! 😎 Here's the TradingView post draft for your **Cycle Timing** idea:
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# ⏳ Cycle Low Confirmed – Strong Upside Move Starting!
**Summary:**
Perfect timing off the projected cycle low! Price action has confirmed the cycle theory with a strong bullish breakout. Based on the rhythm of previous cycles, we could see sustained upside momentum into the next cycle peak.
**Setup Details:**
- **Entry:** Current levels (~1.13647) after confirmation of cycle low.
- **Stop-loss:** Below the recent low (~1.09000) to give the trade room to breathe.
- **Target:** Look for strength toward 1.20+ depending on price behavior near mid-cycle.
- **Risk/Reward:** Excellent — trend in favor, supported by cycle timing.
**Technical Factors:**
✅ Cycle Low perfectly aligned with time-based projection
✅ Strong bullish candle closing above recent consolidation
✅ Momentum shift supports continuation higher
✅ Cycle suggests multiple sessions of upside potential
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**⚠️ Disclaimer:** This is *NOT financial advice*. Always do your own research and manage risk properly!
Elliot basic insight Base on the up trend movement, EU actually displaying a basic clear Elliot wave just like the textbook word. With the DAILY Candle closed yesterday, give a reason to enter meanwhile that next movement will be the 5th anticipate, since Elliot is a 12345 waves.
YOU CAN LOOK INTO IT.
EURUSD Soars Beyond 1.17, Eyeing 2021 Highs on DXY DrawdownAs EUR/USD breaks further above the upper boundary of a 17-year descending channel, U.S. dollar dominance over the pair appears to be fading, leaving room for long-term upside potential.
The pair has now reached levels last seen in September 2021 near 1.1750. A decisive close above this level could extend gains toward the 1.20 mark, aligned with the 2021 peaks.
On the downside, a close back below the 1.1570 support may trigger a pullback toward 1.14 and 1.13 before a potential bullish continuation. If that fails, the upper boundary of the former channel could be retested at 1.11 and 1.10.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
EUR/USD 4-Hour Chart (OANDA)4-hour price movement of the Euro/U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) currency pair from OANDA, covering the period from June 19 to July 11, 2025. The current exchange rate is 1.16787, reflecting a 0.16% increase (+0.00189). The chart highlights a recent upward trend, with a notable price range between 1.15990 and 1.17335, and includes candlestick patterns and a highlighted resistance zone.
Clear enough?we see a long push with displacement on the H1 that leaves behind a confluence between an Order Block and an Imbalance, up above there is an imbalance that also has a cconfluence with the senitive zone represented from the buyside liquidity of the previous range.
I currently want to see price head down there to start searching for an entry.
If anyone has questions feel free to ask.
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 25 June 2025
- EURUSD broke resistance level 1.1575
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.1800
EURUSD currency pair recently broke the resistance level 1.1575 , which is the former monthly high from the middle of April.
The breakout of the resistance level 1.1575 continues the active short-term impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of May.
Given the strong daily uptrend, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.1800, which intersects with the daily up channel from May.
EURUSD broke the Resistance level 1.16100 👀 Possible scenario:
The euro rose 0.1% on June 24, nearing 1.16250 and hitting a 2.5-year high of 1.16410, as the U.S. dollar softened following soft remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and weak U.S. data. Powell warned that tariffs may boost inflation this summer but signaled openness to rate cuts if economic risks grow.
U.S. consumer confidence fell unexpectedly in June, fueling concerns about a slowing job market and economy. This boosted expectations for a July Fed rate cut, now seen at 18%, and supported the euro as traders weighed diverging Fed-ECB policy paths. Traders now see an 18% chance of a July cut, boosting the euro amid diverging Fed-ECB outlooks.
✅ Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.14535
Resistance level is located at 1.16330
Short trade
4Hr TF overview
🔻 Trade Journal Entry – Sell-side Trade
📍 Pair: EURUSD
📅 Date: Wednesday, June 25, 2025 (You wrote June 15th — adjusted to match your current date sequence)
🕒 Time: 5:00 AM (London Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: 4 Hour
📉 Direction: Sell-side
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 1.16072
Profit Level 1.14888 (−1.02%)
Stop Loss 1.16244 (+0.15%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 6.88 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
4HR Premium Entry from Bearish OB:
Trade executed at the upper end of the internal range, where price tapped into a high-probability bearish order block.
London AM Stop-Hunt:
Price swept a prior London session high before rejecting, indicative of engineered liquidity and smart money distribution.
Break of Structure & Momentum Confirmation:
Following the sweep, price broke internal structure to the downside, confirming bearish intent.
EURUSD - Looking to the upside retest of SupplyLooking to the upside, first lets get that push to lower level of liquidity swing then a push to the upside. Only on bullish confirmation at our highlighted level. I think we have one more retest before catching a potential short (pullback) on the larger time frame. Long term target for EURUSD is 1.200.
EUR/USD Nears 1.1620 Before Powell’s TestimonyEUR/USD edged up to 1.1615 in early European trading on Wednesday, supported by improved risk sentiment after Israel and Iran signaled an end to their air conflict. The truce, backed by pressure from President Trump, increased appetite for risk assets, favoring the euro over the dollar.
All eyes are now on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who reiterated on Tuesday that monetary policy will remain data-driven. However, comments from Kansas City Fed President Schmid hinted at caution due to tariff-driven inflation. While markets expect a rate cut in September, July odds have edged slightly higher.
Resistance is at 1.1630, while support is at 1.1530.
EURUSD High Probability H4 LongTrend is up
Stop loss behind solid support level
We expect market to continue upwards, especially if go down to the support level
Can create another entry pending order exactly on support which would give 6:1 RR
We enter now in case market doesn't reach support and continues to target
EUR/USD 4-Hour Chart Analysis (ONDA)Euro/US Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate over a 4-hour interval, sourced from ONDA. The current rate is 1.16177, reflecting a 0.08% increase (+0.00093). The chart highlights a recent upward trend, with a resistance level around 1.16746 and a support zone between 1.15439 and 1.16000, as indicated by the shaded areas. The time frame covers late June to early July 2025.