EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
Euro Slips as ECB Rate Cut Bets GrowThe EUR/USD dipped to around 1.1415 in early Asian trading Tuesday as the Euro weakened on rising expectations of an ECB rate cut in June. Reuters cited growing confidence among policymakers, with Olli Rehn suggesting rates could fall below neutral.
Investors are also watching US-China trade developments ahead of Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls. President Trump claimed progress, but Beijing denied active talks. Treasury Secretary Bessent confirmed recent contact but said China must act. Trade tensions continue to pressure the dollar, potentially supporting the Euro.
Key resistance is at 1.1460, followed by 1.1580 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1260, then 1.1200 and 1.1150.
EURUSD - I Have A Lot Of Faith In Euro This Week!Euro is showing signs of weakness, failing to close above the 1.15123 higher timeframe PD array leaving EURO in limbo between two higher timeframe PD arrays; the 3-month IFVG and1 week SIBI.
I am exploring opportunities to the downside going into next weeks trading with 1.13080 being the 1st point of interest.
1.08814 - 1.11464 nearby BISI is a price range i have my eyes on also.
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 29, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is down to 1.14150 in the early Asian session on Tuesday. The euro (EUR) is weakening against the US dollar (USD) amid rising bets for further rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB) in June. Investors expect further US trade policy developments ahead of the release of the much-anticipated US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data on Friday.
US President Donald Trump said progress is being made and he has spoken to Chinese President Xi Jinping, although Beijing denies that trade talks are underway. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said he spoke with Chinese authorities last week but did not mention tariffs.
On Monday, Bessent said the U.S. government is in contact with China, but it is up to Beijing to take the first step to de-escalate the tariff fight with the U.S. over the trade imbalance between the two countries. Investors will be keeping a close eye on the US-China relationship. Trump's chaotic trade policies have undermined faith in US assets and the common currency has become an alternative destination for investors' cash. Any signs of an escalating trade war between the US and China could have a negative impact on the US dollar and serve as a tailwind for EUR/USD.
On Saturday, Reuters reported that ECB policymakers are increasingly confident of cutting interest rates in June as inflation continues to fall. On Monday, ECB chief Olli Rehn said the central bank may cut interest rates below the neutral level that keeps the economy in balance.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.13800, SL 1.14000 , TP 1.13000
EU LONG TRADE IDEIA. Expecting a bullish week. Lets seeEU LONG TRADE IDEIA. Expecting a bullish week. Lets see. 1-6RR
EUR/USD 15m Analysis – Market Profile & Demand Zone Play
Price is retracing into a key demand zone near 1.1350–1.1360 after a sharp move up. This area also coincides with a prior high-volume node (POC) on the market profile, suggesting significant past accumulation and potential for a reaction.
Market Profile Insights:
• A clear value area developed between ~1.1350 and ~1.1385, showing strong acceptance.
• The recent move up created a low-volume node (LVN) just above the current price – indicating inefficient price action that may be revisited quickly if demand returns.
• Current price is re-entering the prior value area, hinting at a potential test of the lower boundary (~1.1350), which also aligns with the ascending trendline support.
• If this zone holds, there’s a clean upside imbalance toward 1.1518 – where the previous distribution ends and new liquidity likely sits.
Trade Plan:
• Long Bias from demand zone with bullish confirmation.
• Target: 1.1518
• Invalidation: Break and hold below 1.1340 demand
EUR/USD remains capped below 1.1400, bullish bias prevailsEUR/USD's near-term outlook is neutral. The pair oscillates below a flat 20 SMA, while longer-term (100/200) SMAs maintain upward slopes. Momentum is flat around 100, and the RSI is only slightly higher near 45, suggesting limited upward potential.
eurusd to 1.133after buyside disruption i want to see eurusd accel to lower prices due to many smooth levels beneath the market as i outline its easy to see. a bullish 15 min fvg fail currently and i want to see the first target of 133
EURUSDWeekly tf is bullish
Daily it's in an uptrend
H4 broke outside of a consolidation to the upside
H1, we will revisit 1.14 to keep pushing to the upside.
EURUSD - 4 Hr Support - Running PositionFX:EURUSD failed to break its 4hr support and continues its bullish momentum!
#EURUSDThree important areas for buying trades, the best area is number 1, then area number 3 and the riskiest area is number 2.
EUR/USD racing towards new highs? The market sends clear signalsThe EUR/USD pair is confirming a very strong bullish structure. On the weekly chart, the price is positioned above a key supply zone between 1.1350 and 1.1450, after strongly breaking through previous resistances.
The current consolidation at the top of the range suggests a potential continuation to the upside, with a first target at 1.1500 and an extended target at 1.1600.
Retail market sentiment shows a clear majority of short positions on EUR/USD.
This supports a contrarian bullish view, as historically, retail tends to be positioned against the prevailing trend.
COT report data further strengthens this outlook.
The US Dollar Index (USD Index) shows an increase in short positions among institutional traders, indicating a possible phase of dollar weakness.
Conversely, the Euro FX shows a significant increase in long positions from both non-commercial and commercial traders, highlighting institutional interest in buying the euro.
From a seasonal perspective, May tends to be neutral or slightly negative for the euro, while June historically favors moderate dollar strength.
This suggests that EUR/USD could still have room to rise over the coming weeks, but it will be important to monitor for signs of bullish exhaustion towards the end of May.
In summary, the current context favors further upside on EUR/USD as long as the price remains above the 1.1300 support.
However, it will be crucial to watch for the first signs of weakness as we approach June.
EURUSD BUYOverall EURUSD is currently on a Bullish trend. Price action on the 1hr chart just recently broken and retested the trendline. On the lower time frame (3 minute) there was a bullish shift, and price is currently above the 200ema. Market execution buy with SL at recent low.
EURUSD: Weak Market & Bearish Forecast
The price of EURUSD will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
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EURUSD(20250428) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The Fed's subsequent policy path considers two scenarios: First, there is no substantial progress in the negotiations between the United States and its trading partners. After 90 days, the US tariffs are still high. Weakened economic demand may prompt the Fed to cut interest rates starting in July, and the annual rate cut may reach 100 basis points; second, the negotiations are fruitful, tariffs are reduced, and the demand shock is small, but inflationary pressure continues. The Fed may postpone easing and only cut interest rates slightly in December. For the market, although the easing comes early in the first scenario, the "recession-style" rate cut may suppress risky assets.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1357
Support and resistance levels:
1.1434
1.1405
1.1386
1.1327
1.1308
1.1280
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1357, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1386
If the price breaks through 1.1327, consider selling, the first target price is 1.1308
EURUSD is moving within the 1.2725 - 1.5750 range👉🏼 Possible scenario:
The euro (EUR) weakened on April 25 as the U.S. dollar (USD) gained strength. Upcoming inflation data from Germany and the eurozone is expected to show further cooling, raising expectations for an ECB rate cut in June.
Investors will closely watch the figures for signs of disinflation and hints on the ECB’s policy path. While April 28 has no major data releases, any developments in global trade—especially potential Chinese tariff retaliation—could spark volatility in EURUSD.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.12725.
Resistance level is now located at 1.15750.
EURUSD SHORT- SMALL Trade ideia. 1-5RREURUSD SHORT- SMALL Trade ideia - Iam taking this small sell with 1-5 RR. Starting with half risk because it might still go high and if that happens I will take a second entry and rise a little bit the stop loss. Lets see.
Wish u a very good week ahead.
EURUSD April 28 Trade Executed EURUSD
April 28
Trade Executed London 2 Macro
Asia expanded to create minor equal highs at the .70level and lowered not taking the equal lows I was suspecting Price would take in Asia. Price rallied to minor equal highs, to create a wall of equal highs at 1.13809.
1:30 price starts to break down.
Trade logic
In Asia GU took its equal lows and DXY just barely took its equal highs. With EU not taking its equal highs at 1:30 I started to hunt anticipating a short.
while my model is liquidity taken the other pairs were tipping there hand a short was in play.
I was watching how price was reacting in inefficiencies highlighted in yellow. Leaving it not rebalanced and Price unwillingness to rebalance the buy side FVG also led me to think a short was in play.
1:36 lowers creates a FVG
1:48 comes up to test first presented FVG
I admittedly stalled here until had more info
DXY candles gave me confidence that it would run its equal highs, so I could short
2:00 entry on the .79 level
3:00 exit on first target of equal lows
First 10 lot trade which is 1%. WOW.
I feel very good about this trade. With the combined study of GBP and DXY it gave me confidence to press the button. Rinse study and repeat!
eurusd 2025-4-28first of the oppening market we have some level for trade
on top we have fvg 1hour , eqh and pdh . if price go up and reach the that price we ready for find sell setup .
on bottom we have pdl and ssl . if price go down and reach the that price we ready for find buy setup .
EWTSU eurousd H1 subminuette wave y starting
Elliott wave trade setup H1
subminuette wave y of a corrective wxy is going to start
5 waves motive downward movement should follow
invalidation: 1.1390 area
From Financial Markets to Pope Francis' Funeral
From Easter to April 28, 2025, financial markets have been in a period of great turbulence, influenced by economic, geopolitical and social events. The Forex market, in particular, has reacted to central bank decisions, commodity fluctuations, global trade tensions and the major event of Pope Francis' funeral, which has seen the participation of world leaders and talks that could have a lasting impact on international relations. This article offers an in-depth analysis of the key events of these weeks.
1. Monetary Policies and Forex Markets The decisions of major central banks have dominated the movements of currency markets. The Federal Reserve, in an attempt to balance recession and inflation risks, has decided to keep interest rates unchanged. This approach has caused a temporary weakness in the US dollar, prompting many traders to move towards more stable currencies such as the euro and the pound.
In Europe, the European Central Bank took a more hawkish stance, hinting at a possible tightening of monetary policy to combat inflation. This move boosted the euro, which posted significant gains against major currencies.
The Bank of Japan, on the other hand, continued its ultra-accommodative policy, causing the yen to weaken further. Traders then showed a preference for the dollar and the euro over the Japanese currency.
2. Commodity Prices and Impact on Related Currencies The commodity market saw significant movements. Oil prices fell, influenced by a rise in inventories in the United States and weak global demand. This trend penalized currencies that are highly correlated to commodities, such as the Canadian dollar (CAD) and the Australian dollar (AUD).
On the other hand, gold continued to gradually increase, with investors choosing it as a safe haven in a context of economic and geopolitical uncertainty. Gold’s strength had an indirect impact on currencies tied to the precious metal.
3. Geopolitics and Conversations During Pope Francis’ Funeral The funeral of Pope Francis, held on April 26, 2025 in Rome, was a crucial moment for global diplomacy. The participation of world leaders allowed for significant discussions:
Meeting between Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky: During the ceremony, a possible peaceful solution to the conflict in Ukraine was discussed. The opening to a ceasefire represents a real possibility for stability in the region.
Statement by Vladimir Putin: The Russian president expressed Russia’s willingness to negotiate without preconditions, a signal that could positively influence global tensions.
Focus on dialogue and peace: The funeral itself emphasized the importance of building bridges between nations, a central message of Pope Francis’ pontificate.
These talks, if followed up with concrete actions, could have long-term effects not only on geopolitical relations, but also on investor confidence and, consequently, on financial markets.
4. Economic Data and Influence on Forex Markets Economic data released during this period played a central role in the movements of the Forex market:
United States: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a slowdown, suggesting that inflationary pressure could ease. This fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates in the coming months.
Eurozone: Inflation exceeded expectations, strengthening the euro and increasing the likelihood that the ECB will adopt further monetary tightening measures.
Fluctuations in economic data caused greater volatility in the Forex market, offering opportunities and risks for traders.
5. Implications for the Future Looking ahead, investors should carefully monitor geopolitical developments stemming from Pope Francis’ funeral talks, central bank decisions, and key economic data. The combination of these factors could continue to generate volatility in currency markets, making FX a dynamic and complex space for the coming months.
EURUSD: The range is compressing in the sideway zone. Waiting foThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart stays below 50 and EUR/USD failed to make a 4-hour close above the 20-period and 50-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA), reflecting a lack of buyer interest.
On the downside, 1.1300 (static level) aligns as interim support before 1.1270-1.1260 (Fibonacci 238.2% retracement of the latest uptrend, 100-period SMA) and 1.1180 (Fibonacci 50% retracement).
EUR/USD could face strong resistance at 1.1380, where the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level converge with the 20-period and 50-period SMAs. In case EUR/USD manages to stabilize above this resistance, 1.1450 (static level) and 1.1500 (static level, round level) could be seen as next hurdles.
