Range trend The price is expected to fluctuate within the current resistance range and move in the specified directions. If the price breaks through the resistance range, a continuation of the upward trend is likely.
EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 31, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
15:00 EET. EUR - Consumer Price Index
EURUSD:
The EUR/USD pair is attracting some buyers after falling in the Asian session to the 1.08000 area and hopes to consolidate the rebound from the multi-week low reached last Thursday. However, this rise lacks bullish confidence, and spot prices are currently trading around 1.0835, unchanged for the day.
The US Dollar (USD) continues to face selling pressure for the third consecutive day, as investors assess the potential for stagflation in the US. This has exerted downward pressure on the EUR/USD exchange rate. Dollar bulls have not been impressed by signs of rising inflation, which could deter the Federal Reserve (Fed) from resuming its rate-cutting cycle in June. The US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index, released on Friday, showed that the core measure (which excludes volatile food and energy prices) rose by 0.4% in February, marking the largest monthly gain since January 2024 and pushing the annual rate to 2.8%.
Additionally, a survey conducted by the University of Michigan revealed that 12-month inflation expectations increased in March to the highest level in almost 2-1.5 years. This was despite a 0.4% rise in consumer spending in February, following a downwardly revised 0.3% decline in January. This comes amid uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump's trade policies, which should allow the Fed to adopt a 'wait-and-see' approach to further monetary easing. However, these forecasts are not expected to significantly bolster the US Dollar, nor do they exert downward pressure on the EUR/USD exchange rate.
Conversely, the shared currency appears to be benefiting from a reduction in concerns regarding a trade war between the EU and the US. The European Commission has announced that it has prepared concessions for the US to avoid Trump's so-called retaliatory tariffs, which he will announce on Wednesday. Nevertheless, the prevailing risk-off mood may provide some support to the safe-haven dollar and limit gains in EUR/USD. Traders are anticipating the release of preliminary German consumer inflation data, which is expected to provide a boost. The fundamental backdrop remains supportive of the pair's prospects for further growth.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.08500, SL 1.07650, TP 1.09550
Potential rise in the price of the euro/dollarHello traders
The upward momentum is strong and there is a correction. I expect the price to continue its trend and break the top.
A noobs perspective So I've been trading here and there for a little bit mostly taking losses. So here's normally where I buy where I marked in the white circles but those large wicks are classic manipulation from what I learned on YouTube lol. But seriously large institutions where drag the price to a high pointed out and retail noobs like myself will be stupid and long at market at the spots pointed out when you should really be selling against that like the big players. If your a noob and you lose alot like me go spend time learning how institutions trade, what are order blocks and learn structure I'm still learning it as we go here but yea. I hope I've inspired someone to do the right thing lol and learn from noobs mistakes like me.
EURUSD - Bullish TrendThe pair was in down trend on 1H TF. In preious session price broke through and formed a HL and HH. To on safe side entry can be taken once the previous high is takn out and SL will the last LL.
EurusdDocumentation is good for a trader and I would like to start my community with a clear indication of how easy trading is. Just show up.
EURUSDH4 double bottom at the daily support zone. Waiting for resistance to be broken with a possible retest before buying. We have a massive resistance trendline dating back to 2008 that we should watch out for if price keeps trending higher.
EURUSD: Bulls Take ControlEURUSD has broken out of the parallel descending channel that existed over the past few days, thanks to positive economic data in the market at the end of Thursday's trading session.
Currently, the currency pair is moving in a consolidation pattern around the new support level at 1.0789, and the potential for further upside is considered high due to support from the confluence zone between EMA 34 and EMA 89.
The next targets are expected to aim for resistance levels at 1.082 and 1.085.
Wishing you smooth and successful trading!
EUR/USD at a Pivotal Level – Will Bulls Push Higher?The EUR/USD pair is showing signs of a trend reversal after breaking above a long-term descending trendline. This breakout, coupled with an inverse head and shoulders pattern and RSI bullish divergence, signals strengthening bullish momentum. However, the price faces key resistance around 1.0500-1.0527, aligned with the 200 EMA.
A confirmed break above this level could push the pair toward 1.10+, while failure to do so may lead to a pullback before another attempt higher.
Weekly Market Analysis - 29th March 2025 (DXY & EURUSD Only)Here is my DXY & EURUSD analysis for the upcoming week and month.
I share what I think will happen in terms of anticipating price using the concepts of liquidity and efficiency as mostly taught by ICT.
I hope you find it useful in your perspective of the market.
- R2F Trading
A fresh lookAs you can see the price close below key (turning points) and the market will need to find further structure for more upside but the price is still not bullish as we still need to close above the trend line noted. Therefore there is “limited upside” to the euro, price can fall to the1.065 level. I believe the market is very volatile right now and all we’re seeing is just pure volatility and the real trend is still bearish right now before another anticipated rally to the level but I’d say we’re to early for the uptrend as of this moment
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right
EURUSD is ready to push againThe market is currently in a downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows.
Price has reached a key support zone around 1.07841, showing signs of a potential bullish reversal.
A bullish recovery scenario is considered, as long as the support holds.
📊 Trading Plan:
Bullish Scenario:
✅ Entry Zone: Around 1.07841, waiting for bullish confirmation.
✅ Target Levels:
TP1: 1.08182 (first resistance)
TP2: 1.08381 (higher structure level)
Bearish Alternative:
❌ If the price breaks below the support, we could see further downside towards 1.07506 (SL) and lower.
⚠️ Risk Management:
🎯 Stop-Loss: Placed at 1.07506, just below the support to minimize risk if the bullish scenario is invalidated.
🎯 Take-Profit: TP1 and TP2 are set based on key resistance levels.
📢 Bias for the Day:
🔹 Slightly bullish – as long as the support holds, a reversal is likely.
Steps to follow:
Analyze yourself.
Take the position with SL and Take Profits.
Wait, it may take a couple of days, so take a break and step away from the screen from time to time, just like I do :)
Get the result.
I will update the trade every day.
Like, comment with your good mood or viewpoint, share with your circle. It’s together that we get stronger!
Good trades, Traders!
The golden bear
EUR/USD NEXT MOVESell after bearish candle stick pattern, buy after bullish candle stick pattern....
Best bullish pattern , engulfing candle or green hammer
Best bearish pattern , engulfing candle or red shooting star
NOTE: IF YOU CAN'T SEE ANY OF TOP PATTERN IN THE ZONE DO NOT ENTER
Stop lost before pattern
R/R %1/%3
Trade in 5 Min Timeframe, use signals for scalping
Range with manipulation 4h - m15 model
Working in range, waiting for manipulation on the lower borders 4h, when forming the model, I will open positions in the long! The target is PDH and the upper boundary of the range
Observing the lag in DAX’s reaction to EU auto tariff risksTL;DR
Bearish bias below 1.07910
DAX underperforms (-0.70%) amid EU auto tariff concerns
S&P 500 stagnation limiting EUR volatility
Key Levels
Resistance: 1.07810-1.07910 (critical for intraday bias)
Invalidation: Above 1.08110
Technical Setup
DAX shows decoupling potential from S&P 500
Watch for:
• DAX recovery → EUR upside risk
• S&P 500 breakdown → Accelerated EUR selling
Risks
Delayed EU tariff response may trigger DAX volatility
For full correlation analysis and entry triggers, Google "Evgenii’s Substack"
EUR/USD | Potential Reversal SetupSitting at a critical zone. Big money clustering around current levels, VRVP showing strong interest. MACD hinting at trend shift. 1.078 is the key resistance - break it, and we're looking at a nice move up. Rejection, and we might see another leg down.
Trading Plan:
1 Watch 1.078 closely
2 Bullish above, bearish below
3 Look for confirmation
i'll update that soon. the uncertainty of the tariffs april 2 will be a big catalyst to look at
EUR/USD Short Setup – Price Rejection at Key ResistanceTrade Plan:
📉 Sell Entry: 1.07980
📍 Stop Loss: 1.08241 (Above resistance to minimize risk)
📍 Take Profit: 1.06748 (Targeting the next major support zone)
🔹 Strong rejection from the resistance level suggests a possible reversal.
🔹 Volume spike indicates increased selling pressure.
🔹 A break below recent lows could accelerate the downward move.
EUR/USD - Finally triggered. I've been waiting for the 1.075 level to be tested, and we've now seen a clear bounce higher.
My entry has just hit 2R, and I've locked in breakeven.
A break above 1.08 should bring increased volatility, potentially pushing towards 1.09 in the short term.
XAUUSD Trend Today - Slightly Downtrend🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news:
👉The EUR/USD pair continues to extend its decline from its recent yearly high, starting the week on a negative note. It has fallen below the 1.0800 support level, reaching a new three-week low near 1.0780, an area that also coincides with the temporary 100-day SMA. This correction comes as the US Dollar (USD) regains momentum, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) strengthening further above the 104.00 mark, as investors closely monitor the latest developments regarding tariffs.
Personal analysis:
👉EUR/USD will maintain its short-term decline and await further news on US tariffs and Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks.
👉The market is stable as there is little information affecting the pair today.
👉Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell EUR/USd 1.0790- 1.0800
❌SL: 1.0830 | ✅TP: 1.0750 – 1.0720
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Entry Psychology Hey guys, Ray here, and I just entered a trade here.
Doesn't matter buy or sell,
or what currency your trading.
We all enter the market and none of us can ever know the "perfect price".
Therefore, our Stop Loss is inadvertently a key factor in our entries, lot sizes, and psychology.
In this video I explain what I mean...
Please comment if you found this insightful!
