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EUR/USD_SPT - EUR/USD

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EURUSD_SPT trade ideas

USD remains weak across the board. EUR, GBP & JPY Bullish.Not much action due to the extended market break and Easter weekend but I expect more USD selling across the board in the coming weeks ahead. Long positions are sitting tight but two areas I am keeping an eye on are 1.1200 as a base support and 1.1500 as the resistance hurdle we need to clear in order to open up the gates to 1.2000+ GBP/USD is still a bullish case for me as the short term resistance may be cracking and I'm still expecting for the JPY to advance against the USD. It's good to get a break from the market volatility but I surely expect it to resume in the coming week! Good Luck & Trade Safe!
by InternalTraderNYC
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 18, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current trading session, the Euro has demonstrated a successful pullback to the anticipated support level of 1.128, from which upward momentum has emerged. Consequently, the currency is positioned to retest the previously completed Outer Currency Rally level of 1.142, potentially advancing towards the subsequent target marked next Outer Currency Rally at 1.159. However, it is essential to recognize that there is a possibility of downward momentum re-emerging should the Euro challenge the completed resistance at 1.142 or the forthcoming target of 1.159.
by TradeSelecter
Bullish Pennant on EUR/USD @ D1A bullish pennant has formed on the daily chart of EUR/USD. It can be used for an upside breakout setup. The pennant and its pole are shown with the yellow lines. My potential stop-loss level is marked with the red line (1.12662), it is placed at the low of the pennant area. My potential take-profit level is marked with the green line (1.17921), it is placed at the pole's length above the stop-loss. I will wait for a significant close above the pennant's border to consider trading this breakout.
Long
by AndriyMoraru
EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair is poised for volatility in 2025 as monetary policy divergence between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) shapes directional bias. Here's an analysis of key factors: ECB Policy Impact Recent Rate Cut: The ECB lowered key rates by 25 bps on April 17, 2025, reducing the deposit facility rate to 2.25%. This dovish move reflects confidence in disinflation progress, with headline and core inflation nearing the 2% target. Future Guidance: The ECB emphasized a data-dependent approach, signaling flexibility amid trade tensions and economic uncertainty. Further easing may be limited if inflation stabilizes, but prolonged weakness in Eurozone growth could prompt additional cuts. Fed Policy Stance Rate Hold: Fed officials, including Cleveland President Beth Hammack, advocate maintaining current rates (4.25–4.50%) due to mixed economic data and tariff-induced uncertainty. The Fed’s cautious stance prioritizes combating inflation over preemptive cuts. Divergence Risk: A widening policy gap favors USD strength if the ECB continues cutting while the Fed holds. J.P. Morgan highlights this dynamic, projecting EUR/USD downside if the ECB outpaces Fed easing. Market Projections Bullish Scenarios: we are predicting a 2025 high of 1.238, driven by EUR resilience and Fed rate cut expectations later in the year. Technical analysis notes critical resistance at 1.125 is broken and the breakout will potentially accelerates more gains hoping to change 1.238 next supply zone . Bearish Risks: EUR/USD declining to 1.0741 by year-end,could be medium-term corrections amidst USD dominance on tighter Fed policy. Key Drivers to Watch Inflation Trends: Sustained Eurozone disinflation vs. sticky US inflation. Growth Data: Eurozone PMI improvements vs. US labor market and GDP metrics. Trade Policies: Escalating tariffs may tighten financial conditions, influencing Fed/ECB reactions. Short-Term Outlook Q2–Q3 2025: Immediate EUR weakness likely post-ECB cut, with support at 1.0753 (200-day SMA). A Fed hold in May-June could extend USD gains. Q4 2025: Potential EUR recovery if Fed begins cutting rates, with targets at 1.1800–1.2143. In summary, EUR/USD faces bearish pressure near-term but may rebound in late 2025 if policy divergence narrows. Traders should monitor ECB/Fed communications and economic resilience in both regions.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
EURUSD Is Going Down! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.136. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.127 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EURUSD(20250418) Today's AnalysisMarket news: The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, the seventh rate cut in the past year, and this decision was unanimous. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1367 Support and resistance levels: 1.1440 1.1413 1.1395 1.1339 1.1321 1.1294 Trading strategy: If it rises and breaks through 1.1395, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1413 If it falls and breaks through 1.1367, consider selling, the first target price is 1.1339
Long
by Toml1314
EURUSD Holds Below 3-Year HighsAs the U.S. dollar lingers near 3-year lows, the euro is testing 3-year highs—holding critical resistance zone at 1.1520. This level marks a pivotal point, further challenging the broader downtrend that has shaped the EUR/USD chart since 2008. A confirmed breakout above 1.1520 could open the door to further upside toward 1.17 and 1.20, revisiting the highs last seen in 2021. Should the euro fail to break higher and begin to retreat, key support levels to watch include 1.1270, 1.1140, 1.1000, and 1.0920. A potential pullback may be amplified if overbought momentum begins to fade—particularly as the current 3-day RSI levels echo those last observed in 2020. Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
by FOREXcom
EUR/USD 1-Hour Breakout Trade SetupTrade Overview I'm sharing a breakout trading opportunity on the EUR/USD pair on a 1-hour timeframe, currently priced at 1.13698. This setup targets a potential breakout from a descending channel, offering a clear risk-reward scenario. Chart Analysi Descending Channel: The price is approaching the upper boundary of a descending channel, marked by a blue trendline. This suggests a possible breakout or reversal. Resistance Zone: A key resistance is identified around 1.13714 (purple horizontal band), where the price recently faced rejection. Support Zone: Support lies near 1.13680 (lower purple band), serving as a potential stop-loss or entry adjustment level. Breakout Plan: If the price breaks above 1.13714, I plan to add 0.3 lots ("Add 0.3 L near"), adjusting the stop-loss to this level ("SL to new Position") to lock in profits. This is a breakout trade with a focus on risk management. I'll enter on a confirmed break above 1.13714, scaling in with 0.3 lots, and trail the stop-loss to the entry level. The setup leverages the channel's upper boundary for a high-probability move, with the SMA providing additional confluence. Risk Management Initial SL: 1.13680 (below support). Adjusted SL: 1.13714 (post-breakout). Target: Dependent on channel breakout strength, aiming for the next resistance or a 1:2 risk-reward ratio. Let’s see how this plays out—feel free to share your thoughts or follow along!
Short
by yuvawealth
EURUSD (2W) | TECHNICAL ANALYSISChart Date: April 17, 2025 | Timeframe: 2-Week | Pair: EUR/USD KEY LEVELS (RESISTANCE & SUPPORT) Pivot High (Stop-Loss): 1.14950 Resistance (Major): 1.14154 Support I (Proximal): 1.05166 Support I (Distal): 1.04072 Support (Proximal): 0.98605 Support (Major): 0.97500 Support (Distal): 0.95936 CURVE ANALYSIS 🧾 Sell Order: 1.13982 → 1.12022 Sell TP 1: 1.08291 Sell TP 2 (Mid Pivot): 1.05155 Sell TP 3: 1.02846 Sell TP 4: 0.99278 Buy Order: 0.98421 → 0.96340 Pivot Low (Stop-Loss): 0.95360 TRADE OUTLOOK 📉 (SHORT BIAS) Price is deep within a 2W hidden institutional supply zone Multiple pivot highs intersect resistance at 1.13982 and 1.14950 DOWNWARD TREND confirmed ✔️ If price fails to close above 1.14950, short setups are favored with confidence High RRR opportunity present on rejections below 1.13982 or 1.12022 Targets: 1.08291, 1.05155, 1.02846, 0.99278 ENTRY PLAN 🧠 | TRADE IDEA Wait for bearish engulfing or strong rejection below 1.13982 Place entry below 1.12022 with SL above 1.14950 Scale out at 1.08291 (TP1), then trail toward TP4 RISK MANAGEMENT 🎯 Sell SL: 1.14950 Buy SL: 0.95360 Use ATR to confirm volatility threshold before entry Session bias: Use London/NY overlap for execution SUMMARY: SHORT SETUP INSTITUTIONAL ZONE 📉 If 0.64086 (hidden institutional supply) holds, and price does not close above 1.14950, we are in a prime high-probability reversal zone. This sets up a powerful bearish swing opportunity targeting 4 support layers, anchored by institutional demand between 0.97500 - 0.95360. 💡 "Discipline | Consistency | PAY -tience"
Short
by ProfessorCEWard
Custom Indicator in Action - EUR/USD 1H Setup’ve taken a trade on EUR/USD based on a signal from my custom indicator (designed and fine-tuned by yours truly). The setup is built on the 1-hour timeframe with a 1:1 risk-to-reward ratio. The trade aligns with a short-term support level and is in confluence with the recent movement of the DXY (Dollar Index), which adds extra weight to the idea. No higher timeframes were involved in this entry — it's a clean 1H play based on structure and indicator confirmation. Let’s see how it plays out. I'll keep you updated!
Long
by Rikardo_Donatelo
2