EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
EURUSD 30M CHART PATTFRNThis chart is a technical analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair on a 30-minute timeframe, showing a trading plan with key levels:
1. Entry Point (Short Position): Around 1.13922, marked with a red downward arrow.
2. Stop Loss: Slightly above the green resistance zone (around 1.14000), where the trade would be exited if price moves against the position.
3. Take Profit Levels:
First target: Around 1.12887 (horizontal blue line), which seems to be a support level.
Second target: Around 1.12612, a deeper support level, suggesting a larger move downward.
The overall idea here is a bearish reversal strategy after a price rejection from a resistance zone, anticipating a move back down toward support.
Do you want help analyzing whether this setup makes sense in the current market context or would you like help creating a similar plan?
EUR/USD- Elliott Wave + Smart Money Concepts (SMC)SMC Insight
Supply Zone Marked: Between 1.1500 – 1.2000.
Price is heading toward the supply zone.
On the right visual, schematic shows:
Liquidity build-up below equal highs.
Possible liquidity grab just above the supply zone.
Expect reaction or reversal around that supply.
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Trade Bias
Short-term: Bullish (momentum and structure are up).
Long-term: Watch for reaction at the 1.1500–1.2000 zone. This could be a major sell zone if price shows rejection/mitigation signs
Eur/Usd 16-Apr 2025EUR/USD remains supported, largely due to continued USD softness, with the Dollar Index (DXY) currently holding below the 100 mark.
Potential scenarios to monitor include:
• A move towards the 1.148 area, where a pause or pullback could lead to a return toward the 1.12 region.
• A confirmed break and retest of the 1.15 level may suggest increased momentum toward the 1.165 area.
• A sustained move below 1.12 could open the way toward 1.114, where renewed interest may begin to emerge.
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Building a Strategy from Scratch: Where Do You Start?Building a Strategy from Scratch: Where Do You Start?
Most traders, if we’re being honest, don’t really have a strategy , they have a setup. A signal. A hunch. Maybe something they picked up on a Discord server or stumbled upon in a late-night rabbit hole of YouTube and indicators.
But building an actual strategy? That’s a whole different story.
It’s not just about drawing lines or finding that one magical entry. It’s about putting together a system that has logic, structure, and purpose—even if it’s simple.
Let’s back up: What even is a strategy?
Think of it like this: a strategy isn’t just how you get into a trade. It’s how you decide when the market environment is right for your approach. It includes how you define risk, how you manage outcomes, how you respond to different conditions, and—yes—when you sit on your hands and do nothing.
It’s a full picture, not just a moment.
Step one: Know your environment
Before anything else, it helps to understand what kind of market conditions you’re even looking to work with.
Some traders focus on strong trends, others prefer when price is stuck in a range. Some look for volatility; others avoid it like it’s a scam email.
There’s no “better” option. But knowing which type of environment you want to observe can help guide every other decision—from what indicators you consider to how you track performance later.
Step two: Build a framework (not just a signal)
The entry is the flashy part—but it’s just one component.
A framework might include:
What timeframes you observe and why
Conditions or filters that matter to you (volume, volatility, session time)
What kind of tools help you confirm your idea (maybe moving averages, maybe VWAP, maybe none)
This is where context really matters. A signal is just data. A framework is how you read that data and decide what’s worth paying attention to.
Step three: Clarify what you track
Strategy development is just theory without feedback.
That doesn’t mean you need a million spreadsheets—but a good strategy invites reflection. You might want to ask:
What happens before things work out?
What happens when they don’t?
Is there a specific condition that tends to repeat?
You’d be surprised how much you can learn from reviewing a handful of examples with that lens.
Step four: Define your version of “success”
Not everyone’s running the same race. Some people value high win percentages. Others focus more on consistency. Some want long-term performance across different assets; others are content observing one pair or index with high precision.
What matters is knowing what you’re trying to achieve—so you can actually tell if your strategy supports it.
And if that changes over time? Totally normal.
One more thing: Complexity isn’t the goal
This part’s important.
There’s a weird belief that serious trading must be complicated. That strategies need five indicators and multiple confirmations and algorithms whispering secrets behind the scenes.
Truth is, many robust strategies are deceptively straightforward. What makes them work isn’t the complexity—it’s the consistency .
Bottom line: it’s your puzzle
There’s no universal blueprint here. That’s what makes strategy building feel frustrating… and freeing.
You’re not trying to “beat” the market. You’re just trying to make sense of it your way—with tools, logic, and structure that reflect how you see the world.
And if you're experimenting, testing, or just organizing your ideas into something clearer—you're already doing more than most.
So take your time. Sketch. Observe. Iterate.
That’s where the real strategy begins.
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EURUSD: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
The price of EURUSD will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
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EURUSD EXPECTING TO GO LONG FROM MY POI Seen, that price is overall in a bullish structure on the higher timeframes (H4-H1), Will now find Entries in that direction following the pro trend .
We head to H1 And spotted our range and our break of structure to the upside after that will look for our premuim level of supply or demand using our fib tool which gave us the above Point of Interest we marked with our rectangle tool.
overall we wait for price to do its thing to get to that zone then will take either a risk entry or confirmation on that premuim level .
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 16, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
15:30 EET. USD - Retail Sales
20:30 EET. USD - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Speaks
EUR/USD is trading in positive territory around 1.1285 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The US dollar (USD) is currently trading near a three-year low against the euro (EUR) as trade tensions persist.
On Monday, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said that the Trump administration's tariff policy was a major shock to the US economy that could force the central bank to cut rates to prevent a recession even if inflation remains high. At the same time, Atlanta FRB President Raphael Bostic said the Fed should hold rates until there is more clarity.
The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to cut interest rates by 25 bps on Thursday amid growing recession fears related to US tariffs.Analysts believe the ECB may cut all three key interest rates at its April meeting on Thursday. The ECB cut interest rates for the second consecutive time in March, bringing the deposit rate to 2.5 per cent. Further cuts would bring the rate down to 2.25%.
Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1260, SL 1.1360, TP 1.1080
Euro H1 | Falling to a multi-swing-low supportThe Euro (EUR/USD) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.1270 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1148 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 1.1426 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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EURUSD potential short term pullback from 2022 HighThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It hit the take profit. EURUSD market is making higher highs, showing bullish momentum. Also the price broke and closed above the consolidation zone. However, on the daily timeframe, the price is forming an ABC move where point C completes at the psychological level of 1.15000. After the completion of this move, a pullback typically follows. Furthermore, this resistance zone represents the high of 2022, and I believe there may be liquidity above which could lead to a rollover. If we see rejection at this level, we can expect a short-term pullback. My goal is support zone around 1.12700
EURUSD is ready to continue its bullish trendwith no major sign of reversal, price action looks favorable for the continuation of an upward trend. You can place an instant buy, or u can wait for the price to come down at further level for better entry in both cases stop loss would be same at the support level which I have also mentioned
EURUSD DAYTRADE IDEAL FX:EURUSD
EURUSD gave us a brake to the downside yesterday, which the daily candle close below Monday low indicating a downward move, price went for Tuesday high we expecting more lower price action to Friday low and extend into the weekly range fig 0.705 level which we have a FVG marked out. Now we tagged in lets watch and wait. PLAN THE TRADE AND TRADE THE PLAN
EUR/USD Bullish Setup – Targeting 1.16950Entry Zone (Buy Area): Between 1.12729 and 1.13101
Stop Loss: 1.12100
Target (TP1): 1.16950
Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R):
Risk: 1.13101 - 1.12100 = 101 pips
Reward: 1.16950 - 1.13101 = ~385 pips
R:R ≈ 1:3.8 — excellent risk-to-reward
📈 Technical Observations
Bullish Momentum: Strong bullish candles leading into the setup suggest buyers are currently in control.
Support Zone (Entry Area):
The purple zone has acted as a previous resistance, now turned support.
Price may retest this zone before moving higher (as indicated by the blue path on the chart).
Moving Averages:
Red (likely 50 EMA) and blue (possibly 200 EMA) are showing a bullish crossover.
Price is above both MAs, reinforcing a bullish trend.
Projected Move:
The setup anticipates a pullback before a continuation to the upside toward 1.16950.
🧠 Trade Idea Summary
This is a buy-the-dip strategy within a bullish trend.
Entering on the pullback allows for:
Tighter stop loss
Better entry price
Higher R:R ratio
⚠️ Risk Considerations
A break below 1.12100 would invalidate the setup.
Monitor for bearish reversal patterns or news around the EUR/USD that might shift sentiment.
DeGRAM | EURUSD Bullish Breakthrough📊 Technical Analysis
- Uptrending channel
The chart shows stable price movement inside the ascending channel, where the price is bouncing off the lower support line and aiming for the upper one.
- Key resistance
The main barrier is fixed around $1.135. A breakdown of this level promises further growth.
- Predictive scenario
A solid breakdown of the resistance confirms the bullish bias, which may lead to further upside.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
The publication of key macroeconomic indicators (inflation, labor market data, PMI) may push the price to confirm the technical scenario. Stability in the Eurozone with positive data will contribute to growth, and favorable for the US - on the contrary, strengthening the bearish momentum.
✨ Summary
The technical picture in the form of an ascending channel with the key resistance at $1.135 is combined with positive fundamental factors. A breakdown of the resistance is a signal for the continuation of growth. Watch the news and macro data to confirm the scenario!
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EURUSD LIVE TRADE AND EDUCATIONAL BREAK DOWNEUR/USD holds firm above 1.1350 amid renewed US Dollar weakness
EUR/USD is storngly bid above 1.1350 in European trading on Wednesday. The pair draws support from a fresh round of selling in the US Dollar amid persistent fears over US-China trade war and a lack of progress on EU-US trade talks. US consumer data and Powell speech are in focus.
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25
GM.
This play could well materialise sooner rather than later.
The weekly higher time frame order block previously provided an incredible sell off. We have arrived and simply looking to get involved in the short party.
15' order block identified.
But a tap In London short? NO. We will await for 1' break of structure alongside bearish candle stick formations.
FRGNT X
EURUSD TA: Fibonacci, Bull Flags, and Data-Driven Entry StrategyTechnical Analysis: EURUSD (Euro/US Dollar)
📈 The EURUSD pair is demonstrating strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour timeframe, with price action currently trading at 1.13638, well above the key 50% Fibonacci retracement level drawn from the previous range low to high.
🔍 The chart reveals a series of bull flags forming during the recent uptrend, suggesting continued buying pressure despite the pair trading at premium levels. This pattern typically indicates brief consolidation before further upside movement.
💹 From a Fibonacci perspective, the current price position above the 50% retracement level indicates strength in the Euro against the Dollar. However, this elevated position also creates potential for a healthy pullback to retest support before continuing higher.
⏱️ Today's upcoming US Retail Sales data release represents a significant market catalyst. Interestingly, this high-impact event could trigger a pullback regardless of the outcome:
If actual figures come in below forecast: Dollar weakness could prompt profit-taking after the recent rally
If actual figures exceed forecast: Dollar strength could naturally push EURUSD lower
🎯 Trade Idea: Monitor for a potential retracement toward the 50% Fibonacci level, followed by a bullish break of market structure on the 30-minute timeframe. This would provide a higher-probability entry point for long positions with a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
🔄 The presence of multiple bull flags suggests that any pullback may be temporary, potentially offering an excellent opportunity to enter with the prevailing trend at a better price point.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This analysis is provided solely for informational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
EURUSD – Pullback before a new move?EURUSD has been consolidating for several sessions now after making a strong impulsive move to the upside earlier this month. Since breaking above the 1.1150 level, momentum has started to slow down and price is beginning to range near the recent highs. That alone isn’t surprising strong impulsive moves are almost always followed by periods of consolidation or retracement as the market pauses, takes profits, and reevaluates.
What catches my attention now is how weak the price action looks during this consolidation. The candles are getting smaller, wicks are getting longer, and there’s not much follow-through on the bullish side anymore. This kind of price behavior typically shows indecision or exhaustion buyers are no longer driving price with the same force and sellers are starting to creep back in.
So instead of chasing this move higher, I’m positioning myself for a pullback into a key demand zone that I think will offer a much higher probability long setup.
The Level I’m Watching – Golden Pocket with Imbalance Confluence
The zone I’m targeting for a potential entry sits in the 1.1070 to 1.1170 area. This range covers the golden pocket retracement zone, between the 61.8% and 65% Fibonacci levels measured from the recent impulse low to high, and overlaps with multiple technical factors that make it extremely attractive.
First off, this zone contains three separate unfilled imbalance areas (or fair value gaps), created by aggressive bullish candles on the way up. These are areas where price moved too quickly to fill all orders on both sides, which leaves inefficiencies in the market. The market tends to revisit these areas to rebalance before continuing in the prevailing direction. So from a pure price action perspective, the unfilled imbalances create a natural magnet for price to retrace into.
Second, we’ve got historical resistance right in this same zone. If you look back a few sessions, price rejected this level multiple times before finally breaking through. Now that we’re above it, there’s a strong chance this area flips into support. This concept resistance turning into support is a classic and reliable price action behavior, especially when it lines up with other tools like fibs and imbalances.
Trend Structure Still Intact
What’s crucial to me here is that a pullback into this zone will not break the overall bullish market structure. We’re still printing higher highs and higher lows, and a retracement into the golden pocket would simply be another higher low within the current uptrend.
There’s also a clean ascending trendline from early April that hasn’t been breached. If price respects that trendline again while dipping into this demand zone, that would add further confluence to the setup. It would mean the trendline, golden pocket, unfilled imbalances, and historical support are all lining up at the same point that’s a textbook area where I want to be a buyer.
Entry Triggers and Execution Plan
I’m not looking to blindly set a limit order in this zone. I want confirmation that buyers are stepping in and that we’re getting a shift in momentum. Ideally, I’ll drop to a lower timeframe like the 1H or even the 15M and wait for a clear change of character — something like:
A break of a local lower high
A bullish engulfing candle at the base
A sweep of liquidity below recent lows followed by a strong push back above structure
Once I see that kind of reaction, I’ll consider entering a long position. My stop will go just below the structure low or the lowest point of the zone, depending on the entry signal. I’ll give it enough room to avoid getting wicked out on a false break.
As for targets the first obvious one is the current range high around 1.1350. If we get a strong reaction, I’ll trail part of the position and look for continuation into new highs. This pullback could set the stage for the next leg of the broader bullish trend, especially if DXY starts showing weakness again.
Why I’m Not Shorting Here
Even though price looks weak and a retracement seems likely, I’m not interested in shorting this setup. We’re still firmly in bullish structure and shorting into a healthy uptrend just doesn’t make sense to me unless I’m scalping. The risk to reward just isn’t favorable on the short side right now I’d rather wait for price to come to my zone and then look for confirmation to go with the trend.
Final Thoughts
EURUSD is consolidating after a strong move up and I’m expecting a pullback. The golden pocket zone, stacked with unfilled imbalances and previous resistance, looks like the ideal place for a bullish reaction. As long as we stay above that zone, structure stays bullish and I’ll be looking for long opportunities once price confirms the bounce.
Patience is key here. I’m not rushing into anything, but if price gives me the reaction I’m looking for in that zone, I’ll be ready to execute. The setup aligns well with both technical structure and market behavior and I’ll continue to monitor price action closely over the next few sessions.
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EUR/USD Rejection at Resistance – Bearish Move Ahead?EUR/USD is showing signs of weakness near the 1.1363 resistance zone, forming a potential lower high after recent bullish momentum. Price action suggests a possible reversal setup, targeting the support zone near 1.0932.
The setup indicates a favorable risk-to-reward ratio with the stop-loss placed above the recent highs at 1.1481. A break below 1.1229 would confirm further downside pressure toward the 1.0935–1.0932 region.
Keep an eye on upcoming USD and Eurozone news events, which may act as key catalysts for volatility.
Note: This analysis is for informational purposes only. Always perform your own due diligence before trading.