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EUR/USD_SPT - EUR/USD

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EURUSD is moving within the 1.10850 - 1.12590 range👉🏼 Possible scenario: The euro (EUR) climbed 0.96% to 1.1185 against the U.S. dollar (USD) on May 13, boosted by weaker U.S. inflation data that strengthened expectations of a more dovish Federal Reserve. Easing trade tensions further pressured the dollar, which saw its steepest decline in three weeks. While analysts anticipate some short-term strength in the USD, lingering policy uncertainty in the U.S. limits prospects for a full recovery. With no major economic releases on May 14, EURUSD is likely to maintain its current trajectory. ✅ Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.10850. Resistance levels are now located at 1.12590 and 1.13700.
by MaxOnMarkets
EUR/USD Technical Analysis.The chart you shared shows the EUR/USD pair on a 1-hour timeframe. Here are the key elements: 1. Price Levels: Current price: Approximately 1.12464 Resistance zone: Around 1.13021 (marked as the target) Support zone: Between 1.11830 and 1.12178 2. Technical Analysis: A strong bullish move broke above the support zone (previous resistance), indicating potential upward momentum. A consolidation pattern occurred before the breakout, marked by a small accumulation zone (highlighted in orange). The chart shows a bullish target around the 1.13021 level, suggesting further upward movement. 3. Trade Idea: Long Position: Enter near the support zone (1.11830 - 1.12178) after a confirmed retest. Target: Around 1.13021 Stop Loss: Below the support at approximately 1.11826 This setup assumes bullish momentum continuation. Would you like insights on potential risk management or alternative scenarios?
Long
by XAUUSD_EXPERT_Team
EURUSD May 14 Trade Executed EURUSD May 14 Trade Executed Premarket Analysis *Parent range Discount *Previous range Premium *Narrative expansion cycle to continue *Asia could consolidate and expand to buy side NY could be the sell side *No news can lead to choppy gross price action, low resistance is FVG form Bull ideas Price rally's for the equal highs completes rebalancing of Mondays FVG HTF price gravitates seeking higher prices to the 50 level Price refusal to retrace and held in the top of the FVG it was rebalancing, indicated Price would seek higher prices. NWOG and Event Horizon as magnets for a buy with DXY to the sell side 3 London Macro Trade Logic *Asia did consolidate taking minor buy side at 0:00. *2 Macro Price takes equal lows swings up weaving in and out of MIG, when it came back up and after cross pair analysis of DXY/GBP my buy was in play *3:00 entered the trade *10 pip stop loss, however not deep enough to weather the 14 pip it dipped to then only swing back up. I only make one trade a day as a boundary. So when I got stopped out that is it. I am very happy to be on the right side of the market with my target hit. With or without me I lost in money but gained in trust! Great delivery! What can I learn Model 2022 formed 2:57 candle hit the FVG at 2:10 this should have been your entry I hesitated at 2:57 due to 2 bad consolidation trades yesterday. 3:02 was my entry candle higher price that meant a 10 pip stop loss
by LeanLena
The Day AheadKey Data Releases Japan April PPI: Watch for inflation trends in producer prices — relevant for JPY traders and Japanese equity markets. Canada March Building Permits: Can impact CAD and real estate-related stocks. Central Bank Speakers (Market-Sensitive) Fed: Waller, Jefferson, Daly — could impact USD, Treasuries, and risk sentiment depending on rate outlook comments. ECB: Nagel, Holzmann — eurozone rate policy cues; relevant for EUR and European bond markets. BoE: Breeden — any hint on UK rate path may move GBP and UK gilts. Earnings to Watch (Equity & Sector Impact) Tencent: Major for tech and Chinese markets; relevant for sentiment in large-cap growth and Asian markets. Cisco: A key read on enterprise IT demand; can affect tech sector sentiment in US markets. Sony: Gaming and entertainment sectors; may influence JPY and global consumer discretionary names. E.ON: Utility sector insight; relevant for European defensives and energy transition plays. Coreweave: Hot AI infrastructure name — of interest to traders focused on AI-linked tech momentum. RENK: Defense and mobility systems — could impact European defense names. Burberry: Luxury sector health and China demand barometer; impacts fashion/luxury retail. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURUSD Tests Head and Shoulders Target Ahead of CPIIn line with the inverted head and shoulders formation seen on the DXY from its 2025 lows, EURUSD has completed a breakout of its own head and shoulders pattern, reaching the 1.1070 target. With the 4H RSI rebounding from oversold territory, a bullish bounce for EURUSD appears likely toward the 1.1140 level. A clean hold above this resistance could extend gains to 1.1270, 1.1380, 1.1430, and eventually to the 2025 high at 1.1570. If dollar strength resumes and EURUSD falls back below 1.1070, downside levels to watch include 1.1000, 1.0920, and 1.0760. Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
by FOREXcom
Digital Euro: Separating Fact from Conspiracy TheoriesIn today’s fast-paced digital landscape, misinformation can spread rapidly and mislead even those well-intentioned readers. With the Digital Euro project circulating online, numerous pieces of fake news have surfaced—not just criticism or differing opinions, but outright falsehoods that may convince citizens, especially those less familiar with financial innovations, that the project is something it is not. In this article, we delve into the most common misconceptions and explain with clarity and factual context why these claims do not correspond with reality. 1. Myth: "The Digital Euro Will Replace Cash" ❌ False. Despite alarming headlines, cash will not vanish. The Digital Euro is poised to become an additional payment option alongside physical money. The Eurosystem is committed to ensuring that banknotes and coins remain accessible. In fact, plans are already underway to introduce new series of euro banknotes, reaffirming the continued value of cash in our daily transactions. 2. Myth: "The ECB Will Be Able to Control and Block Your Payments" ❌ False. Privacy is a cornerstone of the Digital Euro. Similar to the way cash transactions operate, offline payments would be possible without any tracking by the Eurosystem. This means that your personal transactions remain private and free from arbitrary interference. The design of the digital euro ensures that your financial autonomy is preserved. 3. Myth: "There Will Be Arbitrary Limits on How Much Digital Euro Can Be Held" ❌ False. Any limits imposed on holding digital euros would not be arbitrary measures of control but rather tools to safeguard financial stability. Such thresholds are considered from the perspective of systemic security—not the curtailment of individual freedom. The focus is on ensuring that the financial ecosystem remains resilient rather than monitoring or constraining individual spending. 4. Myth: "The Digital Euro Is a Way to Introduce Negative Interest Rates on Deposits" ❌ False. The digital euro is designed to mirror cash in its fundamental properties—namely, being interest-free. It is not a mechanism for financial authorities to impose negative interest rates on personal funds. The purpose is to complement traditional cash by offering a modern payment solution without altering the neutrality of money. 5. Myth: "It Will Be Mandatory to Use the Digital Euro" ❌ False. Use of the digital euro is entirely optional, serving as one out of many available payment instruments. Just as consumers choose between cash, credit cards, or other digital means, the digital euro is simply an additional tool. No regulation compels you to adopt this innovation if you prefer your existing methods. 6. Myth: "Banks Will Lose All Their Role" ❌ False. The introduction of the digital euro will not render banks obsolete. Banks will continue to provide essential financial services, acting as intermediaries and offering the digital euro alongside other products. The evolution of the payment system enhances consumer choice without dismantling the traditional banking framework. 7. Myth: "The Digital Euro Will Be Programmable, So They Will Tell You How to Spend Your Money" ❌ False. The concept of programmability—that is, dictating how funds are spent—has been explicitly ruled out by the ECB. Both proposals from the European Commission and the legislative frameworks confirm that the digital euro will not be programmable. The goal is to maintain financial freedom and user discretion, similar to how cash operates. 8. Myth: "It's a Project to Eliminate Cryptocurrencies" ❌ False. Rather than extinguishing cryptoassets, the Digital Euro is designed to coexist alongside them. While cryptocurrencies are often speculative and volatile, the digital euro aims to offer a more stable and secure means of payment. The two are intended to serve different purposes: cryptoassets are generally considered investment or speculative instruments, whereas the Digital Euro would fulfill everyday transactional needs. 9. Myth: "There Will Be No More Privacy in Payments" ❌ False. Privacy in the digital age remains a top priority. Offline transactions with the Digital Euro will mirror the privacy features of cash, shielding your personal data. For online transactions, robust privacy regimes are in place. Importantly, the issuer—the Eurosystem—will not have the ability to directly connect transactions to specific individuals, ensuring that your financial privacy is maintained. Conclusion The Digital Euro is not the harbinger of a new era of financial surveillance or control. Instead, it represents an additional, modern means of payment designed to coexist with traditional cash and current banking services . By dispelling these myths, we hope to foster a clearer understanding of the Digital Euro project and promote informed discussions based on official facts. Embracing accurate information is crucial to navigating the ever-changing world of digital finance, ensuring that choices are made based on facts rather than fictions. FX_IDC:EURUSD TVC:DXY TVC:EXY INDEX:BTCUSD CRYPTO:BTCUSD TVC:SPX EUREX:FESX1! EURONEXT:N100 AMEX:FXE TVC:GOLD FX_IDC:XAUUSD
Long
by CassianDrake
EURUSD DAILY ANALYSIS $$$OANDA:EURUSD 1H : Bearish BOS + OB + IMB 15m : Bearish BOS + OB + IMB EXPECTION : Here I have 3 scenarios in mind: 1: The price may break in this area with confirmation 2: The price goes up and attracts liquidity then breaks with confirmation 3: The price goes up and breaks the ceiling and the 15-minute trend becomes bullish and we wait for the price to retest the area for a low-risk buy trade I will post my LTF trading idea in the private section. Be sure to follow and like the post.
Short
by aryaaparsii
USD/JPY Long, EUR/CAD Short, GBP/USD Neutral and EUR/USD ShortUSD/JPY Long Minimum entry requirements: • If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it. EUR/CAD Short Minimum entry requirements: • If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it. GBP/USD Neutral Minimum entry requirements: • If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it. EUR/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: Minimum entry requirements: • If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
by StewySongs
EURUSD SELL TRADE PLAN📉 EURUSD SELL TRADE PLAN 
📅 Date: May 12, 2025
 🧾 Status ACTIVE – Entry Pending Execution
Price has not yet invalidated key HTF bearish structure. Recent downside momentum and imbalance confirms continuation interest. 📋 Trade Plan Overview * Type: Swing-Intraday * Direction: Sell (Continuation) * Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (84%) * Trade Classification: Impulse + Liquidity Sweep + FVG + Breaker OB 🔍 Bias Breakdown * Daily: HTF market structure shifted bearish; FVG + OB supply zone aligning at 1.1185–1.1220 * H4: Clean downside impulse candle; FVG + H4 bearish OB confirmed * H1: BOS to the downside, market retracing into imbalance zone 🛠️ Execution Plan 📍 Entry Zones 🟥 Sell Zone 1: 1.1185 – 1.1205 * Location: H4 FVG + OB + Supply confluence * Note: Also aligns with H1 imbalance fill 🟥 Sell Zone 2: 1.1215 – 1.1232 * Location: Daily OB + full liquidity sweep zone above recent highs * Use only if price aggressively sweeps Sell Zone 1 with no rejection ❗ Stop Loss SL: 1.1255 * Reason: Above HTF OB + liquidity pool + invalidation of lower high structure 🎯 Take Profit Levels * 🥇 TP1: 1.1110 (1.5R) → structure retest * 🥈 TP2: 1.1040 (3R) → daily inefficiency base * 🥉 TP3: 1.0980 (4.8R) → final liquidity draw near swing low 🧠 Risk & Management Strategy * Risk: 0.75% of equity * TP1: Secure 50% + SL to BE * TP2: Secure 30%, trail rest to lower HTF structure * TP3: Leave runner to hit final target * Max portfolio exposure: 2.25% * Exit if price closes above 1.1255 on H1 or if DXY collapses below key support ✅ Confirmation Triggers * H1 bearish engulfing or rejection wick in entry zone * M15/M30 RSI divergence + volume spike * DXY remains firm or shows strength >104 📆 Plan Validity Valid Until: May 14, 2025 (NY Close)
If price closes above 1.1255 → Invalidation and Plan Void ⚠️ Invalidation Criteria * H1 close above 1.1255 * D1 bullish engulfing candle on HTF close * Unexpected EUR news reversal or USD macro drop 📊 Sentiment & Context * EUR weakness broadening post-liquidity event * USD supported by safe haven flows and DXY > 104.00 * COT data: EUR speculative longs overstretched 🔚 Final Trade Summary EUR/USD remains structurally bearish on all relevant timeframes. Price has broken a key HTF support level and is now retracing into a well-defined imbalance zone. This trade plan is designed to catch a precision entry during a pullback into confluence-rich supply, while managing risk via clear invalidation logic and a multi-tiered TP strategy. High-quality setup with tactical probability and reward balance.
Short
by jibkhan111
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.1189 a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibo retracement. Our take profit is set at 1.0979, a pullback support. The stop loss is set at 1.1397, above a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
EUR/USD he recent price action, indicating a bearish trend.1. Resistance Zone (Top Box): Marked at the upper price range, indicating a strong price ceiling where previous upward movements were rejected. 2. Support Zone (Bottom Box): Highlighted as an area where the price previously found strong buying interest, forming a base. 3. Bearish Channel: A downward-sloping parallel channel is drawn encompassing the recent price action, indicating a bearish trend. 4. Entry and Target Zones: Entry: Around the 1.1250 level, where a potential short (sell) trade might be initiated after price retests the previous structure. Target: Around the 1.0800 level, indicating a significant drop is expected if the price continues downward. Stop Loss: Above the entry point in the red zone, indicating a risk-managed setup. 5. Bearish Projection: The path of the price is expected to continue downward after retesting the broken structure (blue zone near the entry), shown by the arrow pointing to the target. 6. Highlighted Reversal Points: Orange circles mark key reversal points where the price previously changed direction. Interpretation: This chart suggests a bearish setup for EUR/USD. The trader is expecting a retest of broken support (now resistance) before price continues to fall toward the lower support zone. It follows a technical pattern-based strategy, likely involving price action and trend channel analysis
Short
by Johnson67
1
FX markets at a crossroads amid renewed dollar strengthThe US trade war continues to generate volatility and uncertainty across asset classes. Following trade talks over the weekend between the US and China, US Treasury rates have risen, and the dollar has strengthened against its peers. This movement has pushed EUR/USD back down to around $1.11, with support near $1.109. Additionally, the pair has fallen below the lower Bollinger Band, which could also provide some support. However, there has been an apparent loss of momentum, with the relative strength index (RSI) breaking below an upward trend and declining to 43. If EUR/USD slips below support at $1.109, the next support level to watch is around $1.094. Conversely, if support at $1.109 holds, this could represent a minor low, potentially setting up a move higher. Meanwhile, the US dollar is strengthening against its Canadian counterpart, rising towards $1.399. However, USD/CAD is encountering resistance at the 50% retracement level of the decline that began in mid-April, as well as at the upper Bollinger Band. Additionally, the 200-day moving average could serve as resistance, given that USD/CAD fell below this level in April. If the pair continues to rise, the next significant resistance may only appear at around $1.41. However, a failure to break higher could send USD/CAD back towards the recent low of $1.375. The recent movements in the above-mentioned currency pairs may be nothing more than a retracement of the US dollar’s tariff-induced weakness. Then again, the greenback’s return to strength could prove temporary as traders continue to assess the ever-changing market landscape under the Trump administration. Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management. Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
by cmcmarkets
EUR/USD Slumps Below 1.1200, Risk of Deeper PullbackEUR/USD is breaking down after failing to hold the 1.1200 resistance level. The pair is now testing support at the 50-day SMA near 1.1110, with momentum clearly shifting bearish: 📉 MACD has rolled over into negative territory 📊 RSI at 43 and trending lower 🔵 Next support zone: 1.1040 (38.2% Fib of March–April rally) 🔵 Further levels to watch: 1.0875 = 50% retracement 1.0710 = 61.8% Fib and near the 200-day SMA A close below 1.1100 would confirm the bearish reversal and increase risk of a deeper correction toward the mid-1.08s. -MW
by FOREXcom
EURUSD: US inflation on scheduleThe most important event during the previous week was the FOMC meeting. The Fed left interest rates unchanged, as was expected. In an after-the-meeting statement, the FOMC members noted that they will stay committed to their dual mandate, bringing inflation toward targeted 2% and maximum employment. Still, considering ongoing challenges for the economy, especially those related to trade tariffs, the Fed Chair Powell noted that the Fed will be ready to act immediately if threats to the economy emerge in the future period. As for macro data published during the week, the US ISM Services PMI was standing at 51,6 in April, above market consensus of 50,6. The Balance of Trade reached $-140,5B, which represents a higher deficit from forecasted $-137B. The Factory Orders in Germany were higher by 3,6% in March, beating market expectations at 1,3%. The HCOB Construction PMI in April in the Euro Zone reached the level of 46, while the same indicator for Germany was at the level of 45,1. The Retail Sales in the Euro Zone in March dropped by -0,1% for the month, reaching a 1,5% increase on a yearly basis. The Balance of Trade in Germany reached euro 21,1B in March, higher from forecasted euro 20,8B. The Industrial Production in Germany in March was higher by 3% for the month, significantly above market expectation of 0,5%. As expected, the FOMC meeting caused higher volatility on financial markets. Currently, the most sensitive topics are related to further decrease of the US interest rates and potential negative impact of trade tariffs on the US economy. Since Fed Chair Powell brought some confidence to market participants that the Fed is ready to react in case of worsening economic conditions, the US Dollar gained in strength. The eurusd currency pair started the week around the level of 1,1370 and moved to the downside for the rest of the week, ending it at 1,1248. The RSI started its stronger move toward the level of 50, indicating the potential that the market will soon look at the oversold market side. The MA50 continues to strongly diverge from MA200, confirming further the cross occurred some time ago. The US April inflation figures are scheduled for a release on Tuesday next week. Depending on figures, there is some probability of higher market volatility. The support line at 1,12 has been shortly tested during the previous week. The start of the week ahead might bring some further testing of this level. In case that this level is broken to the downside, then the next supporting level will be at 1,11, but this is not a significant level, on a historical scale of eurusd movements. There is also an equal probability that the market will shortly revert to the upside, when 1,13 might be tested for one more time. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for May for the Euro Zone and Germany, Inflation Rate in Germany, final for April, Industrial Production in the EuroZone, GDP Growth Rate Q/Q, second estimate for Q1, USD: Inflation Rate in April, Producers Price Index in April, Industrial Production in April, Building Permits preliminary for April, Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for May
by XBTFX
EURUSD broke the Support line 1.11960 👀Possible scenario: The euro (EUR) edged up 0.19% on May 9 amid optimism over trade deals. The U.S. dollar remained under pressure from unpredictable trade policies but stabilized after the Fed signaled no near-term rate cuts. With a quiet macroeconomic calendar on May 12, market volatility is expected to stay low, though end-of-week position adjustments could trigger sharp moves. Traders are watching April inflation data for signs of tariff impact. EUR/USD remains bearish below the key 1.13000 level. ✅Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.09500. Resistance level is now located at 1.13700.
by MaxOnMarkets