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EUR/USD_SPT - EUR/USD

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EURUSD_SPT trade ideas

#AN008: Israel, Iran and the price of fear GEOPOLITICS – Israel, Iran and the price of fear While the stock markets are trying to hold up, the geopolitical reality is very different. In the last 72 hours, Israel has hit a facility considered strategic in southern Iran. Tehran responded with ballistic warheads targeted at NATO positions, and threatened a military closure of the Strait of Hormuz. In a few hours, Brent has shot above $100, while WTI has touched $94.20, bringing back to life a spectre that seemed archived: energy purchases. DOLLAR AND FED – Sickles under pressure The Federal Reserve has kept rates unchanged, but Powell has sent a clear signal: "there will be no cut if the geopolitical context continues to generate upward pressure on prices". In other words: the FED remains hawkish, the dollar continues to dominate, and global sentiment shifts to risk. CROSS WATCH – SwipeUP FX Opportunity EUR/USD Weak EU macro + sustained US sell-off + war → Realistic target 1.0630 – if it breaks 1.0675 H8. USD/JPY Institutionals undecided: if the yen does not strengthen and the BOJ remains neutral, we can return above 158. Target: 158.60-159.2 in case of new USD leg. CAD/JPY and oil-linked Canada benefits from the oil increase, but be careful: risk-off can penalize. Assess only with cyclical confirmation and real volumes. 📌 WHAT TO WATCH NOW – SwipeUP Checklist 📆 Friday, June 21: US PMI data + Powell speech ⚠️ VIX above 20: signals real tension 📉 JPY and CHF in divergence? → watch out for manipulative breakouts 🗓️ Earnings Season: can divert flows in the short term, but remains in the background
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
EUR/USD Slips as Fed Stays HawkishEUR/USD fell toward 1.1465 in Thursday’s Asian session, pressured by a risk-off mood as Middle East tensions rise. The focus shifts to speeches from ECB officials Lagarde, Nagel, and de Guindos for further guidance. On Wednesday, the Fed held rates at 4.25%–4.50% and signaled a slower pace of cuts, citing inflation risks from Trump’s new tariffs. The FOMC still projects two cuts in 2025 Bloomberg reported the US may strike Iran in the coming days, raising safe-haven demand for the dollar and adding pressure on the euro. ECB’s Lagarde said rate cuts are nearly done and that the ECB is well-positioned to manage current uncertainties. Resistance is located at 1.1475, while support is seen at 1.1415
by ChartMage
Potential bearish scenario for the EURUSD. First Target 1.14747Higher time frame analysis After price took out the monthly highs of 1.15729, we look to the monthly fair value gap of 1.10649 as a draw on liquidity. While this is the basis we will use as a filter for bias. Our target will be a much shorter term target. Intermediate timeframe analysis Following Tuesday's (17 June 2025) price action, we noted that a type 1 bearish dealing range has been formed on the 1h chart as noted in the chart above. Furthermore, note the 1H bearish order block sitting at the equilibrium point of the dealing range. This is also supported by a 1H IFVG in the discount of the dealing range. This creates a high probability setup to enter, targeting the lows of 1.14743. Alternative scenario 1 Should we see the high of the order block of 1.15388 ran through we will look for a potential entry at 1.15531 with the same target. Alternative scenario 2 Should this analysis fail, we could see the relative equal highs at 1.6311 being ran out. This would be the case of Tuesdays low becomes the low of the week which is a typical signature in weekly price action. Bonus You may note that each setup also provides a secondary target at the terminus of the 1H bearish Market maker sell model. This can be a separate entry or a partial target of one position depending on ones appetite. This would offer a rather handsome risk to reward ratio which would be worth the while.
Short
by Th3L1qu1d1ty
EURUSD(20250619) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed's June interest rate meeting - kept interest rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive time. The dot plot shows two rate cuts this year, but the number of officials who expect no rate cuts this year has risen to 7, and the rate cut expectations for next year have been reduced to 1. Powell continues to call for uncertainty, and the current economic situation is suitable for waiting and watching. He also expects tariff-driven inflation to rise in the coming months. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1489 Support and resistance levels: 1.1558 1.1532 1.1516 1.1463 1.1446 1.1420 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1489, consider buying in, with the first target price of 1.1516 If the price breaks through 1.1463, consider selling in, with the first target price of 1.1446
Short
by NuggetsWarriors
EURUSD SHORT & LONG FORECAST Q2 W25 D19 Y25EURUSD SHORT & LONG FORECAST Q2 W25 D19 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅15' order block ✅4 hour order block identified ✅Daily Order block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EUR/USD - Eyes on the major resistance at 1.1540!Introduction The EUR/USD currency pair has been trending downward on the 1-hour timeframe, indicating that bearish momentum is firmly in control. In this analysis, I will outline what to expect from the pair moving forward, and highlight the high-confluence zone that could offer a potential short setup. This area combines technical factors that suggest it may act as strong resistance if price retraces upward before continuing the downtrend. Market Structure On the 1-hour chart, the EUR/USD continues to form a series of lower highs and lower lows, which clearly confirms a bearish market structure. This consistent pattern reinforces that sellers have the upper hand, and that any short-term rallies are likely to be corrective in nature, not trend-changing. As long as this structure remains intact, the broader expectation remains bearish, with sellers likely to defend key resistance levels. Fair Value Gaps on the 15-Minute and 1-Hour Timeframes During the latest downward movement, the pair left behind two notable Fair Value Gaps, one on the 1-hour chart and another on the 15-minute chart. These imbalances are closely aligned, creating a strong confluence zone where price may face resistance if it moves back upward. The zone between 1.15400 and 1.15600 represents this overlapping FVG area. Because these gaps were formed by aggressive selling pressure, revisiting this level could trigger a bearish reaction, as traders look to re-enter short positions from a premium price. Golden Pocket Fibonacci Retracement Adding to this confluence, the Golden Pocket, the area between the 61.8% and 65% Fibonacci retracement levels, lies between 1.15407 and 1.15441. This zone is widely respected among traders due to its tendency to act as a reversal point in trending markets. The fact that it aligns so closely with both the 15-minute and 1-hour FVGs increases the likelihood of price reacting here. If the market retraces into this pocket, we could see renewed selling pressure, making it a valuable level to watch for short entries. Point of Interest and Liquidity Zone Within the latest leg down, there was a brief two-hour consolidation before the pair continued lower, leaving behind a distinct wick to the upside. This area is significant because it likely represents a point of interest where buy-side liquidity was grabbed. Many traders who entered shorts early may have placed their stop-losses above this consolidation high, creating a liquidity pool. This level, sitting inside the broader resistance zone formed by the FVGs and the Golden Pocket, adds another layer of technical significance. Price may move into this liquidity before reversing lower, offering a potential trap for buyers and an opportunity for sellers. Downside Targets If the price reacts to the resistance zone and resumes its downward movement, there are two logical targets to the downside. The first is 1.1485, which corresponds to the most recent swing low. The second target is 1.1475, which represents a deeper low and a stronger potential support level. These levels align with previous structure and could serve as key take-profit zones for traders holding short positions. Conclusion The EUR/USD remains in a well-defined downtrend, and several technical elements now converge between 1.15400 and 1.15600 to form a strong resistance zone. This area includes the 15-minute Fair Value Gap, the 1-hour Fair Value Gap, the Golden Pocket Fibonacci retracement, and a significant point of interest tied to liquidity. While the pair may not need to reach this zone before continuing lower, if it does, it is likely to act as a barrier to further upside. For traders looking to follow the dominant trend, this high-confluence area offers a potential entry point to the downside, with clear structure-based targets below. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
21
EURUSD 15M CHART PATTERNHere's a structured summary of your EUR/USD trade setup: --- 📈 EUR/USD Buy Setup Entry (Buy): 1.14660 Take Profit Targets: 1. TP1: 1.14940 2. TP2: 1.15100 3. TP3: 1.15330 Stop Loss: 1.14260 --- ⚖ Risk-Reward Ratios Let’s break down the potential Risk:Reward (R:R) for each target: Risk per trade: 1.14660 – 1.14260 = 40 pips R:R for each TP level: TP1 (1.14940): (1.14940 – 1.14660) = 28 pips → R:R = 0.7:1 TP2 (1.15100): (1.15100 – 1.14660) = 44 pips → R:R = 1.1:1 TP3 (1.15330): (1.15330 – 1.14660) = 67 pips → R:R = 1.7:1 --- 🧠 Strategy Suggestions Scaling Out: You could take partial profits at each TP level to lock in gains and manage risk. SL Management: Consider moving stop loss to breakeven after TP1 is hit. Volatility Awareness: Watch for any economic events or Fed/ECB news that might increase volatility. --- Would you like a position size calculator or a chart visualization for this setup?
Long
by Mrprofe21
EURUSD 1H is forming a Potential Bullish Reversal pattern Price formed a Potential Double Bottom pattern with a neckline as current Temporary Resistance. • ✅ Entry is triggered only after a confirmation candle breaks above the neckline. • Buy Stop is placed around the neckline to catch the momentum move. • Stop Loss is at the recent lower Low (safe and logical placement). • 🎯 Take Profit levels are based on measured move projections. Trade Plan: • Buy Stop = 1.15264 • Stop Loss = 1.14552 • Take Profit 1: 1.15960 • Take Profit 2: 1.16663 • Lot size : 1:2 Risk Reward Ratio “Waiting for neckline to break with Bullish confirmation candle” – this ensures you enter only on strong momentum. EURUSD is forming a Potential Bullish Reversal pattern with wait and watch scenario. Key Highlights: • ✅ Pattern: Double Bottom • ⚠️ Confirmation: Break + Bullish candle • 🔄 Risk Management: Tight SL, 2 TP levels • 🧩 Confluence: Trendline break + structure shift + RSI Divergence
Long
by sarfz.ahmd
1
EURUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is trading near our buy entry at1.143-1.1454, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fib retracement and the 61.8% Fib projection, providing a significant level for a potential bullish reversal. Our take profit will be at 1.1487, which is an overlap resistance The stop loss will be placed at 1.1405, which is a multi-swing low support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
EUR/USD TrendlineEUR/USD broke below its ascending trendline and failed to reclaim resistance at 1.14876. The pair is now showing signs of bearish pressure as it trades below key resistance. If selling pressure continues, the next supports to watch are 1.14616 and 1.14353. A confirmed break above 1.15319 would invalidate this bearish outlook. 🔻 Resistance: 1.14876 – 1.15020 🔻 Support 1: 1.14616 🔻 Support 2: 1.14353 🔻 Stop Loss: 1.15319 🔻 Timeframe: 1H 🔻 Bias: Bearish, below 1.14876 This is a technical idea only – not financial advice.
Short
by piporia
EURUSD - Getting Over-Bought?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈EURUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channels marked in red and blue. However, it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channels. Moreover, the orange zone is a major daily high. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue/red trendlines and daily high. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
5