EUR/USD Bearish Setup Unfolding Below Key Resistance📊 Technical Analysis of EUR/USD (4H Chart)
🧭 Chart Overview:
Current Price: ~1.1350
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red): ~1.1311 — acting as dynamic support.
EMA 200 (Blue): ~1.1114 — aligns closely with major support zone.
📌 Key Levels:
🔼 Main Resistance Zone: 1.1375 – 1.1400
Price has tested this zone multiple times, forming a potential double top pattern.
Strong bearish pressure observed each time price enters this area.
🔁 Minor Resistance (Retest Zone): ~1.1325 – 1.1345
Currently acting as a decision zone.
If price fails to hold above this level, it could turn into resistance on the next bearish leg.
🔽 Support Zone: 1.1100 – 1.1130
Converges with EMA 200 — making it a high-probability demand zone.
Potential target for the anticipated drop.
🧠 Price Action & Structure:
Market showed a strong bullish rally previously, breaking through resistance levels.
Now showing signs of exhaustion at the top.
Bearish scenario projected with a lower high forming below the main resistance, followed by a sell-off toward the support zone.
⚙️ Possible Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
Price rejects the minor resistance → breaks below EMA 50 → continues lower to support.
Target: 1.1110 area.
Bullish Scenario (Low Probability):
Price reclaims and closes above 1.1375 with strong momentum.
Potential breakout and continuation toward 1.1450+.
🧩 Confluences Supporting Bearish Bias:
Lower high formation potential.
EMA 50 starting to flatten.
Failure to maintain momentum above main resistance.
Clean drop path toward 1.1110 if support breaks.
📉 Conclusion:
This setup favors short-term bearish movement, particularly if the price rejects around the 1.1345 level again. A breakdown below the minor resistance zone would likely trigger a sell-off toward the 1.1110 support, in line with the 200 EMA.
EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
EUR-USD Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is making a bearish
Correction towards the
Horizontal support of 1.1197
So after the retest we will be
Expecting a bullish continuation
Buy!
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Bearish drop?EUR/USD has reacted off the support level which is a pullback support and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1304
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.1371
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.1160
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Lingrid | EURUSD bullish MOMENTUM Testing KEY Resistance LevelThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . It reached the target zone. FX:EURUSD formed a massive bullish weekly candle, representing an impulse leg on lower timeframes. The market broke and closed above the 2023 high and is now testing the 2022 high. On the 1H timeframe, the market is likely to create an ABC pullback toward the support level and upward trendline. I think the price may continue moving sideways since consolidation phases typically follow impulse legs. If the price rejects the support level below, we can expect the market to move higher. This consolidation would be a natural breathing period after the strong upward movement before potentially continuing the bullish trend. My goal is resistance zone around 1.15000
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
EURUSD Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading Idea💡 Daily Timeframe:
As forecasted by 4CastMachine AI last week, EURUSD was rejected from the channel line.
💡 H4 Timeframe:
FX:EURUSD started a corrective wave,
This decline may continue, but the support area of 1.1200 ~ 1.0890 could trigger a rebound.
This area, which was previously a major resistance, will become a major support, creating a good buying opportunity.
💡 H1 Timeframe:
The Triangle pattern formed in the price has broken downwards.
The bearish wave is expected to continue as long as the price is below the strong resistance at 1.1334
1.1334 Support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now!
💡 H1 Forecast:
Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
H1 Trading Idea:
Sell now or wait for pullback and Sell on price rejection from 1.1334.
SL: Above 1.1334
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Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
EURUSD TRADE PLANS (BUY & SELL)🔥 EUR/USD TRADE PLAN
📅 Date: 15 April 2025
🔖 Plan Type:
Dual-Sided Swing Plan
Buy Setup: Bullish Continuation from Demand
Sell Setup: Counter-Trend Reversal from Supply
📈 Bias:
🔵 Primary Bias: Bullish (HTF trend continuation)
🔴 Secondary Bias: Bearish (short-term exhaustion + liquidity grab)
🧠 Structure Observations:
Price has reacted off weekly supply near 1.1420+
Bearish engulfing confirmed on H4
Still bullish on HTF, unless 1.1180 breaks clean
Demand remains valid at prior breakout and imbalance zones
Volume support at breakout base (H4 OB region)
🟢 BUY PLAN – BULLISH CONTINUATION
🔰 Confidence Levels:
🟢 Buy Plan – Bullish Continuation
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%)
✅ Reasons:
HTF uptrend still intact
Price respecting major demand zone structure
Clean reaction zones + recent bullish reaction wicks
📍 Entry Zones:
🟩 Primary Buy Zone: 1.1180 – 1.1200
(FVG + H4 OB + H1 reaction point + 50 EMA region)
🔁 Entry trigger: M15–H1 bullish engulfing or sweep-reclaim pattern
🟨 Secondary Buy Zone: 1.1110 – 1.1135
(Deep demand + macro OB + previous resistance turned support)
🔁 Entry only after liquidity sweep and reclaim on H1
❗ Stop Loss:
Below 1.1090
→ Clears all demand layers and invalidates bullish bias
🎯 Take Profits:
🎯 TP1: 1.1285 → Reaction point & H1 imbalance top
🎯 TP2: 1.1340 → Prior highs before supply zone
🎯 TP3: 1.1395 → Supply edge retest / liquidity magnet
🔴 SELL PLAN – REVERSAL FROM SUPPLY
🔴 Sell Plan – Counter-Trend Reversal
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐ (70%)
⚠️ Reasons:
Near-term overextension visible from 1.14+ zone
Weekly supply unmitigated; wicks show rejection
Lower timeframes indicate momentum loss
But trend is still bullish overall (so more caution)
📍 Entry Zones:
🟥 Primary Sell Zone: 1.1340 – 1.1385
(Weekly supply + wick fill + unmitigated imbalance)
🔁 Confirmation: M15–H1 bearish divergence, exhaustion wick, or engulfing
🟥 Secondary Sell Zone: 1.1285 – 1.1310
(Short-term supply pocket + FVG gap)
🔁 Needs aggressive confirmation — avoid early entry
❗ Stop Loss:
Above 1.1405
→ Invalidates supply and structure, breakout confirmed
🎯 Take Profits:
🎯 TP1: 1.1230 → Intra-demand + mid FVG
🎯 TP2: 1.1180 → Bullish entry zone
🎯 TP3: 1.1135 → Final target at deep support zone
📏 Risk–Reward Projection:
Buy Plan: Approx. 1:3.2 R:R
Sell Plan: Approx. 1:2.8 to 1:3.5 depending on execution
🔁 Validity:
48 hours from plan release or upon break of SL levels on either side
🌐 Fundamentals to Watch:
Upcoming Eurozone ZEW data + US retail sales
Fed rate sentiment remains dovish near-term
Watch bond yield volatility this week
📋 Final Summary:
EUR/USD is in a broader bullish structure but has now faced significant overhead supply. Short-term bearish pressure is visible, but structure remains intact unless 1.1090 is breached. Dual-plan allows traders to operate both edges with proper confirmation.
EURUSD update: Is wave 4 complete?On my previous analysis earlier today I was expecting a triangle to be formed for the 4th wave. However, the idea is now invalidated. Now what to expect from this current structure is price to continue lower to complete a WXY correction to around 50% fib or continue up from the current level. The only way to take advantage to ride this last 5th wave of lower degree is by lower time frame confirmation. Lets keep monitoring the price. Cheers.
EURUSD Short 4/15/2025Entered a short on EUR/USD based on a multi-timeframe confluence.
Daily Chart: Friday closed with a strong bullish rally. On Monday, price pushed higher again but failed to hold gains, closing below Friday’s close — signaling potential exhaustion of buyers.
4H Chart: An inside bar formed during the Monday-Tuesday transition, signaling compression and potential breakout. This coincided with a visible liquidity spike, likely a false breakout.
1H Chart: A clear inside bar pattern developed following the liquidity sweep. I entered the short at the close of that hourly candle.
Targeting a 1:2 risk-to-reward or the next major liquidity grab zone — where we’d expect institutional stops to be clustered.
Dovish ECB Meets Technical Confluence – EUR/USD at Make-or-BreakEUR/USD has been respecting a clear bearish trend structure, consistently forming lower highs and lower lows across the lower timeframes. The pair is currently in a corrective phase, retracing toward the 1.13600 zone, a critical area where the descending trendline, horizontal resistance, and prior support converge. This level could serve as a strong turning point.
Fundamentally, the euro remains under pressure as markets anticipate a dovish stance from the ECB amid subdued inflation and softening economic data. Meanwhile we should be very cautious about the dollar with the very mixed war tariffs.
A rejection at this level with confirming bearish price action could open the door for a fresh leg lower in line with the prevailing trend. I’m closely monitoring candlestick behavior and momentum signals around 1.13600 for a potential short setup.
EURUSD: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.13260 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.13623.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD Short Term Buy IdeaH4 - Strong bullish momentum
Higher highs on the moving averages of the MACD
No opposite signs
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the strong support zone holds.
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EURUSD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.130.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.114 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD 15/4/25Our outlook for the euro this week is bullish, just as it was last week. Orion indicates that further bullish momentum is likely, and continued weakness against the US dollar is also probable. We now have a COT bias showing more long positions being placed than shorts, aligning with the principles and rule set we always follow here.
We're looking for the lows to be taken out — including the high-volume low and any subsequent liquid lows beneath it — while keeping the probability of longs from these areas as the most likely movement. If we're aiming for the high — the highest point printed in 2025 — that would be our next target.
Following that move, there’s a chance we could see a pullback that may take us below the liquid points we’ve highlighted, given that the market is relatively overextended to the upside. But as we always say, we should expect price to go higher than expected before any reversal. Our bias is clearly long, so why would we go against that?
Follow your rules, manage your risk, and always let Orion lead the way.
EURO - Price can rise a little more and then start to fallHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price moved inside a falling channel, slowly declining and bouncing from support to resistance.
Then EUR made a breakout, exited the channel, and started forming a rising wedge with clear bullish acceleration.
After a breakout, the price continued to grow and reached the upper boundary of the wedge pattern on the chart.
Recently Euro touched the resistance zone and showed a bounce from the local top near the wedge's upper edge.
Now it trades inside wedge formation and stays above support area near $1.1145 without strong momentum.
In my opinion, Euro can drop from current levels and reach $1.1150 zone as next support target soon.
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