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EUR/USD_SPT - EUR/USD

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EURUSD_SPT trade ideas

Why You Need to Know How the Markets Work Before TradingMany new traders jump into forex driven by excitement, but without a real grasp of how financial markets work. I know this because I did the same, and spent years trying to correct it. When I first entered the forex market, it felt accessible, fast-moving, and flexible. The 24-hour trading cycle made it seem like an ideal fit. But what I didn’t realize was that trading success isn’t built on convenience. It’s built on understanding. Knowing how the markets work isn’t just a nice-to-have — it’s foundational. Financial markets don’t exist in isolation. The forex market, for example, doesn’t move without being influenced by interest rates, global economic indicators, and even other markets like bonds or commodities. I didn’t understand this at first. I thought forex was self-contained — just charts, price action, and maybe some indicators. It’s not. Over time, I started noticing patterns. Not just in price movement, but in my own behavior. I’d react emotionally, enter impulsive trades, or avoid certain setups because I didn’t really trust what I was doing. The missing piece was a true understanding of the broader market structure. It’s also important to separate the idea of trading from investing. I used to think they were the same thing. They're not. Investing, to me, means long-term value holding. Trading is shorter-term speculation. Without understanding this difference, it's easy to misapply strategies meant for one into the other. I also misunderstood the tools. At first, I avoided the stock market entirely because I didn’t know you could short stocks. I avoided options, bonds, and futures because they seemed too complicated. That lack of knowledge wasn’t just limiting — it shaped my entire trading path. If I had taken the time early on to explore how the markets work — including what kinds of financial instruments are out there and how they behave — I would have made far more informed decisions. I would have known which tools fit my mindset, risk tolerance, and time commitment. Today, I’m still trading forex, but with a calmer, more methodical mindset. I’ve accepted that trading requires a clear plan, an understanding of market context, and constant self-reflection. I’m no longer chasing excitement — I’m aiming for consistency. If you’re just getting started, or if you feel stuck, pause and ask yourself: Do I truly understand how the markets function? Not just the one I’m trading in, but the financial ecosystem as a whole? The answer might change your entire approach — and that shift can be what helps you move from confusion to clarity.
Education
by TheInvestor_Diary
Price Action + CVD + VWAP FRVP correlated with DXY🎯 ALGORITHMIC - Mentorship: Friday 09.05.25 during New York session, we traded Price Action + CVD + VWAP FRVP correlated with EU-DXY and we started with CVD Divergency - Apsortion allowing us a trading idea which translated into 1 trade executions on same logic. Then we got an understanding that price was at the 3rd standard deviation using the VWAP and that the VAH correlated perfectly with an FVG created at M15. During the trade we spoted a triple support in which we concluded that was an iceberg order by using EUR-USD futures 6EM(jun 25 contract) to get aquainted with order flow and confirm the iceberg which was later breached creating a new resistence. The LTF, MTF Market structure showed a nice MMSM Market Makers Seller Model forming so we jumped in. Our target.... POC - Point of Control..... Elevate your trading game with this deep-dive into algorithmic setups! In this session (Friday, May 9, 2025, New York hours) we combine classic Price Action with advanced flow tools—CVD, VWAP (including FRVP bands), and FX correlations—to hunt high-probability entries. Here’s what you’ll learn: 🔍 Session Breakdown Trading View Analysis Chart: - M3 - - M15 - - CVD Divergence & Absorption – Spot the imbalance that kick-started our first edge and trade execution. - VWAP 3σ Reversion – Identify when price strays to the third standard deviation and pairs up with a Volume Area High that lines up with an M15 Fair Value Gap. - Iceberg Order Detection – Use EUR/USD futures (6EM, Jun ’25 contract) to confirm hidden liquidity pools at triple-level support, then capitalize when they fliped to resistance creating a new pull back so we re-entered new position enforcing our logic. - Market Structure & MMSM – Read the multi-timeframe swing highs and lows to pinpoint the Market Makers’ Seller Model—and know exactly when to strike. 🎯 Trade Execution & Outcome - Entry triggered by a confluence of CVD setup + VWAP deviation + FVG validation - Confirmation via order-flow iceberg break - Target: Point of Control (POC) 📈 Key Takeaways - How to fuse Price Action with CVD and VWAP for algorithmic precision - Techniques to spot and trade iceberg orders in real time - MTF structural analysis for aligning with institutional flows
Short
by stryng
1
EUR/USD Trade Idea – Bearish Setup Based on Dow TheoryBased on Dow Theory, EUR/USD is consistently forming Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) — a classic indication of a bearish trend. We are placing a Sell Stop order just below the recent low. If the trend continues and a new LL is formed, it confirms further downside, and we will execute two separate trades — each with a distinct risk-reward strategy. 🔹 Trade Setup Details: Pair: EUR/USD Trend: Bearish Entry (Sell Stop): 1.11910 Stop Loss (SL): 1.12975 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.10845 (Trade 1: 1:1 RR) Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.09978 (Trade 2: 1:2 RR) Lot Size: 0.09 ( For both Trades) Risk Per Trade: $100 ( Total $200 for both Trades) Reward Potential: Up to $300 ( Trade 1: $100 and Trade 2: $200) 📌 Trade Strategy: We are executing two separate trades: Trade 1: Targeting a 1:1 risk-reward ratio – a more conservative position. Trade 2: Targeting a 1:2 risk-reward ratio – aiming for greater profit if the trend extends. This dual-trade strategy allows us to lock in partial profits early while still having exposure to larger potential gains. ✅ Bearish Structure Confirmed ✅ Two Trade Plans ✅ Defined Risk and Reward ✅ Dow Theory-Aligned Setup 🔔 Follow for more trade setups, and feel free to share your thoughts or chart ideas in the comments! #Hashtags: #EURUSD #ForexTrading #DowTheory #BearishTrend #TradingView #PriceAction #FXMarket #ForexSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #SellSetup #RiskReward #ForexStrategy #BreakoutTrade #SwingTrade #ForexCommunity #TradeSmart
Short
by asimafridi
EUR/USD Looking More and More Like a Top May be In PlaceEUR/USD lost a really big level this week when bears pushed through the 1.1275 Fibonacci level. This is the 61.8% retracement of the 2021-2022 major move, and that price was the swing high in 2023. More importantly for the past three weeks that level was support for EUR/USD, both before and after the failed run at the 1.1500 handle. This move has been a big part of the sell-off in the US Dollar and as we've seen more and more bottoming potential for the Greenback on the basis of three consecutive weekly gains, the opposite has been the case for EUR/USD. For this week, we had a descending triangle build around the FOMC rate decision, with lower-highs as resistance and horizontal support at the 1.1275 level. That formation filled in cleanly on Thursday with a breakdown, and price pushed directly down to the 1.1200 handle, which is a big level in its own right. That was the high on multiple occasions last year and to date, it hasn't shown much for support, until this week, at least. That price led into a bounce into the close of the week but the bearish sequencing remains in-play for next week and the door remains open for a test down towards 1.1100 or perhaps even 1.1000. Notably, the 1.0943 level is related to the same Fibonacci sequence that produced 1.1275 and 1.0943 was resistance turned support just a month ago. - js
by FOREXcom
1
The Day Ahead Friday May 9 Data: China April trade balance, Q1 BoP current account balance, Japan March labor cash earnings, household spending, leading index, coincident index, Italy March industrial production, Canada April jobs report, Norway April CPI Central banks: Fed's Williams, Waller, Kugler, Goolsbee and Barr speak, ECB's Simkus and Rehn speak, BoE's Bailey and Pill speak Earnings: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Recruit Holdings, Commerzbank, Cellnex This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EUR/USD at Critical Resistance – Bearish Reversal Ahead? The EUR/USD pair is currently trading at 1.12468, showing signs of hesitation near a major supply zone identified between 1.12400 – 1.14000, a level that has historically acted as strong resistance. Key Technical Observations (4H Chart): Supply Zone (1.12400 – 1.14000): Price reacted strongly here in the past, and we're seeing another potential reversal setup as sellers begin to step in. Bearish Divergence on recent highs (check RSI/MACD) confirms weakening bullish momentum. Double Top Formation forming just below 1.14000, a classic reversal pattern. Break Below 1.12000 could trigger a sell-off toward 1.09000, with further downside to 1.04000 if macro sentiment aligns. Demand Zone remains solid around 1.03400 – 1.04000, where buyers previously pushed the pair higher. Fundamental Catalysts to Watch: Upcoming ECB & FOMC statements (see icons marked on the chart). US Jobs Data & CPI releases may heavily influence USD strength. Geopolitical tensions and Eurozone economic projections also playing a role in sentiment. My Trading Plan: Watching for bearish confirmation (e.g., 4H bearish engulfing candle) below 1.12400. Short Entry Zone: 1.12200 – 1.12400 Target 1: 1.09000 Target 2: 1.04000 SL: Above 1.14000 zone (tight risk management). Conclusion: This could be a high-risk reversal zone with great R:R setup if confirmed. Always wait for price action confirmation and watch for news catalysts! If this analysis helps you, give it a like and follow for more smart breakdowns like this! Let’s grow together as traders.
Short
by FrankFx14
DeGRAM | EURUSD is holding the accumulation zone📊 Technical Analysis ● CAPITALCOM:EURUSD is pressing the purple resistance line (~1.1335); a close above it should carry the pair to the mid‑channel support level at 1.1450, then to the upper resistance level near 1.1560. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● US initial claims rose to 241 k and continuing claims to 1.916 m, pushing yields lower and softening the USD. ● ECB officials signal caution on additional rate cuts after June, helping anchor euro yields and sentiment. ✨ Summary Accumulation‑zone strength, weakening USD data, and a cautious ECB support a short‑term long view: objectives 1.1450 → 1.1560; the daily candlestick closes under the channel. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
Pullback or Recovery? All Eyes on ECB and Inflation CluesEUR/USD – Pullback or Recovery? All Eyes on ECB and Inflation Clues Hey traders! 👋 After a tough drop earlier this week, EUR/USD is now finding its feet again near the 1.1240 area. We’re seeing some early bullish signs, but the bigger question is: Is this just a pullback or the start of a stronger recovery? 🔎 What’s going on? Today, ECB’s Šimkus came out with some pretty dovish comments: He warned that Eurozone inflation depends a lot on how the EU responds to trade policies from the US. There's pressure to cut interest rates as soon as June, but it’s still unclear whether they’ll follow up again in July or September. Growth risks remain due to geopolitics and Chinese goods flowing into Europe. These hints of a possible rate cut added more weight on the Euro. But at the same time, we’re seeing buyers step in around key support zones, so price action could get interesting soon. 🧭 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 1.1278 – First level to break for bulls 1.1301 – Near-term resistance 1.1325 & 1.1353 – Highs to watch if momentum builds Support: 1.1240 – Holding well so far 1.1198 – Key BUY zone 1.1160 – Last line of defence for bulls 🧠 Trade Plan for Today (May 9th) ✅ BUY IDEA: Buy Zone: 1.1198 SL: 1.1138 TP Targets: → 1.1235 → 1.1285 → 1.1325 ❌ SELL IDEA: Sell Zone: 1.1301 SL: 1.1360 TP Targets: → 1.1265 → 1.1225 → 1.1185 📌 Final Thoughts The pair is still inside a downward channel, so we need to be flexible. If EUR/USD breaks and holds above 1.1300, bulls could take control. But if it fails, we might see another dip back toward the lower range. Keep an eye on macro data next week – especially inflation figures and any fresh ECB signals. 👉 Stay patient, trade your zones, and don’t chase! Let the setup come to you. Good luck! 🚀
Long
by MMFlowTrading
1
Skeptic |EUR/USD : Bearish Breakout Unlocks Deep Corrections!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s start this Friday morning with a fresh EUR/USD analysis—some juicy setups are waiting! 😊 Our previous long position after the 1.13485 resistance break turned out to be a fake breakout, hitting our stop loss. But the short trigger I mentioned below 1.12676 activated, hitting a 2:1 R/R with a safe stop loss. Now, we’ve seen a pullback to that broken level, and if the trend continues, we can find more solid triggers. Stick with me to break it all down! Let’s start with the Daily Timeframe. 📊 📅 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture The upward channel on the daily chart has finally broken , and when we talk about a channel break, we don’t mean a weak one—this was confirmed by two strong bearish candles. We might see a pullback to the channel, but if not, a break below the 1.12006 support could send us into a deeper correction toward 1.08454 . To confirm a full trend reversal, we’d need to see lower highs and lower lows on the daily. So, with this in mind, it’s smarter to take positions in lower timeframes (like 4H or below) in the direction of the current bearish momentum to boost your win rate and R/R. Let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe for the actionable setups. ⏰ 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups After a prolonged box range and a fake breakout above the box’s ceiling, the price has now broken lower and is pulling back. For our short setup, we already have a position open from above at 1.12676 . But after a break of 1.12012 (which aligns with daily support), we can add to our position—with proper capital and risk management, of course. Another confirmation for the short? The RSI entering oversold territory can be a solid signal. Why oversold? We need tools to gauge momentum, like SMA, RSI, or volume (though volume only works well in crypto since forex volume isn’t transparent due to bank transactions, etc. In crypto, every transaction is recorded, so volume is reliable). RSI is one of my go-to tools for spotting momentum shifts, and it’s been a profit machine for me. But remember: oscillators and indicators aren’t entry signals —they’re confirmations for the setups we’re trading. Want to learn more? I could drop a few YouTube videos on RSI alone—it’s worth the deep dive! 📚 For a long setup , we’d need a return to the box range and a break above resistance at 1.13740 to open a long. I’m not giving any long triggers before that because, as we said, the daily momentum has shifted to a downtrend, and we don’t want to trade against the higher timeframe flow. 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
Short
by SkepticWise
5
Euro Nears 1.1230 on Cautious ECBEUR/USD edged up to 1.1230 in Friday’s Asian session, paring earlier losses caused by stronger U.S. data and easing trade tensions that supported the dollar. The euro remains under pressure as markets price in possible ECB rate cuts by June, though officials maintain confidence in inflation reaching the 2% target by year-end. The pair faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside capped near 1.1460 and 1.1580. On the downside, support is seen at 1.1150, followed by 1.1100 and 1.1050.
by ChartMage
EURUSD Faces Political Risks After German and Romanian VotingEURUSD is trying to hold steady, supported by strong enough PMI data. The Eurozone composite PMI rose to 50.4 from 50.1. While the increase is modest, it is still important amid ongoing tariff-related turmoil. However, political risks that were believed to be easing now appear to be intensifying. In Romania, first-round election results showed anti-EU candidate Simion securing around 40% of the vote. This could create problems for both the EU and Ukraine. Meanwhile, today’s vote in Germany is raising concerns. Merz received only 310 of the 316 votes required from parliament. Given that the coalition holds 328 seats, this outcome sends a troubling signal about the coalition’s stability. If Germany’s government proves unstable, it may further weigh on the euro. Both developments are negative for the euro. Combined with the recent momentum shift in EURUSD after its strong surge from around 1.04, a correction may be on the horizon. The 1.1260–1.1275 area is a key support zone. It includes a major trendline and an important horizontal support level. If this zone fails, EURUSD could quickly retreat toward the white trendline around 1.11. That trendline, which broke in April, dates back to the 2008 top and represents a long-term structural level. More details on this trend can be found below:
Short
by ftdsystem