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EUR/USD_SPT - EUR/USD

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EURUSD_SPT trade ideas

EUR/USD Pressured by Safe-Haven Dollar DemandEUR/USD traded near 1.15 on Wednesday, under pressure from safe-haven demand for the U.S. dollar as Middle East tensions escalated. Fears of broader conflict involving the U.S. kept the dollar firm. Markets await the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, with rates expected to stay unchanged, though guidance may shape future expectations. The euro remained weak, burdened by Europe’s energy import exposure amid rising oil prices. Resistance is located at 1.1580, while support is seen at 1.1460.
by ChartMage
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 18, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 12:00 EET. EUR - Consumer Price Index 15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims 21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Rate Decision Declining confidence in the US economy amid trade policy is undermining the US Dollar (USD) against the Euro (EUR). Data released by the US Census Bureau on Tuesday showed that US retail sales fell 0.9% m/m in May, compared to a 0.1% decline (revised from +0.1%) recorded in April. The figure was weaker than estimates of -0.7%. Meanwhile, US industrial production in May declined 0.2% m/m vs. 0.1% previously (revised from 0%), worse than expectations of 0.1%. Traders expect the US Federal Reserve to leave borrowing costs unchanged at its June meeting on Wednesday. Markets now estimate a nearly 80% chance that the Fed will cut rates in September and then another in October, according to Reuters. The mood of European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers is supportive of the common currency. ECB President Christine Lagarde said that rate cuts are coming to an end as the central bank is now in a “good position” to deal with the current uncertainty. Meanwhile, investors will keep an eye on geopolitical risks. Israel is set to step up strikes on Tehran, while the US is considering expanding its role amid rising tensions between Israel and Iran. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1460, SL 1.1560, TP 1.1260
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
DeGRAM | EURUSD rebound from the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● A completed AB=CD (0.883 / 1.112) pattern at the channel floor (1.1488) produced a hammer, signalling exhaustion of bears at the measured PRZ. ● Price is now reclaiming the micro structure high 1.1526; that flips the inner range to support and opens the next intra-channel pivot 1.1560, with room to the upper wall near 1.1600. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● EZ May trade balance swung back to a €4 bn surplus while weak US housing starts shaved another 4 bp off 2-yr yields, compressing the short-rate gap and underpinning EUR bids. ✨ Summary Buy 1.1500-1.1530; break >1.1560 targets 1.1600, stretch 1.1650. Bull bias void on 30 min close below 1.1480. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
EURUSD – Bullish momentum fades, downside pressure intensifiesEURUSD formed a lower high near 1.1613, signaling weakening bullish momentum. Price is now testing a key trendline, and a break below 1.1473 could confirm a bearish move toward 1.1350. Market sentiment is currently dominated by the Fed’s hawkish stance following the latest FOMC meeting, where the central bank kept rates unchanged but expressed readiness to hike further if necessary. Meanwhile, although tensions in the Middle East are escalating, they have yet to deliver a significant blow to the USD. Given the current backdrop, EURUSD is under considerable pressure and may soon break its bullish structure unless strong buying interest re-emerges.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD LONGPrice swept below support around 1.1473, grabbing liquidity and quickly bouncing back — this is a classic Wyckoff spring setup. 📌 Key Levels Entry: Around 1.1500 Stop Loss: Below 1.1424 (spring low) Target 1: 1.1567 (range high) Target 2: 1.1614 (measured move) 🔍 Why I like this setup: Fake breakdown (spring) and quick recovery Buyers showed up right after the sweep Expecting price to return to the top of the range and possibly break higher . This a trade we hold 💡 A spring is where smart money steps in after trapping sellers — I'm following them. “I always say that you could publish my rules in the newspaper and no one would follow them. The key is consistency and discipline.”
Long
by theeOperator90
EURUSD Has breakout the ascending channel bullish strong now EURUSD Breakout Alert! EURUSD has broken out of the descending channel with strong bullish momentum from the key support level at 1.15100. 📈 Technical Outlook (4H Time Frame): 🔹 Key Support: 1.15100 (confirmed bounce) 🔹 1st Resistance Target: 1.16300 🔹 Bullish Order Block: 1.12900 – strong demand zone below This breakout signals potential continuation to the upside. Stay tuned as price action develops! 🔥 📌 Like, Follow, Comment & Join us for more real-time updates! Trade smart, stay informed 😜 — Posted by Livia
Long
by experttrader04
1
EURUSD trades turn their eyes towards upcoming Fed Interest rateEUR/USD has been trading sideways after peaking above 1.1600 last week, as traders adopt a wait and see approach ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision due tomorrow morning (AEST). The pair is consolidating within a tight range, with the top end of the recent rally now being questioned amid growing uncertainty. While the Fed is widely expected to leave its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, market participants will be closely watching for any revisions to the dot plot, as well as updates to the central bank's growth and inflation forecasts. The current projections suggest two rate cuts in 2025, but any deviation from that could trigger significant dollar volatility. On the technical side, multi-year support near 1.1215 remains a critical level to watch on the downside. A break below could signal deeper bearish momentum. Adding complexity to the EUR side of the equation are two key factors: The ECB’s rate path, with the central bank seen approaching the end of its monetary easing cycle. Elevated geopolitical tensions, especially as Israel prepares further action against Tehran and the US weighs deeper involvement. Any escalation in Middle East tensions could boost demand for safe-haven assets like the US dollar, potentially pressuring the euro further. In the near term, EUR/USD remains in a holding pattern, with the Fed's tone and geopolitical developments likely to determine the next directional move. "The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice."
by Blueberry
32
EURUSD: Price Action + Elliott Wave + SMC Analysis "Hello traders! Today, we're diving deep into EURUSD with a comprehensive analysis combining Price Action, Elliott Wave principles, and Smart Money Concepts (SMC). On the chart, we observe key price action elements including: * A 'Psychological FVG' (Fair Value Gap) around the 1.15100 - 1.15261 area, which could act as a potential resistance or reversal poin * A target or support level identified around 1.14494 and further down at 1.14502. Looking ahead, the diagram on the right illustrates a potential Elliott Wave structure integrated with SMC concepts: * We see proposed waves leading to a 'BOS' (Break of Structure) indicating a shift in market control. * An 'Imbalance' zone is highlighted, suggesting an area where price might seek to rebalance before continuing its move. * The overall structure points towards a continued bearish momentum after potential retracements. Key Takeaways: * Watch the identified FVG for potential reactions. * Monitor for further BOS confirmations to validate the bearish outlook. * The 'Imbalance' zone could offer shorting opportunities if price retests it. This analysis provides a multi-faceted approach to understanding potential future price movements in EURUSD. Always remember to manage your risk effectively. What are your thoughts on this analysis? Share your insights in the comments below! #EURUSD #Forex #PriceAction #ElliottWave #SMC #TradingAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook #ForexTrading"
Short
by Greenfireforex
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.1451 1st Support: 1.1342 1st Resistance: 1.1614 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
EURUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.1538, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement. Our take profit is set at 1.1454, a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2 Fib extension. The stop loss is set at 1.1570, an overlap resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu