No change for EURUSD
EURUSD remains in a sideways range following last week's strong bullish move.
There are no changes in expectations or in the key support and resistance levels.
Watch for reactions at support zones and potential continuation of the uptrend.
Don’t forget about the important news releases coming later this week, which could cause increased volatility.
EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
Euro Outlook: Final Push Before the Drop?According to AriasWave, the reason we haven’t seen the market roll over yet is because Wave D has been in play since 2022. I’m watching the 1.17747 level closely—once we hit that zone, I’m expecting a sharp reversal to the downside.
There’s also a chance we push up to 1.22570 to retest the 1000-period moving average on the weekly. Either way, the setup’s almost complete. My minimum downside target for the Euro is 0.70.
I believe a major economic slowdown is right around the corner. I’ll break it all down in today’s Market Update—covering the Euro, USD, Dow, S&P 500, and Bitcoin.
Stay tuned. And yeah—I’m back online after a weeklong ban. Let’s get to work.
Eurusd signal EUR/USD spun in a messy circle on Monday, touching the 1.1400 and 1.1300 levels before settling somewhere in the midrange. The US Dollar continues to soften across the board following the Trump administration’s latest about-face on its own tariff threats, but market sentiment remains tepid as investor fears of continued trade tensions simmer in the background.
It’s time to go downFrom the EUR/USD 8-hour chart, there are several important points that can be analyzed to predict potential corrections:
1. Supply (Resistance) Zone
• Price was rejected around 1.14269 – this is strong resistance.
• RSI shows bearish divergence (price increases, RSI decreases), usually a correction signal.
2. Nearest Demand (Support) Zone
• There is a demand/green area in the range of 1.13043 - 1.10860, which is also supported by an uptrend trendline.
• Correction will most likely test this area.
3. Potential Correction Targets:
• First level: 1.13043 (upper end of demand zone)
• Second level: 1.1200s (psychological level & minor support)
• Last level (if breakdown): 1.10860 – 1.09550 (in demand zone + near strong horizontal support)
4. Additional Confirmation:
• Volume starts to decrease as price increases = sign of distribution divergence.
• RSI is still quite high (65s) = room for correction is still open.
⸻
Conclusion:
Correction is reasonable if it falls to the 1.1300 – 1.1080 area. If the price action there shows a bullish reversal (eg: hammer, engulfing, or bullish divergence in RSI), it could be an opportunity to enter buy from the demand zone.
EURUSD | Support or Sweep?EURUSD | Support or Sweep? Liquidity Play in Progress (1H Chart Analysis)
Idea:
Timeframe: 1H
EURUSD is currently reacting to a liquidity-rich environment, and the price action hints at a potential trap-and-reverse setup.
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Key Observations:
Price has taken out multiple liquidity zones on the way up and is now testing a key support level near 1.1260–1.1270
A trendline break suggests bearish intent, but internal liquidity near support could create a bounce
Two scenarios are in play based on how price reacts around the support
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Scenario 1: Bullish Reaction (Short-Term Bounce)
Price holds support and forms a short-term reversal structure
A potential move back toward 1.1350–1.1380 to collect more buy-side liquidity
Watch for bullish price action confirmation around the support zone
Scenario 2: Bearish Continuation (Liquidity Sweep)
Price breaks down through support, invalidating the trendline
A strong push toward the imbalance zone around 1.1150–1.1180 is likely
Ideal entry after a pullback into broken support (acting as resistance)
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Bias: Neutral-Bearish unless strong bullish reaction is seen at support
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Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please manage your risk carefully and always do your own research before entering a trade.
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#EURUSD #ForexTrading #LiquiditySweep #SmartMoney #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #TradingStrategy #SupplyAndDemand #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishScenario #BullishReversal #TrendlineBreak #ForexTA #TradingViewIdeas #LiquidityZones #DYOR
Will the persistent weak dollar help strengthen the euro?
The Trump administration announced a 90-day tariff reprieve and reciprocal exemptions on smartphones and semiconductors. However, President Trump denied that this constitutes a tariff exemption, stressing that duties on items such as semiconductors and pharmaceuticals will be reimposed.
Amid growing concerns over the impact of US tariff hikes on Eurozone growth, market sentiment has strengthened around the prospect of further ECB rate cuts. ECB President Christine Lagarde warned that the Trump administration’s aggressive tariff policy could destabilize European financial markets.
EURUSD has extended its sharp uptrend, testing the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The widening gap between both EMAs indicates a continued extension of bullish momentum. If EURUSD breaks above the channel’s upper bound, the price could advance toward the resistance at 1.1475. Conversely, if EURUSD falls below the support at 1.1210, the price may decline further toward 1.1050.
Dollar dips on structural concerns | FX ResearchWe're definitely seeing a massive uptick in risk appetite in recent sessions as investors celebrate a reprieve from tariff intensification. At the same time, the broader trade war narrative has not gone away. And though we are getting a boost in risk assets, we're also seeing the US dollar suffer across the board.
Indeed, there is an expectation the Fed will need to be more accommodative with policy in the months ahead, which is forcing yield differentials out of the buck's favour. At the same time, it's hard to ignore what could be the start of a more pronounced structural shift on account of US administration policies that are driving investment away from the US.
The Senate's budget resolution enabling $5.3 trillion in tax cuts and a $5 trillion debt ceiling increase with minimal spending cuts further weakens the dollar's structural outlook. Looking ahead, we get US consumer inflation expectations and some Fed speak.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
EUR/USD Holds Steady Near 1.15000The EUR/USD has gained more than 4% over the past three trading sessions, with bullish momentum remaining strong, as markets fear that a continued escalation in the trade war may keep heavy selling pressure on the U.S. dollar. With tariff-related uncertainty persisting, the euro continues to attract capital fleeing the dollar in search of a temporary safe haven.
Bullish Trend
Currently, the most relevant formation on the chart is a short-term bullish trend, which began in early March. Price action has continued to show consistent upward momentum, moving steadily toward the next psychological resistance at 1.15000, which has further reinforced buying pressure in the near term.
However, it's important to note that the volatility seen in recent sessions has been significant, which could open the door to short-term corrective pullbacks.
RSI Indicator
The RSI line has started to oscillate above the overbought level at 70. Additionally, a relevant divergence has begun to emerge: while the RSI continues to post flat highs, the price of EUR/USD is printing higher highs.
These signals suggest a possible imbalance between buying and selling strength, indicating that a short-term correction could be on the horizon.
Key Levels to Watch:
1.15000: A tentative resistance level aligned with a key psychological threshold. Sustained bullish moves above this zone could strengthen the current upward bias and lead to a more pronounced uptrend.
1.11549: A nearby support level, which could act as the first zone of interest if a short-term correction unfolds.
1.09513: A key support area, representing the most important neutral zone tested in recent weeks. A break below this level could put the current bullish structure at risk.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1141
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0949
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.1425
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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EURUSD LIVE TRADE AND EDUCATIONAL BREAK DOWN SHORTEUR/USD bounces off 1.1300, Dollar turns red
After bottoming out near the 1.1300 region, EUR/USD now regains upside traction and advances to the 1.1370 area on the back of the ongoing knee-jerk in the US Dollar. Meanwhile, market participants continue to closely follow news surrounding the US-China trade war.
EUR/USD 1H CHART PATTERN The EUR/USD pair appears to be showing signs of a bearish shift after a strong upward trend. Based on current price action and structure, we can outline the following insights:
Structure & Pattern Insight:
The chart shows the formation of a rising channel or ascending wedge, a classic pattern that often signals exhaustion of bullish momentum.
The price has now broken below the lower trendline, indicating a likely reversal or correction in the near term.
Trend Change Confirmation:
Lower highs and lower lows are starting to form, which supports the idea that bears are gaining control.
The recent break below short-term moving averages and the Ichimoku Cloud reinforces a downward bias.
Key Price Levels:
Target 1: 1.11804 – This is a key support level from previous structure; likely the first take-profit zone if the downtrend continues.
Target 2: 1.10700 – A stronger support zone and potential deeper retracement level, aligning with a longer-term demand a
EURUSD SHORTI'm initiating a short position on EUR/USD, anticipating a bearish move driven by strengthening U.S. dollar fundamentals and/or eurozone weakness. Technical indicators signal a potential downside: the pair is struggling to hold above key resistance near , with bearish divergence on RSI and a breakdown below confirming downside momentum.
Entry:
Stop Loss:
Take Profit:
Risk/Reward Ratio:
Timeframe:
Rationale: Hawkish Fed tone vs dovish ECB outlook, weaker Eurozone data, and potential flight to safety supporting the USD.
EUR/USD 4H After weeks of compression and sideways grind, price finally made its move. Broke out hard from the 1.09000 zone and didn’t look back.
We didn’t just pump — we exploded through structure.
If you missed it… it’s chill. Smart money always gives a second chance.
Here’s what I’m watching:
✅ Clean impulsive leg up
✅ Minor pullback already got bought up
✅ Price now hovering around 1.14000 — but no liquidity sweep yet
So what’s missing?
We haven’t seen buyside liquidity swept yet.
What that means?
This could be a trap area before a pullback into a demand zone or FVG. If we get a wick above 1.14500 to clear some liquidity — and then rejection — I’ll look for a lower timeframe sell trigger.
Otherwise, we wait for a pullback → preferably into the 1.12000–1.12500 OB or FVG zone → and that’s where longs make sense again.
🔍 Setup Watchlist:
Buy only after pullback into OB/FVG
Sell only if we see a liquidity sweep + CHoCH near current highs
No trades in the middle = just noise
🧠 Reminder to self:
"Patience makes money. Chasing makes pain."
#EURUSD #SMC #OrderBlock #FVG #LiquiditySweep #SmartMoney #ForexTrading #4HChart #PriceAction
EUR/USD Weekly analysis 13-April-2025Last week, due to US news,
the Euro broke the ceiling of the 4H channel and the resistance of 1.1200
and also broke the strong resistance (formed by the intersection of the static resistance of 1.1278 and two dynamic resistances,
which also included the monthly resistance)
and touched the resistance level of 1.1462
*Currently, the price is in the range zone
and I expect the price to play in this zone (as shown on the chart) for a while
And if the breakdown is not caused by the excitement of the market and fake news;
the price of 1.1278 will play the role of support and the price will rise
Otherwise, the price will decrease after playing in the zone for a while
We will be patient and go with the trend
(On the monthly and daily time frames, we see divergence and on the weekly time frame, we see saturation in buying)
* Be profitable
Thank you for expressing your opinion by liking and commenting
EURUSD: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 1.13690 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 1.13104.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Bears Will Push Lower
The recent price action on the EURUSD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Eurusd ultimate buy ideaPrice is in a consolidation due to buyers impulse not giving up but eventually the sellers will push the price lower and the buyers will have no choice but to give it and wait for a came back at the fib level 61.8 with the H4 tf
All these after a sell as seen in the chart illustration.