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EUR/USD_SPT - EUR/USD

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EURUSD_SPT trade ideas

EUR/USD Tests Key Pivot Points Amid Bearish TrendHello, FX:EURUSD has broken above the 1D resistance level and is now advancing towards the 1W pivot point (PP) for another test. If it successfully crosses and holds above this PP, further upward movement is likely, applying to both the 1W and 1M pivot points. However, it’s important to note that the pair remains in a strong bearish trend overall. Despite this, buyers have taken long positions, viewing the recent low as a potential turning point for an upward move. No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
EURUSD Waiting for confirmation1. Time Frame: - Daily: FVG Identification - H4: FVG Identification - H1: Entry Signal 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): On the H4 chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.0380 - 1.0466 On the Daily chart also note FVG between 1.0422- 1.0480 3. Trend Confirmation: Price has break support at 1.0453 with massive net sell volume. Price has rise back to Daily & H4 FVG area. 4. Position: Entry: Waiting for confirmation Stop Loss : 1.0485 Take Profit: 1.0345 & 1.0240 (fibo 161.8 & previous low) RRR : 1:xx ------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Short
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade
Rising from the Ashes: EURO's Path to RecoveryGood day traders, Trust we all profited from the FOMC report of yesterday. Please take a moment to go through my outlook and expectation on Euro in the coming weeks into the new year. Overview EUR/USD appears to be rebounding after a sharp decline triggered by yesterday's FOMC report, where the FED delivered a hawkish 25bps cut, which drove higher market-driven borrowing costs, a stronger dollar and a sharp drop in stocks. From the start of the week EURUSD had previously been consolidating, during which weak buyers (traders) were caught off guard by a false breakout to the upside, reaching a weekly high of 1.05342 on Tuesday. Idea The subsequent sell-off drove the pair to a four-week low of 1.03439, just above the November 22nd low of 1.03324. This drop aligns with a key Fibonacci reversal pattern under Elliott Wave theory, suggesting the potential for a significant rally. If this pattern holds, EUR/USD could gain approximately 400 pips (1.08150) in the coming weeks, with the recovery likely extending into the new year. Conclusion The recent low is expected to act as a firm support level, and a breach of the November low appears unlikely. This anticipated rally could mark the beginning of a period of recovery and optimism for the euro. Cheers! Merry Christmas and Happy New Year in advance.
Long
by Samuel124
HelenP. I Euro can reach resistance level and then continue fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price reached the trend line, making a first gap as well and then starting to decline. EUR dropped to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone and soon broke resistance 2. Then it started to trades inside consolidation, where it declined to resistance 1, which coincided with the bottom part of the range with the support zone. After this movement, the EUR rebounded up, making a second gap, and later almost reached the trend line. Then the price little declined and later rebounded up to resistance 2, breaking the trend line, after which it turned around and started to decline. In a short time, Ethe uro declined to resistance 1, broke it, thereby exiting from consolidation, and then fell to the trend line. A not long time ago, the price bounced and started to grow. So, I expect that EURUSD will reach a resistance level and then continue to decline next. For this case, I set my goal at 1.0270 points, which coincided with the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
4
Euro can fall to buyer zone and then rebound upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price a few moments ago broke the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and started to grow inside the upward channel. In this channel, the price grew to the resistance line, after which turned around and started to decline in a downward channel, exiting from the upward channel. In this channel, the Euro declined to the seller zone, where it soon broke the 1.0485 level and fell to the support line, but soon turned around and backed up. Next, the price some time traded near the resistance level and later rebounded and made a strong impulse down, breaking the 1.0390 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, thereby exiting from the downward channel as well. Later Euro turned around and started to grow and some time later reached the 1.0390 level, broke it, and continued to move up. But a not long time ago, the price started to decline, so, for this case, I think that the price can decline to the buyer zone. AFter this movement, Euro will turn around and start to move up to the resistance level from the buyer zone. Therefore I set my TP at 1.0485 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
6
EURUSD: let it come up and make a top, Fade the top Follow the blue line. If it develops like the blue line, the trading pattern is being verified. Same with after entry: if the pair does not move like the blue line, I will look to get out extremely fast, with immediate closing of the trade, so I am not stuck in a trade that isn't part of the trading plan. In essence, a simplified way to think of this is that, based on my reading of the chart, I have mapped out a path for the pair. If the pair and the map match, the trade is on, and active. If either the map or the pair goes off script, I am out of the trade. Also, some may wonder why not trade the blue line on the way up. That is certainly a valid trade, if we are comfortable enough with how the pair is acting currently and believe that there is enough there for us to say the pair is following the script. I would just propose that if we waited for more information, we have more confirmation that our read is correct. Furthermore, the downward move would seem to have a stronger momentum. TLDR: the more it follows the blue line, the more possibility for a smooth trade.
Short
by SAILBOATEVANMOSERS
1
EURUSD Downtrend Holds Steady: Time to Go ShortEURUSD experienced a sharp decline earlier today, following the release of key economic data that spurred renewed bearish momentum. The market reaction was swift, with sellers overwhelming buyers and driving the price lower. After this initial move, the pair is now staging a pullback, attempting to recover some ground as it approaches a critical resistance zone. This retracement presents a significant technical setup that could dictate the pair’s next major move. The current pullback is bringing the price closer to the resistance zone around 1.04300, a level that has proven pivotal in the past. Historical price action highlights this area as a confluence zone, marked by prior reversals and intensified trading activity. As the price approaches this region, signs of exhaustion are becoming increasingly evident. On closer examination of the candlestick patterns, rejection candles—characterized by long upper wicks and small bodies—are forming near this resistance level. These candles suggest that buyers are struggling to push the price higher, while sellers are beginning to regain control. A deeper look at the 1-hour chart reveals a clear ABCD pullback pattern, a widely recognized harmonic structure in technical analysis. This pattern indicates a measured retracement within a broader downtrend, providing traders with potential entry points for the continuation of the trend. In this case, the "AB" leg represents the initial bearish impulse, the "BC" leg corresponds to the current corrective move, and the anticipated "CD" leg signals the likely continuation of the downward movement. If the pattern completes as expected, the price is likely to reverse from the resistance zone near 1.04300 and resume its descent. The broader market sentiment further supports a bearish outlook. Macroeconomic conditions, combined with the technical dynamics of the pair, point to continued selling pressure. The recent news release acted as a catalyst, intensifying the downward momentum, and this sentiment is unlikely to change unless there is a significant shift in market fundamentals. Additionally, the lack of follow-through by buyers in the pullback phase underscores the strength of the prevailing bearish trend. From a technical perspective, the resistance zone around 1.04300 holds immense importance. Not only does it align with the upper boundary of the ABCD pattern, but it also coincides with a key Fibonacci retracement level and a psychological price barrier. These overlapping factors create a strong confluence area, increasing the likelihood of a reversal. If the price fails to break above this zone, the bearish momentum is expected to accelerate, targeting the next significant support zone around 1.03260. The support zone at 1.03260 represents a critical area where buyers may reenter the market. This level has acted as a demand zone in the past, providing temporary relief from selling pressure. However, given the strength of the current bearish trend, a test of this level seems increasingly likely. Traders should watch for additional confirmation signals, such as bearish candlestick formations or increased selling volume, as the price approaches the resistance zone. It’s also worth considering potential invalidation levels. Should the price manage to break and sustain above the 1.04300 resistance, the bearish scenario would need to be reassessed. Such a move could indicate a shift in market dynamics, opening the door for a potential bullish reversal. However, until that happens, the dominant trend remains bearish. In conclusion, EURUSD continues to exhibit strong bearish momentum, with the current pullback offering an opportunity to position for the continuation of the downtrend. As the pair approaches the 1.04300 resistance zone, the technical and fundamental landscape suggests that the bearish trend is likely to resume. My primary target remains the support zone at 1.03260, which aligns with prior swing lows and key technical levels. Traders should remain cautious and monitor key levels closely, ensuring that their risk management strategies are firmly in place.
Short
by lonelyPlayer0
EU/USD Technical Analysis ReportEUR/USD Technical Analysis Report December 20, 2024, 06:00 GMT Current Price: 1.03628 Recent Market Events & Price Action Recent FOMC rate cut of 25 basis points (December 18, 2024) accelerated bearish momentum Previous range break (1.05927 - 1.04541) signals strong bearish continuation Yesterday's retracement to 1.04235 identified as liquidity grab before continuation Technical Structure Key Trend Points Downtrend initiated: September 30, 2024 Trend confirmation: Bearish daily engulfing candle (November 5, 2024) Range formation: November 13 - November 27, 2024 Range break: December 18, 2024 (post-FOMC) Moving Average Analysis Price consistently trading below Daily 20 EMA Broken below Daily 200 EMA with sustained movement below Historical Key Level Analysis Major historical level approaching: Previous support: May 12, 2022 Previous resistance: August 9, 2022 Last mitigation: November 15, 2022 Potential Scenarios Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability) If current historical level breaks, expect movement towards: 1.00951 0.99599 0.97402 Bullish Alternative If level holds as support: Potential retracement back to range high (1.05973) Would indicate renewed EUR strength against USD Key Levels to Watch Recent High: 1.04235 (December 19 retracement) Previous Range: 1.05927 - 1.04541 Major Support Levels: 1.00951, 0.99599, 0.97402 Risk Management Considerations Monitor price action around historical support level Watch for potential false breaks Consider reduced position sizes due to recent high-impact news event Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own analysis and manage risk appropriately.
Short
by FXCapitalClub