EURUSD - M15 Sell LimitEURUSD - Bearish trend on M15, confirmation on M30 and H1. Sell limit on Bearish Order Block on M15.
EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
24th April - Trade #1Price broke Asia high and displacement was present so I was looking for buys.
Waited on retracement then entered
+2.8% LDN
EURUSD ShortSeems like the internal pullback is done, 15M bearish Choch signalling possible beginning of bearish trend continuation
EUR/USD Weekly Bias technical analysis appears well-reasoned. EUR/USD Weekly Bias Analysis
Technical analysis appears well-reasoned:
1. Short-term bearish bias: You anticipate a decline towards the previous week's low, indicating a potential short-term downtrend.
2. Bullish reversal zone: You've identified a critical area, marked by the weekly Fibonacci Volume Zone (FVG), where a potential bullish reversal could occur.
3. Upside target: Your analysis suggests a move towards the weekly high, offering a clear profit target.
# Key Confirmation Factors:
To validate your bias and adjust your strategy, consider the following:
- Candlestick patterns: Monitor for bullish reversal patterns, such as hammer or engulfing candles, to confirm a potential trend change.
- Momentum indicators: Keep an eye on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and other momentum indicators to gauge the strength of the potential reversal.
- Volume analysis: Analyze trading volumes to ensure they support your bias, with increasing volumes on up days and decreasing volumes on down days.
By carefully monitoring these factors, you'll be well-positioned to adjust your strategy and capitalize on potential trading opportunities in the EUR/USD market.
EU UpdateBased on today's fundamental news from Forex Factory, the euro appears to be showing modestly positive fundamentals. In other words, the latest economic releases and sentiment for the EUR are supporting a slight bullish bias. When you combine this with the technical picture for EUR/USD (which is pulling back but still sitting above key moving averages), it suggests that—after a short period of consolidation—the pair is likely to resume an upward move.
In summary, the fundamental data imply that EUR/USD should have modest upside potential in the coming days, although traders should watch for resistance levels at 1.09251 that might slow the move.
Possible selling opportunityI see price taking out my support zone at 1.08085 and pushing lower to correct the recent bullish daily move
EURUSD 24/3/25Kicking things off as always with EUR/USD—we're looking for another bullish shift along this path. We called it last week, anticipating a bullish shift, and while we've seen a significant pullback since, there were short-term moves that could be capitalized on at the points we highlighted. However, we didn’t see the significant shift we were expecting. So, we're still looking to follow through with that higher time frame movement.
Remember, this relies on USD bearishness and overall weakness of the dollar, which could occur if the effects of new tariffs and policies come into play as expected. The same principle always applies—if we see an entry, we take it, we follow our bias, and we let Orion lead the way. Stick to your risk management and always follow your rules.
EUR/USD: Sideways Movement Persists Below Key LevelThe EUR/USD market remains in a consolidation phase just below the November 2024 low. Recently, the price experienced false breakouts beneath both a key support level and last week's low, followed by a strong bullish rebound. This pattern suggests a likelihood of continued sideways movement in the near term.
At present, the price is testing the previous day’s high. If upcoming news does not negatively affect sentiment, the market may attempt a move higher, especially after multiple failed breakdowns of support. However, until a decisive break occurs beyond last week’s range, price action is expected to remain range-bound. The next target lies at the resistance zone around 1.08820
Lingrid | EURUSD trading OPPORTUNITY in Sideways TrendFX:EURUSD market continues to consolidate below the November 2024 low. Recently, the price made a fake breakout of both the recent support level and last week's low. Following a strong bullish move, the price action is likely to move sideways for an extended period. Currently, the price is testing the previous day's high, and if upcoming news doesn't negatively impact the market, we may see a push to higher levels after multiple fake breakouts of the support levels. I expect the market to continue moving sideways until it breaks above or below last week's range. My goal is resistance zone around 1.08820
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
EUR/USD Falling Wedge Breakout – Professional Chart AnalysisOverview of the Chart
The EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a bullish trading setup, featuring a well-defined falling wedge pattern, a trendline breakout, and a retest phase, signaling a potential upward move. The chart is marked with key technical elements such as support and resistance zones, breakout confirmation, and risk management parameters.
This analysis will break down each component of the chart, explaining the logic behind the setup and how traders can approach this opportunity.
1. Identified Chart Patterns
Falling Wedge Formation (Bullish Reversal Signal)
The price action formed a falling wedge, characterized by lower highs and lower lows, creating a narrowing price channel.
This pattern is typically a bullish reversal structure, as it indicates weakening selling pressure before an expected breakout.
The wedge’s downward movement ended with a strong breakout to the upside, signaling buyers regaining control.
2. Key Technical Levels
Support & Resistance Zones
Support Level (Buyers’ Stronghold)
The horizontal support level is a price area where buyers have previously stepped in, preventing further declines.
This level has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its strength as a key demand zone.
Resistance Zone (Profit Target Area)
The highlighted resistance zone represents a supply area where the price has struggled to move past in previous sessions.
The target price level aligns with this resistance, making it a realistic profit target for the long position.
3. Trendline Breakout Confirmation
Before forming the wedge, the chart shows an uptrend with a breakout above a trendline.
This trendline breakout was an early signal of bullish strength, aligning with the later wedge breakout.
After the breakout, the price came back for a retest, which is a key confirmation before further upward movement.
4. Retesting Phase Before the Upward Move
After breaking out of the wedge, the price returned to the breakout level to confirm support.
Retesting is a crucial validation step—if the price holds above this level, it increases the probability of a continued bullish move.
This retesting action provides a potential entry point for traders looking to go long.
5. Trade Setup & Risk Management Strategy
Trade Entry:
A buy entry is considered after the retest is confirmed (price holding above the breakout level).
Stop Loss Placement (Risk Control):
The stop loss is placed below the previous low at 1.07790, ensuring protection against fake breakouts or unexpected reversals.
Take Profit Target (Projected Price Move):
The target price is set at 1.09698, which aligns with previous resistance levels and the measured move from the wedge breakout.
This provides a strong risk-to-reward ratio, making the setup favorable for bullish traders.
6. Risk-Reward Ratio & Trade Viability
Risk: The distance between the entry point and the stop loss is relatively small, making it a low-risk trade.
Reward: The potential upside move is significantly higher than the risk, creating a high reward-to-risk ratio trade.
This type of technical confluence increases the probability of a successful trade, making it an attractive opportunity.
7. Conclusion & Trading Strategy
📌 Key Takeaways:
✅ The falling wedge breakout signals a bullish reversal.
✅ The trendline breakout and retest add further confirmation to the trade setup.
✅ The support and resistance zones provide a clear risk management strategy.
✅ The risk-reward ratio makes this an attractive long trade setup.
💡 Trading Plan:
🔹 Enter Long after retest confirmation above the breakout level.
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.07790 (below previous low).
🔹 Take Profit: 1.09698 (previous resistance zone).
Final Thoughts
This EUR/USD setup is a textbook example of a bullish reversal following a falling wedge breakout. Traders who patiently wait for a confirmed retest can capitalize on this high-probability trade setup, aiming for a strong bullish continuation.
🔹 Tags: #EURUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #PriceAction #TradingSetup #SupportResistance
Yields Weigh on EUR/USD: Euro at 1.0820EUR/USD is trading around 1.0820 on Monday, rebounding slightly from last week’s low of 1.0795. The euro has pulled back from its recent high of 1.0955 with uncertainty over Germany’s fiscal policy and rising global trade tensions.
Caution persists before the April 2 announcement of new U.S. tariffs, which could weigh on the eurozone. Despite the modest recovery, the euro remains under pressure from stronger U.S. Treasury yields and demand for the dollar.
Key resistance is at 1.0860, followed by 1.0950 and 1.1000. Support stands at 1.0800, with further levels at 1.0730 and 1.0670.
EURUSD Trade ExecutionEURUSD
Trade Execution
Logic was following the previous session price had taken clean equal lows where I had just exited from a short.
Asia into London Session Macro
Price was in a discount taken previous sessions equal lows. Utilizing the alerts feature to signal me to start hunting for a set up.
0:15. When Price did not want go lower to my equal lows targets I started hunting for a long.
Cross referencing DXY was in a premium and suspected it would gravitate to its noted equal lows to a discount.
0:30 candle creates the first presented FVG.
Price consolidates testing the FVG
1:03 macro testes the FVG
1:27 changed the state of delivery
1:54 entry
I suspected that Price would come to 1.08433 of a FVG I held to 1.08475 and exited.
This set up met my criteria
*session liquidity taken
*bias determined
*model 2022 candle signature formed
*first presented FVG
*macro time
*logic confidence framed around DXY and GBP
I can the set more clearly on the smaller timeframes. I would have continued with the trade however with news coming I felt content with clean entries and exits. Good job!
EUR/USD Bearish Setup with Target at 1.07800 - March 24, 2025Key Features:
- **Current Price:** **1.08394**
- **Projected Movement:** A downward trend with price fluctuations, ultimately aiming for the **target at 1.07800**.
- **Entry Zone:** Price is currently near **1.08400**, with a projection that it will move lower.
- **Stop-Loss (SL):** **1.08670** (marked in red), indicating the risk level if the trade goes against expectations.
- **Target:** **1.07800** (marked in gray), showing the expected profit level.
- **Risk-Reward Box:** The **green shaded area** represents the potential profit zone, while the **orange zone** at the top represents the stop-loss area.
This chart suggests a **bearish outlook**, indicating that traders expect the price to decline towards **1.07800** after a possible pullback.
EURUSD Trade Execution Asia MacroEURUSD
Trade Execution Asia Macro
Logic was following the previous session price had taken sell side. When Price started rallying in Asia for equal highs, I started hunting for a set up.
Asia Session Macro
Asia in a premium take previous sessions clean equal highs. Utilizing the alerts feature to signal me to start hunting for a set up.
20:15. When Price did not want go higher into the FVG and began to roll over I suspected this was a ICT 2022 model forming.
Cross referencing DXY was in a premium and suspected it would gravitate to its noted equal highs in a discount.
20:30 candle creates the first presented FVG.
Price consolidates testing the FVG
21:00 macro testes the FVG and rolls over
21:02 entry
21:09 change in the state of delivery
Minutes of heat as the full change of delivery had not happened before I entered
I suspected that Price would come to 1.08176 and yet I thought it would come lower I had 2 additional targets lower.
My OG target was hit and saw the quick change I exited.
This set up met my criteria
*session liquidity taken
*bias determined
*model 2022 candle signature formed
*first presented FVG
*macro time
*logic confidence framed around DXY and GBP
I can the set more clearly on the smaller timeframes. Nice quick scalp!
EURUSDMy Trade Idea
My trade idea was simple:
If EUR/USD breaks above a key level, I will look for a retest and enter a long position after confirming the entry with candlestick confirmation.
If it breaks below, I will wait for a retest, confirm with a candlestick pattern, and enter a short position.
This is a very short-term trade, so I’ll skip if the setup doesn’t align. Follow for faster updates! 🚀
Gann Trading Strategy: Understanding Gann Price CyclesGann Trading Strategy: Understanding Gann Price Cycles.
Gann Trading Strategy with a deep dive into Gann Price Cycles and candle range averaging to forecast upcoming highs and lows. Learn how to apply Gann's time and price principles, predict market turning points, and enhance your trading accuracy.
Gann Price Cycles: Understanding Market Movements with Precision
- Gann Price Cycles are a fundamental concept in W.D. Gann's trading methodology, used to predict market highs and lows based on historical price movements and time cycles. Gann believed that markets move in predictable cycles, influenced by both price and time relationships. By studying these cycles, traders can anticipate future turning points with greater accuracy.
Key Principles of Gann Price Cycles:
1. Repeating Market Patterns – Price movements follow specific cyclical patterns that repeat over time. Identifying these patterns helps traders forecast future price swings.
2. Time and Price Symmetry – Gann emphasized that time and price must be in balance. When a market completes a significant time cycle, it often results in a reversal or acceleration of trend.
3. Natural Market Rhythms – Just like planetary cycles, financial markets move through predictable 360-degree price cycles, based on Gann’s Square of Nine and Gann Angles.
4. Averaging Price Ranges – By analyzing historical price ranges and averaging them, traders can estimate the next high or low in the market.
EURUSD: PCE data aheadThe Fed left rates unchanged on their FOMC meeting during the previous week, which was the major weekly event, closely watched by market participants. As for economic projections, Fed officials are now seen to have corrected GDP growth to 1.7% this year, while the inflation pressures are corrected toward the upside. Despite expectations of elevated inflation, Fed officials still see two rate cuts this year, totaling 0,5%. As for other macro news posted during the previous week, the US Retail Sales increased by 0,2% in February, which was a bit below 0,6% market consensus. Business inventories were higher by 0,3% in January on a monthly basis, in line with market expectations. The US Building Permits preliminary for February dropped by -1,2% for the month, and were not in line with expected -0,2%. At the same time, the Existing Home Sales were increased by 4,2% in February on a monthly basis, highly above market estimate. The Industrial Production in February picked up with 0,7% for the month, above forecasted 0,2%. At the same time the IP on a yearly basis reached 1,4%, below expected 2,3%.
The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in the Euro Zone reached the level of 39,8 in March in line with market expectations. The same indicator for Germany was standing at 51,6 and was above forecasted 48,1. Final inflation rate in the Euro Zone in February was standing at 0,4% for the month and 2,3% on a yearly basis, without a significant change from the previous estimate. The core inflation remained elevated at 2,6% y/y. The Producers Price Index in Germany in February dropped by -0,2% for the month, bringing this indicator to the level of 0,7% on a yearly basis.
The eurusd currency pair was traded in a relatively shorter range during the previous week. The highest weekly level was 1,095, however, the 1,10 resistance line has not been tested on this occasion. The second half of the trading week was more oriented toward the downside, where the support line at 1,08 has been shortly tested. Two weeks ago the RSI reached the clear overbought market side, from where it started a modest reversal. The lowest level of the indicator was 58, reached on Friday. The MA50 continues with this stronger convergence toward the MA200, but still with a distance between two lines. With this trend, a potential cross might come within a few weeks.
The currency pair will start the week ahead by testing the 1,08 support line. In case that this level is clearly breached, the next stop might be around the 1,07. This level is not a significant one for a eurusd pair, in which sense, this could be only a short stop. On the opposite side, there is some probability for a 1,10 resistance level, considering that it has not been clearly tested during the previous week. Certainly, one day to watch closely in a week ahead is Friday, March 28th, when PCE data is scheduled for a release. Some higher volatility is expected during the release of the PCE data.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash for March in Germany, Ifo Business Climate for Germany in March, GfK Consumer Confidence in Germany in April, Unemployment rate in Germany in March,
USD: S&P Global composite PMI Flash for March, CB Consumer Confidence in March, the New Home Sales in February, Durable Goods Orders in February, GDP Growth Rate final for Q4, PCE Price Index for February is scheduled for a release on Friday, March 28th., as well as Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for March.
EURUSD retracement
On Friday, EURUSD tested 1,0800 and bounced back.
This week, watch for the correction to lose momentum and a potential new bullish movement.
The target is to break the previous high and aim for 1,1012.
Key economic news for the USD is expected on Thursday.
EUR/USD-Long-15MinIn the analysis, we identified a Swing High and Swing Low, and subsequently located the 4-hour CRT model. After marking the model, we analyzed the associated order block in the context of a buy setup, leveraging the PD Array to confirm the demand level. With the PO3 concept applied, we identified an additional entry point for the buy setup.
To optimize the trade, the order block was marked, and the Take Profit (TP) level was set at the CRT high, while the Stop Loss (SL) was positioned at the low of the order block. This strategy aligns with both the demand zone and the overall market structure, ensuring a well-defined risk-to-reward ratio.
Is it time to start selling the EUR? YES!! SELL EURUSDAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
www.tradingview.com
EURUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVEVANTAGE:EURUSD
EUR/USD Intraday Analysis – Key Zones to Watch
The market structure for EUR/USD on the 15-minute chart presents a well-defined range with key trading zones.
🔸 Sell Zone – The price is currently trading near this zone, indicating potential short opportunities if bearish pressure increases.
🔸 Buy Zone – A key support level where buying interest may emerge, leading to possible bullish movements.
🔸 Target & Stop Levels:
Buy TP and Sell SL: Upper resistance level where buying targets align and sell stop-losses are triggered.
Sell TP and Buy SL: Lower support level acting as a sell target and buy stop-loss zone.
Traders should monitor price action around these zones for confirmations before entering trades.
📅 Date: March 24, 2025
📊 Chart: 15-Minute (EUR/USD)
💹 Broker: VANTAGE
#EURUSD #ForexTrading #IntradayAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingStrategy
EURUSD InsightWelcome, Subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Donald Trump referred to April 2, the date he has long declared as the announcement day for reciprocal tariffs via Truth Social, as "America’s Liberation Day," creating market uncertainty. However, he later eased concerns by stating in a White House press briefing that there would be some flexibility regarding reciprocal tariffs.
- France has argued that if the U.S. imposes unfair tariff measures, it should respond with the "Anti-Coercion Instrument (ACI)."
- Israel’s Defense Minister warned that if the Palestinian militant group Hamas continues to refuse hostage releases, Israel may permanently occupy parts of the Gaza Strip.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ March 26: U.K. February Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ March 28: U.K. Q4 GDP, U.S. February Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index
EURUSD Chart Analysis
EURUSD recently faced resistance at the 1.09500 level and is now testing support around 1.08000. If this support holds, the pair is expected to rise smoothly toward 1.11000. However, if it breaks below this support zone, a further decline toward 1.06000 is possible. It is crucial to monitor the price action at these key levels.
