EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
EURUSD INTRADAY bulish breakout supported at 1.1100EUR/USD remains in a long-term bullish trend, but price action has been consolidating sideways since reaching the recent swing high on April 21, 2025.
The key support level to watch is 1.1100. This is the current swing low and a critical level for the bullish structure to hold. If the pair pulls back and finds support here, a rebound could lead to upside targets at 1.1275, then 1.1356, and eventually 1.1460 over the longer term.
However, if the price breaks below 1.1100 and closes below that level on the daily chart, the bullish outlook would be invalidated. In that case, further downside could follow, with 1.1030 as the next support, and then 1.0990.
In conclusion, EUR/USD remains bullish above 1.1100, but a confirmed break below that level would shift the outlook to bearish in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURUSD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will rise to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
The Day AheadTuesday May 20
Data: US May Philadelphia Fed non-manufacturing activity, China 1-yr and 5-yr loan prime rates, Germany April PPI, Italy March current account balance, ECB March current account, Eurozone March construction output, May consumer confidence, Canada April CPI, Denmark Q1 GDP
Central banks: Fed's Bostic, Barkin, Collins and Musalem speak, ECB's Wunsch, Cipollone and Knot speak, BoE's Pill speaks, RBA decision
Earnings: Home Depot, Palo Alto Networks, Vodafone
Other: G7 finance ministers and central bankers meeting in Canada (through May 22), EU's foreign and defence ministers meeting in Brussels
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EUR/USD Price Action Update – May 20, 2025📊 EUR/USD Price Action Update – May 20, 2025
🔹 Current Price: 1.12570
🔹 Timeframe: 1H
📌 Key Demand Zone:
🟢 1.11200–1.11650 – Major bullish rejection zone; structure formed after strong accumulation and upside expansion.
📈 Bullish Outlook – Eyes on 1.14259:
🔸 If price cleanly breaks and retests 1.12926, we could see a sharp continuation toward 1.14259
🔸 Market showing higher highs and strong impulse legs from demand
📉 Invalidation Risk:
🔸 A break back below 1.12200 may invalidate bullish bias and revisit deeper demand
🔍 FXFOREVER Insight:
✅ 1H bullish structure remains intact
✅ Watch for 15M BOS above 1.12900 for low-risk entry
✅ Ideal for swing or intraday buys with proper RR
#EURUSD #ForexUpdate #FXFOREVER #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #DemandZone #BreakoutSetup #PriceActionForex #EuroDollar
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D20 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D20 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅4H 50 EMA
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EUR/USD – Daily Time Frame AnalysisEUR/USD – Daily Time Frame Analysis
The Euro is gaining strength against the US Dollar, driven by recent positive economic data from the Eurozone and increasing speculation that the European Central Bank may delay further rate cuts. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is under slight pressure due to softer U.S. inflation expectations and a more cautious tone from the Federal Reserve, contributing to short-term bullish momentum in EUR/USD.
On the technical side, EUR/USD on the daily time frame has broken a major resistance level at 1.2200. We observed a previously formed double top and a descending trendline with three touches, confirming the significance of this key level. Following the breakout, accumulation has begun and buyers have stepped in with long positions. Price briefly retraced, triggering stop-losses below the liquidity zone — a typical liquidity grab.
Currently, we are waiting for price to break above a minor key resistance. Our area of interest is at 1.13300. Risk is managed below the liquidity zone at 1.10070, and our target profit is set at the next minor key resistance around 1.23530.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. As always, wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see, not what you feel.
EURUSD| Locked in on the SetupPatience is power. EU already did the heavy lifting.
Structure's set, liquidity handled, handled, and now I'm just waiting on price to that order block in discount on the LTF.
Once that entry lines up?
Boom- TP, I'm coming for you.
Simple logic. real precision.
I don't chase price - I let it walk right into my trap.
Bless Trading!
EURUSD InsightWelcome to all our subscribers.
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Truth Social that he had a two-hour phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin, during which both agreed that Russia and Ukraine should immediately begin negotiations for a ceasefire and, more importantly, an end to the war. President Putin echoed the same message to reporters and described the call as overall very productive.
- Following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. sovereign credit rating from Aaa to Aa1 on the 16th, the “Sell USA” sentiment continues in the market.
- U.S. long-term Treasury yields have returned to levels seen before the Moody’s downgrade, indicating that the market has not reacted strongly to the news.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ May 20: Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision
+ May 21: U.K. April Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ May 22: U.S. May Manufacturing PMI, U.S. May Services PMI
+ May 23: Germany Q1 GDP
EURUSD Chart Analysis
As expected, the pair found support around the 1.11000 level and is now forming a price pattern within the upper trend channel. It is expected to break through this area without much resistance, with a potential to reach a high around the 1.14000 level in this rally. However, if this zone is broken, there is also the possibility of further upside toward the previous high near the 1.16000 level. We’ll keep a close eye on price movements around this resistance zone.
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 20, 2025 EURUSDEURUSD:
EUR/USD tested high levels on Monday, briefly rising to 1.1300, but then retreated slightly, although the day ended higher overall. Nevertheless, the pair remains in a short-term consolidation zone.
Last Friday, rating agency Moody's downgraded the United States (US), stripping it of its latest AAA rating on Treasuries, citing the growing US debt and long-standing government budget deficits that various presidential administrations have either neglected or failed to manage effectively. While initial investor reaction was shaky, sentiment quickly stabilised and the impact on US creditworthiness was largely written off. Still, Treasury markets are struggling: On Monday, 30-year bond yields topped 5 per cent and 10-year yields topped 4.5 per cent.
Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have been working hard this week to manage market expectations for a possible rate cut. Fed policymakers have continually reminded investors that ongoing U.S. tariff and trade policies complicate the outlook for the national economy, which in turn affects rate adjustments.
Thursday will see the release of German and pan-European purchasing managers' index (PMI) reports from HCOB, providing a double dose of business expectations surveys on both sides of the Pacific. Both the German and pan-European PMIs are expected to rise moderately. The key economic data release from the US will be the S&P Global PMI data for May, where average market expectations suggest a slight decline in both the manufacturing and service components of the PMI report due to the impact of tariffs on business spending.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.1250, SL 1.1230, TP 1.1350
EURUSD May 19 Delivery and May 20 IdeaEURUSD
May 20
Parent range equilibrium
Previous range Premium
Parent Bias bearish
May 19 Delivery
*Sundays delivery price expanded from a discount to rebalanced Fridays inefficient delivered price.
*Asia opened on the 50 level of the current price leg.
*London gravitated to seek many equal highs and inefficient delivered price to stopped just shy of May 9 high.
*NY in a premium retraced to 50% of the price leg lowered into a discount and closed weaving back forth around the equilibrium.
Fantastic delivery. I have never read the candles so clear as I did yesterday. Tape reading, studying ghosting life is paying off! So grateful to be learning the coolest skill!
Did we create the high of the week?
Was that a run on buy stops because this pair is shifting to bear prices?
May 20 Idea
Logic says with price previous session taking buy side liquidity price will seek discount prices today gravitating to efficient delivered price and sell side liquidity.
NOTE price could consolidate today with a huge range previous day, no news can also sometimes present choppy days.
All elements of my model MUST be in play before I do anything today.
The day after a successful trade to be extra alert. Protect your gain.
Note price did not retrace to .618 just below the 50%.
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rejecting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1273
1st Support: 1.1084
1st Resistance: 1.1371
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/USD) breakout trand line analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis 1-hour EUR/USD (Euro vs US Dollar) chart using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and technical confluence. Here's the idea behind the analysis:
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1. Bearish Rejection Setup
Strong resistance zone around 1.12176–1.12500 has been tested multiple times and held.
Bearish rejection is shown with a black circle indicating a breakdown from previous support turned resistance (support flip).
Price failed to stay above the key structure, indicating bearish intent.
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2. Break of Structure
The support level near 1.11600 has been broken, marked by the black circle.
This is a clear change in structure, implying a likely shift from bullish to bearish.
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3. Price Action Forecast
The chart expects a minor pullback (retest) into the broken support zone (now resistance).
Followed by a continuation move to the downside, targeting the support level at 1.10668.
Projection shows a ~100 pip drop from current levels.
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4. EMA & RSI
EMA 200 is trending downward and acting as dynamic resistance.
RSI (14) is under 50 and sloping down, suggesting bearish momentum is building.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion
This is a bearish continuation setup based on structure break, failed bullish momentum, and confirmation via indicators. The analyst expects EUR/USD to reject the 1.116 area again and drop toward the 1.10668 target.
Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
EUR_USD WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅EUR_USD has retested a
Resistance level of 1.1290
And we are seeing a bearish reaction
With the price going down so we are
Bearish biased now and we will be
Expecting the pair to go further down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Long IdeaHi Traders!
I'm preparing to take a long on this pair. Definitely taking a lot of patience with it consolidating in between 1.14500 and 1.12800, but the weekly looks like it's setting up. I was thinking it could fill in a little more of the imbalance from the push up past 1.2800, but the candles aren't closing that way. In addition, DXY looks like it's about to drop more.
I have a few alerts set to see where I can get the best entry. If everything goes to plan I will be looking to swing this pair up to a weekly bearish CHOCH at 1.1700. Lets see! Good luck everyone!🤞