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EUR/USD_SPT - EUR/USD

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EUR/USD 4H | Bearish Retest Before Drop? The EUR/USD pair has broken below an ascending channel, signaling a potential bearish trend. After the breakdown, price is now retesting the previous support as new resistance, creating a sell opportunity. 🔎 Key Observations: ✅ Resistance Zone: The 1.08392 - 1.08411 level is acting as a strong resistance after the breakdown. ✅ Sell Confirmation: A rejection from this resistance level will confirm the bearish move, with 1.06773 as the next target. ✅ Bearish Expectation: If price fails to reclaim the broken trendline, further downside momentum is expected. 📌 Trading Plan: 🔻 Look for bearish price action signals (e.g., rejections, bearish engulfing candles) at the retest area. 🔻 A confirmed sell setup can target 1.06773 as the next support zone. 🚨 Risk Management Tip: Use stop-loss above 1.08500 to protect against invalidation. 💬 What are your thoughts on this setup? Are you looking for shorts or waiting for more confirmation?
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
The trend of the EURUSD fluctuates and declines downwardOn Monday, as expected, the EUR/USD pair generally trended downwards. The price dropped to a low of 1.0781 and climbed to a high of 1.0857 on that day, closing at 1.0800. Looking back at Monday's market performance, the price made a short - term upward correction right after the morning opening. Then, as anticipated, it reached the resistance levels on the four - hour chart and within the daily resistance range before halting its ascent. The price came under renewed pressure and declined during the pre - US session and the US trading session, ultimately closing with a large bearish candlestick on the daily chart. Currently, on the daily chart, special attention should be paid to the resistance area around 1.0860. As long as the price stays below this level, a downward - pressured trend can be expected for the swing trading. Meanwhile, from the perspective of the four - hour chart in the short term, the area around 1.0770 needs to be closely watched. Once it is broken below, the focus should shift to the area around 1.0720. Trading strategy: Sell@1.0820-1.0830 TP:1.0770-1.0720 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
Short
by LeoBlackwood
EURUSD - Will Bears Keep Pushing Lower?Overview of Market Structure The EUR/USD pair has been experiencing strong bullish momentum over the past few weeks, leading to the creation of an extended bullish leg. However, as with most impulsive moves, the market has left behind imbalances—price inefficiencies where the market moved too quickly without sufficient pullbacks to ensure order fulfillment. Recently, we have observed a break in bullish structure, signaling a potential shift in momentum. This break suggests that the market may now be in a phase where it seeks to rebalance inefficiencies before deciding its next directional move. My expectation is that price will first retrace to fill the imbalance zone above, which acts as a supply area, before reversing and targeting the imbalance zones left behind in the bullish rally. Key Resistance and Market Rejections A crucial area in this setup is the strong resistance zone (marked in red), which has been rejected twice. Each time price attempted to break through, sellers stepped in, pushing price lower. This level serves as a significant supply zone where institutions may have unfilled sell orders. With this in mind, the most logical movement for price would be to return to this area, collect liquidity, and then initiate a bearish move. Imbalance Zones and Market Efficiency Imbalance zones are areas on the chart where price has moved too quickly, leaving behind inefficiencies. These areas often get revisited later as price seeks to rebalance liquidity. There are two key imbalance zones in this setup: The imbalance zone above the current price (first target) – This is the area where price is expected to retrace before reversing. The imbalance zone below the current price (final target) – Created during the rapid bullish rally, this area remains untested and is likely to be filled once bearish momentum takes over. These zones are high-probability areas where price is expected to react due to unfulfilled institutional orders. Break of Bullish Structure & Shift in Momentum A key element of this trade idea is the break in bullish structure. This break was confirmed when a bearish candle closed below the previous higher low, invalidating the uptrend. This structural shift suggests that bulls may be losing control, and a deeper retracement is likely before any potential continuation of the overall trend. The break also increases the probability of the lower imbalance zone getting filled before the market makes its next major move. Trade Execution Plan Step 1: Identify the Optimal Short Entry Wait for price to fill the imbalance zone above. Once confirmation is seen, a short position can be entered. Step 2: Bearish Move to Lower Imbalance Zone After rejection from the supply zone, expect price to break lower. The target for this move will be the imbalance left behind in the bullish rally. Trailing stop-loss can be used to maximize profits while reducing risk. Why This Trade Has High Probability Market Favors Liquidity Grabs – The imbalance zone above is a likely liquidity grab area before the bearish move. Break in Market Structure – The recent bearish structure break increases the probability of downside continuation. Historical Resistance Rejection – The resistance zone above has already rejected price twice, indicating strong selling pressure. Imbalance Fill Below – Price tends to fill inefficiencies left behind in fast-moving markets, making the lower imbalance zone a logical target. Risk Management Considerations Stop-loss should be placed slightly above the imbalance zone above to protect against unexpected breakouts. Take-profit should be set at the lower imbalance zone, allowing for a strong risk-to-reward ratio. If price breaks past the resistance zone above without rejection, it would invalidate this bearish setup, signaling a reevaluation of market conditions. Conclusion This trade idea is based on a smart money concept (SMC) approach, focusing on liquidity grabs, imbalance fills, and structural shifts. If the market follows the expected path, we could see price first push up to fill the imbalance above, reject from that level, and then begin a bearish move to fill the imbalance left in the previous bullish rally. By patiently waiting for price to reach key areas and confirming rejections, this trade setup provides a high-probability opportunity with a strong risk-to-reward ratio. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Short
by TehThomas
21
potential liquidity grab and sell-offEUR/USD Key Setup – Smart Money in Action! 🚀 The market is setting up for a potential liquidity grab and sell-off! 📉 Here’s the breakdown: 🔹 Price is approaching a key supply zone (highlighted in yellow & purple). A strong reaction here could indicate a short opportunity. 🔹 Invalidation level is clearly marked—if price breaks above, the setup is invalid. 🔹 Anticipated move: A rejection from the zone could lead to a drop towards the 1.07200-1.07600 demand area. 🔹 Confluence factors: Structure, liquidity, and institutional order flow align with this move. 📊 Trade Idea: ✅ Entry: Wait for a confirmation in the highlighted area ✅ Stop Loss: Above the invalidation level ✅ Take Profit: Lower demand zone 💡 Will this setup play out? Let’s see how the market reacts! Comment below with your thoughts! 🔥📉 #ForexTrading #EURUSD #SmartMoney #PriceAction #Liquidity #ForexSetup
Short
by Greenfireforex
EURUSD March 25 Asia to LondonEURUSD March 25 Asia to London Price had been consolidating in a discount from NY PM session until 23:00. Price takes minor buy side and starts to seek lower price. Price hits my sell side liquidity and at 4 macro market shifts as it should and seek the 50 level coming into NY open. Model set formed after sell side liquidity was taken at the 4 macro. Great delivery! What you learned to build from *block outside noise *Reenforce that when liquidity is taken the hunt can begin -mark out minor/major liquidity *after liquidity is taken then look for market shift in candle formation ((I like how you did that today)) *if you miss the run don't worry wait for the next liquidity to be taken *managing must be done from the 1 to 4 hour chart-stay clear of smaller timeframe until liquidity is taken *keep utilizing your alerts on liquidity markers *Be more active in Asia coming into London with analyzing a narrative from the higher timeframes * refrain from speculation trap instead TAPE READ-example allowing myself to draft my narrative around price making a low or high today Success is built on failures-the more times you fail means your getting closer to not making the same mistakes. Good job for trying. Keep going
by LeanLena
EUR/USD 1H Chart Analysis – Falling Wedge Breakout StrategyOverview of the Chart The EUR/USD 1-hour chart is forming a falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal setup. This indicates that although the price has been trending downward, the selling pressure is weakening, and a breakout to the upside is becoming more likely. Currently, the price has broken above the wedge, signaling potential trend reversal. However, traders should watch for a retest of the breakout level to confirm whether the price holds above the resistance-turned-support area before further upward movement. Key Components of the Chart 1️⃣ Falling Wedge Pattern (Bullish Reversal Signal) A falling wedge consists of two downward-sloping trendlines that converge, showing a narrowing price range. This pattern is formed when: The price makes lower highs and lower lows, indicating a downtrend. The slope of the lower trendline is less steep than the upper one, meaning sellers are losing momentum. Eventually, the price breaks out above the upper trendline, confirming a bullish reversal. 2️⃣ Support & Resistance Levels ✅ Support Zone (Key Demand Area) The price recently tested a strong support level (highlighted in beige), where buyers aggressively entered the market. This level has held multiple times, indicating that buyers are stepping in whenever the price reaches this zone. The green upward arrow suggests that this is a key accumulation area, where demand is stronger than supply. 🚫 Resistance Zone (Profit Target) The resistance zone near 1.09450 is the first major target for bulls. Historically, price action has struggled to break through this level, making it a logical place to take profits. 3️⃣ Breakout Confirmation & Retest The price has successfully broken out above the falling wedge, which is a strong buy signal. However, a retest of the breakout level (marked by the yellow circle) might occur before further bullish continuation. If the price retests and holds above the previous resistance (now support), this will confirm the breakout and provide an additional buying opportunity. Trade Execution Strategy 📌 Entry Point: Enter a long trade after the breakout confirmation. For conservative traders, waiting for a successful retest before entering can reduce risk. 📌 Stop-Loss Placement: Place a stop loss just below the recent swing low at 1.07541 to limit downside risk. This ensures that if the breakout fails, the trade is exited with minimal loss. 📌 Profit Target: The first take-profit target is at 1.09450, the key resistance level. If bullish momentum continues, traders can look for higher targets based on price action. 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, meaning that potential profits outweigh the risk taken on the trade. Technical Indicators Supporting the Trade 📈 Trend Reversal Signals The market has been in a downtrend, but the falling wedge signals a potential reversal. A higher low after the breakout would further confirm the uptrend. 📊 Volume Confirmation Ideally, a breakout should be accompanied by increased volume, showing strong buying pressure. If volume is low, a false breakout could occur, requiring careful trade management. 🔍 Retest & Price Action A retest of the breakout level should hold above the wedge to confirm bullish momentum. If the price fails to hold and falls back below, the breakout may have been a fakeout, meaning traders should exit or wait for re-entry. Risk Management & Trade Considerations Always use a stop-loss to manage risk. If the price fails to stay above the breakout level, consider exiting early. Watch for external market factors such as news events or economic data releases, which can impact EUR/USD volatility. Conclusion: Bullish Momentum is Building 🚀 This falling wedge breakout on the EUR/USD chart provides a high-probability long trade setup. As long as price holds above the breakout level, bullish continuation toward 1.09450 is expected. Traders should monitor price action carefully and adjust their positions accordingly to maximize gains while managing risks.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
PREPARING TO TAKE THIS MARKET SHORTEUR/USD 4H - Very similar to the cable we want to see price trade up and into the area of interest above to take this market lower longer term. The reason for this is because price has recently broken structure to the downside. As we know this tells us that price is no longer in favour of the Demand in the market and now in favour of the Supply, so by price trading into this area we can expect price to offload more Demand and introduce more Supply. Once price trades up and into this area it will then be a case of going down to the lower timeframes, waiting for price to distribute and break structure to the downside fractally, once we have that we have means to enter. A fractal break will confirm the end of the fractal bullish correction and the start of the next bearish impulse, it will also allow us to get involved in this market with a refined entry as we can enter on the lower timeframes with a tighter stop but a higher timeframe TP.
Short
by Lukegforex