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EUR/USD_SPT - EUR/USD

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EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 13, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current trading session, the Eurodollar has exhibited notable volatility, mirroring patterns observed in the preceding week. The currency has surpassed both the Mean Resistance level of 1.145 and the Key Resistance level of 1.151, subsequently retesting the significant completed Outer Currency Rally level at 1.157. Recent analyses indicate that the Euro is likely to revisit both the Key Resistance and the completed Outer Currency Rally and expand further to the next Outer Currency Rally of 1.177 in the forthcoming trading session(s). However, there exists a potential for a continuation of the downward trend from the current level, which could lead to the price action targeting the Mean Support level at 1.149 and possibly a further extension to the Mean Support level at 1.140.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Bulls in Control... But the Trap Is Set at 1.1600? 🇺🇸 EUR/USD – Technical & Macro Outlook EUR/USD has posted an impressive rally over the past few weeks, driven by a combination of technical and macro factors. It is currently trading around 1.1586, right at the edge of a major supply zone where previous sharp rejections and reversals have taken place. 🔍 Technical Analysis Price action remains within a well-defined ascending channel that began in mid-April, fueling the bullish move from the 1.07 lows. The current daily candle is showing signs of exhaustion within the 1.1550–1.1600 resistance zone, with upper wicks and declining volume. RSI is in a high-neutral zone but not yet overbought, leaving room for more upside — but also increasing the probability of a technical pullback. 🔁 Key Levels: Primary resistance: 1.1600 (multi-touch supply area) Support 1: 1.1460–1.1430 (previous resistance, now potential support) Support 2: 1.1300–1.1270 (demand zone + channel base) 📉 COT Report – June 3, 2025 Non-Commercials (speculators) remain net-long with over 200,000 contracts, though both long (-1,540) and short (-4,830) positions saw reductions. This suggests a bullish structure with early signs of profit-taking. Commercials are heavily net-short, with 575,000 short contracts versus 437,000 long — a structurally bearish stance from physical market participants. Open interest increased significantly by +20,813, pointing to renewed speculative participation and potential volatility. 🧭 Retail Sentiment Retail traders are heavily short (80%) with an average entry around 1.1253. This contrarian behavior is typically supportive of continued upside pressure — especially if price holds above key supports. 📅 Seasonality – June Historical averages over 10, 15, and 20 years show a slightly bullish tendency in June. The 2- and 5-year patterns suggest more neutral to mildly bearish behavior. This supports a consolidation or corrective pullback, without ruling out higher moves during the summer rally. 🎯 Trading Conclusion Current bias: Moderately bullish, with rising pullback risks near 1.1600 Possible setup: Tactical short between 1.1580–1.1610 if confirmed by bearish price action Target: 1.1430–1.1300 Bullish scenario remains valid unless we break below 1.1270 📌 Summary The bullish trend is strong but technically extended. Speculative positions remain net-long but are starting to unwind. The retail crowd is still betting against the move, which favors bulls. However, structural resistance calls for caution — a pullback could be imminent.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
6
EURUSD is continuing its uptrendEURUSD is still in a strong uptrend. There was a drop in the Asian and European sessions on Friday but that was not enough to reverse the pair. The end of the US session saw the price being pushed up by the bulls from the 1.155 price zone and is stuck in this resistance zone. The price continues to increase when breaking 1.155 will head towards the resistance of 1.161, the highest peak of last week. If there is a retest of 1.155, the price will head towards 1.166 next week to be able to use short-term SELL strategies The BUY strategy is still prioritized as the EU is still in an uptrend. The main BUY zone of the pair is still waiting for 1.150 and lower is the breakout zone of 1.145 Resistance: 1.161, 1.166 Support: 1.150, 1.145
Long
by VHT_Trader
Caught EU clean today. Waited patiently for that textbook 30M liquidity sweep, then stalked the LTF entry like a sniper. No rushing—just letting price do its thing until it stopped running. Then we pounced. 💥 Execution was sharp. Setup was smooth. This is how we trade over here—precision, patience, and purpose. 📉 Stay tuned for the breakdown and upcoming analysis. Would love to hear y’all thoughts on this one 👀👇 #SMC #Forex #InducementKing #EUTrade #SmartMoneyFlow Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
Long run……📈 EURUSD 4H – From Long to Short: Managing the Full Move This chart shows the power of the ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion Strategy not only in identifying strong short-term reversion trades but also in guiding traders through longer-term swing positions when holding a trade from exhaustion signal to exhaustion signal. ⸻ 🟢 Buy Signal – Early Reversal Opportunity Back on the left of the chart, the strategy printed an “UP” signal after a heavy selloff: • Price had broken well below the lower volatility band • RSI entered deeply oversold territory • A strong bounce followed, confirming the shift in momentum This setup offered a great opportunity for position traders to enter early on a larger move — and it played out exceptionally well. ⸻ 🔺 Trend Continuation Through Higher Lows After the buy signal, price continued to climb with higher highs and higher lows, allowing the position to be managed with: • A trailing stop-loss below swing lows • Partial profit-taking along the way • Or simply holding for a strategy-based exit ⸻ 🔻 Sell Signal – Opposite Reversion Appears Eventually, the price topped out after a steep rally, and the strategy printed a clear “DOWN” signal: • Price had pushed far above the upper deviation band • RSI signaled overbought exhaustion • A pullback quickly followed This offered two strategic options for long-term traders: 1. Close the long position fully, locking in gains from the original buy signal 2. Flip the bias and enter a short reversion trade, following the same principles in reverse ⸻ 📌 Trade Management Commentary: • Holding from “UP” to “DOWN” would have captured the full reversion-to-reversion swing — a large, clean multi-week trend • No need to predict tops or bottoms — just follow the signals and let the market guide you • For traders who prefer swing or position strategies, using the ELFIEDT signal pairs (buy → sell or sell → buy) can offer a rule-based exit system tied directly to volatility and momentum extremes ⸻ 🎯 Takeaway: The ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion Strategy is not just for scalps or intraday setups — it can also support longer-term trend plays, providing clear visual signals that help eliminate emotional exits and allow trades to mature naturally.
Short
by ElfieTrader
EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL! My dear friends, EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 1.1596 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 1.1533 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 13 June 2025- EURUSD reversed from the resistance level 1.1575 - Likely to fall to support level 1.1400 EURUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance level 1.1575, which stopped the previous sharp impulse wave (1) in the middle of April. The resistance zone near the resistance level 1.1575 was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band. EURUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.1400 (which stopped the previous correction ii).
Short
by FxProGlobal
EURUSD, GBPUSD - Outlook for next weekEURUSD - So we have 2x 4 hour POI's (Points Of Interest). Will be looking at potential reversals at both POI's however, within the first POI we have an area of potential liquidity that could look to be taken before we make out move back to the upside. Therefor, the second POI could look to be our more solid option for our buying options at some point next week. GBPUSD - This pair looks to be building its liquidity now for potential trades to the upside as today on the lower TF's it was setting quite a few traps for the potential longs and the traders that would have been shorting the breaks below structure to the left. If you have any questions for me please do let me know
by BenFxLDN
EURUSD – Follow-Up UpdateEURUSD traded above the 1.1573 level on Thursday, marking a second break to the upside following the earlier trend-changing pattern — a potential sign of bullish continuation. However, on the 1H/M15 chart, we've observed a minor ABC corrective decline (pullback). We’re now watching for a break below 1.1511, which could signal the start of a short-term bearish move. 🎯 Short-Term Target: The next key level is 1.1214, a weekly structural support zone and the low of the previous trend-changing pattern. 📌 Key Zones to Watch: Bearish confirmation: Break below 1.1511 Medium-term target: 1.1214 Stay alert to price action around these levels. Trade safe, and have a blessed weekend.
Short
by Charts247TradingAcademy
EUR/USD Eyes Weekly Resistance as DXY Falls on Geopolitical Fear *EUR/USD Analysis* Recent global events particularly the ongoing conflict in Iran and associated political instability have contributed to a sustained downtrend in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). The index is currently approaching major historical support levels, which further reinforces the weakening dollar narrative. Inversely, EUR/USD continues to exhibit bullish momentum. The pair is steadily climbing and is now approaching a key weekly resistance level. If this resistance is broken, we anticipate a strong push toward our final take-profit (TP) target. At present: Market Structure remains bullish We are watching for signs of continuation such as: Change of character (ChoCH) Break of structure (BoS) Demand zone confirmations We're currently scanning for a low-risk entry upon confirmation preferably via a clean pullback or bullish engulfing confirmation on the lower timeframes. The goal is to catch the next leg up with solid risk-reward. For now, it’s a waiting game. The trend is our friend, and we’ll let price action show us the way. Let’s see how this bad boy plays out.
Long
by Onyukwu
EUR/USD Eyes Weekly Resistance as DXY Falls on Geopolitical Fear EUR/USD Analysis Recent global events particularly the ongoing conflict in Iran and associated political instability have contributed to a sustained downtrend in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). The index is currently approaching major historical support levels, which further reinforces the weakening dollar narrative. Inversely, EUR/USD continues to exhibit bullish momentum. The pair is steadily climbing and is now approaching a key weekly resistance level. If this resistance is broken, we anticipate a strong push toward our final take-profit (TP) target. At present: Market Structure remains bullish We are watching for signs of continuation such as: Change of character (ChoCH) Break of structure (BoS) Demand zone confirmations We're currently scanning for a low-risk entry upon confirmation preferably via a clean pullback or bullish engulfing confirmation on the lower timeframes. The goal is to catch the next leg up with solid risk-reward. For now, it’s a waiting game. The trend is our friend, and we’ll let price action show us the way. Let’s see how this bad boy plays out.
Long
by Onyukwu
1
EURUSD topped? This Elliott wave count says YES!In our previous analysis, we were EURUSD bearish, and although we are trading about 2 cents higher now than when that analysis was published, we are still convinced that these high hills are shortable. The pair, in our opinion, has finished a complete 5-wave Elliott formation earlier this week, and we prefer the short, with 2 targets that seem particularly interesting: 1. The flat correction target around 1.1065 2. The bottom of wave 4 of a lesser degree, at 1.0733, which is equal to, exactly & down to the pip, to the 61.8% retracement for the whole 5-wave sequence! We will continue to be bearish for as long as 1.1704 is not clearly penetrated. Whether the price penetrates 1.1704 & we give up, or, the market moves into our profit zone, we will post updates every week or so. Stay tuned!
Short
by Paid4X
Rising Geopolitical Risk Could Pressure EURUSDEURUSD attempted to break the upper line of the trend channel yesterday, but with the start of the Israeli attack, a quick selloff followed. Rising geopolitical risks typically increase demand for U.S. debt and the dollar. As a result, EURUSD’s rally is facing short-term bearish pressure. The first key support level at 1.1495 is being tested. If it holds, there is a chance for another attempt at the upper line. However, if it breaks, 1.1440 and 1.1370 are the next support levels to watch in the short term.
by ftdsystem