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EUR/USD_SPT - EUR/USD

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EURUSD_SPT trade ideas

Still keeping a close eye on a potential USD pop...Although the EUR/USD and GBP/USD popped higher late last week, I'm still keeping a close eye to stay short on the EUR/USD considering the bearish rising broadening pattern coupled with a yearly pivot point inter-median level and negative divergence on the MACD. This is all based on the daily chart. Many factors are in play right now with what's going on between Israel and Iran along with FOMC this week and Tariffs still in play. On a purely technical analysis point of view, I potentially expect a bullish retracement in the USD while remaining long term bearish across the board. we'll see how this one develops. Good Luck & Trade Safe.
by InternalTraderNYC
EUR/USD Retesting Broken Resistance EUR/USD has recently broken above the ascending channel and is now retesting the previous breakout zone between 1.15205 and 1.15325. This area may act as new support. If the level holds, we may see continuation toward 1.15701, with potential extension to 1.16309 if bullish momentum continues. A confirmed break back below 1.1520 would invalidate the bullish idea and suggest a false breakout. 🔹 Support zone (retest): 1.15205 – 1.15325 🔹 Target 1: 1.15701 🔹 Target 2: 1.16309 🔹 Timeframe: 1H 🔹 Structure: Retest of breakout level
Long
by piporia
EUR/USD – Bullish Continuation Setup Ahead of Retest Zone As of today, I’m maintaining a bullish stance on EUR/USD going into mid-2025. Back on May 22, I marked the support zone around 1.10649, and since then price action has respected that zone beautifully, forming higher lows and gaining steady upside momentum. Looking at current structure across the 11H, 20H, and 16D timeframes, I do not see any strong bearish momentum. If anything, the most recent pullback seems like a natural setup for continuation rather than reversal. 🟡 Key zones to watch: Support: 1.13636 (20HR Support) Demand reaction zone: 1.14443 – 1.15407 Resistance/Next target zone: 1.15729 – 1.16311 (Previous swing high) Upper target potential: 1.16921 We’ve already cleared the minor consolidation and are now holding above the support band. If we get a proper retest of the 1.14948 zone and hold, I expect continuation toward 1.16311, and potentially a breakout above 1.16921 if momentum follows through. ✅ Momentum Outlook: Bullish 📍 Bias: Long 🕰️ Trend: Mid-Term Swing (Higher Time Frame Confluence) If no macro news disrupts momentum, the technicals point toward a healthy continuation. Let's see if the retest confirms the move. 📊
Long
by MoNi_MoN
2
Potential long setup EURUSDTook almost two months for us to take April high well done for those who caught the move. This analysis will probably take a lot less time to play out. Friday closed with an inside bar which means you would have to go onto lower timeframes to see which direction makes more sense to go. I have not been given any reason fundamentally or technically to be bearish on the pair just yet so I will be targeting the high. The daily FVG is a key area to look at and if it fails and we start making bearish FVGs that could be a sign that we will start getting a weekly or even a monthly pullback. That's all I can say for now stay safe and flow with the markets.
Long
by Keyserfx
1
EURUSD - Medium term prediction - 16/06/25For this long off 1.1193 targeting 1.1909 vs. a retrace back under 1.1193, I’d peg the probabilities roughly as: Outcome Probability Rally above 1.1909 first ~75% Drop below 1.1193 first ~25% Rationale Bullish breakout: EUR/USD has convincingly flipped 1.115–1.120 into support and cleared the 1.15–1.16 ceiling with follow‐through. Momentum: Daily candles show clean advances with little upper‐wick rejection; RSI/MACD remain in bullish territory without overbought exhaustion. Bear case stretch: To return under 1.1193, price would need to wipe out the entire breakout and break multiple support layers (1.1550, 1.1400, 1.1200) — a lower‐probability scenario absent a major macro shock.
Long
by Gamblers-Fallacy
EURUSD ||| '' W '' PATTERN IDENTIFIED . ✅ Harmonic Formation (Bearish Potential) ⚠️ Selling Bias forming soon --- 🧩 Pattern Breakdown: A Bearish Harmonic Pattern (likely Butterfly or Deep Crab) has been identified and is now nearing completion at the D point. Current price is approaching key resistance / reversal zone, precisely around the 0.786 - 0.886 fib area (highlighted red). The Risk-to-Reward is clearly mapped: 🔺 Stop Loss: 1.19405 ✅ Entry Zone: Around 1.17106 🎯 Target: 1.09588 Potential short setup if price respects the harmonic symmetry and fails to break above resistance.
Short
by Greenfireforex
3
EURUSD POTENTIAL SHORT OPPORTUNITYHello Everyone! How are you all? EurUsd is a pair to watch in the coming days/weeks, because it is shaping up very nicely for a short trend reversal that we can capitalize on. So, I will be looking for a sell opportunity because of the following reasons: 1. The price has formed a sell reversal structure with two lows and a potential third touch at the high. 2. The price is approaching a value area. Game Plan: If the price comes to the VA, and rejects at that level or sweeps the High, and makes a bearish impulse followed by a H1 flag with two highs and lows. Entry : will look for a risk sell entry within the flag or a reduced risk entry on the breakout of the flag.
Short
by DTreasureMarketHub
EURUSD: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why: Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Short
by UnitedSignals
3
EUR/USD Elliott Wave Outlook – Expanded Flat Playing Out?EUR/USD appears to be unfolding a classic expanded flat correction for wave (4): Wave A formed as a 3-wave zigzag Wave B retraced beyond the start of A — a key trait of expanded flats Now looking for a 5-wave C-leg decline toward the 1.1122 – 1.1002 area Aligned with 1.0–1.618 extensions of A RSI + MACD divergence adds bearish confirmation at the B top Potential bullish reversal zone into late June / early July As long as price holds below the B high (~1.1650), the bearish path in wave C remains in play. 📍 Target zone: 1.1122–1.1002 📈 Bias: Bearish short-term, bullish long-term (wave 5 up next)
Short
by EWaveInsights
7
Projected Price Path (White Lines)showing technical analysis and a projected price path. Here’s a breakdown of what’s visible: 🔍 Chart Overview Pair: EUR/USD Timeframe: 4H (4-hour) Current Price: ~1.15881 Date/Time: Around June 13, 2025, 3:47 AM (UTC+3) 🟩 Highlighted Zones Upper Supply Zone (resistance area): Around 1.15150 – 1.15300 Price previously reacted and broke above this zone. Lower Demand Zone (support area): Between 1.13600 – 1.13900 Price bounced from this level in the past. Intermediate Zone (recent consolidation): Around 1.14300 – 1.14500 Possibly an area of minor structure or reaccumulation. 📈 Price Action Price made a strong bullish move, breaking through previous resistance zones. Bearish pin bar (rejection wick) at the top suggests potential reversal or pullback. 🔮 Projected Price Path (White Lines) The drawn projection suggests: Short-term pullback, possibly to retest the 1.15300–1.15150 area. A minor lower high forms. Deeper drop expected toward the demand zone at 1.13800 or lower. 🧠 Analysis Implication This is likely a swing trader’s roadmap, anticipating a reversal after an overextended move. The analysis could be based on liquidity sweep above highs and return to structure.
by King_Maker_FX
2
EURUSD: FOMC meeting ahead Previous week on the US market was focused on inflation data. The inflation rate in May was standing at 0,1% for the month, below market expectations of 0,2%. At the same time the US core inflation was also below market estimate at the level of 0,1%, while the market forecasted 0,3% for the month. Inflation rate on a yearly basis in May was standing at 2,3% and core inflation was 2,8%. The Producers Price Index in May was at the level of 0,1% for the month, same as core PPI. Both figures were modestly below market estimates. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for June showed some modest relaxation in the inflation expectations. The indicator reached the level of 60,5 which was better from the market estimate of 53,5. The inflation expectations for this year at the beginning of June were standing at 5,1%, and were decreased from 6,6% posted previously. The five year inflation expectations modestly decreased from 4,2% to 4,1%. During the previous week there has not been too much currently significant data posted for the Euro Zone and Germany, its largest economy. The wholesale prices in Germany in May dropped by -0,3% for the month, bringing the indicator to the level of 0,4% on a yearly basis. Both figures were in line with market forecasts. The balance of trade in the Euro Zone in April ended the month with a surplus of euro 9,9B, which was significantly below market estimate of euro 18,2B. The Industrial Production in the Euro Zone surprisingly dropped in April by -2,4% for the month, which was higher from estimated -1,7%. The IP on a yearly basis stands at 0,8% in April, again below market consensus of 1,4%. Although the inflation in the US is evidently slowing down, as well as long term inflation expectations, still, newly emerged tensions in the Middle East made investors prefer long positions in gold rather than USD. In this sense, USD weakened as of the end of the previous week to the lowest weekly level against euro at 1,1624. Still, the currency pair closed the week at 1,1553. The RSI has not reached the clear overbought market side, reaching the highest level at 66. This leaves some space for eurusd to move further to the higher grounds until the clear overbought market side is reached. The MA50 continues to strongly diverge from MA200, without an indication that the potential cross is near in the future. Usually after a strong push of financial assets toward one side, follows the time when the market is searching the equilibrium level. Depending on further developments on the Middle East crisis, there is a potential that eurusd will start the week ahead with a modest consolidation. The 1,15 resistance line was clearly breached during the previous week, indicating probability that the currency pair will revert a bit back to test for one more time this level. On the opposite side, the 1,16 was shortly tested, but the potential for further upside will depend on weekly fundamentals. The most important event for the week ahead is scheduled for Wednesday, June 16th, when the FOMC meeting is scheduled, as well as US economic projections. This day will most certainly bring some higher volatility on markets. Currently, it is widely expected that the Fed will hold interest rates unchanged at this meeting, and leave the planned rate cut for September. However, what the market is expecting to hear are projections for the future period, especially how the Fed perceives the impact of implemented trade tariffs on the US economy. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for Germany in June, Inflation rate final in May for the Euro Zone, PPI in Germany in May, HCOB Manufacturing PMI flash in June, in both Germany and the Euro Zone, USD: Retail Sales in May, Industrial Production in May, Building Permits preliminary in May, Housing starts in May, the FOMC meeting and interest rate decision will be held on Wednesday, June 18th, the FOMC economic projections will be posted the same day, Fed press conference after the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. The week ends with data regarding Existing Home Sales in May on Friday.
by XBTFX
2
Long IdeaWhen this occurs, it is not uncommon to see price approach the line, and "throw a spike" over the line. At other times price might approach but not quite reach the previous high or low. This tells you that the current price is already on the correct side. You will therefore expect the price to "bounce down” or “bounce up" as the case may be. This will most often occur around the time of the London open. You should recall that this is likely to be part of the market makers aim of keeping traders trapped. If they've already made a high for instance, and there are positions trapped here then they will not want to push price above it again but will then approach it, perhaps even spike with an enlarged spread and pull away again.
by k45bryant