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EUR/USD_SPT - EUR/USD

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EURUSD_SPT trade ideas

EURUSD Ahead of NFP Data! Trading ScenariosEURUSD Ahead of NFP Data! Trading Scenarios Today we have NFP data. The market expects NFP to reach 110K vs. 139K previously ADP data came in lower than expected - 33K vs. 95K expected and JOLT data came in higher than expected 7.76M vs. 7.3M It will be a risky decision to trade EURUSD today due to the market's interpretation regarding the FED and whether or not they will cut rates at the July meeting. EURUSD could make either move. If it moves above the 1.1825 box, then it could rise further for a larger bullish wave near 1.1900 If it moves below the 1.1745 box, then a larger bearish wave could occur with targets at 1.1660 and 1.1590 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
by KlejdiCuni
3
EUR/USD Daily Timeframe Analysis – Bullish OutlookOn the daily chart, the EUR/USD pair shows a clear bullish bias in the long term, backed by strong upward momentum in recent sessions. 🔹 Price Action Overview: Last week, EUR/USD printed a strong impulsive move to the upside, indicating increased bullish interest and potential trend continuation. This momentum suggests that the bulls are firmly in control, at least for now. 🔹 What to Expect Next: With the impulsive leg completed, we are now anticipating a short-term retracement. Price is likely to pull back into a key demand zone, previously acting as resistance, and now potentially flipping into support. I've marked this retracement zone with a green circle on the chart, aligning with the price range: 📍 Key Trade Levels: Buy Entry Zone: 1.15900 – 1.16100 (Expecting price to react at this former resistance turned support) Stop Loss: 1.15400 (Below recent swing low to protect against invalidation) Take Profit: 1.17300 (Targeting the next significant resistance area) --- 🧠 Trade Idea Summary: This setup follows the classic "impulse–retracement–continuation" structure. As long as price holds above the retracement zone, we maintain a bullish outlook for EUR/USD. 🔔 Watch for bullish price action (e.g., pin bars, engulfing candles) within the buy zone before entering for confirmation.
Long
by enwemadufranklyn1989
2
Prediction for EUR/USD Sell Setup (Short from 1.1825–1.1830) Why? • Price recently broke down from an ascending channel (seen on your TradingView screenshot). • Confirmed lower high structure (bearish). • Rejection from previous resistance near 1.1830 is likely. • Fibonacci retracement shows 1.1830 aligns with key 78.6% reversal zone. • DXY (USD Index) strength supports EUR/USD downside pressure. • Clean downside liquidity resting near 1.1700 and possibly 1.1630. ⚠️ Buy Setup (Long from 1.1745–1.1750) • Confidence: ⚪ 78% • Why Lower? • Although 1.1745 is solid support, it is being retested too frequently. • Momentum is weakening. • If price stalls and fails to bounce strongly off 1.1750, it risks collapsing to 1.1700 or lower. • MACD/Volume divergence showing early bearish bias on M15/M30 timeframes. ⸻ 🧠 Verdict: • Short trade from 1.1825–1.1830 has higher probability based on current structure and momentum. • This would be a sell-the-retest opportunity of the broken ascending channel. • Hold to TP1 = 1.1745, and TP2 = 1.1700, with clean smart trail logic activated after TP1. Then wait for reversal triggers and initiate sell long setup
Short
by leancarti47
1
EURUSD Sell, June 27HTF shows reaction from W/D Orderblocks with multiple Daily imbalances below as downside targets. While GBPUSD is also at a valid D OB, EU gives clearer confirmation on LTF. On LTF, price opened London above Asia highs (ideal for short setups) and showed 15m BOS into a 15m POI. We've tapped into a 5m Orderblock inside the 15m zone, followed by a clean 1m BOS. 📍Entry: 5m OB with SL above highs (tight 10 pip risk) 🎯 TP1: 1:3 (75% off) 🎯 Final TP: Below Asia low & Daily imbalance 📉 Risk: 0.25% (reduced it for more consistency) Confident setup — but if price rallies to the upper 5m OB and leaves without us, that’s part of the plan. No chasing.
Short
by sTax11
4
POTENTIAL EURUSD SHORT OPPORTUNITY...POSITION TRADEHello hello TradingView family! Hope you guys are doing amazingly well! Just wanted to come on here and make another post for a potential longer term opportunity I am seeing on the major currency pair EURUSD. So put your seat belts on and let's dive in!! OK so I'm going to keep this very very simple. Not because I don't want to go in depth but because my trading is very simple and I'm just going to give it to you straight. So here are the points 1. Price is @ monthly supply 2. Price has made new highs & sitting at a monthly fib extension 3. Monthly RSI overbought conditions 4. Weekly has bearish divergence forming 5. Weekly/Daily buyer is slowing down Make sense? If not..then I know you will figure it out. Watch for price to potentially poke a little higher but nice confluences for a fall in price. Appreciate you all!
Short
by JosePips
6
EURUSD - Bears Preparing a Bearish Shift in StructureEURUSD has been pushing higher over the past few sessions, reaching into a key liquidity zone. On the 4H chart, we’ve now seen a very clean sweep of previous swing highs, which completes the first step needed for a potential reversal. This sweep acted as a buy-side liquidity run, taking out resting orders before showing early signs of exhaustion. Liquidity Sweep and Structural Confirmation The sweep of the highs marked a potential turning point, but for this setup to gain validity, we need to see confirmation through structure. That confirmation would come from a decisive 4H close below the red mitigation zone. This area aligns with a small demand that previously pushed price up, so a close below would mark a clean break in bullish order flow and confirm a bearish structure shift. Downside Expectations and Key Levels If the structure shift is confirmed, I expect EURUSD to move lower toward the fair value gap around 1.14600 to 1.14400. This FVG could provide temporary support, and we may see some reaction there. However, due to the size of the imbalance and the overall context, price has the potential to continue lower through that level. Interim Reactions and Minor Scenarios There is a chance price reacts to the FVG and pulls back before continuing lower. Any bounce from this zone would likely be short-term unless it leads to a clear market structure shift back to the upside. If price fails to hold above the FVG, the deeper support zone below near 1.13800 would become the next logical target. Trigger Point for Bearish Bias The most important trigger for this trade is a 4H close below the red box. Without that, the bullish structure technically remains intact. Once that level is broken, I will consider the sweep and break combination a completed reversal signal, targeting the FVG and beyond. Conclusion This setup follows a textbook liquidity grab followed by a potential structure break. Patience is key here, as I’m waiting for confirmation before taking action. If price closes below the red zone, I’ll be actively looking for shorts targeting the 1.14600 region, with room to extend lower depending on how price reacts at the FVG. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
41
EURUSD ADP Report (Today): -33,000 jobs in manufacturing & goods-producing sectors Overall ADP employment report: weaker than expected ➡️ Normally, that would imply a soft NFP tomorrow. ⸻ So Why Are People Saying NFP Will Be “Hot”? There are 3 key reasons why some traders are still expecting a strong NFP despite a weak ADP: ⸻ 1. ADP ≠ NFP • ADP is NOT a reliable predictor of NFP. • Historically, ADP and NFP often diverge widely — especially in months with: • Revisions • Government hiring • Seasonal distortions Example: In several past months, ADP missed badly while NFP was strong. ⸻ 2. Other Labor Indicators Are Still Strong • The JOLTS report this week showed job openings holding up • Weekly jobless claims remain near historic lows • Wages are still growing at 4%+ So markets may believe the labor market is stronger than ADP suggests. ⸻ 3. Positioning & Speculation • Traders often “fade” the ADP number, expecting NFP to surprise the opposite way. • Some are just betting on momentum or trying to trap weak hands.
Short
by HavalMamar
1
EUR/USD Analysis: Rally May Be Under ThreatEUR/USD Analysis: Rally May Be Under Threat The euro has appreciated by approximately 15% against the US dollar this year, as confidence in the United States continues to wane. As ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane noted in an interview at CNBC: “There is a degree of reorientation by global investors towards the euro.” At the same time, officials at the European Central Bank have expressed concern that the rapid strengthening of the euro could undermine efforts to stabilise inflation at 2%. They warn that a move above $1.20 may pose risks for inflation and the competitiveness of export-oriented firms — an issue raised during the ECB’s ongoing ECB Forum on Central Banking in Portugal. Could EUR/USD Reach the $1.20 Level? From a technical analysis perspective, EUR/USD is showing bearish signals: → If the early April rally (coinciding with Trump’s announcement of new tariffs) is taken as the initial impulse wave A→B, and the May low is interpreted as the end of the B→C corrective move, then, according to Fibonacci Extensions, the pair has now risen to a key resistance zone around 1.1850 (as indicated by the arrow on the chart). → In addition, the RSI indicator signals strong overbought conditions, while the price is hovering near the upper boundary of the ascending channel — a level that typically acts as resistance. Given these factors, we could assume that EUR/USD may be in a vulnerable position, potentially facing a short-term correction — possibly towards the lower boundary of the channel, reinforced by support at the 1.1620 level. However, this does not negate the longer-term bullish outlook for the euro amid prevailing fundamental conditions. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸 Bearish Wave Coming From : 1.17750 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute. EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )
Short
by Path_Of_Hanzo
EURUSD Healthy Correction Could Set Up Next Bullish LegEURUSD continues to trade within a strong bullish structure, marked by a consistent sequence of higher highs and higher lows across multiple timeframes. The pair recently tested a significant resistance zone around $1.18, which acted as a swing high and has since been defended by sellers. This rejection has led to a short-term pause in the uptrend, with price now consolidating around the value area high, a critical area on the volume profile that typically precedes either continuation or a corrective move. From a technical standpoint, a pullback from the current level would be healthy, especially given the extended nature of the recent move. The ideal retracement zone lies between the 0.618 Fibonacci level, the point of control (POC), and the 200-period moving average — all of which converge to form a strong demand region. A revisit of this zone would offer a textbook opportunity for the formation of a higher low, which would preserve the existing bullish structure and invite renewed buying interest. A correction into this region would not indicate weakness but rather reinforce the strength of the trend. It allows for momentum reset and offers a more sustainable base for the next potential move higher, potentially targeting a breakout above the $1.18 swing high. As long as price action remains above the previous higher low and these key support zones hold, the bullish bias remains intact, and traders may look for long opportunities on signs of a reversal within the corrective zone.
Long
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
1
Are Technical Charts Fully Bullish on Euro's Rebound OverheatingThe EUR/USD exchange rate is consolidating at high levels, posting gains for the seventh consecutive trading day. The pair briefly approached the three-year high of 1.1744 in intraday trading, accumulating a roughly 2% weekly gain so far. This rally is primarily driven by intensified expectations of U.S. rate cuts and temporary easing of geopolitical tensions. In terms of technical indicators, the MACD's DIFF and DEA lines continue to rise, with the red histogram expanding again, demonstrating "bullish volume expansion" and showing no signs of exhaustion in the technical rebound. The RSI stands at 70.39, nearing overbought territory but without forming a top divergence, suggesting remaining upside potential. The current price structure indicates the pair is approaching the key resistance of 1.1744. Analysts believe an effective breakout above this level would open the door to the upside target of 1.1810-1.1850. In case of a pullback due to resistance, the initial support lies at 1.1630, corresponding to the previous dense trading zone and short-term moving average support. you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Long
by MyronWilson
1
EUR/USD Rallies on Broad Dollar WeaknessEUR/USD Rallies on Broad Dollar Weakness EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.1750 resistance. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro started a decent increase from the 1.1600 zone against the US Dollar. - There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support near 1.1770 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.1600 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.1650 resistance to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar. The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.1750. Finally, the pair tested the 1.1830 resistance. A high was formed near 1.1829 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.1590 swing low to the 1.1830 high. Immediate support on the downside is near a connecting bullish trend line at 1.1770. The next major support is the 1.1710 level. A downside break below the 1.1710 support could send the pair toward the 1.1680 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.1590 swing low to the 1.1830 high. Any more losses might send the pair into a bearish zone toward 1.1645. Immediate resistance on the EUR/USD chart is near the 1.1830 zone. The first major resistance is near the 1.1850 level. An upside break above the 1.1850 level might send the pair toward the 1.1920 resistance. The next major resistance is near the 1.1950 level. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.2000 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Mechanical rangesMany traders will talk about things like "Smart Money Concepts" (SMC) and think they have found something new. The truth is, everything in trading stems back to Liquidity. There is no "Algo" nobody is out to get you specifically. The market is always right, where you position yourself is your own choice. I have written several posts on mechanical trading, recorded a number of streams. The more mechanical you can make the process, the less the emotions have a chance to kick your ass. Let me give you a very simple method of being able to identify the ranges. Ignore the timeframes as this will work on any of them, on most instruments. (I say most, as some behave differently due to how it attracts liquidity). Lets assume high end crypto such as Bitcoin (BTC) and of course Forex in the general sense, stocks, commodities etc. This is simple - only 2 rules. You start by zooming out and giving yourself a general feel for the trend. Let's say this looks to be an uptrend - we now need to understand the rules. An opposing candle can simply be defined by a different colour. If the trend is up (Green) and we see a red candle - then it's an opposing candle. The inverse is true, if we are down and the trend is Red. Then a Green candle would be opposing. This is only half of the story. The second rule is a pullback candle or even a sequence of candles. This simply means either the very same opposing candle that doesn't make a new high or low (depending on the trend up not making fresh highs or down not taking new lows). In this image, you can see we have in one candle both an opposing and pullback in one candle. This means we can now mark the high of the range. Working backwards to identify the swing range low. This easy method means I can draw a range exactly the same and mechanically every single time. Giving me a mechanical range. We could then get a lot more technical by looking for liquidity, 50% of the range or places such as supply or demand areas. But these are all for other posts. For now, getting a range on the higher timeframes means you can work down and down into a timeframe you are likely to want to trade on. These ranges will give clues to draws and runs of liquidity. This will also help identify changes in the character and fresh breaks of structure. Here's another post I posted on the mechanical structures and techniques. More in the next post. Have a great week! Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Education
by Mayfair_Ventures
11
Do You Have a Trading Edge?A Practical Guide to Figuring Out if What You’re Doing Is Actually Working There comes a point in every trader’s journey when you stop asking “what indicator should I use” and start asking something much more important. Is what I’m doing actually working? It’s an honest question. When the P&L has been chopping sideways or dipping red for weeks, it’s easy to feel stuck. Maybe you’ve been grinding for months, jumping from one setup to another, but still not seeing consistent progress. Before you give up or double down, it’s worth stepping back and looking at the one thing that matters most. Do you have an edge? What Is a Trading Edge, Really? A trading edge isn’t about being right all the time. It isn’t some secret indicator or a feeling in your gut. It’s a cold, hard number. Your edge is the amount of money you can expect to make or lose on average every time you place a trade. If the number is positive, you’re on the right side of probability. If it’s negative, then no amount of motivation or mindset work will stop the account from bleeding over time. Thankfully, there’s a simple formula that tells you exactly where you stand. The Formula: No Hype, Just Maths Edge per trade = (Average Win × Win Rate) − (Average Loss × Loss Rate) Or more simply: Edge = W × R – L × (1−R) Where: • W is your average winning trade in pounds • L is your average losing trade (as a positive number) • R is your win rate, written as a decimal (so 55% becomes 0.55) This is your trading edge. It’s not a concept. It’s a number. And it either works or it doesn’t. Let’s Put It Into Practice Say you win 45% of the time. Your average winning trade makes £180. Your average losing trade costs £120. Plug the numbers in. Edge = £180 × 0.45 minus £120 × 0.55 Edge = £81 minus £66 Edge = £15 That £15 is your expected value per trade. So if you take 100 trades following that same pattern, you’d expect to make £1,500 before costs. That’s the kind of maths you want working in your favour. It’s not glamorous. It’s not loud. But it’s sustainable. What if the Edge Is Negative? This is where a lot of traders lose heart. But it’s actually good news. If the formula tells you the edge isn’t there, you can stop guessing. It means you’ve identified the problem. A negative edge just tells you that, on balance, either: • you’re winning too infrequently • your losses are too large • your winners aren’t big enough And every one of those can be adjusted. This isn’t about tearing down your whole system. Often, a small shift in one variable is all it takes to turn a negative edge into a positive one. Three Ways to Nudge the Numbers in Your Favour 1. Improve the win rate slightly Look for trades with more confluence. Stick to clearer trends. Avoid taking marginal setups during unpredictable conditions. You don’t need a huge jump, even going from 40% to 47% can have a big impact. 2. Increase the size of your winners Let trades run a little longer when the conditions are right. Take partials if it helps your mindset, but keep a portion on to capture the extended move. Most traders cut profits too early and let losers drift too far. 3. Tighten up the losses Use hard stops. Respect them. Review your biggest losing trades and ask yourself if they really had to be that big. Often they didn’t. The goal is to keep losses small and repeatable, not devastating and unpredictable. A Note on Sample Size Five or ten trades won’t give you a reliable read on your edge. You need a bigger pool. Ideally 50 to 100 trades minimum. Patterns emerge over time, not in the heat of one session. A strong edge can go through losing streaks. A poor strategy can get lucky for a while. But when you track your numbers over enough trades, the truth becomes very clear. You’re Probably Closer Than You Think If you’ve never done this calculation before, don’t feel behind. Most retail traders never actually work out their edge. They focus on indicators, entry techniques, or mindset work without ever stopping to ask if the numbers stack up. But once you do the maths, things start to change. You stop judging yourself by your last trade and start thinking in averages. You stop chasing every setup and start focusing on quality. You stop worrying about being right, and start focusing on being consistent. That’s what separates hobbyists from professionals. The numbers are the difference. Summary: If your edge is negative, you now know where to look. If it’s positive, even just slightly, you’ve got something worth building on. Either way, the path forward is clearer. Trading is hard, no question. But it’s not magic. It’s probability, risk control and discipline applied consistently. And it all starts with understanding the maths behind what you’re doing. So next time you’re questioning whether your system is any good, don’t ask how it feels. Run the numbers. Do you have a trading edge? If yes, protect it. If not, now you know what to fix. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 85.24% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Education
by Capitalcom
1
EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )————- ➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸 Bullish Wave Coming From : 1.18050 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
EUR/USD – Potential Bearish Reversal AheadAnalysis Overview: EUR/USD has shown a strong bullish structure recently, but price is currently near a key resistance zone around 1.1780, which may act as a reversal point. The chart also shows an extended wave structure, signaling possible exhaustion of buying pressure. Bearish Setup Expectations: If the price fails to break above 1.1780 convincingly and shows bearish confirmation (e.g. a strong bearish engulfing candle or RSI divergence), we may see a reversal toward lower support levels. Key Support Levels (Targets): TP1: 1.14465 TP2: 1.13329 TP3: 1.12064 TP4: 1.10000 Possible Entry: Near 1.1770 – 1.1785 (on bearish confirmation) Stop Loss: Above 1.1810 (structure invalidation) Technical Confluences: Potential Double Top or Rising Wedge pattern Price at historical resistance Overbought RSI zones may support the reversal --- 📌 Note: Always wait for confirmation before entering. Use proper risk management and follow your trading plan strictly.
Short
by Liam_ChartFlow
1
EUR/USD 4H CHART PATTERNThe EUR/USD 4-hour chart signals a bearish reversal after forming a double top near a strong resistance zone. Price was rejected twice from the same level, indicating exhaustion in bullish momentum. The chart also shows a potential breakdown from the rising channel, suggesting a trend shift. The Ichimoku cloud is starting to flatten, hinting at weakening upward pressure. A key support zone below is now in focus, and a break below that level could trigger further selling pressure. Overall, the structure favours a bearish outlook with clean downside targets if the current support fails to hold. Entry Point: 1.16100 First Target Point: 1.14500 Second Target Point: 1.13880
Short
by Trend_logic
10