EURUSD Buy breakoutBuy gradually from here or wait for breaking through this resistance line with a short-term target of at least 10%+.
EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
EURUSD May 19 Trade Executed -updatedEURUSD
May 19 Trade Executed
2 London Macro
Parent range equilibrium
Previous range coming into Asia premium
Narrative
*I suspected Sundays delivery to be aggressive, retracing Fridays inefficient delivered price, glad it did, setting up for a run on equal highs.
*Asia expanded with typical swing low back to 50 level to consolidate.
*Sell side taken the last session high probability for price to seek equal highs.
(I was a little shaky with my idea reading the minute charts which I need to read the candle formations but it sure swings my emotions)
Frame work-from 3 min TF
22:00 Price stayed above the 18:00 candle created a minor equal low.
0:03 FVG forms first presented FVG
1:09 creates a clean equal high and breaks down
1:45 candle barely takes minor sell side liquidity
1:51 energetic candle rallies away and breaks the swing high
2:00 comes down in the FVG
2:03 entered Price 1.11880
First target minor equal highs
Second target equal highs
Third target equal highs
Forth target the 1SD and FVG/NWOG
Exited 4:18 Price1.12492
Admittedly I had a lower price and when I did not get tagged in I did instant order -rule breaker, plus slip got me higher, its ok
NOTE I had to build my execution off GBP/DXY price action for confidence
NOTE I did buy above the 50 in a premium for this trade-rule breaker
This is one of my best trades, the most calm I have been and holding it was hard and trusting that price would hit the targets.
rinse wash and repeat, so grateful I m getting better every trade. Blessed!
Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1265
1st Support: 1.1071
1st Resistance: 1.1367
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
#EURUSD: At Perfect Area to Swing Sell Worth 1300+ Pips! The FX:EURUSD price is currently showing strong sell momentum, indicating a potential strong bearish trend in the coming time. We’ve already taken two swing sell positions on EURUSD. There are three targets you can set according to your own plan and strategy.
The DXY index suggests further price growth in the coming weeks. Please ensure you manage your risk while trading. This is our concept only and does not guarantee the movements we’ve shown in our analysis. Therefore, please conduct your own analysis before taking any swing entry.
Good luck and trade safely!
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Euro may exit from wedge and then drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. After a strong impulse to the upside and a retest of the 1.1265 resistance area, the Euro started to consolidate inside a downward wedge. Despite repeated attempts to hold above the 1.1265 - 1.1300 zone, price action gradually shifted lower, creating lower highs within the wedge formation. This pattern often signals continuation or deeper correction, especially when formed after a large bullish move. The recent breakout below both the support area and the lower wedge boundary confirms that bearish pressure is taking control. The rejection from the seller zone and the sharp decline reinforce this shift in sentiment. Now the price is trading near the support line of the wedge and showing weak attempts to recover, forming a potential retest of the broken structure. Given the break of support, I expect the Euro may continue its decline toward the 1.0925 level, which coincides with both the buyer zone and a well-defined support level, thereby exiting from wedge pattern. This zone serves as my current TP 1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD - Shift In Momentum Confirmed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈After breaking below the structure marked in orange, EURUSD's momentum has been shifted from bullish to bearish.
EURUSD is currently rejecting the upper bound of its falling channel marked in red.
Moreover, it is retesting the orange structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of structure and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD: Bearish Continuation After Breakout 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD broke and closed below a significant horizontal support this week.
After a retest of a broken structure, the price formed a descending triangle pattern
on a 4h time frame.
Its neckline violation is a strong bearish confirmation signal.
The price is going to continue falling next week.
Next support - 1.11
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EUR/USD Daily Short SetupSetup: Retest of the former support zone (now supply) after the recent pullback from the mid-April highs
Entry: Short around 1.1336 (within the shaded resistance box)
Stop-Loss: Above the recent swing high at 1.1390
Take-Profit: Near the lower range support at 1.0735
Risk : Reward: ~1 : 5
Rationale:
Following a strong rally from early March to mid-April, EUR/USD has corrected sharply and is now back into the grey supply area that previously acted as support. This zone is likely to cap upside moves, making a short entry here attractive. The next major support lies around 1.0735, offering a high reward relative to risk. A break above 1.1390 would invalidate the setup.
EURUSD Near Top Of Channel — Correction Imminent!!!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is trading in the Resistance zone($1.1310-$1.1162) , near the upper line of the descending channel and the Monthly Pivot Point .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has completed five main impulse waves , and with the break of the Uptrend lines , we should expect corrective waves . Most likely, EURUSD is completing microwave 4 , and we should expect the next decline and the formation of microwave 5 .
I expect EURUSD to fall to at least $1.1073 , and the next targets are marked on the chart.
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.1330 , we should expect further gains.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Big Picture Shift: EURUSD Bulls Eye 1.23–1.25 Zone📊 EURUSD – Has the Long-Term Trend Finally Reversed?
Since the 2008 all-time high at 1.60, EURUSD has been in a persistent downtrend, dropping all the way below parity in September 2022.
Following the recovery back above parity, the pair has been range-bound in a 700-pip channel for nearly two years. And while early 2025 brought a sharp decline toward the 1.02 zone, this move was quickly reversed, forming what now looks like a higher low relative to the sub-parity bottom.
❓ The big question: Is the long-term trend now bullish?
There are several signs supporting this idea:
✅ From 2008 to 2014, the pair formed a massive descending triangle, which eventually broke to the downside.
✅ The area around 1.05 held as a long-term support, and price began trading in a broader range with 1.22–1.23 resistance.
✅ The break below parity could now be interpreted as a false breakdown, with the strong reversal from 1.02 this year confirming the historical support zones from 2015 and 2017.
✅ Most importantly, the recent push to 1.1550 could be the first higher high on the long-term chart — a potential signal that the downtrend of nearly two decades is ending.
🎯 Conclusion and Long-Term Target
In my view, the long-term trend has shifted. The structure now favors bullish continuation, and my primary target on the long term is the 1.23–1.25 zone.
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EUR_USD WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅EUR_USD has retested a
Resistance level of 1.1290
And we are seeing a bearish reaction
With the price going down so we are
Bearish biased now and we will be
Expecting the pair to go further down
SHORT🔥
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Is EUR/USD continuing its uptrend from the 1.126 level?Hello everyone, it's great to see all of you again in the current trading session. Let’s discuss and launch a new trading campaign together!
In general, EURUSD experienced a significant price increase yesterday, with a rise in price and a breakout above the 1.126 level. It is now trading at a new high of 1.132, the best gain at the end of April. So what are the reasons and factors that have driven this currency pair?
Regarding the influencing factors:
EUR/USD maintains a bullish trend during the first half of the week, approaching the important 1.1300 zone after a sharp sell-off of the US Dollar. Growing concerns about trade, along with new worries about the US economy, have added further pressure on the US Dollar.
Regarding the new outlook for EURUSD:
On the 1D chart, EURUSD is currently receiving strong support at the 1.126 – 1.127 level. A break below this level will lead to a significant price drop, while holding this level will lead to a price increase. Upon careful observation, we can see the pair has broken through the 1.126 resistance level. Both the short-term and medium-term outlooks show that the bullish trend is gradually strengthening. If the upward momentum continues, the next bullish targets for EURUSD will be 1.140 and 1.150...
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rejecting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1273
1st Support: 1.1084
1st Resistance: 1.1371
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD: 4H Death Cross to push Channel Down much lower.EURUSD has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.499, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 31.600) as the price approaches the top of the 1 month Channel Down. A rejection and LH is expected soon that will initiate the new bearish wave. The last one was -4.45%, so that gives a TP = 1.0900, which falls right on the S1 level and the HL trendline from the February 3rd low. Keep in mind also that the market formed the first 4H Death Cross since February 10th.
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"This ain’t your average pullback… it’s a trap in disguise!"Price is reacting perfectly within our mapped supply-demand zones. After a liquidity sweep, we're expecting a short-term bullish move into the minor supply before a potential strong bearish continuation toward the green demand zone.
Key idea: Wait for rejection from the highlighted supply for optimal short entries.
This setup aligns with smart money concepts – patience is key.
Targets:
First TP: 1.11350
Final TP: 1.11000
#EURUSD #SmartMoney #ForexAnalysis #OrderBlocks #SupplyDemand #LiquidityGrab #ForexSetup
EURUSD 1st 4H Death Cross after 7 months. Is it enough to short?The EURUSD pair just formed its first Death Cross on the 4H time-frame since October 04 2024. The last such formation signaled the bearish extension of the trend by breaking below its Higher Lows trend-line.
That was a similar Higher Lows trend-line the price rebounded on on May 12, exactly on the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). With the 1D RSI on levels similar with that previous Death Cross, we will wait for confirmation before shorting again and the price to break is the Higher Low/ 1D MA50 Cluster.
If broken, our Target will be just above the 0.618 Fibonacci from the bottom at 1.07350.
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EURUSD – Bearish Rejection and Targeting the 4H Imbalance ZoneEURUSD has shifted into a clear bearish tone following multiple rejections from a well-established resistance level. Over the past several weeks, price has struggled to break above that zone, showing consistent signs of selling pressure each time it attempted a push higher. The most notable move came when price briefly spiked above the resistance in what now appears to be a fakeout. That move did not hold, and it’s very likely that it served as a classic liquidity grab engineered to sweep buy stops resting above the range highs before reversing direction.
This kind of behavior is typical in a distribution phase, especially when seen at a high-timeframe resistance zone. The fake breakout essentially confirms that the upside liquidity has been taken, and that smart money is shifting direction. Since that event, price has been making lower highs and lower lows, reinforcing the current bearish structure.
Consolidation Structure
Before the fakeout, EURUSD had been consolidating just under resistance, building up a tight range. This kind of structure tends to lure in breakout traders, and the eventual spike above the range likely cleaned out a lot of stop orders. What followed was an aggressive reversal back into the prior range, which is a strong sign that the breakout was not genuine.
Since then, price pushed down and attempted a retracement, but that retracement got rejected precisely within a fair value gap. This is significant. It tells us that even during a pullback, the market is respecting inefficiencies and continues to deliver bearish reactions rather than signs of strength. That rejection further confirms that bears remain in control and that the earlier break was nothing more than a trap.
Bearish Scenario
With resistance holding and the fair value gap rejection now confirmed, I expect EURUSD to continue its descent and seek out deeper levels of interest. The most obvious draw on liquidity now sits below the current price, the large four-hour imbalance zone. This imbalance was left behind during the impulsive rally that preceded the fakeout, and it has yet to be filled.
Inside that imbalance, there’s also a golden pocket level lining up almost perfectly. That confluence between the imbalance zone and the 0.618–0.65 region adds weight to the idea that this area will act as a magnet for price. Markets seek efficiency, and this entire zone represents a void that price is likely to come back and rebalance.
The move into that zone would also allow the market to engineer sell-side liquidity along the way, particularly under the recent higher lows. Once those are swept, and if price begins to react inside the golden pocket, we may then begin to look for early signs of accumulation or even a bullish displacement, but until then, the short bias remains firmly in play.
Price Target and Expectations
The first key expectation is a clean sweep through the current local lows and a drive into the heart of the 4-hour imbalance. This is where I’ll be watching most closely for a potential change in behavior. Ideally, I want to see price push deep into the imbalance and tap the golden pocket before doing anything significant on the long side.
If price shows a strong reaction there, such as a bullish engulfing or a clear market structure shift that would signal the potential for a reversal. Until then, any bounce is likely to be short-lived and corrective in nature. The structure is still bearish, and the fair value gap rejection reinforces that.
Current Stance
Right now, I remain bearish. I’m not interested in fighting this momentum by jumping into premature longs. As long as price remains under the level it got rejected from, and continues to print lower highs, I’ll maintain a sell-the-rip mindset. If price delivers a deeper pullback from here, it may offer a short-term intra-day bounce, but the core expectation is still a move lower into the imbalance zone.
The area that interests me the most is the combination of the 4-hour imbalance and golden pocket, that’s the zone where I’ll shift from reactive to proactive and start looking for possible long setups. But I won’t consider longs unless price gets there and shows clear intent to reverse.
Conclusion
The market has already swept buy-side liquidity with the fakeout above resistance, and the rejection from the fair value gap confirms that sellers are still in control. Price is now being drawn toward the inefficiency below, and all signs point toward a continued bearish move until that imbalance is filled.
Until price reaches that zone and delivers a reaction worth trading, I’m staying patient and waiting for the setup to complete. Chasing entries in the middle of the range here doesn’t offer the best risk-reward. The focus now is on watching how price interacts with the 4-hour imbalance and the golden pocket, that’s where I’ll reassess the narrative and consider shifting bias if conditions warrant it.
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EURUSD at Resistance – Will It Drop to 1.11720?OANDA:EURUSD is currently trading near a strong resistance level, which is an area where price has struggled to break through in the past and reversed to the downside. This is also where sellers have previously stepped in, so it’s worth watching—especially for anyone considering short trades.
If we start to see signs that price is being rejected here—such as long wicks, bearish candles, or buyers starting to lose momentum—I think we could see a move down to the 1.11720 level. But if price breaks clearly above this area, it could invalidate the bearish idea and suggest that the uptrend may even continue.
This area is quite important and could help give us a clearer idea of the next direction of price.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance—this is not financial advice. Always confirm your setup and manage your risk wisely.
Potential bearish drop?EUR/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1270
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.1374
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1139
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the upper boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is capped by the H4 supply at 1.130-1.135 and the roof of a year-long downward channel; the latest test printed a bearish pin (red arrow).
● Inside, a smaller blue rising channel has just broken south—turning 1.128 into fresh resistance—and leaves room to the mid-channel support at 1.121, then the lower rail / 1.113.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● ECB’s Villeroy repeated that a June cut is “very likely” while Fed minutes stressed rates may stay restrictive; widening yield gap revives USD demand.
✨ Summary
Fade 1.128-1.131; targets 1.121 ➜ 1.113, extension 1.106. Short view void on a close above 1.135.
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Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1236
1st Support: 1.1147
1st Resistance: 1.1422
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Just a quick morning thoughtGood morning traders. I am shorting here. Possible third touch to the trendline then break. fill the gap and hit the frequent support zones.
SL 1.30
Limit short order 1.127
TP 1.1165
TP 1.1135
TP 1.1070
Keep 0.8 in mind long term.
Lingrid | EURUSD potential Trend MOMENTUM ContinuationThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:EURUSD continues its recovery within the upward channel, having rebounded strongly from the 1.1316 support, aligned with the rising trendline. The pair is forming a higher low, and the structure hints at another bullish leg, potentially pushing into the 1.14 resistance near the channel's top. As long as price holds the 1.1316 zone, the bullish scenario remains valid. A break below would shift the bias back toward the 1.1217 support area.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 1.1316 – 1.1330
Buy trigger: bounce continuation from trendline
Target: 1.1400
Sell trigger: breakdown below 1.1316
💡 Risks
A hawkish tone from the ECB could cause volatility.
False breakout patterns near resistance might trap buyers.
Loss of the trendline would weaken bullish conviction.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
