EURUSD on the Move – Is a New High Coming Soon?Hello traders, what’s your outlook on EURUSD?
Today, EURUSD is showing a strong recovery, continuing to rise within a broadening ascending wedge, supported firmly by the EMA 34 and EMA 89, which are acting as dynamic support for the uptrend.
From a technical perspective, the 1.1200–1.1250 support zone has held well, acting as a solid launchpad. The price remains above the trendline, forming a consistent higher low – higher high structure, signaling that buyers are still in control.
On the fundamental side, the euro is gaining strength from:
Improving consumer confidence across the EU, following upbeat data from Germany and France.
The ECB’s hawkish tone, as it signals no rush to cut interest rates amid ongoing inflation concerns.
Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar weakens as markets anticipate a potential Fed rate cut by Q3 2025, adding fuel to EURUSD's upward momentum.
📌 If price breaks above the 1.1420 resistance, the bullish pattern remains intact with the next target around the previous high of 1.1509.
The strategy: Look for buying opportunities on retracements, especially near the EMA zone, with a medium-term target around 1.1500+.
However, if unexpected news breaks the key support, be ready to adjust your plan accordingly.
What about you – do you expect EURUSD to reach new highs next month?
Let’s discuss below! 💬
EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
EURUSD Holds Structure Within Ascending Channel – Is 1.1400 NextOANDA:EURUSD is still trading within an ascending channel that has been well maintained since mid-May. After completing a corrective move toward the confluence area around 1.1258 – where the bottom of the ascending channel and a horizontal support zone intersect – price has bounced back with clear buying strength. The continued respect of the lower boundary suggests that the trend structure remains intact, and buyers are cautiously maintaining control of the market.
The recent low can be viewed as a potential demand zone, as price reacted quickly and formed a recovery candle pattern near the trendline. With the ascending channel still intact, the preferred scenario is a continued move toward the mid-line of the channel around the 1.1400 area – which is also the nearest technical target. Buyers appear to be regaining control, but a clear confirmation through price action remains a key factor before entering any position.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing, pin bar, or marubozu candles accompanied by strong volume, as these could serve as the initial confirmation for long entries. Conversely, if price breaks below this support zone and falls out of the ascending channel, the short-term outlook should be reassessed with caution.
This is a personal view based on price action and technical analysis. It is not financial advice. Always adhere to risk management in every trading decision.
THOUGHTS ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 4H - As you can see price has broken structure to the upside, giving us the confluence to suggest enough Demand has been introduced to see price now trade us higher longer term.
The reason this here is a valid break in structure is because the high that set the lowest low within this correction has now been broken, suggesting that we are no longer following the laws of bearishness but now following the laws of bullishness.
In order for us to be able to get involved in this market now with the longer term bias to take it long, we want to see price pullback initially to set a higher low, once price does that, that is when we can look to take part in the market.
I have gone ahead and marked out an area of interest I feel price will fall back down and into before trading us higher, we want to see price trade down and into this, then break structure fractally before taking us higher in the market.
EURUSD: a calm week ahead?From economic data the US inflation was in the spotlight of the financial markets during the previous week. The US inflation in April reached 0,2% for the month, and 2,3% on a yearly basis, which was fully in line with market expectations. The Core inflation was standing at the level of 0,2% for the month and 2,8% for the year. The Producers Price Index in April was -0,5%, which was significantly below market estimate of 0,2%. Retail Sales in April were higher by 0,1% for the month modestly above the forecasted 0%. Building Permits preliminary for April were 1.412M, below market estimate of 1.450M, while Housing Starts in April were also below market estimate, with 1.362, while market was expecting to see the figure of 1.37M. The end of the week brought University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index preliminary for May, which was standing at the level of 50,8, modestly below forecasted 53,4. There has been a modest increase in 5 years inflation expectations to the level of 4,6%, from 4,4% previously posted. There has also been increased expectations for the inflation for this year, which reached the level of 7,3%, from 6,5% posted previously.
This week there has not been too much significant macro data posted for the Euro Zone. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in May in Germany was standing at 25,2 which was surprisingly much higher from anticipated 12,5. The same indicator for the Euro Zone was at the level of 11,6 again above market expectations of -6.
The previous week started in favor of the US Dollar against euro, due to decreased tariffs tensions between the US and China. Still, volatility continued for the rest of the week. The highest weekly level of the currency pair was 1,1263, while the pair is ending the week at the level of 1,1164. The RSI was relatively calmly moving around the level of 50, still closing the week at the level of 46. This is an indication that the investors are modestly eyeing the oversold market side in the coming period. The MA50 is still modestly diverging from MA200, without a clear indication that the change of course might happen in the coming period.
Charts are indicating that the market was testing the 1,12 level during the previous week. This could be also treated as a level with historical significance, considering that the currency pair historically spent a lot of time around this level. Considering that the week ahead is not bringing much of the currently significant data, which markets closely watch, it could be expected that it is going to be one calm week. However, it should be taken into account news published on Saturday, that the rating agency Moody’s downgraded US credit rating by one notch. This news is still not reflected in the eurusd currency pair, which might indicate some higher volatility at the start of trading hours on Monday. This would be a one-off effect. As per current charts, if the level 1,12 withholds pressure to the downside, then the market could revert toward the 1,13 level. In the opposite case, charts are indicating the level of 1,1050.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Inflation rate final for April in the EuroZone, Producers Price Index in Germany in April, HCOB manufacturing PMI Flash for May for both Germany and the Euro Zone, Ifo Business Climate for Germany in May, GDP Growth rate for Germany final for Q1
USD: Existing Home Sales in April
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis For This Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis for EURUSD.
Resistance 1: 1.1250 - 1.1295 area
Resistance 2: 1.1368 - 1.1381 area
Resistance 3: 1.1420 - 1.1427 area
Resistance 4: 1.1510 - 1.1574 area
Support 1: 1.1051 - 1.1093 area
Support 2: 1.1085 - 1.1089 area
Support 3: 1.1073 - 1.1078 area
Consider these zones for pullback/breakout trading.
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Trend Analysis and Trading Recommendations for EUR/USDThe real-time trading signals we provided have been profitable every day. If you don't know how to get started, you can refer to my strategies. 👉🏼👉🏼👉🏼
From a technical perspective, the daily chart of the EUR/USD currency pair shows limited bullish potential. The pair has retreated from the bearish 20 - day Simple Moving Average (SMA) for the second consecutive trading day, currently creating a dynamic resistance level at around 1.1275. The 100 - day and 200 - day SMAs are well below the current level, with the longer - term one nearly flat, reflecting a weakening of long - term upward momentum. Finally, the technical indicators have flattened out between negative and neutral values, not sufficient to confirm an impending downward trend.
In the short term, according to the 4 - hour chart, the trend of EUR/USD has turned neutral. The converging 100 - day and 200 - day SMAs form a dynamic resistance level at around 1.1270, while the direction of the 20 - day SMA is unclear and slightly below the current level. Meanwhile, the Momentum indicator fluctuates directionlessly around the 100 line, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator points to a relatively low level of around 52, failing to provide clear directional cues.
EURUSD
buy@1.20000-1.12200
tp:1.12800-1.13000
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Breakout above ResistanceBreakout above Resistance: If the price breaks decisively above a significant resistance level (identified through trend lines, previous highs, or Fibonacci retracement levels), some traders might see this as a signal to enter a long position, anticipating further upward movement. For example, if EURUSD breaks above 1.1220, which has acted as resistance, it could signal buying pressure.
EUR/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/USD is making a bullish rebound on the 12H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 1.105 level.
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EURUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.1426, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibo extension.
Our take profit is set at 1.1275, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 1.1549, a swing high resistance.
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First target reachedEURUSD just hit the first target we identified yesterday.
The next resistance levels are 1,1358 and 1,1456.
The goal remains a continuation of the uptrend and a break above the previous high at 1,1573.
At current levels, a pullback or consolidation is possible before the next move up.
Long-term results come from consistency and confidence in your strategy!
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bouce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1083
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.1098
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.1265
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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Taking Profits on EURUSDEURUSD continues to follow the analysis precisely, but it’s time to start watching for profit-taking opportunities.
The trend remains intact, though a deeper correction is possible.
Keep an eye out for signs of exhaustion after breaking the previous high and a potential rejection.
At these levels, avoid opening new positions - instead, focus on managing and closing active ones.
Once the correction plays out, there will be better setups for new trades.
DeGRAM | EURUSD testing the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● Euro rebounded from the channel mid-line and reclaimed the purple corrective trend-line; that switch from resistance to support confirms a bull-flag breakout.
● Fresh upside is opening above 1.1280 (prior swing cap). Clearing it exposes the channel top / horizontal hurdle at 1.1380; measured move of the flag aligns with 1.1550.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● FXStreet notes US April leading-index fell for a 25th month, pulling 2-yr yields off highs, while Yahoo Finance reports German PPI turned positive m/m, limiting ECB-cut bets and lending bid to the euro.
✨ Summary
Buy 1.122-1.128 ; objectives 1.138 → 1.155, invalidate below 1.108.
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EUR/USD 1H AnalysisWhat we’ve got here on EUR/USD looks like a clean Elliott Wave setup shaping up.
There’s a strong 5-wave move up that likely forms Wave 1, followed by a simple ABC correction — that gives us Wave 2.
Now price is reacting from that C point, and this could be the beginning of Wave 3, which is usually the most powerful part of the trend.
🟩 Entry Zone: 1.114 – 1.12
🎯 TP: 1.14
🛑 SL: 1.109
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
💡 Note: Always manage your risk and confirm with your own analysis before entering any trade.
Keep an eye on it — could be a solid setup if it confirms. Drop your thoughts if you're trading this too 👇
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1263
1st Support: 1.1166
1st Resistance: 1.1423
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EU is ready to riseHi traders,
Last week EU made another wave down into the Daily FVG. Check my outlook of last week.
After the bigger correction was finished, price made the first impulse wave up and a correction down.
So next week we could see the next impulse wave 3 of 5 (black) up.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small impulse wave up and a correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs to the higher Weekly FVG.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
EUR/USD Breakout Watch – Are You In?Price is currently breaking out of a descending trendline after respecting a strong demand zone. We’ve got early signs of bullish momentum, and if price confirms above structure, a move toward 1.12675 is in play.
Watching for a retest and continuation to the upside.
🎯 Target: 1.12675
📌 (Not financial advice)
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