EURUSD m15 SellThere’s another Sell opportunity on EURUSD.
I've set the RRR to 1:1.50, with a TP level at 1.13694.
I opened three short positions at: 1.13795 / 1.13802 / 1.13834.
EURUSD is one of the four pairs I trade the most and trust the most.
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🔔 I post detailed trade ideas and daily market analysis like this every day on my TradingView profile.
EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
The EURUSD trade hit TP just 4 minutes after I shared it!Yes, ladies and gentlemen — volume never lies.
The RRR 1:1.50 setup I posted just minutes ago delivered solid profits in no time.
Congrats to everyone who took the trade!
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SMC Precision Short on EURUSD | SMT + Liquidity Grab = Clean Set📉 EURUSD 15M | Smart Money Concept (SMC) Trade Idea
🔍 Market Structure & Bias:
- High Timeframe POI (1H): Price tapped into a 1H Supply Zone, indicating potential short setups aligning with HTF bias.
- Break of Structure (BOS):Clean BOS to the downside confirms market intent shifting bearish.
🧠 Smart Money Logic :
- Liquidity Grab: Price swept liquidity above the equal highs and immediately rejected the 1H supply zone.
- Refinement: On the 15M, an entry block (OB) formed right after the SMT
- Mitigation: Price mitigated a lower timeframe demand and then gave an impulsive move down confirming intent.
- Entry: Entered short at the mitigation of the refined 15M supply zone.
- Stop Loss: Above the recent high (liquidity sweep).
- Target:
TP1:At the internal liquidity low (marked green @ 1.13152).
TP2:Final target at external liquidity below swing low @ 1.12637
Trade Details :
- 📍 Entry: 1.1372
- 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.1391
- 🎯 Take Profits:
TP1: 1.13152
TP2: 1.12637
Thanks for your time..
Skeptic | EUR/USD 4H Range Breakout: Key Long & Short TriggersEUR/USD on the 4-hour timeframe is currently trapped in a consolidation box, where a breakout above the ceiling or below the floor could provide excellent trading opportunities. I’m Skeptic , and in this analysis, we’ll dive into EUR/USD across multiple timeframes to identify key long and short triggers. Stick with me until the end for a complete breakdown! 🚀
Daily Timeframe: Uptrend Context 🟢
On the daily chart, EUR/USD remains within an uptrend channel , maintaining a bullish major trend. Recently, after hitting the channel’s upper resistance, the pair corrected toward the midline, a critical support zone within the channel. However, the reaction at the midline lacked strong bullish momentum, leading to a 4-hour range consolidation . This could signal the end of the correction, potentially setting the stage for a continuation of the downmove toward the lower channel boundary.
4-Hour Timeframe: Range Dynamics 🔍
On the 4H chart, EUR/USD is oscillating between 1.13904 (resistance) and 1.13153 (support) . A key observation: after the initial bounce from the 1.13153 support to 1.13904, subsequent tests of this support failed to push back to 1.13904. This indicates waning buyer strength at the 1.13153 support, increasing the likelihood of a breakout below. Additionally, while bullish candles in this range are larger, we’re seeing smaller, frequent green candles, suggesting buyer exhaustion within the box.
For traders eyeing a short setup , this weakening support at 1.13153 offers a compelling opportunity. You can take on slightly higher risk by placing a sell-stop order below 1.13153 instead of waiting for a confirmed breakout candle (this is my personal approach). A short trigger would be validated by a break below 1.13153, with RSI entering oversold as a strong confirmation. Short targets: 1.12692, with a potential extension to 1.12006.
For a long setup , a breakout above 1.13904 could signal a resumption of bullish momentum, targeting the upper channel boundary on the daily chart. Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering long to avoid false signals.
DXY Correlation: Additional Confirmation 📈
Let’s also consider the US Dollar Index (DXY). After a recent rally, DXY has entered a time-based correction, visible as a pullback to a descending yellow trendline. A break below DXY’s support at 99.195 would reinforce our EUR/USD long setup, while a breakout above the trendline and 99.876 would strengthen our EUR/USD short setup. Both scenarios offer sharp price movements with attractive risk-to-reward (R/R) ratios, making these triggers highly actionable.
Final Thoughts 🙌
Thanks for joining me in this detailed EUR/USD analysis! I’m Skeptic, and I share daily forex and crypto insights. If you found this useful, please follow for more content! 🔥
EUR/USD Slides to 1.1350 Amid USD Strength & ECB Dovish Signals📌 Daily Market Summary: EUR/USD Slides to 1.1350 Amid USD Strength & ECB Dovish Signals
EUR/USD declined toward 1.1350 on Friday as the US Dollar gained strength, driven by easing tensions in the US–China trade standoff. Reports suggest Beijing may suspend additional tariffs on some US goods.
Despite the dip, the euro remains firm against most major currencies except North American ones.
ECB members Holzmann and Rehn highlighted ongoing structural weaknesses in the Eurozone and increased risks of inflation undershooting the 2% target.
Olli Rehn suggested that the current conditions justify a rate cut as early as June.
📊 Technical Outlook
EUR/USD dropped to 1.1350, but the broader trend remains bullish, with the 20-week EMA still pointing higher around 1.0885.
💼 Trading Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE
Entry: 1.12725
Stop Loss: 1.12000
Take Profit: 1.13165
🔴 SELL ZONE
Entry: 1.14775
Stop Loss: 1.15300
Take Profit: 1.14350
📉 Caution: With political news and central bank guidance shaping sentiment, traders should closely monitor reactions at key levels and stick to their risk management rules.
EURUSD Potential Long Play @1.109 (Demand zone) Thoughts on this potential Long play from a bounce of a identified demand zone @ the price level of 1.109? TP and SL also included in the set-up. Does Market structure make sense for this play? that's the only thing I'm a bit uncertain about. I used the Top-down approach, looking at 1W>1D>4H>1H>15M>5M.
Would like to hear your thoughts about it!
EURUSD is a ticking timebombEURUSD has been consolidating after a huge rally, forming a bullish pennant in the larger timeframes. Depending on which side the price breaks out from, enter accordingly. Break upwards? Buy. Break downwards? Sell. TPs are as specified.
Watchout for fake breakouts.
Please do not risk more than 1% per trade。
If you like the idea, please help like the post and comment down your thoughts below! I would love to hear your thoughts!
EURUSD m15 SellEURUSD is once again giving a sell signal. It's advisable to set the trade with a 1:1.50 Risk-Reward Ratio. You may consider closing your position at this level.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD Holding in the Demand Zone📊 Technical Analysis
EUR/USD is still capped by $1.16 and has slipped back under its trend-line, keeping bearish divergence alive; sub-1.145 trade leaves $1.134 then $1.12 exposed.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Euro-area confidence and PMI hover near stagnation amid fresh U.S. tariff threats.
U.S. payrolls jumped 228 k in Mar, and Fed officials favour steady rates, keeping yields and USD firm.
✨ Summary
Eurozone softness versus robust U.S. data widens policy divergence, aligning with the technical rejection at $1.16. A daily close below $1.134 should quicken a slide toward $1.12.
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EUROUSD ANALYSIS CHARTKey Observations:
Rising Wedge Pattern:
The blue trend lines show a rising wedge, which is generally considered a bearish reversal pattern.
Price action has broken below the lower trendline of the wedge, indicating a potential bearish breakout.
Price Action & Projection:
The current price is around 1.13580.
A clear breakdown from the wedge suggests further downside potential.
A projected path (in blue) shows a possible consolidation before a strong bearish move.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Appears to be around the current market price (1.13580).
Stop-Loss: Around 1.14442, above the upper boundary of the wedge (a common safe SL placement).
Take-Profit: Around 1.12219, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
This is roughly a 1:2 R:R ratio, which is considered a good setup.
Bearish Confirmation:
The break below the trendline plus the retest or consolidation suggests sellers are gaining control.
Confirmation will strengthen if price closes below 1.13300 on higher volume.
Conclusion:
This setup indicates a bearish bias with a potential strong move down if the support zone around 1.13300 breaks convincingly. The risk is managed with a stop above the recent highs, and the reward target aligns with previous support zones.
Would you like help identifying key support/resistance levels or adding indicators like RSI or MACD to confirm the trade?
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 24 April 2025
- EURUSD reversed from support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.1510
EURUSD currency pair recently reversed up from the support area between the key support level 1.1300 (which also reversed the price at the start of April) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from March.
The upward reversal from this support area stopped the earlier short-term ABC correction iv from the middle of April.
Given the clear multi-month uptrend, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 1.1510, which stopped the earlier impulse wave iii.
Why Should You Care About ER?🚀 Hey Traders! Have You Ever Felt Lost in the Chaos of Market Fluctuations?
What if I told you there’s a powerful tool that can help you cut through the noise and give you a statistical edge to predict SUPPORT and RESISTANCE movements with confidence?
Let me take 5 minutes of your time to introduce you to something that could transform your trading game: Expected Range Volatility (ER) .
What is Expected Range Volatility (ER)?
The Expected Range (ER) is a framework that helps traders understand how much an asset is likely to move within a specific timeframe. Based on CME market data and Nobel Prize-winning calculations, price movements within the expected volatility corridor have a 68% probability of staying within those boundaries.
💡 Key Insight: When the price approaching certain levels, there’s a 68% chance the price won’t break through those boundaries. This means you can use ER as a powerful filter to identify more precise entry and exit points for your trades.
Why Should You Care About ER?
When I first discovered the ER tool, it felt like stumbling upon a gold mine in the trading world. Here’s why:
It’s free and available on the CME exchange’s website.
It’s underutilized —95% of traders don’t even know it exists.
It provides statistical clarity in a world full of uncertainty.
I remember the first time I used ER in my analysis—it completely changed the way I approached intraday trading. Now, I never make a trade without checking the ER data. It’s become an essential part of my strategy.
How to Use ER in Your Trading
1️⃣ Input the Data: Head over to the CME website, plug in the necessary parameters, and get your ER values.
2️⃣ Set Boundaries: Use the ER range as a guide to set potential support and resistance levels.
3️⃣ Filter Trades: Only take trades that align with the ER framework to improve your precision.
A recent example is the Japanese yen futures market.
Don't be confused by the fact that we take futures levels, it can easily be plotted on a spot chart for forex market (the dollar/yen).
Limitations to Keep in Mind
While ER is a powerful tool, it’s not a crystal ball. Here are some limitations:
Market Dynamics: Short-term price movements can be unpredictable due to sentiment, news, or economic events. ER provides a statistical estimate, but it doesn’t guarantee outcomes.
Assumptions: The formula assumes price movements follow a log-normal distribution , which may not hold true in all market conditions.
Your Turn: Are You Using ER in Your Strategy?
💭 Here’s the million-dollar question: Are you leveraging the power of Expected Range Volatility in your trading? If not, why not start today?
💬 Share your thoughts in the comments below:
Do you currently use ER or similar statistical tools?
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No Valuable Data = No Edge!
Long trade
📈 EUR/USD – Buy-Side Trade Idea
Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025
Session: New York to Tokyo Overlap (PM)
Entry Time: 6:00 PM (NY Time)
Trade Parameters
Entry Price: 1.13420
Take Profit: 1.14744 (+1.717%)
Stop Loss: 1.13130 (−0.26%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 4.57
The EUR/USD pair showed signs of bullish momentum into the NY close, with strong support holding around the 1.13130 level—a key structure from the previous intraday low.
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1278
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1149
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1428
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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EURUSD Short: Completion of Double CombinationThis is the Elliott Wave counts for EURUSD. I go through the wave counts from weekly degree then drill down to the 15mins for trading purpose. I suggested 3 entry points as a scaling-in strategy to trade this. Important for this is, as usual, the stop loss.
EUR/USD – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Imminent
EUR/USD is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, indicating potential for a strong breakout. Price action has tightened, and a decisive move is expected soon.
• Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the triangle resistance could trigger a move toward the key resistance zone at 1.15183.
• Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the triangle support may lead to a decline toward the green demand zone between 1.12500–1.13000.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 1.15183
• Support: 1.12500–1.13000 (Demand Zone)
• Deeper Support: 1.11321
Upcoming economic events (EUR and USD news) may increase volatility — wait for confirmation before entering trades. Watch for volume spikes and strong candlestick patterns to confirm the breakout direction.
Trade Idea:
• Buy on bullish breakout retest
• Sell on bearish breakdown retest
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always manage risk accordingly.
EUR/USD: Potential Downside Mouvement !!Price broke below the rising wedge support and retested the broken structure.
Following the rejection, price continues lower, respecting bearish market structure.
Focus is on the demand zones below as potential targets.
If momentum holds, we can expect further downside toward the next liquidity areas.
Not financial advice.
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