EU BULLISH?yes watch price action at the marked level o=to go long. Price tested a weekly zone and 4Hr gave us a bullish sequence which is now being respected with the hourly.
EURUSD_SPT trade ideas
eurusd sell tradeThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a downward trend, indicating weakening momentum. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing a bearish crossover, further supporting the potential for a downward move
EURUSD Bull Run Looking at the EU chart we can see that the Market made a Trend Shift to the Upside at the beginning of the month of march, for todays present price action i can see a nice bullish move where price can potentially be heading to 1.12000 Level because if we take a look at the Price Action, a nice Support level was created at the 1.08000 Level where after creating the support price made some solids confluences like : a Break and Retest of 1.08, if you scale to the daily timeframe chart you can see a clean Higher Low with the confirmation price has totally rejected 1.08 level thanks to that weekly close where it closed above the highs, now price is currently at a Key Area where i can see buyers start to get in or i can even see Price Retesting 1.08 before it starts moving to 1.12 because we also have Monthly Resistance 1.10 that usually price hesitates to break but with the momentum price is printing most likely price will start pushing from the key area, all will depend of the price action we get this week.
correctionIt is expected that the corrective trend will form until the specified support levels. Then there is a possibility of a trend change and the upward trend will begin.
EURUSD SELL TRADE PLAN🔥EUR/USD TRADE PLAN🔥
✅ Market Bias: Bearish 📉 (Downtrend) ✅ Trade Type: Trend Continuation
📌 ENTRY TYPE: Sell Trade – Pullback Entry ⭐ Confidence Level: 🔵⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High)
📌 STATUS: Waiting for price to tap the entry zone
📍 ENTRY ZONE (SELL):
Primary Entry Zone: 1.0840 - 1.0860
Secondary Entry Zone (if deeper pullback occurs): 1.0890 - 1.0910
📌 STOP LOSS & TAKE PROFIT TARGETS:
🚨 Stop Loss: Above 1.0925 (Invalidation level)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥉 TP1: 1.0765 (Partial profits & SL to breakeven)
🥈 TP2: 1.0700
🥇 TP3: 1.0650 (Final target)
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio:
Primary Entry Zone: Approximately 1:3
Secondary Entry Zone: Approximately 1:4
📌 Reason for Entry:
Bearish Trend: EUR/USD has entered a corrective phase, trading below recent highs. The trend outlook remains bearish.
Double Top Formation: A double-top pattern has formed at 1.0950, indicating a potential drop to 1.0695.
Fibonacci Confluence: The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level aligns with the entry zone, providing additional confluence.
📌 CONFIRMATION REQUIRED BEFORE SELLING:
H1 Bearish Candlestick Rejection: Look for a pin bar or engulfing pattern at the entry zone.
Volume Increase at Supply Zone: Indicates strong selling pressure.
Lower Timeframe Bearish Divergence: On M15/H1 charts for extra confluence.
❌ DO NOT take the trade if the price breaks above 1.0910 without a bearish reaction.
📌 RISK MANAGEMENT REMINDER:
💰 Risk 1-2% per trade. Move SL to breakeven after TP1 to secure profits.
📌 TRADE VALIDITY & INVALIDATION CONDITIONS:
✅ Trade Validity: Must tap entry within the next 24 hours.
❌ Invalid if:
Price misses the entry zone and moves straight to TP1/TP2.
Fundamental shift changes trade bias (e.g., major news event).
Price breaks above 1.0910 = Trade invalidated.
📌 FUNDAMENTAL CHECKS & SENTIMENT ANALYSIS:
EUR Weakness: Recent data shows a decline in Eurozone economic indicators.
USD Strength: Positive US economic data and safe-haven demand support the USD.
COT Report: Indicates institutions adding to USD long positions, reducing EUR longs.
🚀 FINAL TRADE PLAN SUMMARY:
SELL EUR/USD on a pullback into 1.0840 - 1.0860 (or 1.0890 - 1.0910 if a deeper correction occurs).
Targeting: 1.0765 → 1.0700 → 1.0650.
SL: Above 1.0925.
**Trade valid for the next 12-24 hours.
🚀 EXECUTE WITH INSTITUTIONAL PRECISION! 🔥
EURUSD Trend in EUR and US Trading Sessions–Weak Upside Momentum✍ ✍ ✍ EUR/USd news:
➡ Disappointing macroeconomic data from the United States makes it difficult for the US Dollar (USD) to strengthen on Tuesday, allowing EUR/USD to find support. However, the cautious market sentiment prevents the currency pair from gaining significant traction.
➡ Later in the day, the ADP Employment Change data will be released as part of the U.S. economic calendar. However, investors are unlikely to react strongly to this data ahead of President Donald Trump's tariff announcement on "Liberation Day."
➡ Market volatility is expected as traders assess the Trump administration's new tariff regime and its potential impact on economic prospects. Consequently, making investment decisions based on immediate reactions could be risky. Additionally, volatility may remain high if U.S. trade partners, such as the EU, respond by imposing their own tariffs on American goods.
Personal opinion:
➡ Currently, the disadvantage is in favor of the EUR, so the downtrend for the EUR/USD currency pair is inevitable. The momentum for the EUR/USD pair is currently quite low, so a short-term sell order can be considered feasible.
➡ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell EUR/USD 1.0800 – 1.0810
❌SL: 1.0845 | ✅TP: 1.760 – 1.0730 – 1.0700
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
EURUSD road map !!!The Euro will increase two cents and reach to the top of the wedge in the coming weeks.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
THIs Is MY ENTIRE PLAYBOOK RIGHT HERE... The only Thing that Wor So Yeah
... because the theory is " THE HIGHER THE TIME
FRA ME , the S STRONGER the TIMEFRAME"
So... Here's the entire Step by Step process
O. IDENTIFY a HIGHER TIMEFRAME FVG ( ex. WEEK FVG )
1. Wait for price to be at LOWER TIMERAME FVG (ex. DAY FVG )
2. Wait For Price to have a Strong SWEEP ( abnormally long Wicks are preferred ) and CHOCH on 4HR-1HR-15MIN WHILE INSIDE THE DAY FVG.
3. After the CHOCH swing leg has completed, plot FIB, FVG, FRVP and establish your Context Area.
4. ENTER @ Context Area, or validate the context area first. Then enter.
These look like SWING SETUPS ( it is ), so how do I make sure I have at least one trade per day?
Scan the charts and put alarms on DAY FVGS with opposing WEEK FVGS.
Trade only the ones triggering the alarms.
Wait, I think I understand the context area now and its purpose. You don't enter inside the context area ... Here is where you " Sandbox and validate " your hypothesis that "price will pump after hitting the FVG" by making sure that price behaves the way you expect it to behave FIRST ( 1. FVG Sweep 2. CHOCH+ FVG 3. OTE ZONE TAP and RUN ), before You start looking for an entry .
It's easier to understand in programming logic .
IF WEEK FVG < - > DAY FVG EXISTS , THEN REVERSAL PROBABILITY 10%
IF PRICE STINGS DAY FVG , THEN REVERSAL PROBABILITY 20%
IF PRICE CREATES CONTEXT AREA, THEN REVERSAL PROBABILITY 40%
IF PRICE RESPECTS CONTEXT AREA, THEN REVERSAL PROBABILITY 60%
This is the point Where You go to 15min - 5m - 1min and cook up an entry.
OR, Simply enter after a 15min FVG in line with Target / Bias. Just put your SL below Sting point.
You are targeting a weekly FVG, so it's a Swing trade at this point.
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 3, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD saw a bullish spike on Wednesday after the Trump administration announced tariffs that were less severe than many investors expected given President Donald Trump's flurry of tariff threats over the past 72 days. While the specific tariff proposals are unclear, U.S. consumers should prepare for flat 10 percent tariffs on all imports, significant 25 percent tariffs on all automobiles and auto parts, and “reciprocal” tariffs imposed at different rates depending on the country.
In addition, Trump has reiterated his intention to impose additional tariffs on goods such as copper, microchips, and other important imported consumer goods that are vital to the U.S. economy. As these tariffs are likely to drive up consumer prices in the coming months and there is no obvious alternative in the market to obtain foreign goods without incurring high import duties, inflationary pressures are expected to rise soon and persist longer than desired. According to Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, the uncertainty of the Trump administration's trade policy is likely to keep interest rates elevated for an extended period beyond previous expectations.
European economic indicators are likely to remain moderately light for the rest of the trading week. Meanwhile, new US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is expected this Friday. The NFP report could have a significant impact on the markets as the US economy moves into a post-tariff phase, and the March labor statistics will be a key indicator of the impact of the Trump administration's tariff strategy.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.09100, SL 1.08400, TP 1.10300
EURUSD - market structureEURUSD - market structure , we are retail and we trde strategy, you can predit , just react
Pre-london Chart Mark-up | EURUSD & USDJPY💶 EURUSD Analysis
✅ Bias: Neutral, awaiting confirmation from demand and supply zones.
✅ Price has pulled back to the 50% level of the 1-hour swing range, which typically favors sell setups.
✅ However, upside imbalances remain unfilled, acting as a potential price magnet for bullish continuation.
🔎 What I’m Watching:
If price shows bearish rejection from supply, I will favor sell setups.
If price holds above demand and fills the imbalance, I will look for buys.
Staying flexible and trading based on confirmation signals.
💴 USDJPY Analysis
✅ Bias: Bearish (aligned with the daily fractal structure).
✅ We had a change of character (ChoCh) to the downside, signaling the end of the internal structure pullback.
✅ This confirms that we should focus on selling opportunities.
🔎 What I’m Watching:
On the 1-hour timeframe, I missed my initial short entry.
Looking for price retracement into a supply zone for a potential re-entry into shorts.
Expecting a continuation of the bearish order flow in line with the dominant trend.
🔔 How I’m Approaching This Session:
✅ Staying patient and waiting for price action confirmation before executing trades.
✅ Following market structure, order blocks, and liquidity zones to refine trade entries.
✅ Reacting to what the market gives, rather than forcing a directional bias.
Having no position is also position- EURUSD - Official Tarrifs
Dear Traders, Investors and every interested person
I dont going to lie Im trough hard weeks maybe months after Trump became president although I’m sure you too. As of 01/04/2025 we are just few hours away to enjoy our rollercoaster ride in the amusement park of the USA GOVERMENT. Their old-new attractions is about tariffs and reciprocal tariffs.
Those who’s are not familiar what is a tariff I recommend reading this part those, whose already going to the bed and waking up with it may skip it the following section.
A **tariff** is a **tax imposed by a government on imported or exported goods**. It's one of the tools countries use in international trade policy. Here's a breakdown:
Types of Tariffs :
1. Import Tariff – tax on goods coming **into** a country. ( We are dealing with this curently)
2. **Export Tariff** – tax on goods going **out** of a country (less common).
Why Governments Use Tariffs:
Protect domestic industries by making foreign products more expensive.
Generate revenue for the government.
-Retaliate against unfair trade practices or tariffs from other countries.
Example:
If the U.S. places a **20% tariff** on imported French wine, that means any French wine imported into the U.S. will have an additional 20% tax added to its price. This makes domestic wine relatively cheaper, helping local producers compete .
___________________________________________________________________________
As of April 1, 2025, President Donald Trump has implemented or announced tariffs affecting a wide range of goods from multiple countries. Here's a summary of the current tariff measures
Tariffs on Canada and Mexico
February 1, 2025: President Trump signed executive orders imposing a 25% tariff on all goods imported from Canada and Mexico, citing concerns over illegal immigration and drug trafficking.
-March 4, 2025: These tariffs took effect, leading to retaliatory measures from both countries.
April 2, 2025: Tariffs on USMCA-compliant goods from Canada and Mexico, which had been temporarily exempted, are set to be enforced.
Tariffs on China
-February 1, 2025: An additional 10% tariff was imposed on imports from China due to the country's alleged failure to curb the export of fentanyl precursors and address money laundering activities.
March 4, 2025: The tariff rate on Chinese imports was increased to 20%
Global Tariffs - COMMING
April 2, 2025 President Trump has declared this date as "Liberation Day," marking the implementation of new tariffs aimed at addressing trade imbalances.
Reciprocal Tariffs The administration plans to enforce tariffs that match the rates other countries impose on U.S. goods, effectively applying a **20% tariff** on most imports.
Automobile Imports: A specific 25% tariff on imported passenger vehicles, light trucks, and key automobile parts is set to take effect on April 3, 2025.
Tariffs on the European Union- Because we treated very badly.....
-February 26, 2025: President Trump announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on goods imported from the European Union, with a particular focus on the automotive sector.
Secondary Tariffs on Oil Imports
March 2025: The administration has threatened secondary tariffs on countries importing oil from Russia and Iran. This means that nations purchasing oil from these countries could face U.S. tariffs if they continue such trade while also engaging with the American market.
____________________________________________________________________________
In case of you get lost between the dates please take look at the
Comprehensive Tariff Table – President Trump (2025)
as of 01/04/2025
____________________________________________________________________________
Hereafter I would like turn your attention to the period of 28/02/2025 - 19/03/2025
What caused this relentless and, for many traders, painful +5.35% upside move under 19 days?
🇩🇪 Germany has unveiled a comprehensive fiscal strategy involving substantial investments in both infrastructure and defense sectors over the next decade. Here's a breakdown of the planned expenditures:
Infrastructure Investment:
€500 Billion Special Fund : The government has established a €500 billion special fund dedicated to infrastructure and climate-related projects over a 12-year period. This fund is designed to modernize critical systems, including energy grids, transport networks, digital infrastructure, education, and healthcare facilities. Notably, €100 billion of this fund is earmarked specifically for climate action initiatives aimed at achieving carbon neutrality by 2045.
Defense Spending:
Exemption from Debt Brake: In a significant policy shift, Germany has amended its constitutional "debt brake" to exempt defense and security expenditures exceeding 1% of GDP from borrowing limits. This adjustment effectively removes the previous cap on defense spending, allowing for increased investments in military capabilities.
Projected Defense Expenditure: While exact figures may vary based on annual GDP and specific defense needs, this exemption is anticipated to facilitate approximately €400 billion in additional defense spending over the next 10 years.
This fiscal policy measures does not take place often, but honestly signs were on the market that something is cooking at the back: Someone knows something that I dont. And you neither.
XETR:DAX from 01/January/2025 was not too much reason for the steady increase in the shadow of the trade war.
FX:EURUSD just look at the price actions from 01/January/2025 till the German gov announcement.
I could not explained for myself fundamentally what is happening. Why I see huge positioning with towards the upside when we still facing measures which can push major economies in the EURO AREA as France and Germany more deeper under the water where they already been.... No economic data refuted my findings.
Anyway, after all I said to myself let’s wait meanwhile, I was shorting the EUR because I felt the possible damage of the planned measures are not correctly priced in. (Interest rate parity, industrial production under 50 ( which means contraction) and a few other things. )
03/03/2025 Thats when everything got sense. Lesson learned: If you feel something do not suppress it especially when the signs are that strongs as above mentioned period.
The effect: All Europen goverment bond yields skyrocketed TVC:DE10 TVC:FR10
Why ? The German plans means that the goverment needs money and market said well i need return so I will finance you +3% and 2,30%
Bonds market are the real drivers behind the currency movements and this case the effect was drastic. In order to buy eur denominated bonds you need euro, therefore you exchange your currency to euro.
___________________________________________________________________________
Tomorrow questions is whats will be new in terms of tarrifs?
I do expect that soon the inflation will edge higher in the US which can trigger US bonds yield to increase significantly, but is will lead for short term dollar gain.
USA is playing with the fire since if their avarage debt interest payments will be +5% thats will open darker boxes soon than in 2008. Much darker.
So thats why I would enjoy the short term currency gain which is autonomous and than exchange my dollar to euro everywhere.
EURUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers.
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- Following U.S. President Trump's announcement of reciprocal tariffs, China responded by declaring a 34% retaliatory tariff on all U.S. products. In response, Trump stated that China had made the wrong choice.
- U.S. nonfarm payrolls for March increased by 228,000, significantly exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate came in slightly above expectations at 4.2%.
- Fed Chair Jerome Powell commented that "tariffs are likely to push up inflation, at least temporarily," and added that the impact may be more lasting, signaling a slight step back from his earlier stance that the effects would be "transitory." Regarding monetary policy, he stated that "there is no need to rush."
Key Economic Events This Week
+ April 10: FOMC Minutes, U.S. March Consumer Price Index
+ April 11: U.K. February GDP, Germany March Consumer Price Index, U.S. March Producer Price Index
EURUSD Chart Analysis
Previously, a strong rebound from the 1.07500 level led to a sharp rise up to the 1.11500 area. However, faced with resistance at the recent high, the pair has now retreated to around the 1.09500 level. Moving forward, we anticipate a slight decline toward the 1.08000 level, followed by a renewed upward move targeting the previous high at 1.11000.
However, if the pair breaks below the 1.08000–1.07500 range, contrary to expectations, the trend could shift to bearish. In that case, we will quickly revise our strategy.
EURUSD:Continuously focus on low-level long positionsTrump's announced comprehensive tariff plan has sparked global attention. On Thursday, the EUR/USD price generally rose as expected. On that day, the price dropped to a low of 1.0804 at the lowest, rose to a high of 1.1145 at the highest, and closed at 1.1047.
Looking back at the performance of the EUR/USD market on Thursday, after the opening in the morning, the price tested the four-hour support level in the short term in a downward direction and then soared rapidly. Subsequently, it maintained a very strong upward trend throughout the day. Eventually, the price closed with a large bullish candlestick. Overall, as the author mentioned, the adjustment during the medium- and long-term upward trend of the EUR/USD has ended, and it has continued to soar. Going forward, keep paying attention to taking long positions at low levels.
Trading Strategy:
buy@1.1010-20
TP:1.1170-1.1210-1.1340
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EURUSD(20250402) Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
1.0799
Support and resistance levels
1.0851
1.0832
1.0819
1.0780
1.0767
1.0748
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.0799, consider buying, the first target price is 1.0819
If the price breaks through 1.0780, consider selling, the first target price is 1.0767
EURUSD sideways consolidation supported at 1.0750Trend Overview: The EUR/USD currency pair remains in a bullish trend, supported by a prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback towards a newly formed support zone, previously a resistance level.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels:
1.0755 – Previous resistance turned support, key level for potential bounce.
1.0700 – Secondary support level if 1.0755 fails.
1.0600 – Stronger support in case of extended retracement.
Resistance Levels:
1.0914 – Initial resistance level on the upside.
1.1013 – Next target if bullish momentum continues.
1.1070 – Long-term resistance and key breakout point.
Market Sentiment & Price Action: The recent corrective pullback aligns with normal market fluctuations within an uptrend. A bullish bounce from the 1.0755 support level could trigger an upside move, targeting the 1.0914 resistance level and potentially extending towards 1.1013 and 1.1070 over a longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 1.0755 support, accompanied by a daily close below this level, would weaken the bullish outlook. This could lead to further downside pressure, potentially testing the 1.0700 level, with an extended decline towards 1.0600 if selling pressure intensifies.
Conclusion: The EUR/USD pair remains in a bullish structure as long as the 1.0755 support holds. A successful bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend, targeting higher resistance zones. However, a decisive break below 1.0755 and a daily close under this level could shift sentiment bearish, leading to further downside retracement.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADE ENTRY EURUSDThe overall trend is bearish using Technical Analysis we are expecting a pull back into 38.2 fib level.
Euro can exit from pennant and rebound up from support areaHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price was previously trading inside an upward channel, where it consistently rebounded from the support line and moved toward the resistance line. After a final bounce from the lower boundary, EUR made a strong breakout and exited the channel, triggering a powerful bullish impulse. This move brought the price directly to the current support level at 1.0745, which overlaps with the support area. After reaching the local high, the price turned around and entered a correction phase, forming an upward pennant pattern. Inside this structure, we can see how EUR respected both the resistance line and the rising support line of the pennant. Recently, the price rebounded from the support line again, showing signs of strength near the support area, and is now consolidating at the edge of the pennant. This setup often signals an upcoming breakout. I expect the price to break above the resistance line of the pennant and continue its bullish move toward TP1, which is set at 1.0950 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Eurusd 4 April long term viewLooking from the daily time frame, price is very bullish and any trade going forward should look into being long.
Will look for opportunity to short and long using the expected path, only if lower time frame also support the idea. Good luck.
EUR/USD Set to Climb: Eyes on 1.08947 and 1.09207 TargetsTechnically, the one-hour chart of EUR/USD indicates a short-term bullish trend. The pair is expected to continue its upward movement, with potential targets at 1.08947 and 1.09207
EURUSD, Bullish Bias, Fundamental and Technical AnalysisFundamental Analysis
1. Endogenous factors of EURO is getting better while USD is down
2. Seasonality shows EURO bullish in April while USD bearish
3. increased pressure of interest rate cut in USD in also leading towards DXY bearish
4. COT data shows net increase in EUR and decrease in USD
5. Sentiments shows bullish in EUR 11/8, while USD is 4/5.
6. LEI, Endogenous and Exogenous factors all in favor of Bullish momentum in EURUSD.
Technical Analysis
1. Cup and Handle Formation
2. Breakout appeared
3. Breakout Retest
4. Buy in parts
i. Long 1% at current price
ii. Long 1% @ 1.09017
5. Stop loss below Handle
6. Projection Target 1.165
7. Take profit on Major resistance levels
