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EUR/USD_TOM - EUR/USD

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EURUSD_TOM trade ideas

Pennant pattern appears - creating bullish potential🔔🔔🔔 GBP/USD news: ➡️ Speculative net long positions in the euro (EUR) have climbed to a two-week high of nearly 60,000 contracts, while hedge funds and other market participants have increased their net short positions to around 90,500 contracts—also the highest level in two weeks. Open interest has simultaneously surged to nearly 700,000 contracts, marking a multi-week peak. ➡️ As the U.S. dollar loses momentum, the euro has gained fresh strength—even amid escalating global trade tensions. Central banks on both sides of the Atlantic are navigating uncharted territory, with remaining closely monitoring inflation, growth indicators, and newly announced tariffs. While the EUR/USD pair appears poised to extend its upward trend in the near term, shifting risk sentiment and ongoing trade developments may fuel further volatility. Personal opinion: ➡️ EUR/USD still has short-term bullish momentum while USD breaks down to 100.00 and there are no clear signs of recovery ➡️ Bullish Pennant appears, increasing the possibility of this pair continuing to increase ➡️ Analysis based on Trend line and EMA combined with price action to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy EUR/USD 1.1330 – 1.1315 ❌SL: 1.1280 | ✅TP: 1.1395 – 1.1450 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
3
EURUSD is Extending Higher in an Impulsive StructureThe EURUSD currency pair is showing strong signs of continuing its upward trend, based on Elliott Wave analysis. Since its low on September 26, 2022, the pair has been climbing. However, it hasn’t yet hit its projected target of 1.19. This suggests more room to grow in the long term. For now, the pair remains a good opportunity for buyers as long as it doesn’t drop below the key support level of 1.0876. Looking at a shorter time frame, starting from March 27, 2025, EURUSD is moving in a classic five-step upward pattern. The first step peaked at 1.1146, followed by a brief dip to 1.087. The pair then surged to 1.147, and pulled back slightly to 1.126. It is now expected to push higher to complete this short-term cycle. After that, a temporary dip is likely before the upward trend resumes. In simple terms, as long as the pair stays above 1.0876 and hasn’t reached 1.19, any short-term declines should attract buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swing looking for more gains. Traders can watch for these dips as opportunities to join the bullish trend, with the next significant moves likely to unfold soon.
by Elliottwave-Forecast
EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair is poised for volatility in 2025 as monetary policy divergence between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) shapes directional bias. Here's an analysis of key factors: ECB Policy Impact Recent Rate Cut: The ECB lowered key rates by 25 bps on April 17, 2025, reducing the deposit facility rate to 2.25%. This dovish move reflects confidence in disinflation progress, with headline and core inflation nearing the 2% target. Future Guidance: The ECB emphasized a data-dependent approach, signaling flexibility amid trade tensions and economic uncertainty. Further easing may be limited if inflation stabilizes, but prolonged weakness in Eurozone growth could prompt additional cuts. Fed Policy Stance Rate Hold: Fed officials, including Cleveland President Beth Hammack, advocate maintaining current rates (4.25–4.50%) due to mixed economic data and tariff-induced uncertainty. The Fed’s cautious stance prioritizes combating inflation over preemptive cuts. Divergence Risk: A widening policy gap favors USD strength if the ECB continues cutting while the Fed holds. J.P. Morgan highlights this dynamic, projecting EUR/USD downside if the ECB outpaces Fed easing. Market Projections Bullish Scenarios: we are predicting a 2025 high of 1.238, driven by EUR resilience and Fed rate cut expectations later in the year. Technical analysis notes critical resistance at 1.125 is broken and the breakout will potentially accelerates more gains hoping to change 1.238 next supply zone . Bearish Risks: EUR/USD declining to 1.0741 by year-end,could be medium-term corrections amidst USD dominance on tighter Fed policy. Key Drivers to Watch Inflation Trends: Sustained Eurozone disinflation vs. sticky US inflation. Growth Data: Eurozone PMI improvements vs. US labor market and GDP metrics. Trade Policies: Escalating tariffs may tighten financial conditions, influencing Fed/ECB reactions. Short-Term Outlook Q2–Q3 2025: Immediate EUR weakness likely post-ECB cut, with support at 1.0753 (200-day SMA). A Fed hold in May-June could extend USD gains. Q4 2025: Potential EUR recovery if Fed begins cutting rates, with targets at 1.1800–1.2143. In summary, EUR/USD faces bearish pressure near-term but may rebound in late 2025 if policy divergence narrows. Traders should monitor ECB/Fed communications and economic resilience in both regions.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
WHY EURUSD IS STILL BULLISH DETAILED ANALYSIS We closely monitoring EUR/USD, which is currently trading around 1.0430. The pair has shown resilience after rebounding from the 1.0220 support level, forming a bullish engulfing pattern on the 3-day chart. This pattern suggests potential for a bullish reversal, especially as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) recovers from oversold conditions. The price action aligns with the lower boundary of a long-term descending channel, indicating a possible shift in trend. Fundamentally, the euro is under pressure due to the European Central Bank's (ECB) recent rate cut to 2.25%, marking the seventh reduction since mid-2024. This move aims to counteract the economic slowdown exacerbated by U.S. tariffs on EU imports. In contrast, the U.S. dollar faces its challenges, with political tensions arising from President Trump's criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates swiftly. These dynamics have led to increased volatility and a weakened dollar, influencing EUR/USD movements. Technically, the ascending triangle pattern observed on the 4-hour chart supports a bullish outlook. A decisive break above the 1.0625 resistance could pave the way for targets at 1.0760 and subsequently 1.0850. However, traders should remain cautious, as a drop below the 1.0220 support might signal a continuation of the bearish trend, potentially testing parity levels. In the current market environment, it's crucial to stay updated with economic indicators and geopolitical developments. Key events, such as U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls and Eurozone inflation data, will provide further insights into the pair's direction. Employing sound risk management strategies and staying informed will be essential for navigating the EUR/USD landscape effectively.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
EURUSD IDEA BY ICT 4+ ConfirmationIn my analysis of EURUSD using ICT concepts, I identified several confirmations, including: Fair Value Gap (FVG), Discount & Premium levels, Breaker Block, and Optimal Trade Entry (OTE). For each of the mentioned PD Arrays, I used the 50% level of the range as a key reference point. Based on this approach, my point of view is that there is potential for EURUSD to move upward during the Asia/European session. Note: This is only analysis, not financial advice
Long
by AhmadADL
EURUSD: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why: The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the EURUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Short
by UnitedSignals
1
UR/USD Breakout or Fakeout? Key Levels to Watch!EUR/USD just broke into a major supply zone around 1.13820 after weeks of consolidation. But here's the twist — is this a true breakout or a bull trap? I'm watching for: A rejection from the supply zone = short setup A clean breakout with strong candle close = long continuation Targets: 1.08881 and possibly down to 1.03594 if bulls fail to hold! Fundamentals + technicals align this week with high-impact EUR & USD news incoming (see bottom-right news icons). This could be the move we’ve been waiting for! Chart powered by LuxAlgo + S&D zones. Let me know your bias in the comments — Bull or Bear? #StaySharp #TradeSmart
Short
by FrankFx14
EUR/USD trend at the beginning of the week - Strong EUR🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news: ➡️ The EUR/USD pair surged over 1% during Asian trading on Monday, breaking above the 1.1500 level for the first time since November 2021 as relentless selling pressure on the US Dollar (USD) continued. Mounting concerns over a potential US recession and questions about the Federal Reserve’s independence kept weighing on the greenback. ➡️ The Fed maintained its interest rate range at 4.25%-4.50%, with Chair Jerome Powell highlighting slower growth prospects, inflation risks stemming from tariffs, and the possibility of rate cuts later this year. Markets are currently pricing in roughly a one-percentage-point easing by December. Personal opinion: ➡️ The EUR is showing signs of outperforming the USD. However, the pair is approaching overbought levels and showing signs of slowing down, so there will be an immediate pullback. However, the tariff and economic news still favors EUR ➡️ Analyze based on important resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with RSI to come up with a suitable strategy. Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy EUR/USD 1.1470 - 1.1455 ❌SL: 1.1400| ✅TP: 1.1540 – 1.1630 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
EURUSD COMPRAS para el 17 de abril de 2025, e idea minima venta📊 EUR/USD Analysis – April 17, 2025 💶💵 Today we have high-impact news that could bring significant volatility to the EUR/USD pair. Despite that, my outlook remains focused on buys, and here’s why: 🔹 The overall structure is still bullish, and the broader scenario supports continuing to look for buying opportunities. 🔹 I’ve marked a sell zone for those who want to take advantage of a quick entry with a tight risk-reward ratio. It’s valid, but it’s not my main setup. 🔹 Personally, I’ll wait for the buy confirmation, because the current context and market liquidity support a stronger and more sustainable upward move. ⚠️ Keep in mind there’s news during the session, so this is not the time to improvise. I’ll stick to my plan, waiting for price validation and the right setup. 🎯 As always, patience is key. The market rewards those who wait for the best opportunities.
Long
by edisonjavierrey
1
Bullish Pennant Confirms Breakout: Momentum Builds Toward 1.19The pair has formed a textbook bullish pennant on the 4-hour timeframe following a sharp impulsive move upward. Price action consolidated within a narrowing triangle, signaling accumulation before the next leg higher. The breakout above the pennant’s resistance suggests continuation of the uptrend, with projected Fibonacci targets at: 1.1781 (1.272 extension) 1.1940 (1.414 extension) Volume behavior confirms the pattern: declining during the consolidation phase and increasing at the breakout, supporting a strong bullish bias. Fundamental backdrop: -The US Dollar faces pressure as markets increasingly price in a potential Fed rate cut in the second half of 2025. -The ECB maintains a more hawkish stance, reinforcing euro strength relative to USD. -Eurozone economic data shows signs of inflation stabilization, while US CPI readings remain mixed. -Capital rotation favors major currencies with resilient monetary policies and macroeconomic stability. As long as EUR/USD holds above 1.1476, the bullish scenario remains intact. A move toward 1.1781 and 1.1940 appears likely. A breakdown below 1.1237 would invalidate the pennant and shift momentum toward support retests.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
Bullish Pennant on EUR/USD @ D1A bullish pennant has formed on the daily chart of EUR/USD. It can be used for an upside breakout setup. The pennant and its pole are shown with the yellow lines. My potential stop-loss level is marked with the red line (1.12662), it is placed at the low of the pennant area. My potential take-profit level is marked with the green line (1.17921), it is placed at the pole's length above the stop-loss. I will wait for a significant close above the pennant's border to consider trading this breakout.
Long
by AndriyMoraru
DeGRAM | EURUSD Holding in the Demand Zone📊 Technical Analysis EUR/USD is still capped by $1.16 and has slipped back under its trend-line, keeping bearish divergence alive; sub-1.145 trade leaves $1.134 then $1.12 exposed. 💡 Fundamental Analysis Euro-area confidence and PMI hover near stagnation amid fresh U.S. tariff threats. U.S. payrolls jumped 228 k in Mar, and Fed officials favour steady rates, keeping yields and USD firm. ✨ Summary Eurozone softness versus robust U.S. data widens policy divergence, aligning with the technical rejection at $1.16. A daily close below $1.134 should quicken a slide toward $1.12. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1