EURUSD_TOM trade ideas
Trump’s Strike on Iran Lifts Dollar, Weighs on EuroEUR/USD dipped to around 1.1480 in early Asian trading Monday as the dollar strengthens following President Trump’s decision to join Israel’s war on Iran, escalating the conflict. Over the weekend, US forces struck three Iranian nuclear sites; Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan. Trump claimed the facilities were “totally obliterated” and warned of harsher attacks unless Iran seeks peace. The escalation supports safe-haven demand for the dollar, pressuring EUR/USD.
Meanwhile, the ECB cut rates for the eighth time this year but signaled a pause in July. President Lagarde said cuts are nearing an end, which may help limit euro losses.
Resistance is located at 1.1530, while support is seen at 1.1450
EURUSD 15M CHART PATTERNHere's a structured summary of your EUR/USD trade setup:
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📈 EUR/USD Buy Setup
Entry (Buy): 1.14660
Take Profit Targets:
1. TP1: 1.14940
2. TP2: 1.15100
3. TP3: 1.15330
Stop Loss: 1.14260
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⚖ Risk-Reward Ratios
Let’s break down the potential Risk:Reward (R:R) for each target:
Risk per trade: 1.14660 – 1.14260 = 40 pips
R:R for each TP level:
TP1 (1.14940): (1.14940 – 1.14660) = 28 pips → R:R = 0.7:1
TP2 (1.15100): (1.15100 – 1.14660) = 44 pips → R:R = 1.1:1
TP3 (1.15330): (1.15330 – 1.14660) = 67 pips → R:R = 1.7:1
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🧠 Strategy Suggestions
Scaling Out: You could take partial profits at each TP level to lock in gains and manage risk.
SL Management: Consider moving stop loss to breakeven after TP1 is hit.
Volatility Awareness: Watch for any economic events or Fed/ECB news that might increase volatility.
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Would you like a position size calculator or a chart visualization for this setup?
EURUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Off the 61.8% FibBased on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.1555, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.1457, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 1.1632, a swing high resistance.
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EUR/USD Bullish Reversal Breakout Pattern Technical Analysis Summary:
The chart illustrates a strong bullish reversal pattern forming on the EUR/USD pair:
🔹 Double Bottom Formation (🔶🔶):
Two clear bottom zones are marked with orange circles near the 1.14400–1.14500 area, indicating strong buying interest and support.
The second bottom confirms the double bottom pattern, often a precursor to an upward trend.
🔹 Support Zone (📉):
Firm support around 1.14450, as highlighted on the chart.
Price has respected this zone twice, bouncing back with bullish momentum each time.
🔹 Neckline Breakout (🔼):
Price is approaching the neckline zone at 1.16087, which acts as the bullish target.
A break and close above this neckline will confirm the reversal and open the way toward the resistance zone around 1.16500.
🔹 Projected Move (🎯):
If the neckline breaks, price is expected to surge towards 1.16500, aligning with the historical resistance.
This move completes the measured target projection from the double bottom structure.
🔹 Bullish Structure:
Higher lows and strong bullish candles are reinforcing the uptrend momentum.
Curved trajectory shows accumulation followed by a breakout phase.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 1.14450 – 1.14500
Neckline/Target: 1.16087
Resistance: 1.16500
🛑 Invalidation:
A strong breakdown below support (1.14450) would invalidate this bullish setup.
EURUSD: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.15208 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.15133..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD -> Bullish Idea 22/06/2025(ICT x Volume Profile)OANDA:EURUSD 🎯 Bias: Bullish
🕒 Timeframe: H1 primary, H15 confirmation
Happy sunday traders!
Following President Trump’s strikes on Iran, I expect an initial bearish reaction in the Asian and London Sessions, then a bullish reaction in the NY sessions as sellers push the USD lower. However, the prevailing trend context remains bullish: the hourly chart has shifted structure (MSS) and broke structure to the upside. I anticipate a liquidity sweep below the recent lows, before a retracement into the 15-minute fair value gap (FVG) which aligns with the volume profile, then continuation higher to target the weak high and into the swing highs marked.
EURUSD H2 Best Levels to BUY/SELL and Market Update🏆 EURUSD Market Update m20 short-term trade
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: BEARS 1275
🔸1500/1540 short sell rips/rallies
🔸Mid-Term outlook: BULLS 1750
🔸bulls buy low 1250/1275 reload
🔸bulls exit at 1750 swing trade
🔸Price Target Bears: 1250/1275
🔸Price Target Bulls: 1750
🌍 Macro & Political Drivers
U.S. tax & spending concerns: The Congressional Budget Office now projects President Trump's tax‑and‑spending bill will raise deficits by about $2.8 trillion over the next decade. This massive debt addition is pressuring the U.S. dollar, as rising Treasury issuance and weaker fiscal confidence weigh on demand.
Geopolitical tensions: Escalation in the Israel–Iran conflict is pushing investors toward the safe-haven U.S. dollar. The DXY jumped to around 98.80 as President Trump’s remarks on Iran sent the EUR/USD down to approximately 1.1484.
EU developments: ECB officials, including Christine Lagarde, are doubling down on strengthening Europe’s financial infrastructure to elevate the euro as a viable alternative to the dollar — calling this a “global euro moment.”
Key resistance is around 1.1550–1.1575; downside support zones near 1.1450 and broader range 1.1360–1.1420 remain intact, though current levels suggest consolidation above the lower range. Strength from safe-haven flows could stall upward momentum.
📊 ECB Policy & Inflation Signals
The ECB cut rates by 25 bp last week to 2.0%, reinforcing the message that inflation remains subdued (1.9% in May) and prompting a data-driven, meeting-by-meeting decision approach.
ECB speakers stress “agile pragmatism” given global uncertainties, citing the euro’s ~10% rally year-to-date but cautioning amid rising oil prices and geopolitical risks.
⚡ What to Watch Next
Catalyst Outlook
U.S. yields & bond auctions More issuance tied to tax plans could steepen the curve and support the USD.
Middle East headlines Escalation may continue to offer dollar safe-haven benefits, pressuring EUR/USD.
EU economic data Inflation softness (e.g., France) could weaken ECB’s stance, re-pressuring the euro.
Technical levels Watch 1.1450 support—holds for possible rebound; resistance 1.1550–1.1575 for upside pressure.
✅ Summary
Current: EUR/USD around 1.1484, with bearish tilt amid risk aversion.
Bull case: Ongoing U.S. fiscal weakness, delayed tariffs, and ECB support for euro could cap downside.
Bear case: Safe-haven demand from geopolitical tensions, Fed‑ECB divergence, and technical breakdown through 1.1450 could push toward 1.1360.
Up down up and downWe are in a bullish channel and have just retested the support and got our confirmation. We will likely see one more retest at resistance before dropping significantly, on the way down I anticipate a fakeout before dropping more. So basically just going to bounce between some lines then drop
EURUSD M15 Forecast - Check related IdeaAs explained in previous post we are expecting a pull back down to our order block (H4) then a bullish reversal to retest last weeks highs (1.16) region. If price breaks and closes above the M15 supply zone will have to re-evaluate and potentially take a long position from a retest into a FVG.
EU could go up againHi traders,
Last week EU made a bigger (overlapping) correction to the downside so now the wave count is invalid. I must admit that I don't see a clear Elliott wave pattern. There are multiple options.
This last pattern could be a corrective pattern and next week we could see a next impulsive wave.
Or it is a bearish leading diagonal and next week we could see this pair drop.
At the moment my main (fundamental) bias is still bullish.
But let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for more development of price action.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
EURUSD: Bearish Continuation
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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EUR-USD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is trading in an
Uptrend along the rising
Support and the pair will
Soon retest the support
From where we will be
Expecting a bullish rebound
And a bullish continuation
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD RangeThe PO3/ model 1 accumulation i was talking about played out perfectly. I can't tell yet, but the purpose of this accumulation could have been to come back up into supply and redistribute from there to then go lower. I will look for a valid model in case this plays out like that. (I would want to see a better model, i don't like the first deviation)
Long objective for the following week for EURUSD.We see EU after a deeper mitigation in our range, Shift structure in the lower timeframes, Which can indicate a trend shift in the higher timeframes because the markets are fractal.
We have undetified two significant demand zones for longs positions.
There is also a chance that price can mitigate deeper in our range so we should use correct risk managment because nobody knows from which point price will move from.
Chartanalyse: Der Chart zeigt eine Seitwärtskonsolidierung mitTechnical Overview:
The EUR/USD chart exhibits signs of a bearish reversal pattern forming near a key resistance zone (1.15800 - 1.16000), highlighted with repeated rejection wicks (🔴 red arrows). Price is currently trading at 1.15222, after failing to hold above the neckline of the rounded bottom pattern.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔺 Resistance Zone: Strong resistance has been confirmed multiple times (red arrows), indicating sellers are active at the top.
🟠 Double Top / Head & Shoulders Behavior: Price action shows topping formations (highlighted with orange circles), suggesting exhaustion of bullish momentum.
📉 Bearish Breakdown Possibility:
Price rejected near neckline and is showing bearish candle formations.
Breakdown from the current consolidation zone could push price toward the target zone at 1.14491, marked in purple.
This aligns with previous support structure, reinforcing a technical downside projection.
🔻 Support Zone: Around 1.13800 - 1.14000 is a strong area of demand and may act as the next bounce point if the bearish move continues.
📐 Chart Pattern Structure:
Rounded bottom formed earlier, but the failure to continue higher and breakout suggests a false breakout trap for buyers.
Downward sloping trendline broke, but now price is struggling to sustain above previous highs.
📌 Conclusion:
⚠️ Caution for bulls as price shows signs of weakness at resistance. A move below 1.15000 may initiate further downside toward 1.14491 and possibly lower. Short-term traders can watch for confirmation candles near this zone for entries.
📅 Short-Term Bias: Bearish
🎯 Target: 1.14491
⛔️ Invalidation: Strong breakout above 1.16000
EURUSD BEARISH SETUP
The EUR/USD 4-hour chart reflects a significant technical setup, showing price action within a bullish ascending channel that has recently broken to the downside, forming a falling wedge pattern—typically a bullish continuation signal.
Key Observations:
Bullish Channel Broken: The price broke below the ascending channel earlier this month, signaling initial weakness.
Falling Wedge Formation: A bullish falling wedge has developed, and the pair is now testing its upper boundary near 1.1522, attempting a breakout.
Resistance Zone: The price is approaching a key resistance area between 1.1550 – 1.1600, which aligns with previous highs and the wedge's upper edge.
Scenario Projection:
A temporary bullish breakout toward the resistance zone is expected.
If the pair gets rejected from this resistance, a sharp decline toward the major support area near 1.1300 is likely.
Bearish Confirmation: A clear rejection at the resistance zone followed by a break below the recent minor support (red zone) would confirm the bearish move.
Conclusion:
While short-term bullish momentum may push EUR/USD slightly higher, the confluence of resistance levels suggests a high probability of rejection. Traders should watch for reversal signals in the 1.1550–1.1600 zone, as failure to break higher could lead to a bearish move toward 1.1300 in the coming days.
EURUSD After the FedInterest rates remained unchanged, and EURUSD dropped to 1,1471.
Keep an eye out for a continued correction toward the next key support at 1,1370.
From that level, look for signs of a bounce and potential buying opportunities.
Make a note of the news release time and watch for market reaction.
EURUSD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1551
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1458
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1608
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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