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EUR/USD_TOM - EUR/USD

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EURUSD_TOM trade ideas

USD on the mat but not knocked out-yet.Hello traders This is a look at USD and the relationship to other asset classes. DXY: Daily close above the weekly breakout level. Fundamental: CPI ticked down but CME FedWatch tool still shows first rate cut only in June. PPI tomorrow may change the trajectory again. Dollar dumping might reflect international investors selling USA assets. EUR/USD: At the upper boundary of the channel . Daily close 1.1200 below 9/25/24 high of 1.1214. 100 month MA at 1.1190 Fundamental: CPI expectation next week remains at 2.2. ECB meeting next week with rates likely unchanged. Eurozone spending on defense in the pipeline. German government in place. NZD/USD: Touched 0.5766 which was a daily high level and closed below. Fundamental: The commodity dollar that stands to lose the most from a slow down in Chinese demand caused by the trade war. Australia too. But watch out for any statements from the Chinese government that will boost their economy. Yuan devaluation, stimulus, dumping more US T-notes... USD 10Y yield: Daily close right at February breakdown level. THIS is the wild card at the moment. The bond market seems to have simmered down but is the global financial system creaking at the moment? The USD 10Y T-note had good demand this morning but it seems the market is demanding a higher premium to carry USD debt. PLUS, if the spending bill and debt limit resolution passes the Senate, it will lead to even more issuance of debt unless the American public is screwed over by losing Medicare and Social Security benefits. We'll see. This is a very simplistic look at the incredibly complex and intertwined global financial system that, like it or not, is at the whim of the USA's current trade policies. How much reputational damage has been done to American exceptionalism and a safe have to invest in, remains to be seen. Best of luck.
by jvrfxalerts
5
EUR/USD short: Grow eyes in the back of your headHello traders Well, what an exciting but yet predictable week with the tariff turmoil. I have advocated several times in the past to keep an eye on the US 10Y yield but yesterday's price action definitely left me feeling like my head was spinning on my shoulders like Beetlejuice. Fun movie. However, I was on the EUR/USD long side after the rejection lower at the weekly high. Dumb luck or insight, I don't know but I am grateful that my 10 pip trailing stop starting at 1.0988 propelled my trade higher until it was stopped out. The US 10Y yield rocketed higher and the USD decoupled, crashing lower against the Euro. And that folks, is probably why we once again have a new tariff scheme. Traders and (likely) Sovereign entities dumping US bonds seemed to be behind this illogical move. This event must have hit a nerve somewhere in the White House because without issuing more debt and finding buyers, the proposed tax cuts are dead in the water. More about that later in the week. I have entered into a technical driven short EUR/USD position with a tight stop above 1.0998. This trade will only be successful if the current calm conditions prevail and core CPI MoM(March) comes in higher tomorrow. Jobless claims? Ask Musk and DOGE. The FOMC is not going to bail out this market if it gets choppy again, so keep an eye on your preferred newsfeed. In conclusion, be hyper vigilant because the bond market might have had a successful US 10Y auction today but there is nothing "beautiful" about anything at the moment. Do Beetlejuice with eyes in the back of your head. Good luck
Short
by jvrfxalerts
6
EURUSD SHORT CONCEPTE-U sell sides swing concept. I'm precipitating an upsurge in the dollar index and a vice versa on both EURUSD & GBPUSD. Since last week Friday, we've been on a low resistance liquidity run to the downside 1 hr t.f. Though we got to a HTF sweet spot/ point of interest on selling pressure. We're kinda sluggish to melt to the downside. I might not know what move the markets might pull out today, but I'm looking for that selling pressure. I'll only look for buying pressure if the market gets above prev monthly highs and shows buy side interest. Comment below on what you think, hit that boost & follow for more content. Stay tuned for updates, entries and more...
Short
by gachihi
EUR/USD Hits Highest Level in Over Three YearsEUR/USD Hits Highest Level in Over Three Years This morning, the euro surged above the 1.1300 mark against the US dollar for the first time since February 2022. Throughout this week, the EUR/USD pair has broken through the highs of both 2023 and 2024. Why Is EUR/USD Rising? Amid the whirlwind of news surrounding the imposition and suspension of tariffs in US–EU trade, one dominant factor stands out — the sell-off of US bonds. According to Reuters, long-term US Treasury bonds are being heavily sold this week. The yield on 10-year notes has jumped from 3.9% to around 4.4%, marking the steepest increase in yields since 2001. This may reflect a reaction by foreign holders of US debt to sanctions imposed by the White House, combined with growing uncertainty about the US economy — especially as recession fears gain more media attention. As a result, the US dollar is showing weakness against a range of currencies, including the Japanese yen, Swiss franc, and the euro. Technical Analysis of EUR/USD The chart reveals a clear ascending channel (marked in blue), with the price repeatedly interacting with its upper, lower, and median boundaries — highlighted with markers and arrows. Current bullish sentiment has pushed the pair towards the upper boundary of this channel. It’s possible this resistance line could halt further gains, potentially leading to a correction — perhaps down to the 1.11 level, which previously acted as a strong resistance point. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
EURUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for EURUSD is below: The market is trading on 1.1355 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 1.1173 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
Is there any correction for EUR/USD?🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news: ➡️ EUR/USD regained momentum and surpassed 1.1300 in the European session on Friday. The currency remained supported amid easing US-EU trade tensions and a weaker US dollar. Tariff talks will be closely watched along with Lagarde's speech and US data. Personal opinion: ➡️ EUR/USD RSI entered the overbought zone and showed signs of divergence. This is likely to be a time for buyers to take profits. ➡️ Look at technical recovery zones to make good profits for you ➡️ Analyze based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA and RSI to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy EUR/USD 1.1210 – 1.1220 ❌SL: 1.1170| ✅TP: 1.1280 👉Sell EUR/USD 1.1460 – 1.1470 ❌SL: 1.1510| ✅TP: 1.1410 – 1.1350 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
2
EUR/USD - Further Room For Bullish MoveEUR/USD is nearing the upper trendline of a descending wedge on the weekly chart, currently at 1.13297, near the 1.1200 resistance. The 50-week EMA (blue) is above the 200-week MA (red), indicating underlying bullish momentum, and stochastic Oscillator has also room for further upside move. Below is the likely setup: Bullish Setup (Sustained Breakout Above Resistance): Buy Entry: On a weekly close above 1.1200 or retest of 1.1200 as support. Stop Loss: 1.1100. Take Profit: 1.1750 (first target), 1.2300 (second target). Confirmation: Strong close above 1.1200, Stochastic holding above 50 after a pullback. If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Long
by MarketsPOV
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 11, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD hit its highest levels in nearly two years on Thursday, breaking through and closing above 1.1200 for the first time in 21 months. Market tensions continue to ease after the Trump administration dropped its own tariffs at the last minute, causing a general weakening in US Dollar flows. US consumer price index (CPI) inflation fell significantly short of forecasts in March. The core CPI fell to 2.8 per cent year-on-year, a four-year low after nearly eight months above 3.0 per cent. Core CPI inflation also fell to 2.4 per cent year-on-year. Investment markets will face a major challenge if the tariffs reverse the Federal Reserve's (Fed) multi-year efforts to curb inflation. On Friday, the week will conclude with the release of the University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment Index survey. The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index is expected to decline again in April as consumers feel the pressure of the Trump administration's tariff and trade policies, and is likely to fall to a near three-year low of 54.5. In addition, expected consumer inflation data will be released on Friday, with UoM's 1-year and 5-year expected consumer inflation previously standing at 5% and 4.1% respectively. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1305, SL 1.1380, TP 1.1150
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short! Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.104. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.091 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
2