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EUR/USD_TOM - EUR/USD

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EURUSD_TOM trade ideas

Fundamental Market Analysis for April 16, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 15:30 EET. USD - Retail Sales 20:30 EET. USD - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Speaks EUR/USD is trading in positive territory around 1.1285 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The US dollar (USD) is currently trading near a three-year low against the euro (EUR) as trade tensions persist. On Monday, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said that the Trump administration's tariff policy was a major shock to the US economy that could force the central bank to cut rates to prevent a recession even if inflation remains high. At the same time, Atlanta FRB President Raphael Bostic said the Fed should hold rates until there is more clarity. The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to cut interest rates by 25 bps on Thursday amid growing recession fears related to US tariffs.Analysts believe the ECB may cut all three key interest rates at its April meeting on Thursday. The ECB cut interest rates for the second consecutive time in March, bringing the deposit rate to 2.5 per cent. Further cuts would bring the rate down to 2.25%. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1260, SL 1.1360, TP 1.1080
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSD(20250416) Today's AnalysisMarket news: U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September last year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1307 Support and resistance levels: 1.1421 1.1378 1.1350 1.1263 1.1235 1.1193 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1307, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1350 If the price breaks through 1.1263, consider selling, the first target price is 1.1235
Long
by BraveTigercat
EURUSD climbing EURUSD is currently moving in line with expectations. Since the beginning of the week, it has been trading sideways, and yesterday it bounced off the 38.2% retracement level. On the next bullish move, it's important to watch how it reacts to the previous high and whether it can continue with a strong impulse. Today, FED Chair Powell has a press conference, which could lead to increased market volatility. Tomorrow, the ECB's interest rate decision is expected.
Long
by ForexTrendline
Bearish Retracement Setup Near Key Fib ZoneThe FX:EURUSD is showing a strong bullish retracement after a longer-term downtrend. Price is now above the Ichimoku cloud, with Span A at 1.0851 and Span B at 1.0825, which shows temporary bullish momentum but not a confirmed trend reversal. The area between the 61.8% (1.1402) and 78.6% (1.1907) Fibonacci retracement levels is a key supply zone. This zone also aligns with previous highs near 1.12, where the market seems to have grabbed liquidity before showing signs of exhaustion. Both Trend Strength Index (TSI) indicators are in the overbought zone: TSI(10): 0.92 TSI(20): 0.77 This shows strong momentum, but also that the move may be overextended and due for a correction. The current structure suggests a possible lower high forming, which supports the idea of a short entry if price reacts in this zone. Short Setup Plan: Entry zone: 1.1402 – 1.1907 (Fibonacci zone) Stop Loss: 1.25 (above the 100% retracement) Targets: TP1: 0.95 (key psychological level, previous lows) TP2: 0.88 (extension zone) Risk Reward Ratio: Over 2 This setup assumes the bullish retracement is temporary and price may continue the larger bearish trend. EUR/USD is reacting to shifting expectations between the ECB and the Fed. While the Fed is expected to cut rates later in 2025, the ECB may move earlier due to weak growth and cooling inflation in the Eurozone. Recent ECB statements show a cautious tone. At the same time, the U.S. economy remains relatively strong. If the Fed delays cuts or the ECB moves faster, the euro could weaken again, supporting a bearish technical setup. Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
Short
by SupertradeOfficial
EURUSD TRADE PLANS (BUY & SELL)🔥 EUR/USD TRADE PLAN 📅 Date: 15 April 2025 🔖 Plan Type: Dual-Sided Swing Plan Buy Setup: Bullish Continuation from Demand Sell Setup: Counter-Trend Reversal from Supply 📈 Bias: 🔵 Primary Bias: Bullish (HTF trend continuation) 🔴 Secondary Bias: Bearish (short-term exhaustion + liquidity grab) 🧠 Structure Observations: Price has reacted off weekly supply near 1.1420+ Bearish engulfing confirmed on H4 Still bullish on HTF, unless 1.1180 breaks clean Demand remains valid at prior breakout and imbalance zones Volume support at breakout base (H4 OB region) 🟢 BUY PLAN – BULLISH CONTINUATION 🔰 Confidence Levels: 🟢 Buy Plan – Bullish Continuation Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%) ✅ Reasons: HTF uptrend still intact Price respecting major demand zone structure Clean reaction zones + recent bullish reaction wicks 📍 Entry Zones: 🟩 Primary Buy Zone: 1.1180 – 1.1200  (FVG + H4 OB + H1 reaction point + 50 EMA region) 🔁 Entry trigger: M15–H1 bullish engulfing or sweep-reclaim pattern 🟨 Secondary Buy Zone: 1.1110 – 1.1135  (Deep demand + macro OB + previous resistance turned support) 🔁 Entry only after liquidity sweep and reclaim on H1 ❗ Stop Loss: Below 1.1090  → Clears all demand layers and invalidates bullish bias 🎯 Take Profits: 🎯 TP1: 1.1285 → Reaction point & H1 imbalance top 🎯 TP2: 1.1340 → Prior highs before supply zone 🎯 TP3: 1.1395 → Supply edge retest / liquidity magnet 🔴 SELL PLAN – REVERSAL FROM SUPPLY 🔴 Sell Plan – Counter-Trend Reversal Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐ (70%) ⚠️ Reasons: Near-term overextension visible from 1.14+ zone Weekly supply unmitigated; wicks show rejection Lower timeframes indicate momentum loss But trend is still bullish overall (so more caution) 📍 Entry Zones: 🟥 Primary Sell Zone: 1.1340 – 1.1385  (Weekly supply + wick fill + unmitigated imbalance) 🔁 Confirmation: M15–H1 bearish divergence, exhaustion wick, or engulfing 🟥 Secondary Sell Zone: 1.1285 – 1.1310  (Short-term supply pocket + FVG gap) 🔁 Needs aggressive confirmation — avoid early entry ❗ Stop Loss: Above 1.1405  → Invalidates supply and structure, breakout confirmed 🎯 Take Profits: 🎯 TP1: 1.1230 → Intra-demand + mid FVG 🎯 TP2: 1.1180 → Bullish entry zone 🎯 TP3: 1.1135 → Final target at deep support zone 📏 Risk–Reward Projection: Buy Plan: Approx. 1:3.2 R:R Sell Plan: Approx. 1:2.8 to 1:3.5 depending on execution 🔁 Validity: 48 hours from plan release or upon break of SL levels on either side 🌐 Fundamentals to Watch: Upcoming Eurozone ZEW data + US retail sales Fed rate sentiment remains dovish near-term Watch bond yield volatility this week 📋 Final Summary: EUR/USD is in a broader bullish structure but has now faced significant overhead supply. Short-term bearish pressure is visible, but structure remains intact unless 1.1090 is breached. Dual-plan allows traders to operate both edges with proper confirmation.
by jibkhan111
EURUSD Short Term Buy IdeaH4 - Strong bullish momentum Higher highs on the moving averages of the MACD No opposite signs Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the strong support zone holds. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VladimirRibakov
EURUSD - Flag Pattern Indicating a Futher PushA pennant/flag pattern has been printed on the chart. Being a continuation pattern this is indicating a further move high on the price. Confirmation of this is with the Elliot Wave, though I will admit, I am not completely sold on this being a proper impulse wave, however, as per definition the 2-3 section of the wave is the strongest so far, and the 3-4 is the weakest pullback. I just dont like the duration of 3-4 relative to 1-2. For the flag to be confirmed we need to wait for a pullback and retest of the price to the upper red trendline defining the flag. The pullback could go as far as the dotted blue line. A move above 1.43 indicates that the move is likely underway at a target at 1.69 seems most reasonable given its height relative to the 2-3 impulse wave. This would be a measured move up. I would wait to enter the trade until the upper resistance level of 1.43 has been reached, holding a stop at the 1.37 level. This is a decent amount of risk, so I would probably reevaluate the actual stops and targets when I put the trade on.
Long
by MadButcherWA
EURUSD INTRADAY energy build up supported at 1.1240Trend Overview: The EUR/USD currency pair remains in a bullish trend, supported by a prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action suggests a sideways consolidation (coiling price action) possibly triggering a corrective pullback towards a newly formed support zone, previously a resistance level. Key Levels to Watch: Support Levels: 1.1240 – Previous resistance turned support, key level for potential bounce. 1.1144 – Secondary support level if 1.1240 fails. 1.1000 and 1.0890 – Stronger support in case of extended retracement. Resistance Levels: 1.1475 – Initial resistance level on the upside. 1.1595 – Next target if bullish momentum continues. 1.1700 and 1.1830 – Long-term resistance and key breakout point. Market Sentiment & Price Action: The recent corrective pullback aligns with normal market fluctuations within an uptrend. A bullish bounce from the 1.1240 support level could trigger an upside move, targeting the 1.1475 resistance level and potentially extending towards 1.1595 and 1.1700 – 1.1830 over a longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 1.1240 support, accompanied by a daily close below this level, would weaken the bullish outlook. This could lead to further downside pressure, potentially testing the 1.1144 level, with an extended decline towards 1.1000 and 1.0890 if selling pressure intensifies. Conclusion: The EUR/USD pair remains in a bullish structure as long as the 1.1240 support holds. A successful bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend, targeting higher resistance zones. However, a decisive break below 1.1240 and a daily close under this level could shift sentiment bearish, leading to further downside retracement. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead Tuesday, April 15 – Key Market Events US Data: Empire Manufacturing Index (April): Early read on factory activity. Import and Export Prices (March): Trade-side inflation indicators. UK Data: Average Weekly Earnings (Feb) Unemployment Rate (Feb) Jobless Claims Change (March) Impact: Moves GBP based on labor market strength or weakness. Germany & Eurozone: ZEW Surveys (April): Investor sentiment on economy. Germany Wholesale Price Index (March) Eurozone Industrial Production (Feb) Watch EUR, especially if sentiment or output surprises. Italy: General Government Debt (Feb): Less market-moving unless sharply changes. Canada: Consumer Price Index (March): Key for CAD. Major inflation read. Housing Starts, Existing Home Sales, Manufacturing Sales: Supportive data, secondary to CPI. Central Bank Events: Fed’s Bostic speaks: Watch for comments on rates or inflation. ECB Bank Lending Survey: Shows credit conditions, potential ECB signal. Earnings Reports: Bank of America, Citigroup: Key for financial sector outlook. Johnson & Johnson: Healthcare read. Interactive Brokers: Trading activity snapshot. United Airlines: Travel demand indicator. Albertsons: Consumer and grocery sector trends. What Traders Should Watch: USDCAD: Canadian CPI is the main mover. GBPUSD: UK jobs data could push sterling. EURUSD: ZEW and industrial production could drive euro. Equities: Bank earnings will impact risk sentiment. Yields: Inflation data and central bank speak may shift rate expectations. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a BTC/USD 30-minute timeframe with a double/triple top pattern forming around the $85,900 level, marked with red arrows and a "STOP LOSS" label. The highlighted zones and annotations suggest a potential short trade setup. Here's a breakdown: Resistance Zone (Top Red Box): Bitcoin has tested this level multiple times and failed to break higher, suggesting strong resistance. Support Zone (Bottom Red Box): Price has bounced several times from this area, indicating demand/support. Trade Idea: Entry: Near the current level (~$85,600) Stop Loss: Just above the resistance (~$85,900+) Take Profit: Down near the support zone (~$83,300 or below) The pattern indicates a bearish outlook if the resistance holds and price fails to make a new high. The repeated rejections signal a possible move down to the support. Would you like help creating a trading plan or backtesting this pattern?
Long
by money_magnet2
EURUSD – Re-Entry Setup (April 11)EURUSD – Re-Entry Setup (April 11) Re-entered long position at 1.13512 following continued bullish structure and higher timeframe momentum. 🔹 Entry: 1.13512 🔹 Stop Loss: 1.12963 🔹 Target: 1.14734 Price respected the prior breakout zone and rotated back into alignment with upward momentum. Watching for a clean break through 1.14120 to confirm continuation toward target. As always, for educational purposes only. Trade safe, trade smart.
Long
by TradeYourLifeAway
Will the persistent weak dollar help strengthen the euro? The Trump administration announced a 90-day tariff reprieve and reciprocal exemptions on smartphones and semiconductors. However, President Trump denied that this constitutes a tariff exemption, stressing that duties on items such as semiconductors and pharmaceuticals will be reimposed. Amid growing concerns over the impact of US tariff hikes on Eurozone growth, market sentiment has strengthened around the prospect of further ECB rate cuts. ECB President Christine Lagarde warned that the Trump administration’s aggressive tariff policy could destabilize European financial markets. EURUSD has extended its sharp uptrend, testing the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The widening gap between both EMAs indicates a continued extension of bullish momentum. If EURUSD breaks above the channel’s upper bound, the price could advance toward the resistance at 1.1475. Conversely, if EURUSD falls below the support at 1.1210, the price may decline further toward 1.1050.
by inkicho_exness