EURUSD_TOM trade ideas
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 8, 2025 EURUSDAfter a tense week in which the US fully adopted a protectionist trade policy - despite lacking the necessary industrial infrastructure - tariffs on imports were imposed. The US now applies a general 10 per cent import tax on all goods from each country, as well as various โreciprocalโ tariffs calculated by dividing US imports by exports. After imposing a 34 per cent tariff on Chinese products, China responded with its own 34 per cent tariff on all goods imported from the US. Unable to find alternative solutions, the Trump administration threatened to impose an additional 50 per cent tariff on all Chinese goods, which is set to take effect on April 8.
US data takes centre stage again this week, with the release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Thursday. On Friday, producer price index (PPI) data and the University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment survey are expected.
Investors are raising bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin cutting interest rates to reduce recession risks. Markets are factoring in nearly 200 basis points of rate cuts through the end of 2025, despite the Fed issuing cautious policy statements indicating that trade uncertainty complicates any potential rate cut.
Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0950, SL 1.1030, TP 1.0830
EURUSD M15 I Bearish Reversal Based on the M15 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.1000, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.0943, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.1077, an overlap resistance.
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Why I think EURUSD will continue to buy this week...Hey Rich Friends,
I think EURUSD will continue to buy today and maybe this week. This is only my technical analysis, so please check the news and cross-reference the indicators on your chart. Here is what I am looking at:
- The market has bounced from the previous day's low around 1.08740
- Bullish candles have picked up momentum in the last few hours
- Structure was broken on H1 and resistance was retested as support
- The STOCHASTIC is facing up, the orange line (slow) is below the blue line (fast), both have crossed above 50%.
These are all bullish confirmations for me. I will set my SL at the previous day's low and use previous highs as my TPs. Good luck if you decide to take this trade. Let me know how it goes in the comments below.
Peace and Profits,
Cha
EURUSD(20250408) Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
1.0944
Support and resistance levels
1.1113
1.1050
1.1009
1.0879
1.0838
1.0775
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.0944, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1009
If the price breaks through 1.0879, consider selling, the first target price is 1.0838
#eurusd(April8)Levels where price reactions are most likely to occur during the day. Naturally, at each level, you can have buy and sell positions and you can freely use the levels for a new order or for TP of your postions. The levels are updated daily!
The results of price reaction to these levels will be shown in the upcoming videos.
You should note that the levels are based on price action knowledge, and no indicators are used to determine these levels. Therefore, the reaction ranges could occur a few pips above or below the levels marked on the charts!
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.0834
1st Support: 1.0730
1st Resistance: 1.0983
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Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0842
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0730
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.0991
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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EUR/USD short on weekly chart
Stop Loss = 1.14925
Entry Order = 1.10425
TP1 = 1.05925
Two positions with the same stop loss and x1 target for the first position
The stop loss of the second position to breakeven when the first position hits the target1.
The second position has no target, only exit
Risk= 2% of account capital (1% each position)
EURUSD Likely to Trend LowerPotential head and shoulders build up for EURUSD with the latest sentiment from Trump and is continuation pattern with the tariffs. This Friday earning season kicks off which may soften EURUSD from dropping off a cliff. Also talks of 1.25% cuts from the Fed by year end may add some additional cushion for this pair. For this reason, my downside target remains on the ascending trendline.
Trade Safe - Trade Well
EURUSD Sell
We see a strong impulsive move to the upside, breaking through previous resistance levels. The upward push suggests bullish dominance, but price has now entered a corrective phase, retracing from recent highs.
Key Areas of Interest
Resistance Zone at 1.1150 - 1.1160: This area, marked as an "Area of Interest," aligns with previous swing highs, making it a potential reversal point or continuation area.
Support at 1.0919: This level aligns with the Asian session low and is reinforced by the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, making it a crucial support zone.
Fibonacci Retracement & Potential Buy Zones
Price is currently retracing within the Fibonacci levels, particularly testing the 0.382 level at 1.1020. If a deeper retracement occurs, the 0.5 and 0.618 levels around 1.0960-1.0919 could act as strong demand zones for potential long entries.
Liquidity
The chart indicates areas where liquidity may reside, such as above the recent highs and below the Asian session low. A stop-hunt scenario could see price dipping into the 1.0919 region before resuming the uptrend.
EUR/USD remains in a bullish structure but is undergoing a corrective phase. Key support and resistance levels should be watched closely for trade opportunities. A break above 1.1100 could signal further upside momentum, while a drop below 1.0960 might lead to deeper retracement before any continuation.
Traders should monitor price action around these key levels and consider confirmation signals before entering trades.
TRADE
Entry: 1.10328
Stop Loss: 1.10630
Take Profit: 1.08892
EUR/USD Bullish Reversal Setup โ Buy from Demand Zone Near 200 EEMA 30 (Red): 1.09984
EMA 200 (Blue): 1.08869
๐ง Trade Idea: Long (Buy) Setup
๐ Entry Zone (Support/Buy Area):
Entry Point: Around 1.08868 โ 1.08869
This zone aligns with the 200 EMA, acting as dynamic support.
There's also a clear demand zone (purple box), indicating historical buying interest.
โ Stop Loss:
Set at 1.08080
Placed below the demand zone to minimize risk if support fails.
๐ฏ Take Profit (Target):
Target Point: Around 1.11452
Coincides with a previous supply zone/resistance area (top purple box).
โ๏ธ Risk-to-Reward (R:R):
Risk: ~80 pips
Reward: ~250 pips
R:R Ratio: ~3.1:1 โ A solid risk-to-reward setup.
๐ Market Structure Observations:
Recent bullish momentum followed by a correction.
Price is approaching major support (near 200 EMA).
Likely scenario: Pullback into the demand zone, then bullish continuation toward the target.
EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0917
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.0838
My Stop Loss - 1.0966
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/USD Triangle Breakout (07.04.2025)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support โ 1.0825
2nd Support โ 1.0719
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