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EUR/USD_TOM - EUR/USD

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EURUSD_TOM trade ideas

EURUSD M30 I Bearish Drop Based on the M30 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.0800, a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 1.0774, a pullback support. The stop loss is set at 1.0827, a multi-swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
EURUSD Trading Journal April 2 AnalysisEURUSD Trading Journal April 2 Analysis Parent bias is bull Price is in a Premium M/W/D Price is in a discount. Price has not made a distinctive high or low this week yet, could we see that today. Expect wild price action. Dealing range pips 22 News 8:15 April 2 I would like to see price lower to take the minor sell side potentially come into the FVG sell side target in Asia coming into NY. Will price make a lower low today taking out the clean equal lows? I suspect that Price could seek lower prices in Asia and London and set up for a nice rally to minor buy side or potentially equal highs in NY. April 1 Analysis I suspect that Price could continue to seek lower prices to the clean equal lows target maybe in Asia and London and reverse in NY. I love it when a plan comes together! Fantastic delivery.
by LeanLena
1
Having no position is also position- EURUSD - Official Tarrifs Dear Traders, Investors and every interested person I dont going to lie Im trough hard weeks maybe months after Trump became president although I’m sure you too. As of 01/04/2025 we are just few hours away to enjoy our rollercoaster ride in the amusement park of the USA GOVERMENT. Their old-new attractions is about tariffs and reciprocal tariffs. Those who’s are not familiar what is a tariff I recommend reading this part those, whose already going to the bed and waking up with it may skip it the following section. A **tariff** is a **tax imposed by a government on imported or exported goods**. It's one of the tools countries use in international trade policy. Here's a breakdown: Types of Tariffs : 1. Import Tariff – tax on goods coming **into** a country. ( We are dealing with this curently) 2. **Export Tariff** – tax on goods going **out** of a country (less common). Why Governments Use Tariffs: Protect domestic industries by making foreign products more expensive. Generate revenue for the government. -Retaliate against unfair trade practices or tariffs from other countries. Example: If the U.S. places a **20% tariff** on imported French wine, that means any French wine imported into the U.S. will have an additional 20% tax added to its price. This makes domestic wine relatively cheaper, helping local producers compete . ___________________________________________________________________________ As of April 1, 2025, President Donald Trump has implemented or announced tariffs affecting a wide range of goods from multiple countries. Here's a summary of the current tariff measures Tariffs on Canada and Mexico February 1, 2025: President Trump signed executive orders imposing a 25% tariff on all goods imported from Canada and Mexico, citing concerns over illegal immigration and drug trafficking. -March 4, 2025: These tariffs took effect, leading to retaliatory measures from both countries. April 2, 2025: Tariffs on USMCA-compliant goods from Canada and Mexico, which had been temporarily exempted, are set to be enforced. Tariffs on China -February 1, 2025: An additional 10% tariff was imposed on imports from China due to the country's alleged failure to curb the export of fentanyl precursors and address money laundering activities. March 4, 2025: The tariff rate on Chinese imports was increased to 20% Global Tariffs - COMMING April 2, 2025 President Trump has declared this date as "Liberation Day," marking the implementation of new tariffs aimed at addressing trade imbalances. Reciprocal Tariffs The administration plans to enforce tariffs that match the rates other countries impose on U.S. goods, effectively applying a **20% tariff** on most imports. Automobile Imports: A specific 25% tariff on imported passenger vehicles, light trucks, and key automobile parts is set to take effect on April 3, 2025. Tariffs on the European Union- Because we treated very badly..... -February 26, 2025: President Trump announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on goods imported from the European Union, with a particular focus on the automotive sector. Secondary Tariffs on Oil Imports March 2025: The administration has threatened secondary tariffs on countries importing oil from Russia and Iran. This means that nations purchasing oil from these countries could face U.S. tariffs if they continue such trade while also engaging with the American market. ____________________________________________________________________________ In case of you get lost between the dates please take look at the Comprehensive Tariff Table – President Trump (2025) as of 01/04/2025 ____________________________________________________________________________ Hereafter I would like turn your attention to the period of 28/02/2025 - 19/03/2025 What caused this relentless and, for many traders, painful +5.35% upside move under 19 days? 🇩🇪 Germany has unveiled a comprehensive fiscal strategy involving substantial investments in both infrastructure and defense sectors over the next decade. Here's a breakdown of the planned expenditures: Infrastructure Investment: €500 Billion Special Fund : The government has established a €500 billion special fund dedicated to infrastructure and climate-related projects over a 12-year period. This fund is designed to modernize critical systems, including energy grids, transport networks, digital infrastructure, education, and healthcare facilities. Notably, €100 billion of this fund is earmarked specifically for climate action initiatives aimed at achieving carbon neutrality by 2045. Defense Spending: Exemption from Debt Brake: In a significant policy shift, Germany has amended its constitutional "debt brake" to exempt defense and security expenditures exceeding 1% of GDP from borrowing limits. This adjustment effectively removes the previous cap on defense spending, allowing for increased investments in military capabilities. Projected Defense Expenditure: While exact figures may vary based on annual GDP and specific defense needs, this exemption is anticipated to facilitate approximately €400 billion in additional defense spending over the next 10 years. This fiscal policy measures does not take place often, but honestly signs were on the market that something is cooking at the back: Someone knows something that I dont. And you neither. XETR:DAX from 01/January/2025 was not too much reason for the steady increase in the shadow of the trade war. FX:EURUSD just look at the price actions from 01/January/2025 till the German gov announcement. I could not explained for myself fundamentally what is happening. Why I see huge positioning with towards the upside when we still facing measures which can push major economies in the EURO AREA as France and Germany more deeper under the water where they already been.... No economic data refuted my findings. Anyway, after all I said to myself let’s wait meanwhile, I was shorting the EUR because I felt the possible damage of the planned measures are not correctly priced in. (Interest rate parity, industrial production under 50 ( which means contraction) and a few other things. ) 03/03/2025 Thats when everything got sense. Lesson learned: If you feel something do not suppress it especially when the signs are that strongs as above mentioned period. The effect: All Europen goverment bond yields skyrocketed TVC:DE10 TVC:FR10 Why ? The German plans means that the goverment needs money and market said well i need return so I will finance you +3% and 2,30% Bonds market are the real drivers behind the currency movements and this case the effect was drastic. In order to buy eur denominated bonds you need euro, therefore you exchange your currency to euro. ___________________________________________________________________________ Tomorrow questions is whats will be new in terms of tarrifs? I do expect that soon the inflation will edge higher in the US which can trigger US bonds yield to increase significantly, but is will lead for short term dollar gain. USA is playing with the fire since if their avarage debt interest payments will be +5% thats will open darker boxes soon than in 2008. Much darker. So thats why I would enjoy the short term currency gain which is autonomous and than exchange my dollar to euro everywhere.
by ElGatoTrade
EURUSD - Bearish Breakout or Bullish Rebound? Key LevelsThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart shows a bearish breakout from the rising channel, indicating a potential shift in momentum. Price is currently interacting with the Fair Value Gap (FVG), making this a critical decision point. Here are three possible scenarios: ✅ Scenario 1: If price reclaims the FVG and re-enters the bullish channel, we could see a rally toward the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level. ❌ Scenario 2: Price could reject at the FVG and continue its bearish momentum but remain above recent lows. 📉 Scenario 3: A stronger bearish continuation could push price further down, breaking through key support levels. Which scenario do you think will play out? Drop your predictions below! 🔥📊
by Louigi_24
14
GO SHORT The Market has made the move I wanted to see. Price did test into the 1.08203-1.08292 level as I thought it could before finally making its way back down. Currently I'd still like to see price meet the 1.07612 level. If price can make a rebound to 1.07969, while the Eur & Usd sessions come to a close. Using the 30M or 15M timeframes I'd look for entry there to simply go back to first support level mentioned (1.07612) If price just keeps falling I'd wait for an entry around 1.07786 price level. And my ideal with this entry and exit is: if price doesn't rebound to entry 1 we look even more bearish on the 4H time frame, which may allow us find profits at our deeper support level of 1.07326. That's all I have. Study on your but my opinion can be insight to someone hopefully. Good day traders
Short
by XTyriq
2
Smart Money at Work: EUR/USD Supply Zone Rejection! Money Concepts (SMC) reveal how liquidity moves in financial markets. In this setup, institutions leave behind footprints, forming supply zones where price reacts before a major move. 🧐 Key Observations: ✅ Price approaching a high-probability supply zone 🔲 ✅ Liquidity grab before institutional moves ✅ Confluence of order blocks and Elliott Wave patterns ✅ Expecting a strong rejection & downside continuation 📉 💡 Key Idea: Market structure shifts and inefficiencies align with the natural flow of liquidity, just like waves in fluid dynamics! 📊 Will smart money drive this move? Let’s watch the reaction! 🏦⚡
Short
by Greenfireforex
1
Long-Term Outlook: Potential for EUR/USD to Rise to 1.14917Opinion: Based on current analysis, I foresee the EUR/USD pair potentially rising to 1.14917 in the long term. This move could take several months to materialize, potentially extending into the first quarter of 2026. Please note: This is not a trading signal but rather an opinion on possible market direction. I encourage you to share your thoughts and opinions to foster constructive discussion for the benefit of all traders. Thank you for your time and engagement.
Long
by elmaghrebi01
EUR/USD Breaks Out of Ascending Triangle – SHORT SETUPEUR/USD has broken below the ascending triangle pattern, signaling potential downside movement. The price is currently testing support at 1.0782, with the next key level around 1.0732. A retest of the broken trendline may confirm further bearish momentum. Traders watching for a short setup with a stop above 1.0812 and a target around 1.0732. 💡 Risk Management: Always follow a risk management strategy and never risk more than you can afford to lose. 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content is for personal record-keeping and educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their own research before making any trading decisions.
Short
by seventeacup
EURUSD Massive Long! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0795 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.0810 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EUR/USD possible short setupCurrent news:  – European data: The EUR inflation flash reading and related core inflation numbers (high‐ and medium‐impact) are on the radar. Although the forecast for the headline rate was 2.1% (down from 2.3%), the eventual outcome remains unknown, leaving the market sensitive.  – U.S. indicators: Medium–to–high impact US manufacturing data (ISM PMI and job openings) scheduled later today may add volatility and influence risk sentiment. • Trend Probability:  – Short Trade: With the price currently trading below the previously indicated support, a bearish continuation is more likely. Based on technical break and pending high-impact news, a short trade outcome is estimated at roughly a 65–70% probability.  – Long Trade: A countertrend bounce toward support is less likely given the breakdown. The probability for a successful long trade stands roughly at 30–35%. • Technical Analysis:  – Support/Resistance: The key support area (historically around the 1.0800 level) has now been breached. This breakout suggests potential further declines, with lower support possibly near 1.0770–1.0760.  – Price Action & Indicators: Recent M15 candles have confirmed a downward slide beyond a previous rally zone, and while some oscillators show mixed readings, the overall picture reinforces bearish momentum.  – Moving averages: The 50– and 200–period SMAs remain closely monitored. The break below support suggests that price is not only declining but may struggle to regain grip above these averages. • Trade Setups & Levels:     • Entry: Consider entering around the current price (roughly 1.0784–1.0786)   • Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss just above the previous support zone, around 1.0805 to limit risk in case of a reversal.   • Take Profit (TP): Aim for lower support targets near 1.0760 or even 1.0755, adjusting based on emerging price action. Disclaimer: this is just an idea and not recommendation or any kind of advice.
Short
by VS-NTC
EurUsd could continue to the downsideTwo weeks ago, I mentioned that while a new high was possible, the bigger move in EUR/USD should be to the downside. Indeed, the pair dropped from above 1.0900 and recently found support around the 1.0730 zone. The recent recovery appears corrective, unfolding in a flag pattern, and I expect another leg down toward 1.0600. Bearish confirmation comes with a daily close below 1.0750, and my preferred strategy is to sell rallies. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
Euro may bounce up from support area to 1.0950 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Analyzing the chart, we can observe how the price initially reached the support level that aligned with the buyer zone and broke through it. After that, the Euro moved into a wedge pattern, where it reversed near the resistance line and started to decline sharply toward the support line, forming a strong gap and breaking the support once again. Soon after, the price reversed direction and began to climb, breaking through the 1.0360 level again and rising to the resistance line of the wedge. A brief correction followed, bringing the price back down to the support level. From there, the market made a strong upward impulse, breaking out of the wedge and reaching the current support area. After the breakout, the price started moving within a triangle pattern. It broke above the 1.0785 level and climbed to the resistance line of the triangle. Then, a correction took place down to the support area, followed by a quick bounce back up to the resistance, from where the price recently started to decline. Given this structure, I expect the price to complete its correction at the support area and then bounce upward, breaking out of the triangle pattern. If this plays out, I anticipate further upward movement, with my target set at 1.0950 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
12