EURUSD_TOM trade ideas
EURUSD: Weekly Overview June 9th 2025Hello Traders,
US CPI news is really important and could change the direction of the markets. But I think the Pair would keep its bullish trend for next week too.
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The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
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Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1406
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1433
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1358
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Overall bullish continuationI am expecting a minor pullback, because price has changed charcater on the 1hr timeframe, i expect price to pull back towards the 1.14500 area, near the liquidity zone, then a continuation downwards to mitigate a bullish order block near 1.12500 area, then continue upwards targeting 1.1500 area.
A violation is when price clearly breaks below 1.1200.
Trade wisely, this is an analysis and not a financial advise.
EURUSD 4 HOUR OUTLOOK Price mitigated 4hour supply and pullback or retraces to internal sell to buy candle and the zone has been mitigated before.
Anticipating price to break structure to the upside and pullback or...
anticipating price to buy shorts when the market opens and sell to DISCOUNT ( lower time frame- we have a change of character - internal structure
Price will break structure to the upside and continues with HTF bias
Price will clear sell side liquidity to Discount level either one of the marked demands.
I will use h1/m30 time frame for confirmation
EURUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Economic data in the eurozone was mixed.The EUR/USD trended higher in a volatile fashion this week, gaining 0.41% on a weekly basis. It briefly reached a six-week high of 1.1495 on Thursday but retreated to 1.1395 on Friday due to a stronger US dollar. Nevertheless, the euro showed overall robust performance during the week. Analysts were not surprised by the European Central Bank's (ECB) rate cut, but they remained cautious about the impact of Trump's tariff policies on the global economy. Although the ECB believes trade tensions have eased, analysts argue that the eurozone has not fully escaped risks. If future economic data continues to be weak, the euro may face downward pressure.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
EURUSD Potential Long then ShortEUR/USD looking to trade around a key supply zone between 1.1450–1.1500. We’re watching for signs of bearish rejection to build a short bias from this area. No trade unless price confirms.
Main Setup:
If price retests upper zone (~1.1450–1.1500) and shows clear bearish price action, I’ll be looking to enter short.
Ideal signs: rejection wicks, SFPs, bearish engulfing, lower timeframe structure shift.
Break & Retest Option:
If price breaks below 1.1390, a clean bearish retest could offer a continuation short setup.
Structure break confirmation is key here.
This is a forecast, and trades will be dependent on live PA.
If we don’t get confirmation, we don’t force it. Patience is key.
DXY Outlook:
The Dollar Index looks bearish overall but is currently in a small corrective bounce. A short-term DXY pullback would support a push into EUR/USD’s supply zone — lining up nicely with our plan. If DXY flips back to bullish, that strengthens our short setup.
EURUSD - Where to next?I managed to catch a nice 1:21 RR on EU
I am now triggered into a long position taking price back up to the previous highs and potentially beyond.
Price is at a very key area on the HTF and we are at a key area of Supply.
As price sits I'm still expecting it to continue higher, however, if we break the 4HR orderflow to the downside there is a strong possibility price will move lower.
We will keep an eye on this one this week!
Strong Deviation News Trade MethodBack tested News-Based Trading Strategy | March–early June Results
This strategy trades only on strong deviation surprises in high-impact economic news releases, aiming to capture sharp market moves caused by unexpected data.
What is a Strong Deviation?
A strong deviation occurs when the actual economic data significantly differs from the forecasted number, beyond typical market expectations. This threshold is identified using advanced AI analysis of historical news data to measure how much surprise generally triggers meaningful price movement. Traders can implement these deviation levels as objective filters to enter trades only when the market is likely to react strongly.
Back test Summary (March to early June):
Total net result: +146.3 units (pips/points/%)
Number of trades: 10
Entry logic: Trade triggered when news surprise meets or exceeds strong deviation thresholds
Stop-loss: Set at 1.5 times the 15-minute chart ATR (Average True Range) to allow for normal volatility
Take-profit: Set at 2 times the stop-loss distance to secure favorable risk-reward
Visual signals: Each executed trade is marked on the chart with a blue pin
Highlights:
Focus on strong market-moving surprises only, filtering out noise
Risk management designed to balance protection and opportunity
Trades aligned strictly with news-driven momentum
Back tested with consistent positive returns over three months on key US economic data
How to Use:
Apply the strong deviation thresholds identified via AI-powered analysis as your trigger for news trades. Use the ATR-based stops and doubled take-profit for balanced risk control. This strategy suits traders aiming for clear, data-driven signals around economic events with disciplined trade management.
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feel free to comment and discus the strategy. always open to news things and your thoughts.
and always remember . to learn is to share ...
EURUSD Trade Plan 08/06/2025📉 EUR/USD Technical Analysis – June 8, 2025
EUR/USD is showing signs of weakness after rejecting the resistance zone around 1.1475 (Fib 0.618 level). The pair broke below the ascending trendline, suggesting that bullish momentum is fading.
🔻 Scenario:
We may see a corrective pullback to retest the broken trendline (around 1.1450–1.1460). If this retest holds as resistance, the pair is likely to continue its decline.
🎯 Bearish Targets:
First target: 1.1303
Second target zone: 1.1253 – 1.1220
📌 Invalidation Level: A daily close above 1.1577 would invalidate this bearish scenario.
RSI is also turning lower from mid-levels, supporting a potential downside move.
⚠️ Trade with proper risk management and monitor price action around the key levels.
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Regards,
Alireza
EURUSD TRADE INSIGHT Price has been bullish for a long time now, there was a temporary retracement into a mitigation zone, there's a bounce off and price is giving clear upwards shift in market structure, with the current bullish market structure, we have a confirmation for a buy next week.
But currently, price is ready to fall into our buy order block, so we'll be selling on Monday with market Open.
Check the charts, if it aligns with your system, then we've got to make money together on Monday morning.
Good morning traders and have a beautiful trading week ahead
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