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EUR/USD_TOM - EUR/USD

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EURUSD_TOM trade ideas

EURUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is trading near our sell entry level at 1.1692, a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 1.1610, a pullback support. The stop loss is set at 1.1765, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
eurusd RBR EURUSD Daily Demand Zone Trade Idea This is an educational analysis based on a daily timeframe structure using supply and demand principles. Price recently made a strong bullish impulsive move, breaking above previous highs. We’re now seeing a retracement into a fresh Daily Demand Zone formed by a Rally-Base-Rally (RBR) structure. This zone also sits outside of fair value, indicating a potential area of institutional interest. Marked Demand Zone: 1.16127 area Stop Loss Level: Below the zone at ~1.15667 Target: Prior swing high near 1.17505 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 Bias: Bullish continuation, assuming the zone holds
Long
by kellygnd
EURUSD is ready to break supportCMCMARKETS:EURUSD The Euro fell to 1.1670 on Friday, positioning for nearly a 1% weekly loss 📊, as investors recalibrated risk exposure amid escalating trade tensions ⚔️ and shifting monetary policy signals 🏦. 📉 Market Structure: 🔻 EURUSD has traded in a bearish trend since July 1. 🔹 Support levels: 1.1680 and 1.1590. 🔹 Retested the 1.1680 support zone on Friday. 💡 How to Trade This: ✅ If the pair rebounds from support 🔄, consider BUYING with a Take Profit near the next resistance level. ❌ If the support breaks with confirmation 🩻, consider SELLING to target lower support zones. 📰 What’s Driving the Move? 🏦 Monetary Policy: Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee pushed back against calls for aggressive rate cuts 🗣️, reaffirming the Fed’s focus on its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability ⚖️. His cautious stance adds uncertainty 🤔 to the policy outlook for the second half of the year as markets weigh inflation risks vs. growth slowdown signals. 💼 Economic Data: The labor market remains solid 💪, but recent jobless claims data show early signs of cooling 🧊, following last week’s strong NFP report. 💵 Dollar Strength: The dollar advanced sharply against the euro 🚀, driven by risk aversion, relative yield advantages, and investor positioning ahead of upcoming inflation data and the Fed’s next policy signals 📈. 🚨 Watch for: 🔸 A confirmed breakout or rebound at 1.1680 to guide trade entries. 🔸 Upcoming U.S. inflation data 🪙 for direction on Fed policy and USD strength. 🔸 Further developments in trade tensions 🌐, which could drive risk sentiment.
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
Descending Channel Pattern Forming in EUR/USDThe EUR/USD pair is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe, as shown in the chart. The pair has been making consistent lower highs and lower lows, indicating a bearish trend. The red downward-sloping resistance line has been respected multiple times, while the green support line continues to act as a buying zone for bulls. The resistance trendline has been tested five times (marked with red arrows), confirming strong selling pressure. The support line has held three key touches (green arrows), suggesting buyers are still defending this level. A breakout below the support zone could lead to further downside, while a reversal or breakout above resistance may trigger bullish momentum. Traders should watch for volume confirmation and breakout direction before entering new positions. ================================================================= Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. =================================================================
by TradZoo
Bearish drop for the Fiber?The price is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support. Entry: 1.1743 1st Support: 1.1631 1st Resistance: 1.1833 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
EURUSDRecent Price Action • Price attempted to break the descending structure but failed near 1.1705. • A bearish rejection followed by a drop to 1.1667 shows sellers remain in control. • Current bounce to 1.1680 is weak — no strong bullish follow-through. Next Move Scenarios Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (Base Case) • If 1.1685–1.1700 holds as resistance, a move down is expected. • Breakdown of 1.1667 likely leads to: • Target 1: 1.1650 • Target 2: 1.1600 Sell Setup • Entry: 1.1685–1.1695 • Stop Loss: 1.1715 • Take Profit: 1.1650 , 1.1600 and 1.15250
Short
by HavalMamar
EURUSD is in a Downside DirectionHello Traders In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today EURUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Short
by ForexMasters2000
What Are Bollinger Bands? How to use it.✅ What Are Bollinger Bands? Bollinger Bands are a volatility-based technical analysis tool developed by John Bollinger. They consist of three lines: 1. Middle Band: 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) 2. Upper Band: Middle Band + 2 standard deviations 3. Lower Band: Middle Band - 2 standard deviations The bands expand and contract based on price volatility. 📊 What Bollinger Bands Tell You Contraction (Squeeze): Low volatility, possible breakout coming Expansion: High volatility, breakout in progress or exhausted Price Touches Band: Doesn’t mean reversal—it's a sign of strength or weakness 🎯 Mastering Strategies with Bollinger Bands 1. Bollinger Band Squeeze (Breakout Strategy) Setup: Bands are very close together (low volatility) Signal: Wait for breakout and volume spike Action: Enter in direction of breakout Tip: Combine with MACD or RSI for confirmation > 🔍 Example: If the price breaks above the upper band with strong volume after a squeeze → potential long entry. 2. Mean Reversion (Reversal Strategy) Setup: Price touches or exceeds upper/lower band Signal: Look for RSI divergence, candlestick reversal patterns Action: Fade the move back to the 20 SMA (mean reversion) Tip: Works best in ranging markets > ⚠️ Warning: Don’t short just because price touches the upper band. Look for confluence. 3. Trend Riding with Bands Setup: Price rides upper/lower band Signal: Pullbacks to the 20 SMA in a strong trend Action: Enter on bounce near SMA if the trend is strong Tip: Use higher timeframes to confirm the trend > 🟢 In an uptrend, buy near the 20 SMA when price pulls back but doesn’t break lower band. 📌 Key Tips for Mastery 1. Adjust settings for asset/timeframe (e.g., crypto might need a 10 or 14 SMA) 2. Never use Bollinger Bands alone – combine with: RSI (for overbought/oversold confirmation) MACD (trend confirmation) Volume (for breakout confirmation) 3. Use multiple timeframes – e.g., 4H for trend, 15m for entry 4. Avoid chasing band breakouts without confirmation 5. Backtest strategies with your preferred asset 🧠 Advanced Concepts Double Bottoms Outside Band: When price forms a W-bottom with the second low outside the lower band bullish reversal setup. Walking the Band: In strong trends, price can "walk" along the band don’t fade too early. Band Width: Track the width of bands to detect upcoming breakouts. ⚠️ Disclaimer This guide is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
by Peter_Wade
How to Trade Liquidity Sweep in Forex Market (SMC Trading) I will show you a real example of trading liquidity sweep with Smart Money Concepts. You will learn the essential SMC liquidity basics, a simple and profitable strategy to identify and trade liquidity sweep. I will share with you an accurate entry confirmation signal that works perfectly on any Forex pair. Liquidity Basics In order to trade liquidity sweeps profitably, you should learn to identify significant liquidity zones. To spot them, analyze a historic price action and find clusters of important historic key levels. Examine a price action on EURUSD on an hourly time frame. I underlined multiple horizontal key levels. The price respected each level, found support on them, and rebounded. What is so specific about these levels is that they are lying close to each other, composing a liquidity cluster. That fact that EURUSD strongly bounced from these levels suggests that buying interest and high buying volumes were concentrated around them. We can unite these levels and treat them as a single demand zone that has just been broken and turned into a supply zone. After we found a valid liquidity zone, we can look for a liquidity sweep. First, we should let the price approach that area and look for a specific price behavior then. That is a perfect example of a liquidity sweep. You can see that the price formed a wide range candle with a long tail. Its high went way beyond the underlined area, but its body closed within. In order to understand, why a liquidity sweep occurred, let's zoom in our chart and try to understand a behavior of the market participants. Our supply zone concentrated selling orders , we assume that sellers were placing their orders across its entire length. Their stop losses were presumably lying above that area. Smart Money know that and with a liquidity sweep they manipulate the market, making sellers close their positions in a loss (buying back their positions from the market) and providing a liquidity for big players. After a formation of a such a candlestick, a reliable confirmation of a saturation of the Smart Money is a formation of a strong bearish candle - a clear sign of strength of the sellers. A bearish engulfing candle above confirmed a completion of a liquidity sweep and indicates a highly probable bearish continuation. Your perfect sell entry is immediately after a close of such a candlestick. Stop loss should strictly lie above the high of a liquidity sweep. Take profit is based on a local low. Look, how quickly the price reached the goal. Your strategy of trading liquidity sweeps of demand zones is absolutely the same. Let the price test a demand zone, wait for a formation of wide range bearish candle with a tail going below its lows. Wait for a bullish imbalance candle and buy immediately then. Stop loss will be below the low of a liquidity sweep, take profit - a local high. This SMC strategy works on any time frame and can be applied for trading any Forex pair, Gold, Silver, Crypto and commodities. Try it by your own and let me know your results. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Education
by VasilyTrader
14
EUR/USD – Smart Money Trap at 1.18? Massive Rejection Ahead 1. Technical Context The pair has been moving inside a well-defined bullish channel since May, forming higher highs and higher lows. Price is currently hovering around 1.1718, approaching the upper boundary of the channel and a key weekly supply zone (1.1750–1.1850). ➡️ Potential scenario: A short bullish extension toward 1.1780–1.1820 to trigger stop hunts, followed by a bearish rejection toward 1.1500, and potentially 1.1380. The daily RSI is overbought (>70), suggesting a likely short-term correction. 2. Retail Sentiment 80% of retail traders are short, with an average entry around 1.1318. This signals a liquidity cluster above current highs, increasing the likelihood of a fake bullish breakout followed by a sell-off. ➡️ Contrarian insight: Retail heavily short → market may push higher first to wipe them out before reversing lower. 3. COT Report – USD Index (DXY) Non-commercials (speculators) increased their short exposure on USD (+3,134). Commercials cut their short positions (-1,994), indicating a potential bottoming on the dollar. ➡️ Conclusion: USD strength could return soon → bearish pressure for EUR/USD. 4. COT Report – EUR FX Non-commercials increased longs on EUR (+2,980) and sharply reduced shorts (-6,602) → market is now heavily net long. Commercials remain net short (581,664 vs 417,363 longs). ➡️ Over-leveraged spec longs → vulnerable to downside squeeze if macro sentiment shifts. 5. Seasonality June tends to be mildly bullish for EUR/USD. July historically shows even stronger upward performance over the last 5–10 years. ➡️ Shorts are high risk in the very short term, but a bearish setup is likely in the second half of July, especially if price action confirms. 6. Trading Outlook 📍 Short-Term Bias: Neutral to bullish toward 1.1780–1.1820 📍 Mid-Term Bias: Bearish on rejection from supply area and break of channel 🎯 Key Levels: 1.1780–1.1850: critical decision zone (liquidity + weekly supply) 1.1500: first key support 1.1380: next downside target (demand zone + previous POC) 📌 Final Conclusion The most likely play is a short setup from 1.1780–1.1850 on strong rejection, supported by: Extreme retail positioning (80% short), COT pointing to USD recovery, Extended technical structure, Overbought RSI on the daily chart.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
15