EURUSD_TOM trade ideas
EURUSD breakout holds: Is a bigger rally coming?EURUSD maintains its breakout and the chart suggests the price could head much higher. What are the next steps for traders looking to get involved in this bullish trend? What details should you pay attention to? Watch the video to find out.
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A small opportunity for a small sell on lower timeframeHello,
The EURUSD pair has experienced a notable uptrend recently, catching the attention of the European Central Bank (ECB). On Friday, ECB President Christine Lagarde commented, "Despite global market volatility, euro zone financial markets are performing robustly. The ECB stands ready to utilize its tools to ensure financial stability if needed." This suggests that a stronger euro may pose challenges for the ECB at this time.
Technically, the EURUSD is forming an expanding triangle pattern and is currently trading near its upper trendline. While we anticipate continued pressure on the euro—partly due to the U.S. favoring a weaker dollar—there is potential for a minor correction on shorter timeframes. Below, we outline a potential trading opportunity based on this analysis.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
It’s time to go downFrom the EUR/USD 8-hour chart, there are several important points that can be analyzed to predict potential corrections:
1. Supply (Resistance) Zone
• Price was rejected around 1.14269 – this is strong resistance.
• RSI shows bearish divergence (price increases, RSI decreases), usually a correction signal.
2. Nearest Demand (Support) Zone
• There is a demand/green area in the range of 1.13043 - 1.10860, which is also supported by an uptrend trendline.
• Correction will most likely test this area.
3. Potential Correction Targets:
• First level: 1.13043 (upper end of demand zone)
• Second level: 1.1200s (psychological level & minor support)
• Last level (if breakdown): 1.10860 – 1.09550 (in demand zone + near strong horizontal support)
4. Additional Confirmation:
• Volume starts to decrease as price increases = sign of distribution divergence.
• RSI is still quite high (65s) = room for correction is still open.
⸻
Conclusion:
Correction is reasonable if it falls to the 1.1300 – 1.1080 area. If the price action there shows a bullish reversal (eg: hammer, engulfing, or bullish divergence in RSI), it could be an opportunity to enter buy from the demand zone.
EUR/USD continue with the UptrendOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.11980 and 1.10840 .
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Strong S/R zone from the past + Uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
DeGRAM | EURUSD Bullish Breakthrough📊 Technical Analysis
- Uptrending channel
The chart shows stable price movement inside the ascending channel, where the price is bouncing off the lower support line and aiming for the upper one.
- Key resistance
The main barrier is fixed around $1.135. A breakdown of this level promises further growth.
- Predictive scenario
A solid breakdown of the resistance confirms the bullish bias, which may lead to further upside.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
The publication of key macroeconomic indicators (inflation, labor market data, PMI) may push the price to confirm the technical scenario. Stability in the Eurozone with positive data will contribute to growth, and favorable for the US - on the contrary, strengthening the bearish momentum.
✨ Summary
The technical picture in the form of an ascending channel with the key resistance at $1.135 is combined with positive fundamental factors. A breakdown of the resistance is a signal for the continuation of growth. Watch the news and macro data to confirm the scenario!
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EURUSDAs of Wednesday, April 16, 2025, the EUR/USD exchange rate is fluctuating around:
1.136−1.137 per Euro.
EURUSD strengthen strongly. Here's the latest trading strategyUSD credibility crisis deepens, EUS/USD strengthens strongly 💪.... (👉signals👉)
During Monday's trading session, it broke through 1.1550 and reached 1.1575, further hitting a three-and-a-half-year high, indicating that the bullish momentum remains strong. In the short term, the bullish sentiment will continue to dominate. In terms of operation, we should continue to wait for a pullback and then go long.
Trading Strategy:
buy@1.1450 - 1.1480
TP:1.1573-1.16000
The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
👇 signals👇
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1490
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1559
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.1399
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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EURUSD 4/18/2025EU sell to POIS. Target is PDL. Sell loss is at strong high to be safe just incase price wants to take out pdh before continuing down. Sell area is 1hr/15min POI
EUR/USD – Pullback Entry After Weekly Breakout🧠 Macro View
LEI rising steadily: 71.5 → 81.15
Endogenous strength improving each month
Exo+LEI composite score: 498.65 → one of the strongest major FX models
USD: Fundamentally weak with dovish Fed, neutral COT
📅 Seasonality
📈 EUR Index bullish throughout April
📉 USD Index bearish all month
🔥 EUR/USD seasonality = strong long bias into April 30
📈 Technical Setup (4H Chart)
Price has broken weekly resistance → now acting as turncoat support
Expecting pullback to 0.382 Fib level (~1.1462) before continuation
Structure + macro + seasonality aligned for high-conviction long
📥 Entry: 1.1462 (Fib 0.382 retracement zone)
⛔ Stop Loss: Below (1.12424)
🎯 Take Profit: Retest high or 1.1583 and beyond (extension optional)
🧮 R:R ≈ 1:2.2+
Pennant pattern appears - creating bullish potential🔔🔔🔔 GBP/USD news:
➡️ Speculative net long positions in the euro (EUR) have climbed to a two-week high of nearly 60,000 contracts, while hedge funds and other market participants have increased their net short positions to around 90,500 contracts—also the highest level in two weeks. Open interest has simultaneously surged to nearly 700,000 contracts, marking a multi-week peak.
➡️ As the U.S. dollar loses momentum, the euro has gained fresh strength—even amid escalating global trade tensions. Central banks on both sides of the Atlantic are navigating uncharted territory, with remaining closely monitoring inflation, growth indicators, and newly announced tariffs. While the EUR/USD pair appears poised to extend its upward trend in the near term, shifting risk sentiment and ongoing trade developments may fuel further volatility.
Personal opinion:
➡️ EUR/USD still has short-term bullish momentum while USD breaks down to 100.00 and there are no clear signs of recovery
➡️ Bullish Pennant appears, increasing the possibility of this pair continuing to increase
➡️ Analysis based on Trend line and EMA combined with price action to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy EUR/USD 1.1330 – 1.1315
❌SL: 1.1280 | ✅TP: 1.1395 – 1.1450
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Bears to Dominate the Euro @1.2000 Handle The ECB is set to deliver another 25 basis points (bps) cut after the April policy meeting, reducing the benchmark rate on the deposit facility to 2.25% from 2.5%, with the disinflation process remaining on track. That being said, my Short-Term Outlook: Euro Likely to Decline
Lower interest rates reduce the returns investors can earn from euro-denominated assets (like bonds), making the euro less attractive globally.
Because this cut was expected, a small decline might already be "priced in." However, if the ECB hints at more cuts to come or shows a dovish tone, the euro might fall further.
My first TP for this week and early on Next week will be
1st Tp @1.2000 zone
2nd Tp aggressive traders with trailing sl.@1.10560 handle
good luck
EURUSD is Extending Higher in an Impulsive StructureThe EURUSD currency pair is showing strong signs of continuing its upward trend, based on Elliott Wave analysis. Since its low on September 26, 2022, the pair has been climbing. However, it hasn’t yet hit its projected target of 1.19. This suggests more room to grow in the long term. For now, the pair remains a good opportunity for buyers as long as it doesn’t drop below the key support level of 1.0876.
Looking at a shorter time frame, starting from March 27, 2025, EURUSD is moving in a classic five-step upward pattern. The first step peaked at 1.1146, followed by a brief dip to 1.087. The pair then surged to 1.147, and pulled back slightly to 1.126. It is now expected to push higher to complete this short-term cycle. After that, a temporary dip is likely before the upward trend resumes.
In simple terms, as long as the pair stays above 1.0876 and hasn’t reached 1.19, any short-term declines should attract buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swing looking for more gains. Traders can watch for these dips as opportunities to join the bullish trend, with the next significant moves likely to unfold soon.
Important news about EURUSD
EURUSD continues to move sideways since the beginning of the week and managed to reach 1,1412 yesterday.
Today at 1:15 pm (London time), the ECB is expected to cut interest rates.
This will likely cause increased volatility.
It is advisable to reduce risk on all positions and look for new entries after the news!
EURUSD (EURO) READT TO MOVING UP Today i give personal analysis idea on EURUSD can move to bullish
Key points
Active Price 1.13600
Add limit 1.13000,1.12600
1st Target 1.15000
2nd Target 1.16000
This analysis for long trade its higher time frame
Support with your likes, comments and Bost
EURUSD is in play as investors shift from the dollarEuro remains to be in focus along with other assets, as US markets lose attractiveness among investors, especially from China, who start to put more focus on European and Japanese bonds rather than US treasuries. The Euro had little to no reaction to the decline of the interest rate from the ECB: on the one hand, this rate cut was already priced in, on the other - the market didn't initiate any sell-offs despite the “weak” news for the Euro.
That points to a particularly strong sentiment for this currency, despite some cooling down of volumes on CME futures. Open interest for Euro Forex futures contracts, though, remains steady. The net position of commercial traders is dipping, but still far from the historical low.
Technically, the position of the price is higher than 3 daily volatility levels (ATRs) from the 20-day moving average on the daily chart, which makes this instrument a “momentum play”, and may lead to a further extension to the upside - presumably, after holidays.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair is poised for volatility in 2025 as monetary policy divergence between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) shapes directional bias. Here's an analysis of key factors:
ECB Policy Impact
Recent Rate Cut: The ECB lowered key rates by 25 bps on April 17, 2025, reducing the deposit facility rate to 2.25%. This dovish move reflects confidence in disinflation progress, with headline and core inflation nearing the 2% target.
Future Guidance: The ECB emphasized a data-dependent approach, signaling flexibility amid trade tensions and economic uncertainty. Further easing may be limited if inflation stabilizes, but prolonged weakness in Eurozone growth could prompt additional cuts.
Fed Policy Stance
Rate Hold: Fed officials, including Cleveland President Beth Hammack, advocate maintaining current rates (4.25–4.50%) due to mixed economic data and tariff-induced uncertainty. The Fed’s cautious stance prioritizes combating inflation over preemptive cuts.
Divergence Risk: A widening policy gap favors USD strength if the ECB continues cutting while the Fed holds. J.P. Morgan highlights this dynamic, projecting EUR/USD downside if the ECB outpaces Fed easing.
Market Projections
Bullish Scenarios: we are predicting a 2025 high of 1.238, driven by EUR resilience and Fed rate cut expectations later in the year. Technical analysis notes critical resistance at 1.125 is broken and the breakout will potentially accelerates more gains hoping to change 1.238 next supply zone .
Bearish Risks: EUR/USD declining to 1.0741 by year-end,could be medium-term corrections amidst USD dominance on tighter Fed policy.
Key Drivers to Watch
Inflation Trends: Sustained Eurozone disinflation vs. sticky US inflation.
Growth Data: Eurozone PMI improvements vs. US labor market and GDP metrics.
Trade Policies: Escalating tariffs may tighten financial conditions, influencing Fed/ECB reactions.
Short-Term Outlook
Q2–Q3 2025: Immediate EUR weakness likely post-ECB cut, with support at 1.0753 (200-day SMA). A Fed hold in May-June could extend USD gains.
Q4 2025: Potential EUR recovery if Fed begins cutting rates, with targets at 1.1800–1.2143.
In summary, EUR/USD faces bearish pressure near-term but may rebound in late 2025 if policy divergence narrows.
Traders should monitor ECB/Fed communications and economic resilience in both regions.
EURUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1506
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1409
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/USD For Bullishwait for pull-back near by entry point and then go long
general trend is up trend
have fun :)
Sell area eurusdStrong sell expected, buy first reach to out 1st sell zone. If still going toward 2nd sell then again enter into sell trade , 2nd zone much strong for bearish correction
