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EUXJPY trade ideas

EUR/JPY: Bullish Setup on 170.00 Breakout & Dovish BoJWe've identified a compelling, high-conviction long trade setup on EUR/JPY, perfect for a limit order right now. This trade leverages a powerful combination of fundamental divergence and a confirmed technical breakout, setting the stage for quick execution and potential profit! 🎯💰 Fundamental Rationale: 🌍📊 Japanese Yen (JPY) Weakness: The JPY is under significant bearish pressure. 📉 The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) persistently dovish monetary policy, keeping interest rates at historic lows, creates a wide interest rate differential. This fuels "carry trades," where investors borrow low-yielding JPY to invest in higher-yielding currencies like the Euro, increasing JPY supply. Recent weak economic data, including a decline in Tokyo CPI, reinforces expectations that the BoJ will not hike rates in 2025. Additionally, a global "risk-on" sentiment diminishes the JPY's safe-haven appeal, leading to capital outflow and sustained Yen depreciation. 🐻‍📉 Euro (EUR) Stability: While the Euro isn't showing explosive bullish momentum, its relative stability provides a crucial counter-balance to the weakening Yen. 🇪🇺 The European Central Bank (ECB) is inclined to maintain its current policy, and recent Eurozone inflation data hasn't significantly altered expectations for further rate cuts in H2 2025. This steady footing, paired with the pronounced JPY weakness, creates a compelling bullish case for EUR/JPY. The Euro's role is to be a stable anchor against a fundamentally weak JPY, allowing the cross to climb. ⚖️ Technical Setup: 📊✨ Decisive Breakout Confirmed: EUR/JPY has achieved a powerful and decisive breakout above the critical psychological resistance of 170.00 and its previous yearly high of 169.75. This is a monumental technical event! Such a sustained move above key long-term barriers signals strong underlying buying pressure and confirms a "new trigger for the bulls," indicating a high probability of continued uptrend. 🚀⬆️ High-Probability Entry Strategy: Our entry strategy is designed for a quick and successful fill. Following the confirmed breakout, we anticipate a classic "breakout and retest" phenomenon, where price pulls back to retest the former resistance (now new support). By placing a limit order slightly below the current market price, at 170.10, we aim to catch this anticipated pullback, securing an optimal entry with a tighter risk profile. 🔄🎯 Clear Resistance Target: Our single Take Profit target is strategically set at 170.90, just below the next significant resistance: the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 170.93. This level, derived from a previous long-term decline, represents a key area where price might encounter resistance. Targeting slightly below it increases the probability of the TP being hit before any potential reversal. 🎯✅ Trade Parameters: 📋✨ Currency Pair: EUR/JPY 💶🇯🇵 Direction: Long (Buy) ⬆️ Entry (Limit Order): 170.10 Take Profit (TP): 170.90 Stop Loss (SL): 169.60 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1.6:1 (A favorable ratio for a high-probability setup!) ✅
Long
by MaxellAguiran
EUR/JPY – Morning Star Reversal with RSI/MA Bullish ConfirmationTechnical Snapshot (1H Timeframe): ✅ Morning Star pattern at key support/resistance zone (169.90–170.00), indicating potential bullish reversal. 📈 Price holds above 55 EMA, confirming structure support and sustained uptrend. 💥 MACD Bullish Crossover signaling renewed upward momentum. 🔄 RSI crossover above its MA from the 50 level – a classic sign of buyer strength resuming. Bias: Bullish As long as price sustains above the EMA cluster and doesn’t close below the 170.00 zone, bulls are in control. Watch for a retest + push scenario for low-risk entries. This idea is for educational purposes only – not financial advice.
Long
by SLPHOBIA
1
EURJPY Readies Triangle Breakout w/ Elliot WaveOANDA:EURJPY has formed a Triangle Pattern with a Rising Support and Resistance Zone @ 169.5 - 169.7 area. After the False Breakout last week on Friday, we see Price falls back within the Pattern and finds strong Resistance from the zone. Now based from the High - to Low - to Lower High where price made a 50% - 61.8% Retracement, we can plot the Trend Based-Fib Tool that suggests with the change of trend ( Price printing a Lower High ) we can expect Lower Prices to come and potentially a Bearish Breakout to the pattern! First we will want to see where the next Lower Low will be ( currently @ 168.934 ) then wait for a Retracement to a favorable Fibonacci Level based from the Lower High to Lower Low. Fundamentally, the EUR will have CPI Flash Estimates on Tuesday, and multiple Services PMI on Thursday with ECB President Lagarde speaking Tuesday and Wednesday. This could add volatility!! Stay Tuned!
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
Potential Bullish setups on EURJPYRecapping price action from yesterday, EURJPY broke above 169.866, with momentum appearing to be bullish, a corrective move could be in play and perhaps a continuation towards the upside. If EURJPY remains above our support zone a BULLISH directional bias remains. Buy zone: 169.866 - 169.680 Target Levels 170.469 - 170.617 LIKE or COMMENT if this idea sparks your interest, or share your thoughts below! FOLLOW to keep up with fresh ideas. Tidypips: "Keep It Clean, Trade Mean!"
Long
by Tidypips
EUR/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT Hello, Friends! We are now examining the EUR/JPY pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 167.939 level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
EURJPY H4 LONG SETUPTECHNICAL ANALYSIS This pair is currently in a beautiful bullish trend, and price is currently at WM4/weekly tp@170.588. I am anticipating profit-taking from traders as the trading week comes to a close. This trade plan will probably play out next week. Bulls will be looking for long setups at support @ 169.791/169.395, which is the buy zone and previous resistance. A long trade at that level will give us a target @ 170.588 for next week. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS The trend meter shows that the pair is bullish and projected to continue its bullish momentum.. Most institutional traders are long both currencies, but we can see a slight increase in longs for the Euro and short positions being added on JPY. The retail sentiment indicator shows that most retail traders are short this pair, with 74% being short and only 26% being long, indicating they are on the wrong side of the trade. The plan is to go long once price gets to the buy zone.
Short
by Pedro_07
EURJPY What Next? SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for EURJPY is below: The market is trading on 170.54 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 169.84 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
SELL EURJPY for bullish trend reversal STOP LOSS: 170.17SELL EURJPY for bullish trend reversal STOP LOSS: 170.17 Regular Bearish Divergence In case of Regular Bearish Divergence: * The Indicator shows Lower Highs * Actual Market Price shows Higher Highs We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the 4 hour time frame chart..... The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this level resistance so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here ..... TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with….....trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
Short
by BALE_FX
EURJPY BUY TRADE PLAN### 🔥 Pair + Date **EURJPY – July 4, 2025** --- ### 📋 Plan Overview Table | Type | Direction | Confidence | R\:R | Status | | ---------------- | --------- | ---------- | ----- | ------------- | | Momentum Retrace | Long | 78% | 2.8:1 | Active Watch | | Value Limit Play | Long | 83% | 3.5:1 | Pending Setup | --- ### 📈 Market Bias & Type * **Market Bias:** Bullish continuation on macro + structural trend (despite short-term pullback). * **Type:** Continuation with retrace entry --- ### 🔰 Confidence Level * **Overall Confidence:** 78% Momentum Retrace, 83% Deep Value * **Breakdown:** * Macro alignment: +7 sentiment * Structure: Valid higher high / higher low formation * Confirmation: Pending at retrace zone --- ### 📍 Entry Zones * **Primary (Momentum Retrace):** 169.55 – 169.70 zone (structural retrace zone to broken high / support flip) * **Secondary (Value Limit Play):** 169.10 – 169.30 (deep value at prior breakout cluster + H4 origin block) --- ### ❗ SL with Reasoning * **Momentum Retrace SL:** 169.20 (below key low + liquidity sweep risk zone) * **Value Limit SL:** 168.80 (below value zone + invalidation of bullish structure) --- ### 🎯 TP1/TP2/TP3 Targets * **TP1:** 170.60 (recent swing high) * **TP2:** 171.20 (expansion target) * **TP3:** 172.00 (macro extension projection) --- ### 🧠 Management Strategy * Scale out at TP1 (50%) * Move to breakeven on rest after TP1 hit * Trail above H1 swing lows post TP2 --- ### ⚠️ Confirmation Checklist ✅ Bullish candle on H1 / M30 at entry ✅ Session: London / NY overlap preferred ✅ Volume spike or wick rejection on retrace --- ### ⏳ Validity * **Momentum Retrace:** H1 plan valid 12-16 hours * **Deep Value:** H4 plan valid 48 hours+ --- ### ❌ Invalidation Conditions * Clean break + close below 168.80 on H4 * Risk sentiment flips risk-off sharply (JPY safe haven flows surge) --- ### 🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot * Macro bias: Bullish EURJPY continuation (ECB hawkish tilt + BOJ still ultra-loose policy) * Recent data: Post-NFP risk sentiment neutral-positive, no fresh JPY strength triggers * Sentiment: +7 (supports trend continuation) --- ### 📋 Final Trade Summary 👉 EURJPY bullish continuation play. Primary focus on momentum retrace entry \~169.55–169.70 with deep value as secondary optional zone. SLs tailored per entry zone, R\:R targets healthy. --- ⚠ **Reminder:** This is *not* investment advice. Forex trading carries substantial risk. Use with licensed institutions only.
Long
by jibkhan111
EURJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D4 W27 Y25EURJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D4 W27 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅1H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT