EUXJPY trade ideas
EURJPY – Technical Outlook & Strategic Perspective (Apr 29 – May
📊 EURJPY
Over the recent sessions, I’ve identified an interesting structure forming on the **EUR/JPY** pair, pointing to a potential **short-term bullish move** over the next **2 to 3 days** before a possible trend reversal starts to materialize.
My bias is based primarily on the **presence of Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)** that have yet to be filled. These imbalances suggest the market may seek to revisit these zones to balance liquidity. Additionally, there are clear signs of buyer defense in a sensitive price region, reinforcing the thesis of a **technical recovery** before any long-term directional decision.
🧠 :
- Support zone respected after selling pressure eased.
- FVGs identified in alignment with a potential pullback structure.
- Expectation of a bullish move toward upper liquidity zones, with partial TPs set near **162.546** and extended targets around **163.770/163.776**.
🎯 **Plan:**
- Entry already triggered upon confirmation.
- Stop-loss safely placed below recent swing low (161.770).
- Take Profits aligned with FVGs and a risk-to-reward ratio of over 1:2.
🔎 *Strategic Note:* Once these value zones are filled, I’ll be closely monitoring for **Change of Character (CHOCH)** signals that could confirm the start of a new cycle on the pair. For now, my focus is on **gap-filling and market equilibrium** before any long-term directional play.
📍Posted by: Emerson Massawe
Trader | Strategist | COO of Rodaviva | CEO of Xerof Capital
Bearish Outlook on EurjpyA bearish outlook on EUR/JPY (Euro/Japanese Yen) typically stems from either Euro weakness, Yen strength, or a combination of both. Here are several current or general themes that could support a bearish bias:
1. Risk-Off Sentiment (Yen Strength)
The Japanese Yen is a safe-haven currency, which tends to strengthen during global risk aversion (e.g., geopolitical tensions, stock market declines, or economic uncertainty).
If equities fall or global sentiment sours, JPY demand can rise, pushing EUR/JPY lower.
2. ECB Dovishness (Euro Weakness)
If the European Central Bank (ECB) signals or enacts rate cuts, this weakens the Euro.
For instance, recent soft Eurozone inflation or poor economic data may prompt ECB easing, lowering EUR/JPY.
3. BOJ Policy Normalization (JPY Strength)
If the Bank of Japan (BOJ) continues shifting away from ultra-loose monetary policy (e.g., exiting negative rates, allowing JGB yields to rise), this could strengthen the Yen.
Any hawkish surprise from the BOJ is typically JPY-positive.
4. Technical Setup
On the charts, if EUR/JPY is failing at resistance (e.g., near a long-term high or a fib retracement), or showing bearish divergence on RSI/MACD, it could signal a top.
A break below key support zones (e.g., 160.00 or 158.00) might accelerate downside momentum.
5. Positioning and Sentiment
If traders are heavily long EUR/JPY (crowded trade), a reversal or sharp correction is more likely if sentiment shifts.
EURJPY strong bearish expectations
OANDA:EURJPY strong bullish expectations i am have, but things will not go like expected..
Currently price in DESCENDING CHANNEL, in moment we are have break of same, but price is make revers in zone and pushing now bearish.
Here now exepcting fall till trend line.
SUP zone: 163.000
RES ozne: 159.500, 158.500
EUR/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the EUR/JPY with the target of 159.106 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURJPY Long 4/29/2025EUR/JPY Long – Weekly Bullish Engulfing + Double Bottom Off Demand Zone
Looking to go long EUR/JPY after a clean correction into demand and signs of higher timeframe bullish continuation.
Weekly Chart:
Last week printed a bullish engulfing candle that slightly broke out of the previous supply zone, suggesting early-stage trend continuation.
While we opened this week with a sharp sell-off (around 170 pips from the highs), price action shows it was corrective, not impulsive.
4H Chart:
Price is setting up a Morning Star formation — two hours away from confirmation.
If completed, it would signal a bullish reversal right off a critical structure zone.
1H Chart:
A double bottom is forming off a predetermined 1H demand zone — a key liquidity pocket I’ve been tracking.
Recent hourly candle gapped up, further suggesting buyers are starting to step in after soaking up sell-side pressure.
Trade Thesis:
Expecting a bullish reaction from demand and a retest of the previous highs.
This correction appears technical rather than fundamental — no steamy downside momentum despite the initial slide.
Risk-Reward Profile:
Target: Retest of the highs
R:R: 1:3.5
Stop: Below the double bottom structure
This setup blends clean structure with a higher timeframe bullish bias — looking for a continuation leg if momentum holds.
EURJPY Wave Analysis – 28 April 2025
- EURJPY reversed from resistance area
- Likely to fall to support level 161.25
EURJPY currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance area between the resistance level 164.00 (which has been reversing the price from January), upper daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from July.
The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped the previous short-term correction ii.
Given the clear daily downtrend and the overbought daily Stochastic, EURJPY currency can be expected to fall toward the next support level 161.25.
EUR/JPY Key Res TestEUR/JPY has been digesting for the better part of the past nine months. While both Euro and USD strength have been on full display in varying ways over that period of time, each currency has been a bit more balanced against the Japanese Yen.
The range has been wide at more than 800 pips but there's also a descending triangle that's set up along the way, with lower-highs around the 163.38 Fibonacci level and horizontal support around the 155.00 handle.
For those looking for Yen-strength, this may be a more attractive venue than USD/JPY at the moment, with USD/JPY holding below the key 145.00 psychological level. - js
EURJPY 4H Chart: Breakout or Reversal? My Full Plan Inside!
📈 EURJPY 4H Chart - My Trading Plan
In the EURJPY 4-hour chart, I observe that the trend is moving higher, clearly visible when connecting the recent highs and lows with a manual zigzag line.
A critical zone is forming around the Double Top near 164.00 , which also acts as a strong supply area.
This is the major challenge ahead: for the bullish trend to continue, price must break and hold above this 164.00 resistance.
However, based on the current momentum, I believe the bulls have enough strength to push beyond this level.
🛡️ Role of Support Line
I have drawn the support line to highlight a potential reversal zone.
If the price fails to break and sustain above 164.00 and instead drops below the support area, it will signal that the double top resistance has held strong, and a deeper pullback could follow.
📊 RSI - Crucial Momentum Signal
The RSI remains above the 50 line and has not dipped below the 30 oversold level since it last touched the 70 overbought zone on March 5th.
This ongoing bullish momentum in RSI supports the idea of a continued uptrend.
🔢 Fibonacci Levels - Target Zones
I have drawn the Fibonacci extension from the recent swing low to high.
If the bullish continuation unfolds, my next key upside targets are:
- 165.350 (1.618 Fib) — Expect 1
- 166.368 (2.0 Fib) — Expect 2
🧠 Plan B - What If I'm Wrong?
If the price fails to break 164.00 convincingly and then breaks below the support line , I will prepare for a reversal trade.
In that case, I plan to double or even increase my lot size to recover any prior losses.
Although this is a higher-risk approach, I have confidence in my strategy.
Let’s trade with discipline and manage risks properly. Let's begin! 🚀
Update On EURJPY pushing to 167. LevelFinally Price started moving. still holding for the past 2 weeks, the market has been slow hopefully we get more volatility in the next couple weeks and see this trade play out successfully. Im still holding i still believe in the set up i posted about EJ and for right now everything is looking great.
EUR JPY #0012 Short Swing Trade-The trade heavily relies on the liquidity pools surrounding the structures as labeled.
- The main driver of the sell limit order placement is the presence of CHoCH within the cycle.
- Trade is SWING in Nature, holding period may be between 2-4 days.
- The rest, the image is pretty must self-explanatory.
EURJPY Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
EURJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 161.30 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 161.68
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR_JPY RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅EUR_JPY is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 164.870
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 163.000
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 163.61
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 162.39
My Stop Loss - 164.06
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK