EUR/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
EUR/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 169.041
Target Level: 165.789
Stop Loss: 171.204
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
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EUXJPY trade ideas
EURJPYthe Current EUR/JPY Price price action and directional bias today , EUR/JPY is trading at 169.038 consolidating within a temporary sideways range between 168.60 (support) and 169.659 (resistance). The pair is testing key technical levels amid mixed fundamental drivers.
Eurozone and Japan 10-Year Bond Yields
Eurozone 10Y Bond Yield (EU10Y) 2.561% , reflecting moderate stability despite ECB rate cuts.
Japan 10Y Bond Yield (JB10Y): 1.424% , down slightly from 1.44% from the daily high .
Central Bank Policy Rate ECB) is 2.00% (Deposit Facility) Cut by 25 bps on June 5, 2025, citing inflation at target (2%) and growth projections of 0.9% for 2025.
while BOJ 0.50% (Short-Term) was Held steady on last policy meeting by top boj leadership brass.BOJ signaled slower bond-purchase reductions in 2026 amid fiscal concerns and market volatility.
Interest Rate Differential and Carry Trade Dynamics
Rate Differential: +1.50% (ECB’s 2.00% vs. BOJ’s 0.50%), favoring EUR-funded carry trades.
Bond Yield Spread: +1.13% (EU10Y 2.56%% vs. JB10Y 1.43%), enhancing EUR/JPY’s appeal for yield-seeking investors.
Carry Trade Implications:
The positive rate differential supports bullish EUR/JPY momentum, as investors borrow low-yielding JPY to invest in higher-yielding EUR assets.
However, JPY strength has emerged recently due to BOJ hawkish expectation, Japan’s core inflation hit a >2-year high in May, fueling bets on future rate hikes.
Geopolitical easing: The Israel-Iran ceasefire reduced safe-haven JPY demand, partially offsetting carry trade pressure.
Technical Outlook for EUR/JPY
Bullish Bias: The pair awaits a breakout above 169.659 to target 170.00 bullish ascending trendline breakout
Key Risks:
Failure to breach 169.659 could trigger a correction toward 167 and below especially if BOJ maintains hawkish rhetoric's
A drop below 167.may activate bearish momentum, though the broader uptrend remains intact.
Technical Breakout: A close above 169.659 could accelerate gains toward 170.00.
Central Bank Divergence: The ECB-BOJ rate spread (+1.50%) and bond yield spread (+1.13%) underpin EUR strength, though JPY resilience from inflation/hawkish BOJ risks may cap upside.
Risk Sentiment: Further geopolitical calm could weaken JPY’s safe-haven role, amplifying carry trade inflows into EUR/JPY.
#eurjpy
EURJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D26 Y25EURJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D26 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
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✅Weekly Order Block Identified
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅15' Order block identified
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EUR/JPY higherPrice retraced from Weekly FVG. The retracement had high momentum down, making Fair Value Gaps on the 4H. After 3 things aligned:
1. Price made new 4H Fair Value Gap coming from the Daily Fair Value Gap
2. Price disrespected Swing High in 4H Fair Value Gap
3. Rejection off D FVG closed with perfect 2 candle rejection.
I entered the trade after I've seen the close on the daily timeframe, Stop below the 4H Fair Value Gaps.
EURJPY Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURJPY is below:
The market is trading on 168.01 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 168.66
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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EURJPY: Bullish Trend Continues 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY shows a strength after a test of a significant demand zone.
Bullish breakout of a resistance line of a flag pattern provides
a strong trend-following signal.
Goal - 169.64
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EURJPY Potential Bearish BatOn the daily chart, EURJPY fluctuates upward, and short-term bulls have the upper hand. At present, attention can be paid to the resistance near 173.03 above, which is a potential short position of the bearish bat pattern, and this position is in the previous supply area.
EURJPY: A Big Move In Making, Please Share Your Views! Date: 22/06/2025
Hello everyone,
I hope you’re all having a good weekend. As we previously discussed, we expected a sharp decline in Europe/JPY, but unfortunately, it didn’t work out in our favour due to the extremely bullish US dollar. This led to the crossing and invalidation of our two selling zones.
Looking at next week’s price projection, we can confirm that the price is heading towards 170.50 and may be selling at this level. Therefore, we will be keeping a stop loss at 171.50.
Once the trade is activated, we can set our target at 166.0, 163.50, and the final target will be placed at 158.50.
If you like our work, please like our idea.
Good luck and trade safely next week.
EURJPY Long Opportunity EURJPY currently has bullish market directionality and is on a retracement. price is trading above the 50 SMA and we can observe bullish momentum from the RSI trading above the 55 level.
Potentially break and retest zone at 167,550. Awaiting a reaction to this level which could see the bullish trend resuming.
EURJPY – Buy the Dip in a Bullish TrendTrade Idea
Type: Buy Limit
Entry: 167.63
Target: 169.50
Stop Loss: 166.87
Duration: Intraday
Expires: 25/06/2025 06:00
Technical Overview
The broader trend in EURJPY remains bullish, and there's no clear indication the uptrend is ending.
While a short-term correction is possible, it is viewed as a healthy retracement within the trend.
A Buy Limit at 168.00, just above support, provides an efficient entry with a tight stop and strong upside potential.
A move above 169.00 would confirm renewed bullish momentum, aligning with the measured move target at 169.75.
With no major economic events in the next 24 hours, price action is expected to be technically driven.
Key Technical Levels
Support: 168.50 / 168.00 / 167.50
Resistance: 169.00 / 169.50 / 169.75
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURJPY Sell- Go for sell
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if you know how
- keep looking for sell even if price goes one more up
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EURJPY Will Fall! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 169.123.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 165.881 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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EURJPY Is Going Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 166.677.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 167.654 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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I dare to say, I'm bearish EURJPY, GBJPY, UJI will be posting so that those who will enter will enter on time. I'm not looking for any upside objective on Yen pairs for now. Unless, we see otherwise.
Let the line guide you in taking partials.
Dont just enter once and leave this trade, compound it.
Once it enters profit, sell more and BE on first entry, once it falls and retrace, sell more and you'll be glad you did