CN50 to turnaround?CHN50 - 24h expiry
Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 12150. Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 12300 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 12200 (stop at 12120)
Our profit targets will be 12400 and 12450
Resistance: 12300 / 12350 / 12400
Support: 12200 / 12150 / 12100
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CHINA50 trade ideas
CHINA A50 Is this 1W MA50 rebound breaking the bearish trend?On December 21 2023 (see chart below) the China A50 index (CN50) gave us the best buy entry possible on more than 1 year span:
The price increased on this Bullish Leg and a month ago reached the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Falling Wedge. At the same time, it broke above the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since December 28 2021, giving the first long-term buy signal in years.
Regardless of this signal, the index got rejected at the top of the Falling Wedge and is on a 4 week decline. However it reached this week the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) again and so far reacted positively by holding it. As long as it holds and closes the 1W candles above it, it is more likely that this will transition into a rebound, which will be the 2nd and final long-term buy signal.
In that case, we expect the index to finally break above the Falling Wedge and stage a long-term pursuit of the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Our Target will be 13550 (slightly below Resistance 1).
If however the 1W MA50 breaks (closes candle below it), we will take the small loss and open a sell, targeting 11800 (the 0.5 Fibonacci level), similar to the March 14 2023 decline. The confirmation for this signal will come if the 1W MACD forms a Bearish Cross.
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CN50 to turnaround?CN50USD - 24h expiry
Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 12400.
Momentum is flat, highlighting the lack of clear direction.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 12500 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 12600.
We look to Buy at 12400 (stop at 12340)
Our profit targets will be 12550 and 12600
Resistance: 12500 / 12600 / 12650
Support: 12400 / 12300 / 1250
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CHN50 to continue in the upward moveCHN50 - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 12850 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 12950.
We look to Buy at 12700 (stop at 12600)
Our profit targets will be 12950 and 13000
Resistance: 12850 / 12900 / 12950
Support: 12750 / 12700 / 12650
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CN50 dips continue to attract buyers.CN50USD - 24h expiry
Price action has stalled at good support levels and currently trades just above here (12550).
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 12650 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 12800.
We look to Buy at 12550 (stop at 12450)
Our profit targets will be 12800 and 12850
Resistance: 12650 / 12750 / 12800
Support: 12600 / 12550 / 12500
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
China’s Year of the Dragon Proving Lucky: Bull Flag on CN50The year of the dragon is proving lucky for Chinese stocks. Since mid-January, the FTSE China A50 Index, representing the top 50 companies in China's A-share market, has rallied more than 18%.
Let’s delve into the driving forces behind this resurgence in Chinese stocks and the emerging trend continuation pattern observed on the price chart of the China A50.
Exploring the Catalysts Behind China's Equity Market Rally
Here's a brief overview of the pivotal factors propelling the recovery in Chinese stocks this year:
Government Intervention: China's government is openly buying stocks to stabilise the market and influence indices. This public approach contrasts with past discreet actions. Entities like Central Huijin Investments are increasing their holdings in Mainland stocks, particularly mega-cap companies, which has boosted investor confidence.
Global Investors Returning: Despite previous concerns such as trade tensions and regulatory issues, investors are gradually reallocating to Chinese equities.
Supportive Policies: The State Council's issuance of "9 Key Points" to enhance China's capital markets has demonstrated a commitment to improving corporate governance and encouraging dividend payments.
Economic Recovery: China's GDP growth is improving, with Q1 2024 exceeding expectations. Consumer confidence is rising, evidenced by increased spending on services like travel, both domestically and internationally.
Bull Flag Forming on China A50 Index
Two indictors are all you need to analyse the China A50 index:
Keltner Channels: This indicator wraps 2.25 ATR’s around a 20 day exponential moving average (EMA). Having pressed into the upper band at the start of the month, prices have started reverting back to the mean. Price action during the pullback has seen the market form a series of tight range days – creating a small descending retracement channel also known as a ‘bull flag’.
200-Day Moving Average: This long-term moving average provides important context. Despite a sustained rally this year, the China A50 index has only recently moved above the 200-day MA. The 200-day MA is also sloping down – indicating that whilst Chinese stocks are recovering in the short-term, the longer-term trend in this market remains bearish.
China A50 Index (CN50) Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
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Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 80.84% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CN50 to continue in the upward move?CN50USD - 24h expiry
The trend of higher lows is located at 11800.
Further upside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 12800 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 12900.
We look to Buy at 12650 (stop at 12550)
Our profit targets will be 12900 and 12950
Resistance: 12800 / 12850 / 12900
Support: 12700 / 12650 / 12600
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CHINA 50 INDEX Bearish side money heist planMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
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Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic resistance level, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next target.
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CHINA A50 on the 1W MA100 after 2.5 years! Ultimate Bull test!When we looked at the China A50 index (CN50) last year (December 21 2023, see chart below), we got the best buy entry possible on more than 1 year span:
Our long-term Target at the time of 13000 is almost hit but it now time to re-evaluate our perspective as the index not only hit the top of its almost 2-year Falling Wedge but more importantly made contact with the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time in almost 2.5 years (since the week of December 28 2021).
This is the ultimate test for the Chinese market. A closing above that Resistance cluster, will turn us bullish again, targeting the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) at 14250. Until that closing happens, we turn bearish on the medium-term, targeting 11850 (just above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level).
It has to be mentioned that the 1W RSI has already made a bullish break-out above its 3-year Lower Highs trend-line, potentially hinting finally towards a long-term trend change to bullish.
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CN50 to continue in the upward move?CHN50 - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 12550 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 12700.
We look to Buy at 12400 (stop at 12300)
Our profit targets will be 12650 and 12695
Resistance: 12550 / 12600 / 12650
Support: 12450 / 12400 / 12350
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Fading weird exubernaceFundamentals & Sentiment
ChinaA50:
The pop higher yesterday didn't have any viable reason behind it. The data came out mixed.
Technical & Other
Followed the price action trigger to guess how the market interpreted the data.
USD:
The trade is meant to be very short-term, while USD paired with index shouldn't be that sensitive to forex volatility. Hence, the risk of the BoJ intervention is reduced.
Setup: TR(B)
Setup timeframe: 1h
Trigger: 15mh
Medium-term: Sideways
Long-term: Uptrend
Min target: range highs
Risk: 0.86% (<0.5R)
Entry: Market
CHINA A50: Make or break time on the 1W MA50.The China A50 index (CN50) is giving us excellent return on our bullish position since our last post (December 21 2023, see chart below), even though it hasn't reached the 13000 Target:
It is time to take profits on this amazing rally as the index has hit and got rejected twice already on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). This is a sign of weak momentum and as long as it fails to close a 1W candle above the 1W MA50, we are bearish towards the 0.382 Fibonacci at 11700. If it does manage to close above it though, we will take the loss and buy instead, targeting the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) at 12700.
Note that the 1W MA100 has been intact as a Resistance since the week of December 28 2021, so if broken the index will enter a new long-term Bull Cycle. Notice also the Lower Highs on the RSI. This week we may have a break-out, the first sign of an upcoming long-term Bull Cycle.
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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