US100 (NASDAQ 100) 24-Hour Technical Analysis ForecastCurrent Price: 23,076.60 (Close: Friday, July 18th, 2025)
Analysis Period: Next 24 Hours (July 19-20, 2025)
Market Status: Weekend - Preparing for Monday Open
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY - 24H OUTLOOK
Primary Bias: Neutral to Bullish (Short-term consolidation expected)
Key Resistance: 23,150 - 23,250
Critical Support: 22,850 - 22,950
Expected Range: 22,900 - 23,200
Volatility Level: Moderate (Tech earnings season approach)
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1. CANDLESTICK PATTERN ANALYSIS
Friday's Close Formation
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Pattern: Small-bodied candle with upper shadow at 23,076
Significance: Indecision after testing resistance near 23,150
Volume: Above-average volume suggesting institutional activity
Context: Failed to break cleanly above psychological 23,100 level
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Expected 24H Patterns
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Monday Gap: Potential small gap up to 23,100-23,120 area
Continuation Pattern: Bullish flag/pennant formation developing
Key Reversal: Watch for hammer formation at 22,950 support if decline occurs
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Pattern Probability Assessment
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Doji/Spinning Top: 40% probability (continued indecision)
Bullish Engulfing: 35% probability (if gap up occurs)
Bearish Reversal: 25% probability (if resistance holds)
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2. HARMONIC PATTERN ANALYSIS
Current Harmonic Setup
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Primary Pattern: Bullish Cypher Pattern in Development
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X: 22,400 (previous major low)
A: 23,250 (recent swing high)
B: 22,800 (61.8% retracement)
C: 23,150 (127.2% extension - current test area)
D (Completion): 22,650-22,750 (78.6% retracement zone)
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Alternative Pattern: Bull Flag
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Pole: 22,400 → 23,250 (850-point move)
Flag: Current consolidation 22,950-23,150
Target: 23,250 + 850 = 24,100 (extended projection)
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Fibonacci Levels (24H Focus)
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Golden Ratio Support: 22,950 (61.8% of recent swing)
38.2% Retracement: 23,025
23.6% Retracement: 23,050
Extension Target: 23,375 (161.8% projection)
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3. ELLIOTT WAVE THEORY - 24H COUNT
Primary Wave Count (Bullish Scenario)
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Macro Structure: Wave 5 of larger degree impulse in progress
Current Position: Wave 4 correction completing
Mini-wave Count: Flat correction pattern (A-B-C structure)
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24-Hour Wave Projection
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Wave A: 23,250 → 22,800 (Completed)
Wave B: 22,800 → 23,150 (Completed - 70% retrace)
Wave C: 23,150 → 22,950 (In Progress - Equal to A)
Wave 5 Target: 24,000-24,200 (1.618 extension)
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Alternative Count (Corrective Scenario)
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Structure: Double zigzag correction
Current Phase: Second zigzag development
Target: 22,750-22,850 (Wave Y completion)
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Critical Elliott Levels
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Wave 4 Low: 22,750 (must hold for bullish count)
Invalidation: Below 22,400 (Wave 1 high)
Confirmation: Break above 23,250 (Wave 3 high)
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4. WYCKOFF THEORY - 24H PHASE
Current Market Phase Assessment
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Primary Phase: Reaccumulation (Phase B-C transition)
Composite Operator Action: Testing supply at 23,150 area
Volume Analysis: Absorption of selling pressure evident
Smart Money Activity: Institutional buying on dips below 23,000
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Expected 24H Wyckoff Dynamics
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Phase Progression: Moving toward Phase D (Sign of Strength)
Testing Action: Final test of support at 22,950-23,000
Volume Expectation: Declining volume on any weakness
Breakout Setup: Spring action possible below 22,950
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Key Wyckoff Signals (24H Watch List)
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Sign of Strength (SOS): Break above 23,150 with volume
Last Point of Support (LPS): 22,950 area test
No Supply: Expected on rallies to 23,100-23,150
Backup to Edge of Creek: Potential dip to 22,850
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5. W.D. GANN THEORY - 24H ANALYSIS
Square of Nine Analysis
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Current Position: 23,076° on Gann wheel
Next Cardinal Point: 23,100° (significant psychological resistance)
Natural Support: 23,000° (perfect square - strong magnetic level)
Critical Angle: 22,900° (45-degree angle support from recent low)
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Time Theory - 24H Cycle
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Natural Time Cycle: 24-hour cycle from Friday's close
Critical Time Windows:
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6 hours: 02:00 UTC Monday (potential turn time)
18 hours: 14:00 UTC Monday (major turn potential)
24 hours: 20:00 UTC Monday (cycle completion)
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Angle Theory Application
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Rising 45° Line: Currently at 22,950 (critical support)
Rising 63.75° Line: 23,100 (steep resistance angle)
Declining 26.25° Line: 23,150 (gentle resistance)
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Gann Price Forecasting
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Square Root Method:
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Current: √23,076 ≈ 151.9
Next resistance: 152² = 23,104
Major resistance: 153² = 23,409
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Primary Target: 23,104 (natural Gann resistance)
Extended Target: 23,409 (next perfect square)
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Time-Price Harmony
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Harmonic Time: 144 hours from last major low
Price Harmony: 23,076 in harmony with 22,500 base
Next Harmony Level: 23,400 (Fibonacci price relationship)
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6. MULTI-TIMEFRAME INTRADAY ANALYSIS
5-Minute Chart Analysis
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Micro Trend: Consolidating triangle pattern
Support: 23,050-23,060 (recent lows)
Resistance: 23,090-23,100 (intraday highs)
Volume Profile: Balanced - no clear direction
RSI (5M): 48-52 range (neutral)
Pattern: Symmetrical triangle (breakout pending)
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15-Minute Chart Analysis
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Structure: Bull flag formation
Flag Boundaries: 23,040-23,120
Breakout Level: Above 23,120 (bullish)
Breakdown Level: Below 23,040 (bearish)
Moving Averages: EMA20 at 23,065 (support)
MACD: Consolidating above zero line
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30-Minute Chart Analysis
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Primary Pattern: Ascending triangle
Horizontal Resistance: 23,150 (multiple tests)
Rising Support Line: From 22,950 to current levels
Breakout Target: 23,350 (triangle height projection)
Volume: Decreasing (typical triangle behavior)
Bollinger Bands: Contracting (low volatility)
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1-Hour Chart Analysis
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Major Structure: Bullish continuation pattern
Cup and Handle: Handle formation in progress
Handle Depth: 7% correction (healthy)
Breakout Level: 23,175 (handle resistance)
Target: 24,000 (cup depth projection)
RSI (1H): 55 (bullish but not overbought)
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4-Hour Chart Analysis
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Macro Trend: Strong uptrend intact
Correction Type: Shallow pullback (wave 4 character)
Support Cluster: 22,900-23,000 (multiple confluences)
Resistance Zone: 23,150-23,250
Ichimoku Cloud: Price above cloud (bullish)
Volume Trend: Higher lows pattern (accumulation)
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7. TECHNICAL INDICATORS MATRIX
Momentum Indicators
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RSI (4H): 58 (Bullish momentum, room for upside)
RSI (1H): 55 (Neutral-bullish)
Stochastic %K: 62 (Above %D line - bullish)
Williams %R: -35 (Not oversold, upside potential)
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Trend Indicators
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MACD (4H): Above signal line, histogram positive
ADX: 35 (Strong trend strength)
Parabolic SAR: 22,950 (supportive)
Supertrend: 22,850 (strong support)
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Volume Indicators
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OBV: Rising trend (accumulation pattern)
Volume Rate of Change: Positive
Chaikin Money Flow: +0.15 (buying pressure)
Accumulation/Distribution: Uptrend
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8. KEY SUPPORT & RESISTANCE LEVELS (24H)
Critical Resistance Levels
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R1: 23,100 (Psychological + Gann)
R2: 23,150 (Technical resistance + harmonic)
R3: 23,200 (Minor resistance)
R4: 23,250 (Major swing high)
R5: 23,350 (Extended target)
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Vital Support Levels
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S1: 23,040 (Immediate support)
S2: 23,000 (Psychological + Gann)
S3: 22,950 (Critical support cluster)
S4: 22,900 (Strong technical support)
S5: 22,850 (Major support zone)
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9. 24-HOUR TRADING SCENARIOS
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (50% Probability)
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Trigger: Break above 23,120 with volume expansion
Initial Target: 23,180-23,200
Extended Target: 23,300-23,350
Stop Loss (Longs): Below 22,990
Expected Timeline: 12-18 hours from breakout
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Scenario 2: Continued Consolidation (35% Probability)
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Range: 23,000-23,150
Trading Strategy: Range-bound scalping
Buy Zone: 23,020-23,040
Sell Zone: 23,120-23,140
Duration: Full 24-hour period
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Scenario 3: Bearish Breakdown (15% Probability)
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Trigger: Break below 22,990 on volume
Target 1: 22,900-22,950
Target 2: 22,850-22,900
Bounce Level: 22,800-22,850
Recovery Above: 23,050 negates bearish scenario
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10. RISK FACTORS & CATALYSTS (24H)
Bullish Catalysts
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Tech earnings optimism building
AI sector momentum continuation
Institutional portfolio rebalancing (month-end flows)
Strong economic data expectations
Risk-on sentiment from Asia markets
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Bearish Risk Factors
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Profit-taking ahead of earnings
Rising bond yields concern
Geopolitical tensions impact
Overbought technical condition worries
Sector rotation out of tech
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High-Impact Events (Next 24H)
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Asian market opening (risk sentiment gauge)
Weekend news flow analysis
Pre-earnings positioning
Options expiry effects
Futures gap analysis
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11. TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS (24H)
For Scalpers (5M-15M Timeframes)
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Primary Setup: Triangle breakout trade
Entry Long: Above 23,120
Target: 23,160-23,180
Stop Loss: 23,080
Risk/Reward: 1:2 ratio
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For Intraday Traders (30M-1H)
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Strategy: Bull flag continuation
Entry Zone: 23,050-23,070 (on dips)
Target 1: 23,150
Target 2: 23,200
Stop Loss: 23,000
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For Swing Setup (4H basis)
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Approach: Pullback buying opportunity
Optimal Entry: 22,950-23,000
Primary Target: 23,350-23,400
Extended Target: 23,600
Stop Loss: 22,850
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12. CONFLUENCE ANALYSIS
Bullish Confluence at 22,950-23,000
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Gann Theory: 23,000° perfect square support
Elliott Wave: Wave 4 completion zone
Wyckoff: Last Point of Support (LPS)
Fibonacci: 61.8% retracement level
Moving Averages: EMA 50 confluence
Volume Profile: High volume node support
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Resistance Confluence at 23,150-23,200
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Harmonic: Cypher pattern C-point resistance
Previous Structure: Multiple test area
Psychological: Round number resistance
Gann Angles: 63.75° resistance line
Elliott Wave: Wave B completion area
Technical: Flag pattern upper boundary
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FINAL 24H FORECAST SUMMARY
Most Likely Scenario: Continued consolidation with upward bias, testing 23,150 resistance with potential breakout to 23,200+ levels.
Trading Range Expectation: 22,980 - 23,180 (primary range)
Breakout Levels:
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Bullish: Above 23,120 → targets 23,200-23,350
Bearish: Below 22,980 → targets 22,900-22,950
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Key Time Windows:
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Asian Open: 00:00-02:00 UTC (gap direction)
US Pre-market: 08:00-13:30 UTC (institutional flows)
US Cash Open: 13:30 UTC (volume confirmation)
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Risk Management Notes:
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Position sizing should account for tech sector volatility
Weekend gap risk considerations
Earnings season positioning effects
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Probability Assessment:
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50% - Bullish breakout scenario
35% - Range-bound consolidation
15% - Bearish breakdown
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always use appropriate risk management and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya Trade
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
NAS100 trade ideas
NASDAQ (CASH100) SHORT - double top H6Risk/reward = 4.3
Entry price = 23 282
Stop loss price = 23 398
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 22 871
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 22 663
If current H6 goes back into range, I will open short position.
All variables on checklist have been met.
I was out last night so I missed my initial entry. Hoping for a second chance.
Hopefully this short works because the last few higher time frame short setups have failed, although because of exit plan I have made very little losses.
NAS 100 Potential PullbackHi there,
NAS100 has the potential to drop as it keeps testing the resistance zone in the range of 23100. This looks more like bull exhaustion than a reversal. The 22695.50 is the target for a bias of 22499.12
The overall bigger trend is bullish, with price highs aiming as far as 23717.44, 24837.28, and 26222.31, making this a potentially massive bullish trend, and it will take time to reach those highs.
Happy Trading, 🌟
K.
CALL THE MARKETS - XAUUSD ANALYSISWE HAVE
ona
kyle
Hasan
Ashlee
Mav
We are looking for the new red candle to drop down to 23100 area. from the 23100 to see continuation or a reversal towards ATH for a rejection to continue down to our lower Blue square area.
obviously we will wait for more news but thats what we are looking a for now.
NAS100 Bullish Setup: Clean Structure & Entry Zone Pending📊 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) remains bullish, showing a clean, well-structured uptrend—higher highs and higher lows 🔼📈.
Price has now pulled back into my optimal entry zone 🎯. At this stage, I’m waiting for a bullish break in market structure before considering an entry 🟢🔓.
Patience is key—let the structure confirm first.
Not financial advice ❌💼
NAS100 Retesting Breakout – Eyes on 23170 for Bullish PushDaily Analysis:
Price is testing the upper boundary of the long-term ascending channel. Structure is still bullish with no major breaks of support. If momentum holds, we could extend toward the channel top.
4H Analysis:
Retesting breakout structure. Support is forming around 23000–23050. Bullish momentum remains valid unless price closes below this zone.
1H Analysis:
Micro-breakout confirmed with bullish impulse above 23120. If 23170 holds, continuation toward 23280–23320 is likely.
Confirmation & Entry:
Watch for continuation above 23170. SL below 23080. TP: 23280+
Use caution if 23000 breaks — this would weaken short-term bias.
Longs then short - $$$🚀 Caught the Bottom. 🔻 Sold the Top.
Same chart. Same system. Same day.
While most traders were guessing,
ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion was sniping both ends on the US Tech 100.
📍 Long Signal:
At the dead low — green UP arrow fired.
The reversal followed instantly. Momentum exploded.
📍 Short Signal:
At the top of the rally — red DOWN printed.
Perfect spot. Price reversed hard within 1 candle.
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💡 These weren’t “lucky trades.”
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And now? Proven on the chart.
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Here’s a fresh Nasdaq100 analysis I’ve put together for you.Hey Guys,
Here’s a fresh Nasdaq100 analysis I’ve put together for you.
I’ve marked the buy zone between 23,252 and 23,240. If price dips into that range, I’m anticipating a potential move upward toward 23,294.
Your likes and support are my biggest source of motivation to keep sharing these insights.
Huge thanks to everyone backing me with a thumbs-up!
NSDQ100 pushing to new ATH?Thursday was a slightly positive session for equities, with the NASDAQ 100 rising +0.18% to close at a fresh record high, driven by strong economic data. However, overall market action was subdued, with the S&P 500’s trading range the narrowest since February (0.35%).
Notably, the equal-weighted S&P 500 fell -0.33%, highlighting underlying weakness outside mega-cap tech.
A key drag on the NASDAQ came from Tesla (-8.20%), which slumped after disappointing earnings. This weighed on the Magnificent 7, which declined -0.21% despite gains in the other six members.
On the macro front, the US dollar strengthened as Donald Trump downplayed his dispute with Fed Chair Jerome Powell, though continued to pressure the Fed on interest rates. Meanwhile, the FCC approved Paramount’s merger with Skydance, signaling a green light for M&A activity in media despite political tensions.
Conclusion – NASDAQ 100 Trading View:
The NASDAQ 100 remains technically bullish, setting new highs amid resilient economic data. However, breadth is weakening, and headline risk—especially around earnings (e.g., Tesla)—could trigger short-term volatility. Traders should stay long with caution, watching for sector rotation or profit-taking near highs, and monitor Fed-related rhetoric for macro-driven moves.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23480
Resistance Level 2: 23600
Resistance Level 3: 23790
Support Level 1: 23070
Support Level 2: 22950
Support Level 3: 22750
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nasdaq Index (US100 / NASDAQ):The Nasdaq index continues to move in a medium- to long-term uptrend, recently testing the 23,000 support zone and bouncing upward.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks and closes below 23,000, it may lead to a decline toward 22,920, followed by a deeper move toward 22,650.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
If the price holds above 23,200, further upside toward a new high around 23,400 is likely.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always monitor the markets and perform your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Nasdaq Index (US100 / NASDAQ) Technical Analysis:The Nasdaq index continues its medium- to long-term uptrend. Yesterday, it tested the 23,170$ level and rebounded upward, reaching 23,310$.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks and closes below 23,200$, it may decline toward 23,000$, followed by 22,920$.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
If the price holds above 23,300$, the uptrend is likely to continue toward a new high near 23,400$.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always monitor the markets and perform your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
Nas Long to clear HH liquidity before correctionHTF Context – Monthly / Weekly / Daily
• Big Beautiful Bill (Trump Tax + Spending Bill)
o Passed July 4th, acting as a stimulus.
o Markets historically rally on fiscal stimulus expectations (tax cuts + spending packages).
o This fuels bullish sentiment short-term, but long-term raises debt, inflation risk, and rate hike concerns.
• Seasonality
o July is typically strong for equities, especially tech, with mid-July often marking local tops before August pullbacks.
• Monthly structure
o Strong bullish monthly candles.
o Next major fib retracements if rejected: 38.2% ~20,398, 50% ~19,625, 61.8% ~18,852.
• Weekly / Daily structure
o HH-HL sequence continues.
o Price in premium zone, approaching major supply block 23,200–23,300.
o Daily BOS not broken downwards yet.
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Key Levels
• Major supply / liquidity magnet: 23,200–23,300 (sell-side OB in futures, uncollected liquidity above HH)
• Recent swing high: 22,900
• Daily pivot: 22,470
• Intraday demand zone: 22,450–22,350 (4H wedge base + VWAP)
• Weekly support shelf: 22,100–22,200 (if lost, major trend shift bearish)
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My View – Most Likely Path
1. Price is likely to sweep the liquidity above recent highs into the 23,200–23,300 supply zone.
o Why? Market rarely leaves liquidity uncollected. This move traps breakout buyers and hits stops above HHs.
o Big Beautiful Bill fuels the final squeeze higher as algorithms price in fiscal stimulus.
2. After liquidity sweep above 23,200–23,300:
o Expect strong rejection from that zone.
o Institutions offload positions into trapped retail longs.
o Price pulls back towards daily and weekly support zones for reaccumulation.
3. Alternate scenario (less likely)
o Immediate sell-off from current levels without sweeping HH.
o Weak move; would still expect a revisit higher later to clear liquidity before a proper downtrend.
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Trade Setups – Intraday & Swing
Intraday Long (Most Likely)
• Bias: Bullish continuation
• Entry Zone: 22,450–22,350 (4H demand + VWAP)
• Trigger: 5m/15m BOS up
• Stop: Below 22,300.
• Targets: First at 22,615, next at 22,845, final at 23,200–23,300.
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Intraday Short (Countertrend / Liquidity Sweep Reversal)
• Bias: Short from supply after liquidity grab
• Entry Zone: 23,200–23,300
• Trigger: Sweep of HH with rejection wick or bearish engulfing candle
• Stop: Above 23,350 (structure invalidation).
• Targets: First at 22,845, then 22,600, extend to 22,450 if momentum accelerates.
________________________________________
Swing Long (Continuation)
• Bias: Bullish trend intact
• Entry: After retest of daily pivot (22,470) or 4H demand (22,350–22,450) with 4H CHoCH + BOS up.
• Stop: Below 22,200 (weekly support break invalidates).
• Targets: 22,845 then 23,200–23,300. Blue sky if above.
________________________________________
Swing Short (Only if structure breaks)
• Trigger: Daily close below 22,200
• Bias: Bearish trend shift
• Targets: 21,800 first, then 21,000 major fib cluster and weekly MA.
________________________________________
Summary – My Final Opinion
Price is in a strong uptrend fuelled by fiscal stimulus, rate cuts and tarrif hopes . I think it will sweep the liquidity above 23,200–23,300 before any deeper pullback or trend reversal. Any rejection from that supply zone will be the cue to short for a structural retracement. Until then, I’ll keep buying dips aligned with the HTF bullish structure.
Nasdaq Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ):The Nasdaq index continues its upward trend in the medium to long term. Yesterday, it tested the 23,000 USD level and bounced higher toward 23,290 USD.
1️⃣ If the price breaks below 23,100 USD and closes beneath it, we may see a decline toward 23,000 USD, followed by 22,920 USD.
2️⃣ However, if the price holds above 23,290 USD, further bullish momentum could lead to a new high around 23,400 USD.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. Please monitor the markets and analyze the data carefully before making any investment decisions.
Go Long – Bullish Targets for Next Week- Current Price: $23065.47
- Key Insights: NASDAQ has exhibited resilience despite recent sentiment shifts,
showing signs of potential upside driven by a solid rebound in major tech
stocks. With earnings season approaching, improved performance in underlying
components reinforces long-term confidence in the index.
- Price Targets:
- T1: $23427.43
- T2: $23696.12
- S1: $22834.82
- S2: $22604.17
- Recent Performance: Over the past week, NASDAQ has consolidated near its
current levels, with intraday volatility driven by sector rotations and
macro concerns. While sentiment has weakened, the index remains supported by
key levels near the $23,000 mark.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts express optimism around key components such as
Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia, which have recently seen improved outlooks.
Broader tech sector strength may drive NASDAQ higher. Caution is advised
given geopolitical uncertainties but upside opportunities dominate momentum.
- Sentiment Analysis:
- Current sentiment: 0
- Last week: 62.5
- Change: -62.5
- Total mentions: 386
- News Impact: Positive developments in semiconductor growth forecasts and
easing fears over rate hikes have supported bullish sentiment. However, last
week’s lower-than-expected inflation data and Federal Reserve signals for
"higher rates for longer" dampened sentiment overall.
Trade Setup Description (Buy Side) – US100 (Nasdaq 100) 5-MinuteI am taking a buy-side trade on US100 based on the following confluences:
Support & Trendline Respect:
Price respected a horizontal support level near 23,079.2 and is currently bouncing from a rising trendline, showing potential for a bullish move.
Bullish Candlestick Reaction:
After testing the trendline, bullish candles formed, indicating buying interest at this zone.
EMA 50 Reclaim Potential:
Price is attempting to reclaim the 50 EMA (currently at 23,141.3). A successful break and hold above it would confirm bullish momentum.
RSI Confirmation:
RSI is currently around 47 and curving upwards, indicating a potential reversal from oversold/neutral territory. The RSI yellow moving average is also turning up.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The setup has a favorable risk-to-reward ratio with the stop loss placed just below the trendline and recent wick low, and the target placed above the recent high around 23,264.5.